Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures
Abstract
Our paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling, and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. WE conducted an analysis using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate.
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1437794
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1416965
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Energy Economics
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Energy Economics Journal Volume: 72 Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 0140-9883
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United Kingdom
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; climate change impacts; integrated assessment; buildings energy demand
Citation Formats
Clarke, Leon, Eom, Jiyong, Marten, Elke Hodson, Horowitz, Russell, Kyle, Page, Link, Robert, Mignone, Bryan K., Mundra, Anupriya, and Zhou, Yuyu. Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures. United Kingdom: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.
Clarke, Leon, Eom, Jiyong, Marten, Elke Hodson, Horowitz, Russell, Kyle, Page, Link, Robert, Mignone, Bryan K., Mundra, Anupriya, & Zhou, Yuyu. Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures. United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003
Clarke, Leon, Eom, Jiyong, Marten, Elke Hodson, Horowitz, Russell, Kyle, Page, Link, Robert, Mignone, Bryan K., Mundra, Anupriya, and Zhou, Yuyu. Tue .
"Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures". United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003.
@article{osti_1437794,
title = {Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures},
author = {Clarke, Leon and Eom, Jiyong and Marten, Elke Hodson and Horowitz, Russell and Kyle, Page and Link, Robert and Mignone, Bryan K. and Mundra, Anupriya and Zhou, Yuyu},
abstractNote = {Our paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling, and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. WE conducted an analysis using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate.},
doi = {10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003},
journal = {Energy Economics},
number = C,
volume = 72,
place = {United Kingdom},
year = {Tue May 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018},
month = {Tue May 01 00:00:00 EDT 2018}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003
Other availability
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Figure 1: The Structure of Energy Demand and Supply in the Buildings Energy Model used for all GCAM regions
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Works referencing / citing this record:
Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns
journal, March 2019
- Ralston Fonseca, Francisco; Jaramillo, Paulina; Bergés, Mario
- Climatic Change, Vol. 154, Issue 3-4
GCAM v5.1: representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems
journal, January 2019
- Calvin, Katherine; Patel, Pralit; Clarke, Leon
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 2
Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns
journal, March 2019
- Ralston Fonseca, Francisco; Jaramillo, Paulina; Bergés, Mario
- Climatic Change, Vol. 154, Issue 3-4
GCAM v5.1: representing the linkages between energy, water, land, climate, and economic systems
journal, January 2019
- Calvin, Katherine; Patel, Pralit; Clarke, Leon
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 2
Decomposing supply-side and demand-side impacts of climate change on the US electricity system through 2050
journal, January 2020
- Steinberg, Daniel C.; Mignone, Bryan K.; Macknick, Jordan
- Climatic Change, Vol. 158, Issue 2
Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
journal, January 2020
- Graham, Neal T.; Hejazi, Mohamad I.; Chen, Min
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, Issue 1
Figures / Tables found in this record:
Figures/Tables have been extracted from DOE-funded journal article accepted manuscripts.