Cascading Failures as Continuous Phase-Space Transitions
Abstract
In network systems, a local perturbation can amplify as it propagates, potentially leading to a large-scale cascading failure. We derive a continuous model to advance our understanding of cascading failures in power-grid networks. The model accounts for both the failure of transmission lines and the desynchronization of power generators and incorporates the transient dynamics between successive steps of the cascade. In this framework, we show that a cascade event is a phase-space transition from an equilibrium state with high energy to an equilibrium state with lower energy, which can be suitably described in a closed form using a global Hamiltonian-like function. From this function, we show that a perturbed system cannot always reach the equilibrium state predicted by quasi-steady-state cascade models, which would correspond to a reduced number of failures, and may instead undergo a larger cascade. We also show that, in the presence of two or more perturbations, the outcome depends strongly on the order and timing of the individual perturbations. These results offer new insights into the current understanding of cascading dynamics, with potential implications for control interventions.
- Authors:
-
- Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States). Dept. of Physics and Astronomy
- Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States). Dept. of Physics and Astronomy, Northwestern Inst. on Complex Systems
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Northwestern Univ., Evanston, IL (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Advanced Research Projects Agency - Energy (ARPA-E)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1414576
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1413368
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AR0000702
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Physical Review Letters
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 119; Journal Issue: 24; Journal ID: ISSN 0031-9007
- Publisher:
- American Physical Society (APS)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS
Citation Formats
Yang, Yang, and Motter, Adilson E. Cascading Failures as Continuous Phase-Space Transitions. United States: N. p., 2017.
Web. doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.119.248302.
Yang, Yang, & Motter, Adilson E. Cascading Failures as Continuous Phase-Space Transitions. United States. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.119.248302
Yang, Yang, and Motter, Adilson E. Thu .
"Cascading Failures as Continuous Phase-Space Transitions". United States. https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.119.248302. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1414576.
@article{osti_1414576,
title = {Cascading Failures as Continuous Phase-Space Transitions},
author = {Yang, Yang and Motter, Adilson E.},
abstractNote = {In network systems, a local perturbation can amplify as it propagates, potentially leading to a large-scale cascading failure. We derive a continuous model to advance our understanding of cascading failures in power-grid networks. The model accounts for both the failure of transmission lines and the desynchronization of power generators and incorporates the transient dynamics between successive steps of the cascade. In this framework, we show that a cascade event is a phase-space transition from an equilibrium state with high energy to an equilibrium state with lower energy, which can be suitably described in a closed form using a global Hamiltonian-like function. From this function, we show that a perturbed system cannot always reach the equilibrium state predicted by quasi-steady-state cascade models, which would correspond to a reduced number of failures, and may instead undergo a larger cascade. We also show that, in the presence of two or more perturbations, the outcome depends strongly on the order and timing of the individual perturbations. These results offer new insights into the current understanding of cascading dynamics, with potential implications for control interventions.},
doi = {10.1103/PhysRevLett.119.248302},
journal = {Physical Review Letters},
number = 24,
volume = 119,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Dec 14 00:00:00 EST 2017},
month = {Thu Dec 14 00:00:00 EST 2017}
}
Web of Science
Works referenced in this record:
Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks
journal, April 2010
- Buldyrev, Sergey V.; Parshani, Roni; Paul, Gerald
- Nature, Vol. 464, Issue 7291
Coherent Swing Instability of Power Grids
journal, February 2011
- Susuki, Yoshihiko; Mezić, Igor; Hikihara, Takashi
- Journal of Nonlinear Science, Vol. 21, Issue 3
The unfolding and control of network cascades
journal, January 2017
- Motter, Adilson E.; Yang, Yang
- Physics Today, Vol. 70, Issue 1
Cascade Control and Defense in Complex Networks
journal, August 2004
- Motter, Adilson E.
- Physical Review Letters, Vol. 93, Issue 9
Cascade-based attacks on complex networks
journal, December 2002
- Motter, Adilson E.; Lai, Ying-Cheng
- Physical Review E, Vol. 66, Issue 6
Cascading extinctions and community collapse in model food webs
journal, June 2009
- Dunne, Jennifer A.; Williams, Richard J.
- Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences, Vol. 364, Issue 1524
Synchronization in complex oscillator networks and smart grids
journal, January 2013
- Dorfler, F.; Chertkov, M.; Bullo, F.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 110, Issue 6
Critical Links and Nonlocal Rerouting in Complex Supply Networks
journal, March 2016
- Witthaut, Dirk; Rohden, Martin; Zhang, Xiaozhu
- Physical Review Letters, Vol. 116, Issue 13
How dead ends undermine power grid stability
journal, June 2014
- Menck, Peter J.; Heitzig, Jobst; Kurths, Jürgen
- Nature Communications, Vol. 5, Issue 1
A Structure Preserving Model for Power System Stability Analysis
journal, January 1981
- Bergen, A. R.; Hill, D. J.
- IEEE Transactions on Power Apparatus and Systems, Vol. PAS-100, Issue 1
Self-Organized Synchronization in Decentralized Power Grids
journal, August 2012
- Rohden, Martin; Sorge, Andreas; Timme, Marc
- Physical Review Letters, Vol. 109, Issue 6
Sandpile on Scale-Free Networks
journal, October 2003
- Goh, K. -I.; Lee, D. -S.; Kahng, B.
- Physical Review Letters, Vol. 91, Issue 14
Financial Networks and Contagion
journal, October 2014
- Elliott, Matthew; Golub, Benjamin; Jackson, Matthew O.
- American Economic Review, Vol. 104, Issue 10
Transient Dynamics Increasing Network Vulnerability to Cascading Failures
journal, May 2008
- Simonsen, Ingve; Buzna, Lubos; Peters, Karsten
- Physical Review Letters, Vol. 100, Issue 21
Coupled catastrophes: sudden shifts cascade and hop among interdependent systems
journal, November 2015
- Brummitt, Charles D.; Barnett, George; D'Souza, Raissa M.
- Journal of The Royal Society Interface, Vol. 12, Issue 112
Realistic control of network dynamics
journal, June 2013
- Cornelius, Sean P.; Kath, William L.; Motter, Adilson E.
- Nature Communications, Vol. 4, Issue 1
Contagion in financial networks
journal, March 2010
- Gai, Prasanna; Kapadia, Sujit
- Proceedings of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, Vol. 466, Issue 2120
Spontaneous synchrony in power-grid networks
journal, February 2013
- Motter, Adilson E.; Myers, Seth A.; Anghel, Marian
- Nature Physics, Vol. 9, Issue 3
Model for cascading failures in complex networks
journal, April 2004
- Crucitti, Paolo; Latora, Vito; Marchiori, Massimo
- Physical Review E, Vol. 69, Issue 4
An Open Source Power System Analysis Toolbox
journal, August 2005
- Milano, F.
- IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 20, Issue 3
MATPOWER: Steady-State Operations, Planning, and Analysis Tools for Power Systems Research and Education
journal, February 2011
- Zimmerman, Ray Daniel; Murillo-Sanchez, Carlos Edmundo; Thomas, Robert John
- IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, Vol. 26, Issue 1
Rescuing ecosystems from extinction cascades through compensatory perturbations
journal, January 2011
- Sahasrabudhe, Sagar; Motter, Adilson E.
- Nature Communications, Vol. 2, Issue 1
A simple model of global cascades on random networks
journal, April 2002
- Watts, D. J.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 99, Issue 9
Complex systems analysis of series of blackouts: Cascading failure, critical points, and self-organization
journal, June 2007
- Dobson, Ian; Carreras, Benjamin A.; Lynch, Vickie E.
- Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Vol. 17, Issue 2, Article No. 026103
Limits of Predictability of Cascading Overload Failures in Spatially-Embedded Networks with Distributed Flows
journal, September 2017
- Moussawi, A.; Derzsy, N.; Lin, X.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 7, Issue 1
Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks
journal, February 2012
- Brummitt, C. D.; D'Souza, R. M.; Leicht, E. A.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 109, Issue 12
Comparative analysis of existing models for power-grid synchronization
journal, January 2015
- Nishikawa, Takashi; Motter, Adilson E.
- New Journal of Physics, Vol. 17, Issue 1
Financial Networks and Contagion
journal, January 2012
- Elliott, Matthew; Golub, Benjamin; Jackson, Matthew O.
- SSRN Electronic Journal
An open source power system analysis toolbox
conference, January 2006
- Milano, F.
- 2006 IEEE Power Engineering Society General Meeting
Contagion in Financial Networks
journal, January 2007
- Gai, Prasanna; Kapadia, Sujit
- SSRN Electronic Journal
Contagion in Financial Networks
journal, September 2016
- Glasserman, Paul; Young, H. Peyton
- Journal of Economic Literature, Vol. 54, Issue 3
Catastrophic cascade of failures in interdependent networks
text, January 2009
- Buldyrev, Sergey V.; Parshani, Roni; Paul, Gerald
- arXiv
Suppressing cascades of load in interdependent networks
text, January 2011
- Brummitt, Charles D.; D'Souza, Raissa M.; Leicht, E. A.
- arXiv
Synchronization in Complex Oscillator Networks and Smart Grids
text, January 2012
- Dörfler, Florian; Chertkov, Michael; Bullo, Francesco
- arXiv
Spontaneous synchrony in power-grid networks
text, January 2013
- Motter, Adilson E.; Myers, Seth A.; Anghel, Marian
- arXiv
Realistic Control of Network Dynamics
text, January 2013
- Cornelius, Sean P.; Kath, William L.; Motter, Adilson E.
- arXiv
The Unfolding and Control of Network Cascades
text, January 2017
- Motter, Adilson E.; Yang, Yang
- arXiv
Cascade-based attacks on complex networks
text, January 2003
- Motter, Adilson E.; Lai, Ying-Cheng
- arXiv
A model for cascading failures in complex networks
text, January 2003
- Crucitti, Paolo; Latora, Vito; Marchiori, Massimo
- arXiv
Works referencing / citing this record:
Vulnerability analysis of interdependent network via integer programming approaches
journal, November 2019
- Hou, Shanshan; Garrido, Andres; Fan, Neng
- Optimization Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 7
Dynamically induced cascading failures in power grids
journal, May 2018
- Schäfer, Benjamin; Witthaut, Dirk; Timme, Marc
- Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Effects of dynamical and structural modifications on synchronization
journal, August 2019
- Chen, Lijia; Ji, Peng; Waxman, David
- Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Vol. 29, Issue 8
Dynamical modeling of cascading failures in the Turkish power grid
journal, September 2019
- Schäfer, Benjamin; Yalcin, G. Cigdem
- Chaos: An Interdisciplinary Journal of Nonlinear Science, Vol. 29, Issue 9
General methodology for inferring failure-spreading dynamics in networks
journal, August 2018
- Guan, Xiangyang; Chen, Cynthia
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 115, Issue 35
Dynamic behavior analysis of an internet flow interaction model under cascading failures
journal, August 2019
- Wu, Xiaoyu; Gu, Rentao; Ji, Yuefeng
- Physical Review E, Vol. 100, Issue 2