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Title: A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management

Abstract

Flood, as a serious worldwide environment problem, can lead to detrimental economic losses and fatalities. Effective flood control is desired to mitigate the adverse impacts of flooding and the associated flood risk through development of cost-effective and efficient flood management decisions and policies. A bi-level fuzzy two-stage stochastic programming model, named BIFS model is developed in this study to provide decision support for economic analysis of flood management. The BIFS model is capable of not only addressing the sequential decision making issue involving the two-level decision makers, but also correcting the pre-regulated flood management decisions before the occurrence of a flood event in the two-stage environment. The probabilistic and non-probabilistic uncertainties expressed as probability density functions and fuzzy sets are quantitatively analyzed. The overall satisfaction solution is obtained for meeting the goals of the two-level decision makers by compromising, reflecting the tradeoffs among various decision makers in the two decision-making levels. The results of application of the BIFS model to a representative case study indicate informed decision strategies for flood management. Tradeoffs between economic objectives and uncertainty-averse attitudes of decision makers are quantified.

Authors:
 [1]; ORCiD logo [2]
+ Show Author Affiliations
  1. South Univ. of Science and Technology of China, Shenzhen (China). School of Environmental Science and Engineering, and Engineering Innovation Center Beijing
  2. Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Los Alamos National Lab. (LANL), Los Alamos, NM (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program
OSTI Identifier:
1460641
Report Number(s):
LA-UR-17-21139
Journal ID: ISSN 0920-4741
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-06NA25396
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Water Resources Management
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 32; Journal Issue: 5; Journal ID: ISSN 0920-4741
Publisher:
Springer
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Environmental Protection; Flood management; diversion; two-level; two-stage; economic analysis

Citation Formats

Wang, Hong, and Zhang, Xiaodong. A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0.
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Wang, Hong, & Zhang, Xiaodong. A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management. United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0
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Wang, Hong, and Zhang, Xiaodong. Thu . "A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management". United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1460641.
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@article{osti_1460641,
title = {A Decentralized Bi-Level Fuzzy Two-Stage Decision Model for Flood Management},
author = {Wang, Hong and Zhang, Xiaodong},
abstractNote = {Flood, as a serious worldwide environment problem, can lead to detrimental economic losses and fatalities. Effective flood control is desired to mitigate the adverse impacts of flooding and the associated flood risk through development of cost-effective and efficient flood management decisions and policies. A bi-level fuzzy two-stage stochastic programming model, named BIFS model is developed in this study to provide decision support for economic analysis of flood management. The BIFS model is capable of not only addressing the sequential decision making issue involving the two-level decision makers, but also correcting the pre-regulated flood management decisions before the occurrence of a flood event in the two-stage environment. The probabilistic and non-probabilistic uncertainties expressed as probability density functions and fuzzy sets are quantitatively analyzed. The overall satisfaction solution is obtained for meeting the goals of the two-level decision makers by compromising, reflecting the tradeoffs among various decision makers in the two decision-making levels. The results of application of the BIFS model to a representative case study indicate informed decision strategies for flood management. Tradeoffs between economic objectives and uncertainty-averse attitudes of decision makers are quantified.},
doi = {10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0},
journal = {Water Resources Management},
number = 5,
volume = 32,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {3}
}
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Journal Article:
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Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-017-1894-0
Copyright Statement
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Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 6 works
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Figures / Tables:

Table 1 Table 1: Cost-related modeling parameters for flood diversion
All figures and tables (7 total)
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Works referenced in this record:

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    Planning for Regional Water System Sustainability Through Water Resources Security Assessment Under Uncertainties
    journal, April 2018

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      Figures / Tables found in this record:

      Table 1 (p. 11)table
      Table 2 (p. 11)table
      Table 3 (p. 14)table
      Figure 1 (p. 15)figure
      Table 4 (p. 15)table
      Table 5 (p. 15)table
      Figure 2 (p. 16)figure
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