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Title: Toward a chemical reanalysis in a coupled chemistry-climate model: An evaluation of MOPITT CO assimilation and its impact on tropospheric composition

Abstract

Here, we examine in detail a 1 year global reanalysis of carbon monoxide (CO) that is based on joint assimilation of conventional meteorological observations and Measurement of Pollution in The Troposphere (MOPITT) multispectral CO retrievals in the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Our focus is to assess the impact to the chemical system when CO distribution is constrained in a coupled full chemistry-climate model like CESM. To do this, we first evaluate the joint reanalysis (MOPITT Reanalysis) against four sets of independent observations and compare its performance against a reanalysis with no MOPITT assimilation (Control Run). We then investigate the CO burden and chemical response with the aid of tagged sectoral CO tracers. We estimate the total tropospheric CO burden in 2002 (from ensemble mean and spread) to be 371 ± 12% Tg for MOPITT Reanalysis and 291 ± 9% Tg for Control Run. Our multispecies analysis of this difference suggests that (a) direct emissions of CO and hydrocarbons are too low in the inventory used in this study and (b) chemical oxidation, transport, and deposition processes are not accurately and consistently represented in the model. Increases in CO led to net reduction of OH and subsequent longer lifetime ofmore » CH4(Control Run: 8.7 years versus MOPITT Reanalysis: 9.3 years). Yet at the same time, this increase led to 5-10% enhancement of Northern Hemisphere O3 and overall photochemical activity via HOx recycling. Such nonlinear effects further complicate the attribution to uncertainties in direct emissions alone. This has implications to chemistry-climate modeling and inversion studies of longer-lived species.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [3];  [3];  [3];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [4];  [1];  [5];  [6];  [7]
  1. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States). Atmospheric Chemistry Observations and Modeling Lab.
  2. Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States). Dept. of Atmospheric Sciences
  3. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States). Inst. for Mathematics Applied to Geosciences
  4. Max Planck Inst. for Chemistry, Mainz (Germany). Biogeochemistry Dept.
  5. Univ. of Bremen (Germany). Inst. of Environmental Physics (IUP)
  6. Univ. of Toronto, ON (Canada). Dept. of Physics
  7. Univ. of Wollongong, NSW (Australia)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA); National Science Foundation (NSF); Australian Research Council (ARC)
OSTI Identifier:
1480703
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC02-05CH11231; NNX13AK24G; NNX14AN47G; DP110101948; LE0668470
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 121; Journal Issue: 12; Journal ID: ISSN 2169-897X
Publisher:
American Geophysical Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; tropospheric composition; data assimilation; chemistry-climate modeling; satellite observations

Citation Formats

Gaubert, B., Arellano, A. F., Barré, J., Worden, H. M., Emmons, L. K., Tilmes, S., Buchholz, R. R., Vitt, F., Raeder, K., Collins, N., Anderson, J. L., Wiedinmyer, C., Martinez Alonso, S., Edwards, D. P., Andreae, M. O., Hannigan, J. W., Petri, C., Strong, K., and Jones, N. Toward a chemical reanalysis in a coupled chemistry-climate model: An evaluation of MOPITT CO assimilation and its impact on tropospheric composition. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1002/2016JD024863.
Gaubert, B., Arellano, A. F., Barré, J., Worden, H. M., Emmons, L. K., Tilmes, S., Buchholz, R. R., Vitt, F., Raeder, K., Collins, N., Anderson, J. L., Wiedinmyer, C., Martinez Alonso, S., Edwards, D. P., Andreae, M. O., Hannigan, J. W., Petri, C., Strong, K., & Jones, N. Toward a chemical reanalysis in a coupled chemistry-climate model: An evaluation of MOPITT CO assimilation and its impact on tropospheric composition. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024863
Gaubert, B., Arellano, A. F., Barré, J., Worden, H. M., Emmons, L. K., Tilmes, S., Buchholz, R. R., Vitt, F., Raeder, K., Collins, N., Anderson, J. L., Wiedinmyer, C., Martinez Alonso, S., Edwards, D. P., Andreae, M. O., Hannigan, J. W., Petri, C., Strong, K., and Jones, N. Sat . "Toward a chemical reanalysis in a coupled chemistry-climate model: An evaluation of MOPITT CO assimilation and its impact on tropospheric composition". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JD024863. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1480703.
@article{osti_1480703,
title = {Toward a chemical reanalysis in a coupled chemistry-climate model: An evaluation of MOPITT CO assimilation and its impact on tropospheric composition},
author = {Gaubert, B. and Arellano, A. F. and Barré, J. and Worden, H. M. and Emmons, L. K. and Tilmes, S. and Buchholz, R. R. and Vitt, F. and Raeder, K. and Collins, N. and Anderson, J. L. and Wiedinmyer, C. and Martinez Alonso, S. and Edwards, D. P. and Andreae, M. O. and Hannigan, J. W. and Petri, C. and Strong, K. and Jones, N.},
abstractNote = {Here, we examine in detail a 1 year global reanalysis of carbon monoxide (CO) that is based on joint assimilation of conventional meteorological observations and Measurement of Pollution in The Troposphere (MOPITT) multispectral CO retrievals in the Community Earth System Model (CESM). Our focus is to assess the impact to the chemical system when CO distribution is constrained in a coupled full chemistry-climate model like CESM. To do this, we first evaluate the joint reanalysis (MOPITT Reanalysis) against four sets of independent observations and compare its performance against a reanalysis with no MOPITT assimilation (Control Run). We then investigate the CO burden and chemical response with the aid of tagged sectoral CO tracers. We estimate the total tropospheric CO burden in 2002 (from ensemble mean and spread) to be 371 ± 12% Tg for MOPITT Reanalysis and 291 ± 9% Tg for Control Run. Our multispecies analysis of this difference suggests that (a) direct emissions of CO and hydrocarbons are too low in the inventory used in this study and (b) chemical oxidation, transport, and deposition processes are not accurately and consistently represented in the model. Increases in CO led to net reduction of OH and subsequent longer lifetime of CH4(Control Run: 8.7 years versus MOPITT Reanalysis: 9.3 years). Yet at the same time, this increase led to 5-10% enhancement of Northern Hemisphere O3 and overall photochemical activity via HOx recycling. Such nonlinear effects further complicate the attribution to uncertainties in direct emissions alone. This has implications to chemistry-climate modeling and inversion studies of longer-lived species.},
doi = {10.1002/2016JD024863},
journal = {Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres},
number = 12,
volume = 121,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat May 28 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Sat May 28 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

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The Model of Emissions of Gases and Aerosols from Nature version 2.1 (MEGAN2.1): an extended and updated framework for modeling biogenic emissions
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Assessing the impacts of assimilating IASI and MOPITT CO retrievals using CESM‐CAM‐chem and DART
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Quantifying CO emissions from the 2004 Alaskan wildfires using MOPITT CO data
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A comparison study of data assimilation algorithms for ozone forecasts
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Assimilation of IASI satellite CO fields into a global chemistry transport model for validation against aircraft measurements
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Sensitivity of top-down CO source estimates to the modeled vertical structure in atmospheric CO
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Interannual and seasonal variability of biomass burning emissions constrained by satellite observations
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A Local Least Squares Framework for Ensemble Filtering
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Effects of the 2006 El Niño on tropospheric composition as revealed by data from the Tropospheric Emission Spectrometer (TES)
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Measurement of ozone and water vapor by Airbus in-service aircraft: The MOZAIC airborne program, an overview
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Long-range correlations in Fourier transform infrared, satellite, and modeled CO in the Southern Hemisphere: CARBON MONOXIDE IN FTIR, SATELLITE, AND MODEL
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Toward anthropogenic combustion emission constraints from space‐based analysis of urban CO 2 /CO sensitivity
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Toronto area ozone: Long-term measurements and modeled sources of poor air quality events: SOURCES OF TORONTO TROPOSPHERIC OZONE
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Smoking Rain Clouds over the Amazon
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journal, January 2009


Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application
journal, January 2010

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journal, January 2012


Inversion of CO and NOx emissions using the adjoint of the IMAGES model
journal, January 2004

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journal, January 2005

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The Paris Climate Agreement and future sea-level rise from Antarctica
journal, May 2021


Simultaneous assimilation of satellite NO2, O3, CO, and HNO3 data for the analysis of tropospheric chemical composition and emissions
posted_content, July 2012


How much CO was emitted by the 2010 fires around Moscow?
posted_content, November 2012


Isoprene emissions in Africa inferred from OMI observations of formaldehyde columns
posted_content, March 2012


Signature of tropical fires in the diurnal cycle of tropospheric CO as seen from Metop-A/IASI
posted_content, October 2014


The POLARCAT Model Intercomparison Project (POLMIP): overview and evaluation with observations
journal, January 2014

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Multi-species inversion of CH4, CO and H2 emissions from surface measurements
posted_content, December 2008


On the capability of IASI measurements to inform about CO surface emissions
posted_content, March 2009

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The Fire INventory from NCAR (FINN) – a high resolution global model to estimate the emissions from open burning
journal, January 2010

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Multimodel simulations of carbon monoxide: Comparison with observations and projected near-future changes
text, January 2006

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Assimilation of IASI satellite CO fields into a global chemistry transport model for validation against aircraft measurements
posted_content, December 2011


The MACC reanalysis: an 8-yr data set of atmospheric composition
posted_content, December 2012


Online coupled regional meteorology chemistry models in Europe: Current status and prospects
text, January 2014


Decadal trends in global CO emissions as seen by MOPITT
journal, January 2015

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Improvement of ozone forecast over Beijing based on ensemble Kalman filter with simultaneous adjustment of initial conditions and emissions
posted_content, March 2011


Airborne measurements of trace gas and aerosol particle emissions from biomass burning in Amazonia
posted_content, May 2005


Works referencing / citing this record:

Source Contributions to Carbon Monoxide Concentrations During KORUS‐AQ Based on CAM‐chem Model Applications
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  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-1945-2017

Evaluation of ACCMIP ozone simulations and ozonesonde sampling biases using a satellite-based multi-constituent chemical reanalysis
journal, January 2017


Evaluating high-resolution forecasts of atmospheric CO and CO 2 from a global prediction system during KORUS-AQ field campaign
journal, January 2018

  • Tang, Wenfu; Arellano, Avelino F.; DiGangi, Joshua P.
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-11007-2018

New constraints on biogenic emissions using satellite-based estimates of carbon monoxide fluxes
journal, January 2019

  • Worden, Helen M.; Bloom, A. Anthony; Worden, John R.
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 21
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-13569-2019

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journal, January 2019

  • Schulz, Hannes; Zanatta, Marco; Bozem, Heiko
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-2361-2019

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journal, January 2020

  • Miyazaki, Kazuyuki; Bowman, Kevin W.; Yumimoto, Keiya
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 20, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-20-931-2020

Validation of MOPITT carbon monoxide using ground-based Fourier transform infrared spectrometer data from NDACC
journal, January 2017

  • Buchholz, Rebecca R.; Deeter, Merritt N.; Worden, Helen M.
  • Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 10, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/amt-10-1927-2017

The CHRONOS mission: capability for sub-hourly synoptic observations of carbon monoxide and methane to quantify emissions and transport of air pollution
journal, January 2018

  • Edwards, David P.; Worden, Helen M.; Neil, Doreen
  • Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 11, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/amt-11-1061-2018

The CHRONOS mission: Capability for sub-hourly synoptic observations of carbon monoxide and methane to quantify emissions and transport of air pollution
posted_content, June 2017

  • Edwards, David P.; Worden, Helen M.; Neil, Doreen
  • Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions
  • DOI: 10.5194/amt-2017-194

Validation of MOPITT carbon monoxide using ground-based Fourier transform infrared spectrometer data from NDACC
posted_content, September 2016

  • Buchholz, Rebecca R.; Deeter, Merritt N.; Worden, Helen M.
  • Atmospheric Measurement Techniques Discussions
  • DOI: 10.5194/amt-2016-241