The influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on North Central China precipitation during boreal autumn
Abstract
ABSTRACT Decadal variations in autumn (September–October–November, SON) precipitation over North Central China since the 1940s are investigated using observations and reanalysis data. They are found to be significantly correlated negatively with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Further analyses indicate that the inter‐decadal changes in SON precipitation over North Central China result from anomaly patterns in the large‐scale atmospheric circulation in the mid‐latitude Northern Hemisphere associated with the PDO. Specifically, during the negative phase of the PDO (1945–1976 and 2003–2014), an anomalous low pressure and cyclonic circulation are seen west of Lake Baikal, while positive pressure anomalies are located over the East Asia‐Japan‐North Pacific region, which weakens the East Asian trough (EAT). The weakened EAT favours southerly winds over North Central China. The negative pressure anomalies around Mongolia and Lake Baikal induce large‐scale ascent motion to the west of the EAT, which also produces southerly advection of warm and moist air into North Central China, leading to increased precipitation there. These results reinforce the notion that PDO has a large impact on SON rainfall over North Central China on decadal timescales and highlight the need to further examine how the PDO induces the Eurasia atmospheric teleconnection pattern (e.g. East Atlantic/Western Russiamore »
- Authors:
-
[1];
- Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC‐FEMD) Nanjing University of Information Science &, Technology China, Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York NY USA
- Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC‐FEMD) Nanjing University of Information Science &, Technology China
- Department of Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences University at Albany, State University of New York NY USA
- Publication Date:
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1435488
- Grant/Contract Number:
- DE‐SC0012602
- Resource Type:
- Publisher's Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- International Journal of Climatology
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: International Journal of Climatology Journal Volume: 38 Journal Issue: S1; Journal ID: ISSN 0899-8418
- Publisher:
- Wiley Blackwell (John Wiley & Sons)
- Country of Publication:
- United Kingdom
- Language:
- English
Citation Formats
Qin, Minhua, Li, Dongliang, Dai, Aiguo, Hua, Wenjian, and Ma, Hedi. The influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on North Central China precipitation during boreal autumn. United Kingdom: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1002/joc.5410.
Qin, Minhua, Li, Dongliang, Dai, Aiguo, Hua, Wenjian, & Ma, Hedi. The influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on North Central China precipitation during boreal autumn. United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5410
Qin, Minhua, Li, Dongliang, Dai, Aiguo, Hua, Wenjian, and Ma, Hedi. Mon .
"The influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on North Central China precipitation during boreal autumn". United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5410.
@article{osti_1435488,
title = {The influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on North Central China precipitation during boreal autumn},
author = {Qin, Minhua and Li, Dongliang and Dai, Aiguo and Hua, Wenjian and Ma, Hedi},
abstractNote = {ABSTRACT Decadal variations in autumn (September–October–November, SON) precipitation over North Central China since the 1940s are investigated using observations and reanalysis data. They are found to be significantly correlated negatively with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Further analyses indicate that the inter‐decadal changes in SON precipitation over North Central China result from anomaly patterns in the large‐scale atmospheric circulation in the mid‐latitude Northern Hemisphere associated with the PDO. Specifically, during the negative phase of the PDO (1945–1976 and 2003–2014), an anomalous low pressure and cyclonic circulation are seen west of Lake Baikal, while positive pressure anomalies are located over the East Asia‐Japan‐North Pacific region, which weakens the East Asian trough (EAT). The weakened EAT favours southerly winds over North Central China. The negative pressure anomalies around Mongolia and Lake Baikal induce large‐scale ascent motion to the west of the EAT, which also produces southerly advection of warm and moist air into North Central China, leading to increased precipitation there. These results reinforce the notion that PDO has a large impact on SON rainfall over North Central China on decadal timescales and highlight the need to further examine how the PDO induces the Eurasia atmospheric teleconnection pattern (e.g. East Atlantic/Western Russia pattern).},
doi = {10.1002/joc.5410},
journal = {International Journal of Climatology},
number = S1,
volume = 38,
place = {United Kingdom},
year = {Mon Jan 08 00:00:00 EST 2018},
month = {Mon Jan 08 00:00:00 EST 2018}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5410
https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5410
Other availability
Search WorldCat to find libraries that may hold this journal
Cited by: 22 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science
Web of Science
Save to My Library
You must Sign In or Create an Account in order to save documents to your library.
Works referenced in this record:
Coordinated Abrupt Weakening of the Eurasian and North African Monsoons in the 1960s and Links to Extratropical North Atlantic Cooling
journal, May 2012
- Liu, Y.; Chiang, J. C. H.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 10
A 50-70 year climatic oscillation over the North Pacific and North America
journal, March 1997
- Minobe, Shoshiro
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 24, Issue 6
Pacific decadal oscillation and variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall
journal, September 2003
- Krishnan, R.; Sugi, M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 21, Issue 3-4
Anthropogenic agent implicated as a prime driver of shift in precipitation in eastern China in the late 1970s
journal, January 2013
- Wang, T.; Wang, H. J.; Otterå, O. H.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 13, Issue 24
An Interdecadal Change in Southern China Summer Rainfall around 1992/93
journal, May 2010
- Wu, Renguang; Wen, Zhiping; Yang, Song
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 9
The influence of the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation on Temperature and Precipitation over the Globe
journal, February 2015
- Dong, Bo; Dai, Aiguo
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 45, Issue 9-10
Lanczos Filtering in One and Two Dimensions
journal, August 1979
- Duchon, Claude E.
- Journal of Applied Meteorology, Vol. 18, Issue 8
The interdecadal trend and shift of dry/wet over the central part of North China and their relationship to the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
journal, August 2007
- Ma, ZhuGuo
- Chinese Science Bulletin, Vol. 52, Issue 15
Impacts of four northern-hemisphere teleconnection patterns on atmospheric circulations over Eurasia and the Pacific
journal, May 2016
- Gao, Tao; Yu, Jin-yi; Paek, Houk
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 129, Issue 3-4
Contribution of the phase transition of Pacific Decadal Oscillation to the late 1990s' shift in East China summer rainfall
journal, September 2015
- Zhu, Yali; Wang, Huijun; Ma, Jiehua
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 120, Issue 17
The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation and its relation to rainfall and river flows in the continental U.S.
journal, May 2001
- Enfield, David B.; Mestas-Nuñez, Alberto M.; Trimble, Paul J.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 28, Issue 10
Detecting and understanding the multi-decadal variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon Recent progress and state of affairs [Detecting and understanding the multi-decadal variability of the East Asian Summer Monsoon Recent progress and state of affairs]
journal, August 2009
- Zhou, Tianjun; Gong, Daoyi; Li, Jian
- Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol. 18, Issue 4
Decadal change in factors affecting winter precipitation over eastern China
journal, March 2015
- Ao, Juan; Sun, Jianqi
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 46, Issue 1-2
Is the interdecadal variation of the summer rainfall over eastern China associated with SST?
journal, March 2015
- Si, Dong; Hu, Zeng-Zhen; Kumar, Arun
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 46, Issue 1-2
Oceanic Forcings of the Interdecadal Variability in East Asian Summer Rainfall
journal, November 2016
- Si, Dong; Ding, Yihui
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 21
The Pacific Decadal Oscillation, Revisited
journal, June 2016
- Newman, Matthew; Alexander, Michael A.; Ault, Toby R.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 12
Interdecadal climate variability and regime-scale shifts in Pacific North America
journal, April 2001
- Gedalof, Ze‧ev; Smith, Dan J.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 28, Issue 8
Out-of-Phase Relationship between Boreal Spring and Summer Decadal Rainfall Changes in Southern China
journal, February 2014
- Zhu, Zhiwei; Li, Tim; He, Jinhai
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 3
Atmospheric GCM Response to Extratropical SST Anomalies: Synthesis and Evaluation*
journal, August 2002
- Kushnir, Y.; Robinson, W. A.; Bladé, I.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 16
Modelling interdecadal climate variability and the role of the ocean: Modelling interdecadal climate variability and the role of the ocean
journal, November 2016
- Farneti, Riccardo
- Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Vol. 8, Issue 1
Multidecadal Variability of North China Aridity and Its Relationship to PDO during 1900–2010
journal, February 2014
- Qian, Cheng; Zhou, Tianjun
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 3
Recent changes in the summer precipitation pattern in East China and the background circulation
journal, June 2010
- Zhu, Yali; Wang, Huijun; Zhou, Wen
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 36, Issue 7-8
Observed Influence of North Pacific SST Anomalies on the Atmospheric Circulation
journal, February 2007
- Frankignoul, Claude; Sennéchael, Nathalie
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 3
Inter-decadal variation of the summer precipitation in China and its association with decreasing Asian summer monsoon Part II: Possible causes
journal, November 2009
- Ding, Yihui; Sun, Ying; Wang, Zunya
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 29, Issue 13
Three Eurasian teleconnection patterns: spatial structures, temporal variability, and associated winter climate anomalies
journal, May 2014
- Liu, Yuyun; Wang, Lin; Zhou, Wen
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 42, Issue 11-12
Climate Effects of Black Carbon Aerosols in China and India
journal, September 2002
- Menon, S.
- Science, Vol. 297, Issue 5590
Modulation of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on the summer precipitation over East China: a comparison of observations to 600-years control run of Bergen Climate Model
journal, May 2014
- Yu, Lei; Furevik, Tore; Otterå, Odd Helge
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 44, Issue 1-2
ENSO-like Interdecadal Variability: 1900–93
journal, May 1997
- Zhang, Yuan; Wallace, John M.; Battisti, David S.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 5
Pacific Interdecadal Climate Variability: Linkages between the Tropics and the North Pacific during Boreal Winter since 1900
journal, August 2004
- Deser, Clara; Phillips, Adam S.; Hurrell, James W.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 17, Issue 16
Inter-decadal variations of springtime rainfall over southern China mainland for 1979–2004 and its relationship with Eurasian snow
journal, January 2012
- Zuo, ZhiYan; Zhang, RenHe; Wu, BingYi
- Science China Earth Sciences, Vol. 55, Issue 2
Interdecadal change of atmospheric stationary waves and North China drought
journal, March 2005
- Xin-Gang, Dai; Cong-Bin, Fu; Ping, Wang
- Chinese Physics, Vol. 14, Issue 4
Assessing climatic impacts of future land use and land cover change projected with the CanESM2 model: ASSESSING CLIMATIC IMPACTS OF FUTURE LAND USE AND LAND COVER CHANGE
journal, December 2014
- Hua, Wenjian; Chen, Haishan; Sun, Shanlei
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 35, Issue 12
A Pacific Interdecadal Climate Oscillation with Impacts on Salmon Production
journal, June 1997
- Mantua, Nathan J.; Hare, Steven R.; Zhang, Yuan
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 78, Issue 6
GPCC's new land surface precipitation climatology based on quality-controlled in situ data and its role in quantifying the global water cycle
journal, March 2013
- Schneider, Udo; Becker, Andreas; Finger, Peter
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 115, Issue 1-2
Trend and variability of China precipitation in spring and summer: linkage to sea-surface temperatures
journal, January 2004
- Yang, Fanglin; Lau, K. -M.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 24, Issue 13
Decadal Change of the Spring Snow Depth over the Tibetan Plateau: The Associated Circulation and Influence on the East Asian Summer Monsoon*
journal, July 2004
- Zhang, Yongsheng; Li, Tim; Wang, Bin
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 17, Issue 14
Interannual Variations of East Asian Trough Axis at 500 hPa and its Association with the East Asian Winter Monsoon Pathway
journal, February 2009
- Wang, Lin; Chen, Wen; Zhou, Wen
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 3
Responses of East Asian summer monsoon to historical SST and atmospheric forcing during 1950–2000
journal, November 2008
- Li, Hongmei; Dai, Aiguo; Zhou, Tianjun
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 34, Issue 4
Modulation of monthly precipitation patterns over East China by the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
journal, April 2016
- Yang, Qing; Ma, Zhuguo; Xu, Baoliang
- Climatic Change, Vol. 144, Issue 3
Megadroughts in the Indian Monsoon Region and Southwest North America and a Mechanism for Associated Multidecadal Pacific Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
journal, May 2006
- Meehl, Gerald A.; Hu, Aixue
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 9
The enhanced relationship between Southern China winter rainfall and warm pool ocean heat content: ENHANCED RELATION BETWEEN SOUTH CHINA WINTER RAINFALL AND HEAT CONTENT
journal, April 2016
- Ren, Qian; Zhu, Zhiwei; Hao, Liping
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 37, Issue 1
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
journal, January 2011
- Compo, G. P.; Whitaker, J. S.; Sardeshmukh, P. D.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 654
Classification, Seasonality and Persistence of Low-Frequency Atmospheric Circulation Patterns
journal, June 1987
- Barnston, Anthony G.; Livezey, Robert E.
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 115, Issue 6
Observational Quantification of Climatic and Human Influences on Vegetation Greening in China
journal, April 2017
- Hua, Wenjian; Chen, Haishan; Zhou, Liming
- Remote Sensing, Vol. 9, Issue 5
Dynamics of Interdecadal Climate Variability: A Historical Perspective
journal, March 2012
- Liu, Zhengyu
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 6
Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century
journal, January 2003
- Rayner, N. A.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 108, Issue D14
Simulated Response of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation to Climate Change
journal, August 2016
- Zhang, Liping; Delworth, Thomas L.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 16
On the association between spring Arctic sea ice concentration and Chinese summer rainfall
journal, January 2009
- Wu, Bingyi; Zhang, Renhe; Wang, Bin
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, Issue 9
ENSO-like decadal variability and South African rainfall
journal, January 2002
- Reason, C. J. C.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 29, Issue 13
Decadal Variation of Summer Precipitation over China and Associated Atmospheric Circulation after the Late 1990s
journal, May 2015
- Xu, ZhiQing; Fan, Ke; Wang, HuiJun
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 10
North Pacific Decadal Variability in the Community Climate System Model Version 2
journal, June 2007
- Kwon, Young-Oh; Deser, Clara
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 11
Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset: UPDATED HIGH-RESOLUTION GRIDS OF MONTHLY CLIMATIC OBSERVATIONS
journal, May 2013
- Harris, I.; Jones, P. D.; Osborn, T. J.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 34, Issue 3
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
journal, March 1996
- Kalnay, E.; Kanamitsu, M.; Kistler, R.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 77, Issue 3
Evaluation of Global Monsoon Precipitation Changes based on Five Reanalysis Datasets
journal, February 2014
- Lin, Renping; Zhou, Tianjun; Qian, Yun
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 3
The JRA-55 Reanalysis: General Specifications and Basic Characteristics
journal, January 2015
- Kobayashi, Shinya; Ota, Yukinari; Harada, Yayoi
- Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan. Ser. II, Vol. 93, Issue 1
The influence of the inter-decadal Pacific oscillation on US precipitation during 1923–2010
journal, July 2012
- Dai, Aiguo
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 41, Issue 3-4
Twentieth century tropical sea surface temperature trends revisited: TWENTIETH CENTURY TROPICAL SST TRENDS
journal, May 2010
- Deser, Clara; Phillips, Adam S.; Alexander, Michael A.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 37, Issue 10
Inter‐decadal variation of the summer precipitation in East China and its association with decreasing Asian summer monsoon. Part I: Observed evidences
journal, July 2008
- Ding, Yihui; Wang, Zunya; Sun, Ying
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 28, Issue 9
Inter-decadal modulation of the impact of ENSO on Australia
journal, May 1999
- Power, S.; Casey, T.; Folland, C.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 15, Issue 5
A Method to Estimate the Statistical Significance of a Correlation When the Data Are Serially Correlated
journal, September 1997
- Ebisuzaki, Wesley
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 10, Issue 9
Statistical Field Significance and its Determination by Monte Carlo Techniques
journal, January 1983
- Livezey, Robert E.; Chen, W. Y.
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 111, Issue 1
The Relationship between Precipitation and Temperature over the Contiguous United States
journal, June 1993
- Zhao, Weining; Khalil, M. A. K.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 6, Issue 6