Title: Integrated human-earth system modeling—state of the science and future directions

Journal Article · · Environmental Research Letters

Not Available

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER); USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
1441101
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA--131869
Journal Information:
Environmental Research Letters, Journal Name: Environmental Research Letters Journal Issue: 6 Vol. 13; ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher:
IOP PublishingCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United Kingdom
Language:
English

References (83)

Multicentury changes in ocean and land contributions to the climate-carbon feedback: CARBON CYCLE FEEDBACKS TO 2300 IN CESM journal June 2015
Effects of spatially distributed sectoral water management on the redistribution of water resources in an integrated water model: SECTORAL WATER MANAGEMENT IN IA-ESM journal May 2017
Human interactions with the Earth system: people and pixels revisited journal August 2008
Research priorities in land use and land-cover change for the Earth system and integrated assessment modelling journal October 2010
Climate interactive: the C-ROADS climate policy model: Climate interactive journal July 2012
Earth system models: an overview: Earth system models journal November 2011
Global energy-climate scenarios and models: a review: Global energy-climate scenarios and models journal February 2014
The “Anthropocene” book January 2006
Agent-Based Modeling and Complexity book October 2011
Factors that affect the amplitude of El Nino in global coupled climate models journal April 2001
Analyzing Human–Landscape Interactions: Tools That Integrate journal January 2013
A brief introduction to BNU-HESM1.0 and its earth surface temperature simulations journal October 2015
Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models journal March 2002
Uncertainties due to transport-parameter sensitivity in an efficient 3-D ocean-climate model journal February 2005
Climate simulation of the twenty-first century with interactive land-use changes journal February 2007
Climate change under aggressive mitigation: the ENSEMBLES multi-model experiment journal February 2011
On the persistent spread in snow-albedo feedback journal May 2013
Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments: An Evolution of Conceptual Thinking journal April 2006
The coupling of optimal economic growth and climate dynamics journal October 2006
The representative concentration pathways: an overview journal August 2011
Harmonization of land-use scenarios for the period 1500–2100: 600 years of global gridded annual land-use transitions, wood harvest, and resulting secondary lands journal August 2011
The use of the land-sea warming contrast under climate change to improve impact metrics journal February 2013
Trade-offs of different land and bioenergy policies on the path to achieving climate targets journal October 2013
A framework for modeling uncertainty in regional climate change journal June 2014
Accounting for radiative forcing from albedo change in future global land-use scenarios journal April 2015
Sensitivity of future U.S. Water shortages to socioeconomic and climate drivers: a case study in Georgia using an integrated human-earth system modeling framework journal February 2016
Will economic growth and fossil fuel scarcity help or hinder climate stabilization?: Overview of the RoSE multi-model study journal April 2016
Agent-based land-use models: a review of applications journal August 2007
The structure of tradeoffs in model building journal July 2008
Global warming projections using the human–earth system model BNU-HESM1.0 journal December 2016
Integrated assessment models of climate change journal April 1995
Rolling the ‘DICE’: an optimal transition path for controlling greenhouse gases journal March 1993
Transdisciplinary global change research: the co-creation of knowledge for sustainability journal September 2013
Modeling human decisions in coupled human and natural systems: Review of agent-based models journal March 2012
Global economic effects of changes in crops, pasture, and forests due to changing climate, carbon dioxide, and ozone journal November 2007
‘Integronsters’, integral and integrated modeling journal January 2013
Integrated environmental modeling: A vision and roadmap for the future journal January 2013
Simple models, powerful ideas: Towards effective integrative practice journal August 2012
Methods and approaches to modelling the Anthropocene journal July 2016
Land-use futures in the shared socio-economic pathways journal January 2017
Uncertainty in plant functional type distributions and its impact on land surface models journal December 2017
Modeling the dynamics of the integrated earth system and the value of global ecosystem services using the GUMBO model journal June 2002
Archiving numerical models of biogeochemical dynamics journal January 2005
Parameterization improvements and functional and structural advances in Version 4 of the Community Land Model journal January 2011
Earth systems: Model human adaptation to climate change journal August 2014
The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment journal February 2010
Climate change and the permafrost carbon feedback journal April 2015
Climate–society feedbacks and the avoidance of dangerous climate change journal July 2012
Integrated analysis of climate change, land-use, energy and water strategies journal June 2013
Biospheric feedback effects in a synchronously coupled model of human and Earth systems journal June 2017
Quantifying the economic risks of climate change journal November 2017
Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts journal February 2018
Linking models of human behaviour and climate alters projected climate change journal January 2018
Contributions to accelerating atmospheric CO2 growth from economic activity, carbon intensity, and efficiency of natural sinks journal October 2007
A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science journal June 2003
Permafrost carbon−climate feedback is sensitive to deep soil carbon decomposability but not deep soil nitrogen dynamics journal March 2015
21st century United States emissions mitigation could increase water stress more than the climate change it is mitigating journal August 2015
A comprehensive view on climate change: coupling of earth system and integrated assessment models journal April 2012
Probabilistic projections of 21st century climate change over Northern Eurasia journal October 2013
A review of and perspectives on global change modeling for Northern Eurasia journal August 2017
Some Contributions of Integrated Assessment Models of Global Climate Change journal January 2017
Agriculture and climate change in global scenarios: why don't the models agree journal December 2013
The Impact of Boreal Forest Fire on Climate Warming journal November 2006
Interpretation of Cloud-Climate Feedback as Produced by 14 Atmospheric General Circulation Models journal August 1989
Verification, Validation, and Confirmation of Numerical Models in the Earth Sciences journal February 1994
Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models journal February 2018
Economic and Physical Modeling of land use in gcam 3.0 and an Application to Agricultural Productivity, Land, and Terrestrial Carbon journal May 2014
The Community Earth System Model: A Framework for Collaborative Research journal September 2013
Carbon–Concentration and Carbon–Climate Feedbacks in CMIP5 Earth System Models journal August 2013
Effect of Anthropogenic Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes on Climate and Land Carbon Storage in CMIP5 Projections for the Twenty-First Century journal September 2013
Modeling the Impacts of Future Climate Change on Irrigation over China: Sensitivity to Adjusted Projections journal October 2014
Downscaling general circulation model output: a review of methods and limitations journal December 1997
Downscaling Global Emissions and Its Implications Derived from Climate Model Experiments journal January 2017
Emulating coupled atmosphere-ocean and carbon cycle models with a simpler model, MAGICC6 – Part 1: Model description and calibration journal January 2011
From land use to land cover: restoring the afforestation signal in a coupled integrated assessment–earth system model and the implications for CMIP5 RCP simulations journal January 2014
Horses for courses: analytical tools to explore planetary boundaries journal January 2016
Towards representing human behavior and decision making in Earth system models – an overview of techniques and approaches journal January 2017
An integrated assessment modeling framework for uncertainty studies in global and regional climate change: the MIT IGSM-CAM (version 1.0) journal January 2013
On linking an Earth system model to the equilibrium carbon representation of an economically optimizing land use model journal January 2014
The integrated Earth system model version 1: formulation and functionality journal January 2015
A simple object-oriented and open-source model for scientific and policy analyses of the global climate system – Hector v1.0 journal January 2015
On an improved sub-regional water resources management representation for integration into earth system models journal January 2013
Assessing Vulnerability to Climate Change in Dryland Livelihood Systems: Conceptual Challenges and Interdisciplinary Solutions journal January 2011