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Title: Data-based stochastic model reduction for the Kuramoto–Sivashinsky equation

In this paper, the problem of constructing data-based, predictive, reduced models for the Kuramoto–Sivashinsky equation is considered, under circumstances where one has observation data only for a small subset of the dynamical variables. Accurate prediction is achieved by developing a discrete-time stochastic reduced system, based on a NARMAX (Nonlinear Autoregressive Moving Average with eXogenous input) representation. The practical issue, with the NARMAX representation as with any other, is to identify an efficient structure, i.e., one with a small number of terms and coefficients. This is accomplished here by estimating coefficients for an approximate inertial form. Finally, the broader significance of the results is discussed.
 [1] ; ORCiD logo [2] ;  [1]
  1. Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States). Dept. of Mathematics; Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
  2. Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States). School of Mathematics
Publication Date:
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231; DMS-1217065; DMS-1418775; DMS-1419044
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Physica. D, Nonlinear Phenomena
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 340; Journal ID: ISSN 0167-2789
Research Org:
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States); Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE Office of Science (SC); National Science Foundation (NSF)
Country of Publication:
United States
97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING; stochastic parametrization; NARMAX; Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation; approximate inertial manifold
OSTI Identifier:
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1398711