Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations
Abstract
Aerosol-cloud interactions remain a major uncertainty in climate research. Studies have indicated that model estimates of cloud susceptibility to aerosols frequently exceed satellite estimates, motivating model reformulations to increase agreement. Here we show that conventional ways of using satellite information to estimate susceptibility can serve as only a weak constraint on models because the estimation is sensitive to errors in the retrieval procedures. Using instrument simulators to investigate differences between model and satellite estimates of susceptibilities, we find that low aerosol loading conditions are not well characterized by satellites, but model clouds are sensitive to aerosol perturbations in these conditions. We quantify the observational requirements needed to constrain models, and find that the nighttime lidar measurements of aerosols provide a better characterization of tenuous aerosols. Here, we conclude that observational uncertainties and limitations need to be accounted for when assessing the role of aerosols in the climate system.
- Authors:
-
[1];
[1];
[3];
[1]
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sorbonne Univ., Paris (France); Ecole Polytechnique, Palaiseau (France)
- NASA Langley Research Center, Hampton, VA (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1463346
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1513205
- Report Number(s):
- [PNNL-SA-118058]
[Journal ID: ISSN 2041-1723; PII: 5028]
- Grant/Contract Number:
- [AC05-76RL01830]
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Nature Communications
- Additional Journal Information:
- [ Journal Volume: 9; Journal Issue: 1]; Journal ID: ISSN 2041-1723
- Publisher:
- Nature Publishing Group
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Citation Formats
Ma, Po -Lun, Rasch, Philip J., Chepfer, Helene, Winker, David M., and Ghan, Steven J. Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations. United States: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4.
Ma, Po -Lun, Rasch, Philip J., Chepfer, Helene, Winker, David M., & Ghan, Steven J. Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations. United States. doi:10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4.
Ma, Po -Lun, Rasch, Philip J., Chepfer, Helene, Winker, David M., and Ghan, Steven J. Fri .
"Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations". United States. doi:10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1463346.
@article{osti_1463346,
title = {Observational constraint on cloud susceptibility weakened by aerosol retrieval limitations},
author = {Ma, Po -Lun and Rasch, Philip J. and Chepfer, Helene and Winker, David M. and Ghan, Steven J.},
abstractNote = {Aerosol-cloud interactions remain a major uncertainty in climate research. Studies have indicated that model estimates of cloud susceptibility to aerosols frequently exceed satellite estimates, motivating model reformulations to increase agreement. Here we show that conventional ways of using satellite information to estimate susceptibility can serve as only a weak constraint on models because the estimation is sensitive to errors in the retrieval procedures. Using instrument simulators to investigate differences between model and satellite estimates of susceptibilities, we find that low aerosol loading conditions are not well characterized by satellites, but model clouds are sensitive to aerosol perturbations in these conditions. We quantify the observational requirements needed to constrain models, and find that the nighttime lidar measurements of aerosols provide a better characterization of tenuous aerosols. Here, we conclude that observational uncertainties and limitations need to be accounted for when assessing the role of aerosols in the climate system.},
doi = {10.1038/S41467-018-05028-4},
journal = {Nature Communications},
number = [1],
volume = [9],
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {7}
}
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Figures / Tables:
Fig. 1 : Global mean susceptibility of cloud droplet size, susceptibility of precipitation probability, and effective radiative forcing due to aerosol-cloud interactions. Estimates of SRe = −∂ln(Re)/∂ln(CCN)18, SPOP=−∂ln(POP)/ ∂ln(CCN)6, and the inferred ERFaci are derived from satellite retrievals and CAM5 model simulation when accounting for sampling and retrieval limitations. Observationalmore »
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Works referencing / citing this record:
CERES Level 2 NEWS CCCM Aqua-FM3-MODIS-CAL-CS HDF File - Release B1
dataset, January 2008
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- NASA Langley Atmospheric Science Data Center DAAC
Evaluating cloud tuning in a climate model with satellite observations: EVALUATION OF CLOUD TUNING
journal, August 2013
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- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 40, Issue 16
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journal, May 2013
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- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 10
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journal, April 2011
- Dee, D. P.; Uppala, S. M.; Simmons, A. J.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 656
Large contribution of natural aerosols to uncertainty in indirect forcing
journal, November 2013
- Carslaw, K. S.; Lee, L. A.; Reddington, C. L.
- Nature, Vol. 503, Issue 7474
Strong constraints on aerosol–cloud interactions from volcanic eruptions
journal, June 2017
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Satellite methods underestimate indirect climate forcing by aerosols
journal, August 2011
- Penner, J. E.; Xu, L.; Wang, M.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 108, Issue 33
Occurrence of pristine aerosol environments on a polluted planet
journal, December 2014
- Hamilton, Douglas S.; Lee, Lindsay A.; Pringle, Kirsty J.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 52
Challenges in constraining anthropogenic aerosol effects on cloud radiative forcing using present-day spatiotemporal variability
journal, February 2016
- Ghan, Steven; Wang, Minghuai; Zhang, Shipeng
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 113, Issue 21
Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol−cloud interactions in the climate system
journal, May 2016
- Seinfeld, John H.; Bretherton, Christopher; Carslaw, Kenneth S.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 113, Issue 21
Satellite retrieval of cloud condensation nuclei concentrations by using clouds as CCN chambers
journal, March 2016
- Rosenfeld, Daniel; Zheng, Youtong; Hashimshoni, Eyal
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 113, Issue 21
Constraining the instantaneous aerosol influence on cloud albedo
journal, April 2017
- Gryspeerdt, Edward; Quaas, Johannes; Ferrachat, Sylvaine
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 114, Issue 19
Multi-angle Imaging SpectroRadiometer (MISR) instrument description and experiment overview
journal, July 1998
- Diner, D. J.; Beckert, J. C.; Reilly, T. H.
- IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol. 36, Issue 4
Aerosol Effect on Cloud Droplet Size Monitored from Satellite
journal, February 2002
- Breon, F. -M.
- Science, Vol. 295, Issue 5556
Stronger Constraints on the Anthropogenic Indirect Aerosol Effect
journal, November 2002
- Lohmann, U.; Lesins, G.
- Science, Vol. 298, Issue 5595
Aerosols, Cloud Microphysics, and Fractional Cloudiness
journal, September 1989
- Albrecht, B. A.
- Science, Vol. 245, Issue 4923
Some implications of sampling choices on comparisons between satellite and model aerosol optical depth fields
journal, January 2010
- Sayer, A. M.; Thomas, G. E.; Palmer, P. I.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 22
A critical look at spatial scale choices in satellite-based aerosol indirect effect studies
journal, January 2010
- Grandey, B. S.; Stier, P.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 23
Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application
journal, January 2010
- Lamarque, J. -F.; Bond, T. C.; Eyring, V.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 15
Testing remote sensing on artificial observations: impact of drizzle and 3-D cloud structure on effective radius retrievals
journal, January 2010
- Zinner, T.; Wind, G.; Platnick, S.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 19
The scale problem in quantifying aerosol indirect effects
journal, January 2012
- McComiskey, A.; Feingold, G.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 12, Issue 2
The global 3-D distribution of tropospheric aerosols as characterized by CALIOP
journal, January 2013
- Winker, D. M.; Tackett, J. L.; Getzewich, B. J.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 13, Issue 6
Technical Note: On the use of nudging for aerosol–climate model intercomparison studies
journal, January 2014
- Zhang, K.; Wan, H.; Liu, X.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 14, Issue 16
Wet scavenging limits the detection of aerosol effects on precipitation
journal, January 2015
- Gryspeerdt, E.; Stier, P.; White, B. A.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 15, Issue 13
Will a perfect model agree with perfect observations? The impact of spatial sampling
journal, January 2016
- Schutgens, Nick A. J.; Gryspeerdt, Edward; Weigum, Natalie
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 16, Issue 10
Limitations of passive remote sensing to constrain global cloud condensation nuclei
journal, January 2016
- Stier, Philip
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 16, Issue 10
Unveiling aerosol–cloud interactions – Part 1: Cloud contamination in satellite products enhances the aerosol indirect forcing estimate
journal, January 2017
- Christensen, Matthew W.; Neubauer, David; Poulsen, Caroline A.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 17, Issue 21
Aerosol indirect effects – general circulation model intercomparison and evaluation with satellite data
journal, January 2009
- Quaas, J.; Ming, Y.; Menon, S.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 9, Issue 22
Global and regional evaluation of over-land spectral aerosol optical depth retrievals from SeaWiFS
journal, January 2012
- Sayer, A. M.; Hsu, N. C.; Bettenhausen, C.
- Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 5, Issue 7
The Collection 6 MODIS aerosol products over land and ocean
journal, January 2013
- Levy, R. C.; Mattoo, S.; Munchak, L. A.
- Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 6, Issue 11
Looking through the haze: evaluating the CALIPSO level 2 aerosol optical depth using airborne high spectral resolution lidar data
journal, January 2014
- Rogers, R. R.; Vaughan, M. A.; Hostetler, C. A.
- Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 7, Issue 12
Use of the CALIOP vertical feature mask for evaluating global aerosol models
journal, January 2015
- Nowottnick, E. P.; Colarco, P. R.; Welton, E. J.
- Atmospheric Measurement Techniques, Vol. 8, Issue 9
Lidar signal simulation for the evaluation of aerosols in chemistry transport models
journal, January 2012
- Stromatas, S.; Turquety, S.; Menut, L.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 5, Issue 6
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