Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks
Abstract
Changes in land and ocean carbon storage in response to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and associated climate change, known as the concentration–carbon and climate–carbon feedbacks, are principal controls on the response of the climate system to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Such feedbacks have typically been quantified in the context of natural ecosystems, but land management activities are also responsive to future atmospheric carbon and climate changes. Here we show that inclusion of such human–driven responses within an Earth system model shifts both the terrestrial concentration–carbon and climate–carbon feedbacks toward increased carbon storage. Furthermore, we introduce a conceptual framework for decomposing these changes into separate concentration–land cover, climate–land cover, and land cover–carbon effects, providing a parsimonious means to diagnose sources of variation across numerical models capable of estimating such feedbacks.
- Authors:
-
[1];
[2];
[3];
[1];
[2];
[3];
[4]
- Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States)
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
- Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States). Dept. of Earth and Planetary Sciences
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF); Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1562907
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1479511; OSTI ID: 1480629; OSTI ID: 1483268
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-133018
Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276; TRN: US2000775
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830; AC05‐00OR22725; AC02‐05CH11231; AC05-00OR22725; AC02-05CH11231
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Geophysical Research Letters
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 45; Journal Issue: 20; Journal ID: ISSN 0094-8276
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 58 GEOSCIENCES; carbon cycle feedbacks; climate impacts on agriculture; coupled human and natural systems
Citation Formats
Jones, Andrew D., Calvin, Katherine V., Shi, Xiaoying, Di Vittorio, Alan V., Bond‐Lamberty, Ben, Thornton, Peter E., and Collins, William D. Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks. United States: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1029/2018GL079350.
Jones, Andrew D., Calvin, Katherine V., Shi, Xiaoying, Di Vittorio, Alan V., Bond‐Lamberty, Ben, Thornton, Peter E., & Collins, William D. Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks. United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079350
Jones, Andrew D., Calvin, Katherine V., Shi, Xiaoying, Di Vittorio, Alan V., Bond‐Lamberty, Ben, Thornton, Peter E., and Collins, William D. Mon .
"Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks". United States. https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GL079350. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1562907.
@article{osti_1562907,
title = {Quantifying Human-Mediated Carbon Cycle Feedbacks},
author = {Jones, Andrew D. and Calvin, Katherine V. and Shi, Xiaoying and Di Vittorio, Alan V. and Bond‐Lamberty, Ben and Thornton, Peter E. and Collins, William D.},
abstractNote = {Changes in land and ocean carbon storage in response to elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations and associated climate change, known as the concentration–carbon and climate–carbon feedbacks, are principal controls on the response of the climate system to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions. Such feedbacks have typically been quantified in the context of natural ecosystems, but land management activities are also responsive to future atmospheric carbon and climate changes. Here we show that inclusion of such human–driven responses within an Earth system model shifts both the terrestrial concentration–carbon and climate–carbon feedbacks toward increased carbon storage. Furthermore, we introduce a conceptual framework for decomposing these changes into separate concentration–land cover, climate–land cover, and land cover–carbon effects, providing a parsimonious means to diagnose sources of variation across numerical models capable of estimating such feedbacks.},
doi = {10.1029/2018GL079350},
journal = {Geophysical Research Letters},
number = 20,
volume = 45,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Oct 08 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Mon Oct 08 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}
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Figures / Tables:
Figure 1: Estimates for the terrestrial concentration-carbon feedback parameter ($β$L) and climate-carbon feedback parameter ($γ$L) with (red circles) and without (blue circles) the inclusion of human-mediated land use and land cover change (LULCC) feedbacks. Twenty estimates for each parameter combination are shown, one calculated using each of the final 20more »
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