Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost

Ou, Shiqi; Lin, Zhenhong; He, Xin; Przesmitzki, Steven

doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014

Title: Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost

Abstract

China has become the world's largest plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market. One major barrier to greater consumer acceptance of PEVs is the lack of home parking spaces for charging outlets. This paper developed a methodology to estimate the residential parking ratios (parking spaces vs household numbers) and project the residential community-weighted parking availabilities (home parking availabilities) in China, by area and by province, through data mining from several major real estate trading network platforms. The results show that the home parking availabilities from 2015 to 2050 vary by geographic areas and building life expectancy. A method was developed to quantify the shadow values of home parking impacting on PEV ownership costs and combined with Monte Carlo simulation to address estimation uncertainty. Depending on the PEV type and all-electric range, the value of home parking space to a PEV owner, measured by the reduced vehicle ownership cost, ranges from $2399 USD to 10,802 USD. Finally, the total incremental shadow value, relative to the 2015 situation, of the home parking availability for PEV owners increases over time due to both improvement in home parking availability and increase in the PEV population, and is estimated to reach over 2.51 billion USD by 2025more » (U.S. dollars in 2015 level).« less

Authors:

Ou, Shiqi ^[1]; Lin, Zhenhong ^[1]; He, Xin ^[2]; Przesmitzki, Steven ^[2]

Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). National Transportation Research Center
Aramco Research Center, Novi, MI (United States)

Publication Date:: Thu May 03 00:00:00 EDT 2018

Research Org.:: Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Aramco Research Center, Novi, MI (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE; Aramco Services Company (United States)

OSTI Identifier:: 1436921

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-00OR22725

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: Transport Policy

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 68; Journal ID: ISSN 0967-070X

Publisher:: Elsevier

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS; China's vehicle market; home parking availability; data mining; vehicle ownership cost; Monte Carlo simulation; electric vehicle charging

Citation Formats


                    Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, and Przesmitzki, Steven. Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost.  United States: N. p., 2018. 
Web.  doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014.

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                    Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, & Przesmitzki, Steven. Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014

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                    Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, and Przesmitzki, Steven. Thu .  
"Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1436921.

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@article{osti_1436921,

  title        = {Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost},

  author       = {Ou, Shiqi and Lin, Zhenhong and He, Xin and Przesmitzki, Steven},

  abstractNote = {China has become the world's largest plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market. One major barrier to greater consumer acceptance of PEVs is the lack of home parking spaces for charging outlets. This paper developed a methodology to estimate the residential parking ratios (parking spaces vs household numbers) and project the residential community-weighted parking availabilities (home parking availabilities) in China, by area and by province, through data mining from several major real estate trading network platforms. The results show that the home parking availabilities from 2015 to 2050 vary by geographic areas and building life expectancy. A method was developed to quantify the shadow values of home parking impacting on PEV ownership costs and combined with Monte Carlo simulation to address estimation uncertainty. Depending on the PEV type and all-electric range, the value of home parking space to a PEV owner, measured by the reduced vehicle ownership cost, ranges from $2399 USD to 10,802 USD. Finally, the total incremental shadow value, relative to the 2015 situation, of the home parking availability for PEV owners increases over time due to both improvement in home parking availability and increase in the PEV population, and is estimated to reach over 2.51 billion USD by 2025 (U.S. dollars in 2015 level).},

  doi          = {10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014},

  journal      = {Transport Policy},

  number       = ,

  volume       = 68,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Thu May 03 00:00:00 EDT 2018},

  month        = {Thu May 03 00:00:00 EDT 2018}

}

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Journal Article:

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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014

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Figures / Tables:

Table 1: Classification of the area type in China.

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Works referencing / citing this record:

Targeted optimal-path problem for electric vehicles with connected charging stations
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PLOS ONE, Vol. 14, Issue 8
DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0220361

Intensity and daily pattern of passenger vehicle use by region and class in China: estimation and implications for energy use and electrification
journal, October 2019

Ou, Shiqi; Yu, Rujie; Lin, Zhenhong
Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Vol. 25, Issue 3
DOI: 10.1007/s11027-019-09887-0

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Similar Records

Title: Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost

Abstract

Citation Formats

Figures / Tables:

Parking, People, and Cities journal, December 2005

Strategic policies and demonstration program of electric vehicle in China journal, January 2012

The trouble with minimum parking requirements journal, September 1999

Interacting with limited mobility resources: Psychological range levels in electric vehicle use journal, February 2013

Autos, transit and bicycles: Comparing the costs in large Chinese cities journal, January 2011

China’s soaring vehicle population: Even greater than forecasted? journal, June 2011

Battery Electric Vehicle Driving and Charging Behavior Observed Early in The EV Project journal, April 2012

Market-driven automotive industry compliance with fuel economy and greenhouse gas standards: Analysis based on consumer choice journal, September 2017

Energy consumption and CO2 emission impacts of vehicle electrification in three developed regions of China journal, September 2012

Modeling future vehicle sales and stock in China journal, April 2012

Electric vehicle parking in European and American context: Economic, energy and environmental analysis journal, June 2014

Optimizing and Diversifying Electric Vehicle Driving Range for U.S. Drivers journal, November 2014

Home parking convenience, household car usage, and implications to residential parking policies journal, September 2013

Minimum parking requirements and housing affordability in New York City journal, January 2011

Electric vehicle charging infrastructure assignment and power grid impacts assessment in Beijing journal, December 2012

Targeted optimal-path problem for electric vehicles with connected charging stations journal, August 2019

Intensity and daily pattern of passenger vehicle use by region and class in China: estimation and implications for energy use and electrification journal, October 2019

Parking, People, and Cities
journal, December 2005

Strategic policies and demonstration program of electric vehicle in China
journal, January 2012

The trouble with minimum parking requirements
journal, September 1999

Interacting with limited mobility resources: Psychological range levels in electric vehicle use
journal, February 2013

Autos, transit and bicycles: Comparing the costs in large Chinese cities
journal, January 2011

China’s soaring vehicle population: Even greater than forecasted?
journal, June 2011

Battery Electric Vehicle Driving and Charging Behavior Observed Early in The EV Project
journal, April 2012

Market-driven automotive industry compliance with fuel economy and greenhouse gas standards: Analysis based on consumer choice
journal, September 2017

Energy consumption and CO2 emission impacts of vehicle electrification in three developed regions of China
journal, September 2012

Modeling future vehicle sales and stock in China
journal, April 2012

Electric vehicle parking in European and American context: Economic, energy and environmental analysis
journal, June 2014

Optimizing and Diversifying Electric Vehicle Driving Range for U.S. Drivers
journal, November 2014

Home parking convenience, household car usage, and implications to residential parking policies
journal, September 2013

Minimum parking requirements and housing affordability in New York City
journal, January 2011

Electric vehicle charging infrastructure assignment and power grid impacts assessment in Beijing
journal, December 2012

Targeted optimal-path problem for electric vehicles with connected charging stations
journal, August 2019

Intensity and daily pattern of passenger vehicle use by region and class in China: estimation and implications for energy use and electrification
journal, October 2019