Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models

Golshani, Nima; Shabanpour, Ramin; Auld, Joshua; Mohammadian, Abolfazl (Kouros)

doi:10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261

Title: Activity start time and duration: incorporating regret theory into joint discrete–continuous models

Journal Article · 22 February 2018 · Transportmetrica A: Transport Science

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/23249935.2018.1440261 · OSTI ID:1465504

Golshani, Nima ^[1]; Shabanpour, Ramin ^[1]; Auld, Joshua ^[2]; Mohammadian, Abolfazl (Kouros) ^[1]

Univ. of Illinois, Chicago, IL (United States)
Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)

Activity start time and duration decisions are two key elements of activity-travel behaviour. As an effort towards a more realistic representation of individuals’ decision behaviour, this paper presents a new copula-based joint model of activity start time and duration. In this work, we incorporate the regret theory into the joint modelling framework, which assumes that individuals tend to avoid the situation where non-chosen alternatives outperform the chosen one in one or more attributes. The proposed joint model comprises a hybrid utility-regret model as the discrete component to estimate activity start time and a hazard duration model as the continuous component to estimate activity duration. The comparative analysis of estimation results reveals that the proposed structure is statistically superior to the utility-based joint model and independent models. We also found that applying the regret-based decision rule for variables of travel time and travel time variability significantly improves the model.

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Research Organization:: Argonne National Laboratory (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)

Sponsoring Organization:: USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program; USDOE Office of Science (SC)

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-06CH11357

OSTI ID:: 1465504

Journal Information:: Transportmetrica A: Transport Science, Vol. 14, Issue 9; ISSN 2324-9935

Publisher:: Informa PLC - Taylor & Francis GroupCopyright Statement

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

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Cited by: 11 works

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