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Title: Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations

Abstract

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertain parameters involved and the high computational cost of flow simulations. These difficulties are addressed in this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying them in the current study to large-eddy simulations of a jet in crossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system’s stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. In conclusion, these methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [2];  [2];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Livermore, CA (United States)
  2. Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Sandia National Lab. (SNL-CA), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA); USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
OSTI Identifier:
1431213
Report Number(s):
SAND-2018-1603J
Journal ID: ISSN 0001-1452; 661557
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC04-94AL85000; NA0003525
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
AIAA Journal
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 56; Journal Issue: 3; Journal ID: ISSN 0001-1452
Publisher:
AIAA
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS

Citation Formats

Huan, Xun, Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Geraci, Gianluca, Eldred, Michael S., Vane, Zachary P., Lacaze, Guilhem, Oefelein, Joseph C., and Najm, Habib N. Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations. United States: N. p., 2018. Web. doi:10.2514/1.J056278.
Huan, Xun, Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Geraci, Gianluca, Eldred, Michael S., Vane, Zachary P., Lacaze, Guilhem, Oefelein, Joseph C., & Najm, Habib N. Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations. United States. doi:10.2514/1.J056278.
Huan, Xun, Safta, Cosmin, Sargsyan, Khachik, Geraci, Gianluca, Eldred, Michael S., Vane, Zachary P., Lacaze, Guilhem, Oefelein, Joseph C., and Najm, Habib N. Fri . "Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations". United States. doi:10.2514/1.J056278. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1431213.
@article{osti_1431213,
title = {Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations},
author = {Huan, Xun and Safta, Cosmin and Sargsyan, Khachik and Geraci, Gianluca and Eldred, Michael S. and Vane, Zachary P. and Lacaze, Guilhem and Oefelein, Joseph C. and Najm, Habib N.},
abstractNote = {The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertain parameters involved and the high computational cost of flow simulations. These difficulties are addressed in this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying them in the current study to large-eddy simulations of a jet in crossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system’s stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. In conclusion, these methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.},
doi = {10.2514/1.J056278},
journal = {AIAA Journal},
number = 3,
volume = 56,
place = {United States},
year = {2018},
month = {2}
}

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Figure 1 Figure 1: HIFiRE Flight 2 payload [29] and HDCR [26] cut views.

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