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Title: Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost

China has become the world's largest plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market. One major barrier to greater consumer acceptance of PEVs is the lack of home parking spaces for charging outlets. This paper developed a methodology to estimate the residential parking ratios (parking spaces vs household numbers) and project the residential community-weighted parking availabilities (home parking availabilities) in China, by area and by province, through data mining from several major real estate trading network platforms. The results show that the home parking availabilities from 2015 to 2050 vary by geographic areas and building life expectancy. A method was developed to quantify the shadow values of home parking impacting on PEV ownership costs and combined with Monte Carlo simulation to address estimation uncertainty. Depending on the PEV type and all-electric range, the value of home parking space to a PEV owner, measured by the reduced vehicle ownership cost, ranges from $2399 USD to 10,802 USD. Finally, the total incremental shadow value, relative to the 2015 situation, of the home parking availability for PEV owners increases over time due to both improvement in home parking availability and increase in the PEV population, and is estimated to reach over 2.51 billion USD by 2025more » (U.S. dollars in 2015 level).« less
Authors:
 [1] ;  [1] ;  [2] ;  [2]
  1. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). National Transportation Research Center
  2. Aramco Research Center, Novi, MI (United States)
Publication Date:
Grant/Contract Number:
AC05-00OR22725
Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Transport Policy
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 68; Journal ID: ISSN 0967-070X
Research Org:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Aramco Research Center, Novi, MI (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE; Aramco Services Company (United States)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS; China's vehicle market; home parking availability; data mining; vehicle ownership cost; Monte Carlo simulation; electric vehicle charging
OSTI Identifier:
1436921

Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, and Przesmitzki, Steven. Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost. United States: N. p., Web. doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014.
Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, & Przesmitzki, Steven. Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost. United States. doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014.
Ou, Shiqi, Lin, Zhenhong, He, Xin, and Przesmitzki, Steven. 2018. "Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost". United States. doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014.
@article{osti_1436921,
title = {Estimation of vehicle home parking availability in China and quantification of its potential impacts on plug-in electric vehicle ownership cost},
author = {Ou, Shiqi and Lin, Zhenhong and He, Xin and Przesmitzki, Steven},
abstractNote = {China has become the world's largest plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) market. One major barrier to greater consumer acceptance of PEVs is the lack of home parking spaces for charging outlets. This paper developed a methodology to estimate the residential parking ratios (parking spaces vs household numbers) and project the residential community-weighted parking availabilities (home parking availabilities) in China, by area and by province, through data mining from several major real estate trading network platforms. The results show that the home parking availabilities from 2015 to 2050 vary by geographic areas and building life expectancy. A method was developed to quantify the shadow values of home parking impacting on PEV ownership costs and combined with Monte Carlo simulation to address estimation uncertainty. Depending on the PEV type and all-electric range, the value of home parking space to a PEV owner, measured by the reduced vehicle ownership cost, ranges from $2399 USD to 10,802 USD. Finally, the total incremental shadow value, relative to the 2015 situation, of the home parking availability for PEV owners increases over time due to both improvement in home parking availability and increase in the PEV population, and is estimated to reach over 2.51 billion USD by 2025 (U.S. dollars in 2015 level).},
doi = {10.1016/j.tranpol.2018.04.014},
journal = {Transport Policy},
number = ,
volume = 68,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {5}
}