North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations
Abstract
The atmospheric jet and blocking distributions, especially in the North Atlantic sector, have been challenging features for a climate model to realistically reproduce. This study examines climatological distributions of winter (December–February) daily jet latitude and blocking in the North Atlantic from the 40-member Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble (CESM1LE) simulations. This analysis aims at examining whether a broad range of internal climate variability encompassed by a large ensemble of simulations results in an improved representation of the jet latitude distributions and blocking days in CESM1LE. In the historical runs (1951–2005), the daily zonal wind at 850 hPa exhibits three distinct preferred latitudes for the eddy-driven jet position as seen in the reanalysis datasets, which represents a significant improvement from the previous version of the same model. However, the meridional separations between the three jet latitudes are much smaller than those in the reanalyses. In particular, the jet rarely migrates to the observed southernmost position around 37°N. This leads to the bias in blocking frequency that is too low over Greenland and too high over the Azores. These features are shown to be remarkably stable across the 40 ensemble members with negligible member-to-member spread. This result implies themore »
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, MA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1417411
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1483483
- Grant/Contract Number:
- SC0014433
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Climate Dynamics
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Climate Dynamics Journal Volume: 51 Journal Issue: 9-10; Journal ID: ISSN 0930-7575
- Publisher:
- Springer Science + Business Media
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Citation Formats
Kwon, Young-Oh, Camacho, Alicia, Martinez, Carlos, and Seo, Hyodae. North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations. United States: N. p., 2018.
Web. doi:10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6.
Kwon, Young-Oh, Camacho, Alicia, Martinez, Carlos, & Seo, Hyodae. North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations. United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6
Kwon, Young-Oh, Camacho, Alicia, Martinez, Carlos, and Seo, Hyodae. Thu .
"North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations". United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6.
@article{osti_1417411,
title = {North Atlantic winter eddy-driven jet and atmospheric blocking variability in the Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble simulations},
author = {Kwon, Young-Oh and Camacho, Alicia and Martinez, Carlos and Seo, Hyodae},
abstractNote = {The atmospheric jet and blocking distributions, especially in the North Atlantic sector, have been challenging features for a climate model to realistically reproduce. This study examines climatological distributions of winter (December–February) daily jet latitude and blocking in the North Atlantic from the 40-member Community Earth System Model version 1 Large Ensemble (CESM1LE) simulations. This analysis aims at examining whether a broad range of internal climate variability encompassed by a large ensemble of simulations results in an improved representation of the jet latitude distributions and blocking days in CESM1LE. In the historical runs (1951–2005), the daily zonal wind at 850 hPa exhibits three distinct preferred latitudes for the eddy-driven jet position as seen in the reanalysis datasets, which represents a significant improvement from the previous version of the same model. However, the meridional separations between the three jet latitudes are much smaller than those in the reanalyses. In particular, the jet rarely migrates to the observed southernmost position around 37°N. This leads to the bias in blocking frequency that is too low over Greenland and too high over the Azores. These features are shown to be remarkably stable across the 40 ensemble members with negligible member-to-member spread. This result implies the range of internal variability of winter jet latitude and blocking frequency within the 55-year segment from each ensemble member is comparable to that represented by the full large ensemble. Comparison with 2046–2100 from the RCP8.5 future projection runs suggests that the daily jet position is projected to maintain the same three preferred latitudes, with a slightly higher frequency of occurrence over the central latitude around 50°N, instead of shifting poleward in the future as documented in some previous studies. In addition, the daily jet speed is projected not to change significantly between 1951–2005 and 2046–2100. On the other hand, the climatological mean jet is projected to become slightly more elongated and stronger on its southern flank, and the blocking frequency over the Azores is projected to decrease.},
doi = {10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6},
journal = {Climate Dynamics},
number = 9-10,
volume = 51,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Jan 18 00:00:00 EST 2018},
month = {Thu Jan 18 00:00:00 EST 2018}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-018-4078-6
Other availability
Search WorldCat to find libraries that may hold this journal
Cited by: 18 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science
Web of Science
Save to My Library
You must Sign In or Create an Account in order to save documents to your library.
Works referenced in this record:
The RCP greenhouse gas concentrations and their extensions from 1765 to 2300
journal, August 2011
- Meinshausen, Malte; Smith, S. J.; Calvin, K.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 109, Issue 1-2
The Shape, Propagation and Mean-Flow Interaction of Large-Scale Weather Systems
journal, July 1983
- Hoskins, Brian J.; James, Ian N.; White, Glenn H.
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 40, Issue 7
A Climatology of Northern Hemisphere Blocking
journal, March 2006
- Barriopedro, David; García-Herrera, Ricardo; Lupo, Anthony R.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 6
The CCSM4 Ocean Component
journal, March 2012
- Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Bates, Susan C.; Briegleb, Bruce P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 5
The Community Climate System Model Version 4
journal, October 2011
- Gent, Peter R.; Danabasoglu, Gokhan; Donner, Leo J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 24, Issue 19
Evaluation of Northern Hemisphere Blocking Climatology in the Global Environment Multiscale Model
journal, February 2013
- Dunn-Sigouin, Etienne; Son, Seok-Woo; Lin, Hai
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 141, Issue 2
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design
journal, April 2012
- Taylor, Karl E.; Stouffer, Ronald J.; Meehl, Gerald A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 4
Changes in storm track and cyclone activity in three SRES ensemble experiments with the ECHAM5/MPI-OM1 GCM
journal, February 2007
- Pinto, J. G.; Ulbrich, U.; Leckebusch, G. C.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 29, Issue 2-3
On the operational predictability of blocking
journal, January 1990
- Tibaldi, Stefano; Molteni, Franco
- Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol. 42, Issue 3
Improved Atlantic winter blocking in a climate model: ATLANTIC BLOCKING
journal, December 2011
- Scaife, Adam A.; Copsey, Dan; Gordon, Chris
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 38, Issue 23
On the misinterpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP5 models
journal, October 2013
- Davini, Paolo; Cagnazzo, Chiara
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 43, Issue 5-6
Improved Sea Ice Shortwave Radiation Physics in CCSM4: The Impact of Melt Ponds and Aerosols on Arctic Sea Ice
journal, March 2012
- Holland, Marika M.; Bailey, David A.; Briegleb, Bruce P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 5
THE WCRP CMIP3 Multimodel Dataset: A New Era in Climate Change Research
journal, September 2007
- Meehl, Gerald A.; Covey, Curt; Delworth, Thomas
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 88, Issue 9
A New Rossby Wave–Breaking Interpretation of the North Atlantic Oscillation
journal, February 2008
- Woollings, Tim; Hoskins, Brian; Blackburn, Mike
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 65, Issue 2
Application of blocking diagnosis methods to General Circulation Models. Part I: a novel detection scheme
journal, March 2010
- Barriopedro, D.; García-Herrera, R.; Trigo, R. M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 35, Issue 7-8
Integrating Cloud Processes in the Community Atmosphere Model, Version 5
journal, September 2014
- Park, Sungsu; Bretherton, Christopher S.; Rasch, Philip J.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 18
A consistent poleward shift of the storm tracks in simulations of 21st century climate: POLEWARD SHIFT OF THE STORM TRACKS
journal, September 2005
- Yin, Jeffrey H.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, Issue 18
Breaking planetary waves in the stratosphere
journal, October 1983
- McIntyre, M. E.; Palmer, T. N.
- Nature, Vol. 305, Issue 5935
The Resolution Sensitivity of Northern Hemisphere Blocking in Four 25-km Atmospheric Global Circulation Models
journal, January 2017
- Schiemann, Reinhard; Demory, Marie-Estelle; Shaffrey, Len C.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 30, Issue 1
Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application
journal, January 2010
- Lamarque, J. -F.; Bond, T. C.; Eyring, V.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 10, Issue 15
The Community Earth System Model (CESM) Large Ensemble Project: A Community Resource for Studying Climate Change in the Presence of Internal Climate Variability
journal, August 2015
- Kay, J. E.; Deser, C.; Phillips, A.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 96, Issue 8
The Mean Climate of the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM4) in Forced SST and Fully Coupled Experiments
journal, July 2013
- Neale, Richard B.; Richter, Jadwiga; Park, Sungsu
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 14
Variability of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream
journal, April 2010
- Woollings, Tim; Hannachi, Abdel; Hoskins, Brian
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 136, Issue 649
Northern Hemisphere blocking frequency and duration in the CMIP5 models: CMIP5 BLOCKING
journal, February 2013
- Dunn-Sigouin, Etienne; Son, Seok-Woo
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 3
Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Blocking Representation in Global Climate Models: Twenty Years of Improvements?
journal, December 2016
- Davini, Paolo; D’Andrea, Fabio
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 29, Issue 24
A New Perspective on Blocking
journal, March 2003
- Pelly, J. L.; Hoskins, B. J.
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 60, Issue 5
Climate model biases in jet streams, blocking and storm tracks resulting from missing orographic drag: MISSING DRAG CAUSES MODEL BIASES
journal, July 2016
- Pithan, Felix; Shepherd, Theodore G.; Zappa, Giuseppe
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 43, Issue 13
Atmospheric blocking in a high resolution climate model: influences of mean state, orography and eddy forcing: Atmospheric blocking in a high resolution climate model
journal, January 2013
- Berckmans, Julie; Woollings, Tim; Demory, Marie-Estelle
- Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 1
Scandinavian pattern and its climatic impact
journal, October 2007
- Bueh, Cholaw; Nakamura, Hisashi
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 133, Issue 629
Effects of stratospheric variability on El Niño teleconnections
journal, December 2015
- Richter, J. H.; Deser, C.; Sun, L.
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 10, Issue 12
Investigating the Local Atmospheric Response to a Realistic Shift in the Oyashio Sea Surface Temperature Front
journal, February 2015
- Smirnov, Dimitry; Newman, Matthew; Alexander, Michael A.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 28, Issue 3
Two-dimensional indices of atmospheric blocking and their statistical relationship with winter climate patterns in the Euro-Atlantic region
journal, January 2006
- Scherrer, Simon C.; Croci-Maspoli, Mischa; Schwierz, Cornelia
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 26, Issue 2
Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean–atmosphere coupling
journal, April 2012
- Woollings, T.; Gregory, J. M.; Pinto, J. G.
- Nature Geoscience, Vol. 5, Issue 5
A methodology for the comparison of blocking climatologies across indices, models and climate scenarios
journal, November 2011
- Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Slingo, Julia; Woollings, Tim
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 38, Issue 11-12
Characteristics of northern hemisphere blocking as determined from a long time series of observational data
journal, January 1983
- LejenÄs, Harald; Økland, Hans
- Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol. 35, Issue 5
Northern Hemisphere atmospheric blocking as simulated by 15 atmospheric general circulation models in the period 1979-1988
journal, May 1998
- D'Andrea, F.; Tibaldi, S.; Blackburn, M.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 14, Issue 6
Coupling between Greenland blocking and the North Atlantic Oscillation pattern: COUPLING BETWEEN GB AND NAO PATTERN
journal, July 2012
- Davini, P.; Cagnazzo, C.; Neale, R.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 14
North Atlantic wintertime intraseasonal variability and its sensitivity to GCM horizontal resolution
journal, January 1998
- Doblas-Reyes, Francisco J.; Déqué, Michel; Valero, Francisco
- Tellus A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol. 50, Issue 5
High-Resolution Global Climate Simulations with the ECMWF Model in Project Athena: Experimental Design, Model Climate, and Seasonal Forecast Skill
journal, May 2012
- Jung, T.; Miller, M. J.; Palmer, T. N.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 9
Multi-model analysis of Northern Hemisphere winter blocking: Model biases and the role of resolution: MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS OF BLOCKING
journal, May 2013
- Anstey, James A.; Davini, Paolo; Gray, Lesley J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 10
Feasibility of a 100-Year Reanalysis Using Only Surface Pressure Data
journal, February 2006
- Compo, Gilbert P.; Whitaker, Jeffrey S.; Sardeshmukh, Prashant D.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 87, Issue 2
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
journal, January 2011
- Compo, G. P.; Whitaker, J. S.; Sardeshmukh, P. D.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 654
Rossby Wave Scales, Propagation, and the Variability of Eddy-Driven Jets
journal, December 2011
- Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Hartmann, Dennis L.
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 68, Issue 12
Classification, Seasonality and Persistence of Low-Frequency Atmospheric Circulation Patterns
journal, June 1987
- Barnston, Anthony G.; Livezey, Robert E.
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 115, Issue 6
Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation
journal, August 1995
- Hurrell, J. W.
- Science, Vol. 269, Issue 5224
The Link between Rossby Wave Breakings and Weather Regime Transitions
journal, August 2011
- Michel, Clio; Rivière, Gwendal
- Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, Vol. 68, Issue 8
The CCSM4 Land Simulation, 1850–2005: Assessment of Surface Climate and New Capabilities
journal, April 2012
- Lawrence, David M.; Oleson, Keith W.; Flanner, Mark G.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 25, Issue 7
The East Atlantic/West Russia (EA/WR) teleconnection in the North Atlantic: climate impact and relation to Rossby wave propagation
journal, October 2014
- Lim, Young-Kwon
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 44, Issue 11-12
“Modes of Variability” and Climate Change
journal, May 2009
- Branstator, Grant; Selten, Frank
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 10
Future change in wintertime atmospheric blocking simulated using a 20-km-mesh atmospheric global circulation model
journal, January 2009
- Matsueda, Mio; Mizuta, Ryo; Kusunoki, Shoji
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 114, Issue D12
Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming
journal, January 2007
- Lu, Jian; Vecchi, Gabriel A.; Reichler, Thomas
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, Issue 6
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
journal, March 1996
- Kalnay, E.; Kanamitsu, M.; Kistler, R.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 77, Issue 3
Winter and Summer Northern Hemisphere Blocking in CMIP5 Models
journal, September 2013
- Masato, Giacomo; Hoskins, Brian J.; Woollings, Tim
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 18
Changing Northern Hemisphere Storm Tracks in an Ensemble of IPCC Climate Change Simulations
journal, April 2008
- Ulbrich, U.; Pinto, J. G.; Kupfer, H.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 21, Issue 8
Influence of eddy-driven jet latitude on North Atlantic jet persistence and blocking frequency in CMIP3 integrations: ATLANTIC JET VARIABILITY IN GCMS
journal, December 2010
- Barnes, Elizabeth A.; Hartmann, Dennis L.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 37, Issue 23
Daily to Decadal Modulation of Jet Variability
journal, February 2018
- Woollings, Tim; Barnes, Elizabeth; Hoskins, Brian
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 31, Issue 4
Atmospheric Blocking and Mean Biases in Climate Models
journal, December 2010
- Scaife, Adam A.; Woollings, Tim; Knight, Jeff
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 23
Historical (1850–2000) gridded anthropogenic and biomass burning emissions of reactive gases and aerosols: methodology and application
journal, January 2010
- Lamarque, J. -F.; Bond, T. C.; Eyring, V.
- Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions, Vol. 10, Issue 2
Works referencing / citing this record:
The Max Planck Institute Grand Ensemble: Enabling the Exploration of Climate System Variability
journal, July 2019
- Maher, Nicola; Milinski, Sebastian; Suarez‐Gutierrez, Laura
- Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 11, Issue 7