What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models
Abstract
The market diffusion of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) is a research topic which is often addressed, yet PEV market diffusion models differ in their approaches, the factors they include and results. Here, 40 market diffusion models for PEVs are compared in their scope, approach and findings to point out similarities or differences and make recommendations for future improvements in modeling in this field. Important input factors for the US are the purchase price and operating costs, while for Germany energy prices and the charging infrastructure are mentioned more often. Furthermore, larger sales shares of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles than battery electric vehicles are often found in the short term results (until 2030) while the picture is not so clear for the medium- to long-term. Future market penetration models should include specific PEV features like the limited range of battery electric vehicles or access to charging infrastructure, which are currently not covered by many models. Also, the integration of current policy regulations and, if possible, indirect policy incentives would enhance research in this field.
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Argonne National Lab. (ANL), Argonne, IL (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE); USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE), Vehicle Technologies Office (EE-3V)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1438934
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1474628; OSTI ID: 1477451
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-00OR22725; AC02-06CH11357
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews Journal Volume: 93 Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 1364-0321
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United Kingdom
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS; Plug-in electric vehicle market diffusion; diffusion model; literature review
Citation Formats
Gnann, Till, Stephens, Thomas S., Lin, Zhenhong, Plötz, Patrick, Liu, Changzheng, and Brokate, Jens. What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models. United Kingdom: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.055.
Gnann, Till, Stephens, Thomas S., Lin, Zhenhong, Plötz, Patrick, Liu, Changzheng, & Brokate, Jens. What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models. United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.055
Gnann, Till, Stephens, Thomas S., Lin, Zhenhong, Plötz, Patrick, Liu, Changzheng, and Brokate, Jens. Mon .
"What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models". United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.055.
@article{osti_1438934,
title = {What drives the market for plug-in electric vehicles? - A review of international PEV market diffusion models},
author = {Gnann, Till and Stephens, Thomas S. and Lin, Zhenhong and Plötz, Patrick and Liu, Changzheng and Brokate, Jens},
abstractNote = {The market diffusion of plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) is a research topic which is often addressed, yet PEV market diffusion models differ in their approaches, the factors they include and results. Here, 40 market diffusion models for PEVs are compared in their scope, approach and findings to point out similarities or differences and make recommendations for future improvements in modeling in this field. Important input factors for the US are the purchase price and operating costs, while for Germany energy prices and the charging infrastructure are mentioned more often. Furthermore, larger sales shares of plug-in hybrid electric vehicles than battery electric vehicles are often found in the short term results (until 2030) while the picture is not so clear for the medium- to long-term. Future market penetration models should include specific PEV features like the limited range of battery electric vehicles or access to charging infrastructure, which are currently not covered by many models. Also, the integration of current policy regulations and, if possible, indirect policy incentives would enhance research in this field.},
doi = {10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.055},
journal = {Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews},
number = C,
volume = 93,
place = {United Kingdom},
year = {Mon Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Mon Oct 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.rser.2018.03.055
Web of Science
Works referencing / citing this record:
Cost optimization and reliability assessment of a microgrid with large-scale plug-in electric vehicles participating in demand response programs
journal, January 2020
- Sabzehgar, R.; Kazemi, M. A.; Rasouli, M.
- International Journal of Green Energy, Vol. 17, Issue 2
Forecasting the future scale of vehicle to grid technology for electric vehicles and its economic value as future electric energy source: The case of South Korea
journal, January 2020
- Lim, Keumju; Kim, Justine Jihyun; Lee, Jongsu
- Energy & Environment, Vol. 31, Issue 8
System Planning of Grid-Connected Electric Vehicle Charging Stations and Key Technologies: A Review
journal, November 2019
- Ma, Chao-Tsung
- Energies, Vol. 12, Issue 21