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Title: Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization

Abstract

By coordinating the design and distribution of global climate model simulations of the past, current, and future climate, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) has become one of the foundational elements of climate science. However, the need to address an ever-expanding range of scientific questions arising from more and more research communities has made it necessary to revise the organization of CMIP. After a long and wide community consultation, a new and more federated structure has been put in place. It consists of three major elements: (1) a handful of common experiments, the DECK (Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of Klima) and CMIP historical simulations (1850–near present) that will maintain continuity and help document basic characteristics of models across different phases of CMIP; (2) common standards, coordination, infrastructure, and documentation that will facilitate the distribution of model outputs and the characterization of the model ensemble; and (3) an ensemble of CMIP-Endorsed Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs) that will be specific to a particular phase of CMIP (now CMIP6) and that will build on the DECK and CMIP historical simulations to address a large range of specific questions and fill the scientific gaps of the previous CMIP phases. The DECK and CMIP historical simulations, together withmore » the use of CMIP data standards, will be the entry cards for models participating in CMIP. Participation in CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs by individual modelling groups will be at their own discretion and will depend on their scientific interests and priorities. With the Grand Science Challenges of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) as its scientific backdrop, CMIP6 will address three broad questions: – How does the Earth system respond to forcing? – What are the origins and consequences of systematic model biases? – How can we assess future climate changes given internal climate variability, predictability, and uncertainties in scenarios? This CMIP6 overview paper presents the background and rationale for the new structure of CMIP, provides a detailed description of the DECK and CMIP6 historical simulations, and includes a brief introduction to the 21 CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7]
  1. Institut fur Physik der Atmosphare, Oberpfaffenhofen (Germany). Deutsches Zentrum fur Luft- und Raumfahrt (DLR)
  2. Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (LMD/IPSL), CNRS, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris (France). Laboratoire de Meteorologie Dynamique
  3. National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO (United States)
  4. Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter (United Kingdom)
  5. Max-Planck-Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg (Germany)
  6. Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory/NOAA, Princeton, NJ (United States)
  7. Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States). Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
OSTI Identifier:
1408987
Report Number(s):
LLNL-JRNL-736881
Journal ID: ISSN 1991-9603
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC52-07NA27344; FC02-97ER62402
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Geoscientific Model Development (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Geoscientific Model Development (Online); Journal Volume: 9; Journal Issue: 5; Journal ID: ISSN 1991-9603
Publisher:
European Geosciences Union
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 58 GEOSCIENCES

Citation Formats

Eyring, Veronika, Bony, Sandrine, Meehl, Gerald A., Senior, Catherine A., Stevens, Bjorn, Stouffer, Ronald J., and Taylor, Karl E. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016.
Eyring, Veronika, Bony, Sandrine, Meehl, Gerald A., Senior, Catherine A., Stevens, Bjorn, Stouffer, Ronald J., & Taylor, Karl E. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016
Eyring, Veronika, Bony, Sandrine, Meehl, Gerald A., Senior, Catherine A., Stevens, Bjorn, Stouffer, Ronald J., and Taylor, Karl E. Thu . "Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization". United States. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1408987.
@article{osti_1408987,
title = {Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization},
author = {Eyring, Veronika and Bony, Sandrine and Meehl, Gerald A. and Senior, Catherine A. and Stevens, Bjorn and Stouffer, Ronald J. and Taylor, Karl E.},
abstractNote = {By coordinating the design and distribution of global climate model simulations of the past, current, and future climate, the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) has become one of the foundational elements of climate science. However, the need to address an ever-expanding range of scientific questions arising from more and more research communities has made it necessary to revise the organization of CMIP. After a long and wide community consultation, a new and more federated structure has been put in place. It consists of three major elements: (1) a handful of common experiments, the DECK (Diagnostic, Evaluation and Characterization of Klima) and CMIP historical simulations (1850–near present) that will maintain continuity and help document basic characteristics of models across different phases of CMIP; (2) common standards, coordination, infrastructure, and documentation that will facilitate the distribution of model outputs and the characterization of the model ensemble; and (3) an ensemble of CMIP-Endorsed Model Intercomparison Projects (MIPs) that will be specific to a particular phase of CMIP (now CMIP6) and that will build on the DECK and CMIP historical simulations to address a large range of specific questions and fill the scientific gaps of the previous CMIP phases. The DECK and CMIP historical simulations, together with the use of CMIP data standards, will be the entry cards for models participating in CMIP. Participation in CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs by individual modelling groups will be at their own discretion and will depend on their scientific interests and priorities. With the Grand Science Challenges of the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) as its scientific backdrop, CMIP6 will address three broad questions: – How does the Earth system respond to forcing? – What are the origins and consequences of systematic model biases? – How can we assess future climate changes given internal climate variability, predictability, and uncertainties in scenarios? This CMIP6 overview paper presents the background and rationale for the new structure of CMIP, provides a detailed description of the DECK and CMIP6 historical simulations, and includes a brief introduction to the 21 CMIP6-Endorsed MIPs.},
doi = {10.5194/gmd-9-1937-2016},
journal = {Geoscientific Model Development (Online)},
number = 5,
volume = 9,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu May 26 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Thu May 26 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}

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Figures / Tables:

Table 1 Table 1: Main criteria for MIP endorsement as agreed with representatives from the modelling groups and MIPs at the WGCM 18th Session in Grainau, Germany in October 2014.

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Using a virtual machine environment for developing, testing, and training for the UM-UKCA composition-climate model, using Unified Model version 10.9 and above
journal, January 2018

  • Abraham, Nathan Luke; Archibald, Alexander T.; Cresswell, Paul
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-3647-2018

ESM-SnowMIP: assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks
journal, January 2018

  • Krinner, Gerhard; Derksen, Chris; Essery, Richard
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-5027-2018

The Polar Amplification Model Intercomparison Project (PAMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigating the causes and consequences of polar amplification
journal, January 2019

  • Smith, Doug M.; Screen, James A.; Deser, Clara
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1139-2019

The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) contribution to C4MIP: quantifying committed climate changes following zero carbon emissions
journal, January 2019

  • Jones, Chris D.; Frölicher, Thomas L.; Koven, Charles
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4375-2019

The Canadian Earth System Model version 5 (CanESM5.0.3)
journal, January 2019

  • Swart, Neil C.; Cole, Jason N. S.; Kharin, Viatcheslav V.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4823-2019

Limitations of the 1 % experiment as the benchmark idealized experiment for carbon cycle intercomparison in C 4 MIP
journal, January 2019


First forcing estimates from the future CMIP6 scenarios of anthropogenic aerosol optical properties and an associated Twomey effect
journal, January 2019

  • Fiedler, Stephanie; Stevens, Bjorn; Gidden, Matthew
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-989-2019

Machine dependence and reproducibility for coupled climate simulations: the HadGEM3-GC3.1 CMIP Preindustrial simulation
journal, January 2020

  • Guarino, Maria-Vittoria; Sime, Louise C.; Schroeder, David
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-139-2020

The CMIP6 Data Request (DREQ, version 01.00.31)
journal, January 2020

  • Juckes, Martin; Taylor, Karl E.; Durack, Paul J.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-201-2020

Community Intercomparison Suite (CIS) v1.4.0: a tool for intercomparing models and observations
journal, January 2016

  • Watson-Parris, Duncan; Schutgens, Nick; Cook, Nicholas
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3093-2016

The Decadal Climate Prediction Project (DCPP) contribution to CMIP6
journal, January 2016

  • Boer, George J.; Smith, Douglas M.; Cassou, Christophe
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3751-2016

High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP v1.0) for CMIP6
journal, January 2016

  • Haarsma, Reindert J.; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Vidale, Pier Luigi
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-4185-2016

ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth System Models in CMIP
journal, January 2015

  • Eyring, V.; Righi, M.; Evaldsson, M.
  • Geoscientific Model Development Discussions, Vol. 8, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmdd-8-7541-2015

Climate change vs. socio-economic development: understanding the future South Asian water gap
journal, January 2018

  • Wijngaard, René Reijer; Biemans, Hester; Lutz, Arthur Friedrich
  • Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 22, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.5194/hess-22-6297-2018

Basin-scale heterogeneity in Antarctic precipitation and its impact on surface mass variability
journal, January 2017


Design and results of the ice sheet model initialisation experiments initMIP-Greenland: an ISMIP6 intercomparison
journal, January 2018


Regional grid refinement in an Earth system model: impacts on the simulated Greenland surface mass balance
journal, January 2019

  • van Kampenhout, Leonardus; Rhoades, Alan M.; Herrington, Adam R.
  • The Cryosphere, Vol. 13, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.5194/tc-13-1547-2019

Climate change projections from Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 multi-model weighted ensembles for Mexico, the North American monsoon, and the mid-summer drought region
journal, August 2018

  • Colorado-Ruiz, Gabriela; Cavazos, Tereza; Salinas, José Antonio
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 38, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.5773

Indian summer monsoon: Extreme events, historical changes, and role of anthropogenic forcings
journal, December 2018

  • Singh, Deepti; Ghosh, Subimal; Roxy, Mathew K.
  • Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Vol. 10, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1002/wcc.571

Preserving the coupled atmosphere–ocean feedback in initializations of decadal climate predictions
journal, May 2020

  • Brune, Sebastian; Baehr, Johanna
  • WIREs Climate Change, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1002/wcc.637

Understanding the Central Equatorial African long-term drought using AMIP-type simulations
journal, April 2017


Inter-hemispheric differences in energy budgets and cross-equatorial transport anomalies during the 20th century
journal, December 2018


Investigating the feedbacks between CO2, vegetation and the AMOC in a coupled climate model
journal, February 2019


Attribution of ocean temperature change to anthropogenic and natural forcings using the temporal, vertical and geographical structure
journal, July 2019

  • Bilbao, Roberto A. F.; Gregory, Jonathan M.; Bouttes, Nathaelle
  • Climate Dynamics, Vol. 53, Issue 9-10
  • DOI: 10.1007/s00382-019-04910-1

Probabilistic Sea Level Projections at the Coast by 2100
journal, August 2019


A Review of Climate Change Attribution Studies
journal, October 2018

  • Zhai, Panmao; Zhou, Baiquan; Chen, Yang
  • Journal of Meteorological Research, Vol. 32, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1007/s13351-018-8041-6

Unsupervised Learning Reveals Geography of Global Ocean Dynamical Regions
journal, May 2019

  • Sonnewald, Maike; Wunsch, Carl; Heimbach, Patrick
  • Earth and Space Science, Vol. 6, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018EA000519

Ionization of the Polar Atmosphere by Energetic Electron Precipitation Retrieved From Balloon Measurements
journal, January 2019

  • Mironova, I. A.; Artamonov, A. A.; Bazilevskaya, G. A.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 46, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018gl079421

A Hierarchical Statistical Framework for Emergent Constraints: Application to Snow‐Albedo Feedback
journal, December 2018

  • Bowman, Kevin W.; Cressie, Noel; Qu, Xin
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 23
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018gl080082

Land Surface Processes Create Patterns in Atmospheric Residence Time of Water
journal, January 2019

  • Tuinenburg, O. A.; Ent, R. J.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018jd028871

The Effect of Global Warming on Future Water Availability: CMIP5 Synthesis
journal, October 2018

  • Ferguson, C. R.; Pan, M.; Oki, Taikan
  • Water Resources Research, Vol. 54, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018wr022792

The End of the Wait for Climate Sensitivity?
journal, November 2019


Understanding Intermodel Diversity of CMIP5 Climate Models in Simulating East Asian Marginal Sea Surface Temperature in the Near Future (2020–2049)
journal, August 2019

  • Yi, Dong‐Won; Yeh, Sang‐Wook
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 124, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019jc015028

Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate
journal, January 2019


Automatic data matching for geospatial models: a new paradigm for geospatial data and models sharing
journal, October 2019


Climate change would lead to a sharp acceleration of Central African forests dynamics by the end of the century
journal, March 2019

  • Claeys, Florian; Gourlet-Fleury, Sylvie; Picard, Nicolas
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/aafb81

Humans drive future water scarcity changes across all Shared Socioeconomic Pathways
journal, January 2020

  • Graham, Neal T.; Hejazi, Mohamad I.; Chen, Min
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 15, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab639b

Projecting marine species range shifts from only temperature can mask climate vulnerability
journal, September 2019

  • McHenry, Jennifer; Welch, Heather; Lester, Sarah E.
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 25, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14828

Historical changes in the stomatal limitation of photosynthesis: empirical support for an optimality principle
journal, December 2019

  • Lavergne, Aliénor; Voelker, Steve; Csank, Adam
  • New Phytologist, Vol. 225, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.1111/nph.16314

Thermal bottlenecks in the life cycle define climate vulnerability of fish
journal, July 2020


Back to the Future: Using Long-Term Observational and Paleo-Proxy Reconstructions to Improve Model Projections of Antarctic Climate
journal, June 2019


Land Cover Change Intensifies Actual and Potential Radiative Forcing through CO2 in South and Southeast Asia from 1992 to 2015
journal, July 2019

  • Cui, Yaoping; Meadows, Michael E.; Li, Nan
  • International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 16, Issue 14
  • DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16142460

Stable Equatorial Ice Belts at High Obliquity in a Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Model
journal, September 2018

  • Kilic, Cevahir; Lunkeit, Frank; Raible, Christoph C.
  • The Astrophysical Journal, Vol. 864, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/aad5eb

Aerosol optical properties over Europe: an evaluation of the AQMEII Phase 3 simulations against satellite observations
journal, January 2019

  • Palacios-Peña, Laura; Jiménez-Guerrero, Pedro; Baró, Rocío
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-2965-2019

An updated version of a gap-free monthly mean zonal mean ozone database
journal, January 2018

  • Hassler, Birgit; Kremser, Stefanie; Bodeker, Greg E.
  • Earth System Science Data, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/essd-10-1473-2018

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 3: The last millennium, scientific objective, and experimental design for the PMIP4 past1000 simulations
journal, January 2017

  • Jungclaus, Johann H.; Bard, Edouard; Baroni, Mélanie
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-4005-2017

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 4: Scientific objectives and experimental design of the PMIP4-CMIP6 Last Glacial Maximum experiments and PMIP4 sensitivity experiments
journal, January 2017

  • Kageyama, Masa; Albani, Samuel; Braconnot, Pascale
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-4035-2017

The DeepMIP contribution to PMIP4: experimental design for model simulations of the EECO, PETM, and pre-PETM (version 1.0)
journal, January 2017

  • Lunt, Daniel J.; Huber, Matthew; Anagnostou, Eleni
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-889-2017

Overview of experiment design and comparison of models participating in phase 1 of the SPARC Quasi-Biennial Oscillation initiative (QBOi)
journal, January 2018

  • Butchart, Neal; Anstey, James A.; Hamilton, Kevin
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1009-2018

The Carbon Dioxide Removal Model Intercomparison Project (CDRMIP): rationale and experimental protocol for CMIP6
journal, January 2018

  • Keller, David P.; Lenton, Andrew; Scott, Vivian
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1133-2018

Stratospheric aerosol evolution after Pinatubo simulated with a coupled size-resolved aerosol–chemistry–climate model, SOCOL-AERv1.0
journal, January 2018

  • Sukhodolov, Timofei; Sheng, Jian-Xiong; Feinberg, Aryeh
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-2633-2018

Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: a dataset of harmonized emissions trajectories through the end of the century
journal, January 2019

  • Gidden, Matthew J.; Riahi, Keywan; Smith, Steven J.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-1443-2019

CAM6 simulation of mean and extreme precipitation over Asia: sensitivity to upgraded physical parameterizations and higher horizontal resolution
journal, January 2019

  • Lin, Lei; Gettelman, Andrew; Xu, Yangyang
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-3773-2019

ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP
journal, January 2016

  • Eyring, Veronika; Righi, Mattia; Lauer, Axel
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-1747-2016

The Model Intercomparison Project on the climatic response to Volcanic forcing (VolMIP): experimental design and forcing input data for CMIP6
journal, January 2016

  • Zanchettin, Davide; Khodri, Myriam; Timmreck, Claudia
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-2701-2016

LS3MIP (v1.0) contribution to CMIP6: the Land Surface, Snow and Soil moisture Model Intercomparison Project – aims, setup and expected outcome
journal, January 2016

  • van den Hurk, Bart; Kim, Hyungjun; Krinner, Gerhard
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-2809-2016

Canadian snow and sea ice: historical trends and projections
journal, January 2018

  • Mudryk, Lawrence R.; Derksen, Chris; Howell, Stephen
  • The Cryosphere, Vol. 12, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/tc-12-1157-2018

ESM-SnowMIP: assessing snow models and quantifying snow-related climate feedbacks
text, January 2018


A global view of shifting cultivation: Recent, current, and future extent
text, January 2017

  • Sedano, Fernando; Egelund Christensen, Andreas; Parsons Chini, Louise
  • Public Library of Science
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.105741

Event selection for dynamical downscaling: a neural network approach for physically-constrained precipitation events
text, January 2019

  • Gómez-Navarro, J. J.; Raible, C. C.; García-Valero, J. A.
  • Springer-Verlag
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.138757

Bericht über initialen Kernstandard und Kurationskriterien des AtMoDat Projektes (v2.4)
text, January 2020


Impact of oceanic warming on electromagnetic oceanic tidal signals: A CMIP5 climate model-based sensitivity study: GLOBAL WARMING IMPACT ON EMOTS
journal, May 2017

  • Saynisch, J.; Petereit, J.; Irrgang, C.
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 44, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1002/2017gl073683

The Accelerating Land Carbon Sink of the 2000s May Not Be Driven Predominantly by the Warming Hiatus
journal, February 2018

  • Zhu, Zaichun; Piao, Shilong; Yan, Tao
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 45, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.1002/2017gl075808

The Impact of Stratospheric Ozone Feedbacks on Climate Sensitivity Estimates
journal, May 2018

  • Nowack, Peer J.; Abraham, N. Luke; Braesicke, Peter
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 123, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.1002/2017jd027943

An assessment of scale-dependent variability and bias in global prediction models
journal, October 2019


Future projections of the near-surface wind speed over eastern China based on CMIP5 datasets
journal, January 2020


Assessing the degree of hydrologic stress due to climate change
journal, July 2019


The CAMS Climate System Model and a Basic Evaluation of Its Climatology and Climate Variability Simulation
journal, December 2018


Causes of model dry and warm bias over central U.S. and impact on climate projections
journal, October 2017


Benchmark decadal forecast skill for terrestrial water storage estimated by an elasticity framework
journal, March 2019


Global and regional impacts differ between transient and equilibrium warmer worlds
journal, December 2019


Quantifying uncertainty in European climate projections using combined performance-independence weighting
journal, November 2019

  • Brunner, Lukas; Lorenz, Ruth; Zumwald, Marius
  • Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 14, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab492f

Call for Participation: Collaborative Benchmarking of Functional-Structural Root Architecture Models. The Case of Root Water Uptake
journal, March 2020

  • Schnepf, Andrea; Black, Christopher K.; Couvreur, Valentin
  • Frontiers in Plant Science, Vol. 11
  • DOI: 10.3389/fpls.2020.00316

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
text, January 2019


HEPPA-II model–measurement intercomparison project: EPP indirect effects during the dynamically perturbed NH winter 2008–2009
journal, January 2017

  • Funke, Bernd; Ball, William; Bender, Stefan
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 17, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-17-3573-2017

Radiative effects of ozone waves on the Northern Hemisphere polar vortex and its modulation by the QBO
journal, January 2018

  • Silverman, Vered; Harnik, Nili; Matthes, Katja
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-6637-2018

Contributions of Nordic anthropogenic emissions on air pollution and premature mortality over the Nordic region and the Arctic
journal, January 2019

  • Im, Ulas; Christensen, Jesper H.; Nielsen, Ole-Kenneth
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 20
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-12975-2019

The remote sensing of radiative forcing by light-absorbing particles (LAPs) in seasonal snow over northeastern China
journal, January 2019

  • Pu, Wei; Cui, Jiecan; Shi, Tenglong
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 15
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-9949-2019

Water isotopes – climate relationships for the mid-Holocene and preindustrial period simulated with an isotope-enabled version of MPI-ESM
journal, January 2019

  • Cauquoin, Alexandre; Werner, Martin; Lohmann, Gerrit
  • Climate of the Past, Vol. 15, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.5194/cp-15-1913-2019

Investigating the applicability of emergent constraints
journal, January 2019

  • Winkler, Alexander J.; Myneni, Ranga B.; Brovkin, Victor
  • Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-501-2019

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 2: Two interglacials, scientific objective and experimental design for Holocene and Last Interglacial simulations
journal, January 2017

  • Otto-Bliesner, Bette L.; Braconnot, Pascale; Harrison, Sandy P.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-3979-2017

The PMIP4 contribution to CMIP6 – Part 1: Overview and over-arching analysis plan
journal, January 2018

  • Kageyama, Masa; Braconnot, Pascale; Harrison, Sandy P.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1033-2018

Radiative–convective equilibrium model intercomparison project
journal, January 2018

  • Wing, Allison A.; Reed, Kevin A.; Satoh, Masaki
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-793-2018

The generation of gridded emissions data for CMIP6
journal, January 2020

  • Feng, Leyang; Smith, Steven J.; Braun, Caleb
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-461-2020

The Flux-Anomaly-Forced Model Intercomparison Project (FAFMIP) contribution to CMIP6: investigation of sea-level and ocean climate change in response to CO 2 forcing
journal, January 2016

  • Gregory, Jonathan M.; Bouttes, Nathaelle; Griffies, Stephen M.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3993-2016

Snowmelt response to simulated warming across a large elevation gradient, southern Sierra Nevada, California
journal, January 2017

  • Musselman, Keith N.; Molotch, Noah P.; Margulis, Steven A.
  • The Cryosphere, Vol. 11, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.5194/tc-11-2847-2017

19th century glacier retreat in the Alps preceded the emergence of industrial black carbon deposition on high-alpine glaciers
journal, January 2018

  • Sigl, Michael; Abram, Nerilie J.; Gabrieli, Jacopo
  • The Cryosphere, Vol. 12, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.5194/tc-12-3311-2018

CMIP6 Data Citation of Evolving Data
journal, June 2017

  • Stockhause, Martina; Lautenschlager, Michael
  • Data Science Journal, Vol. 16
  • DOI: 10.5334/dsj-2017-030

Solar forcing for CMIP6 (v3.2)
text, January 2017


Direct and indirect effects of CO 2 increase on crop yield in West Africa
journal, December 2018

  • Sultan, Benjamin; Parkes, Ben; Gaetani, Marco
  • International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 39, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1002/joc.5960

CAS FGOALS-f3-L Model Datasets for CMIP6 Historical Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project Simulation
journal, July 2019


Key determinants of global land-use projections
journal, May 2019


Recommended temperature metrics for carbon budget estimates, model evaluation and climate policy
journal, November 2019

  • Tokarska, Katarzyna B.; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Rogelj, Joeri
  • Nature Geoscience, Vol. 12, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1038/s41561-019-0493-5

Prescribing Zonally Asymmetric Ozone Climatologies in Climate Models: Performance Compared to a Chemistry-Climate Model.
text, January 2019

  • Rae, Cameron D.; Keeble, James; Hitchcock, Adam
  • Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository
  • DOI: 10.17863/cam.39929

Albedos, Equilibrium Temperatures, and Surface Temperatures of Habitable Planets
journal, October 2019

  • Del Genio, Anthony D.; Kiang, Nancy Y.; Way, Michael J.
  • The Astrophysical Journal, Vol. 884, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.3847/1538-4357/ab3be8

Current challenges of implementing anthropogenic land-use and land-cover change in models contributing to climate change assessments
journal, January 2017

  • Prestele, Reinhard; Arneth, Almut; Bondeau, Alberte
  • Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 8, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/esd-8-369-2017

A protocol for the intercomparison of marine fishery and ecosystem models: Fish-MIP v1.0
journal, January 2018

  • Tittensor, Derek P.; Eddy, Tyler D.; Lotze, Heike K.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1421-2018

The Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project Observational Simulator Package: Version 2
journal, January 2018

  • Swales, Dustin J.; Pincus, Robert; Bodas-Salcedo, Alejandro
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-77-2018

Incorporation of inline warm rain diagnostics into the COSP2 satellite simulator for process-oriented model evaluation
journal, January 2019

  • Michibata, Takuro; Suzuki, Kentaroh; Ogura, Tomoo
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-4297-2019

JULES-GL7: the Global Land configuration of the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator version 7.0 and 7.2
journal, January 2020

  • Wiltshire, Andrew J.; Duran Rojas, Maria Carolina; Edwards, John M.
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 13, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-13-483-2020

The Land Use Model Intercomparison Project (LUMIP) contribution to CMIP6: Rationale and experimental design
text, January 2016


Disentangling the influence of local and remote anthropogenic aerosols on South Asian monsoon daily rainfall characteristics
journal, October 2018


A Large Committed Long-Term Sink of Carbon due to Vegetation Dynamics
journal, October 2018

  • Pugh, T. A. M.; Jones, C. D.; Huntingford, C.
  • Earth's Future, Vol. 6, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018ef000935

Atmospheric Effects of >30‐keV Energetic Electron Precipitation in the Southern Hemisphere Winter During 2003
journal, October 2019

  • Pettit, J. M.; Randall, C. E.; Peck, E. D.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, Vol. 124, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.1029/2019ja026868

Taking climate model evaluation to the next level
journal, January 2019


Largely underestimated carbon emission from land use and land cover change in the conterminous United States
journal, August 2019

  • Yu, Zhen; Lu, Chaoqun; Tian, Hanqin
  • Global Change Biology, Vol. 25, Issue 11
  • DOI: 10.1111/gcb.14768

Assessing the impact of a future volcanic eruption on decadal predictions
text, January 2018

  • Illing, Sebastian; Kadow, Christopher; Pohlmann, Holger
  • Freie Universität Berlin
  • DOI: 10.17169/refubium-276

Evaluation of FESOM2.0 Coupled to ECHAM6.3: Preindustrial and HighResMIP Simulations
text, January 2019


Multi-model comparison of the volcanic sulfate deposition from the 1815 eruption of Mt. Tambora
journal, January 2018

  • Marshall, Lauren; Schmidt, Anja; Toohey, Matthew
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-2307-2018

Tropical convection regimes in climate models: evaluation with satellite observations
journal, January 2018

  • Steiner, Andrea K.; Lackner, Bettina C.; Ringer, Mark A.
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 18, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-18-4657-2018

Anthropogenic aerosol forcing – insights from multiple estimates from aerosol-climate models with reduced complexity
journal, January 2019

  • Fiedler, Stephanie; Kinne, Stefan; Huang, Wan Ting Katty
  • Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, Vol. 19, Issue 10
  • DOI: 10.5194/acp-19-6821-2019

ESD Reviews: Climate feedbacks in the Earth system and prospects for their evaluation
journal, January 2019

  • Heinze, Christoph; Eyring, Veronika; Friedlingstein, Pierre
  • Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/esd-10-379-2019

Biogeochemical protocols and diagnostics for the CMIP6 Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (OMIP)
journal, January 2017

  • Orr, James C.; Najjar, Raymond G.; Aumont, Olivier
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 10, Issue 6
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-10-2169-2017

The impact of precipitation evaporation on the atmospheric aerosol distribution in EC-Earth v3.2.0
journal, January 2018

  • de Bruine, Marco; Krol, Maarten; van Noije, Twan
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-1443-2018

Modular System for Shelves and Coasts (MOSSCO v1.0) – a flexible and multi-component framework for coupled coastal ocean ecosystem modelling
journal, January 2018

  • Lemmen, Carsten; Hofmeister, Richard; Klingbeil, Knut
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 11, Issue 3
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-11-915-2018

Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM1.2) for the High-Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP)
journal, January 2019

  • Gutjahr, Oliver; Putrasahan, Dian; Lohmann, Katja
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-3241-2019

TheDiaTo (v1.0) – a new diagnostic tool for water, energy and entropy budgets in climate models
journal, January 2019

  • Lembo, Valerio; Lunkeit, Frank; Lucarini, Valerio
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 8
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-3805-2019

Antarctic sub-shelf melt rates via PICO
journal, January 2018


Disentangling the causes of the 1816 European year without a summer
text, January 2019

  • Schurer, Andrew P.; Hegerl, Gabriele C.; Luterbacher, Jürg
  • IOP Publishing
  • DOI: 10.7892/boris.133322

The impact of horizontal atmospheric resolution in modelling air–sea heat fluxes
journal, August 2019

  • Wu, Peili; Roberts, Malcolm; Martin, Gill
  • Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 145, Issue 724
  • DOI: 10.1002/qj.3618

Evaluation of multi-decadal UCLA-CFSv2 simulation and impact of interactive atmospheric-ocean feedback on global and regional variability
journal, July 2018


Global energetics and local physics as drivers of past, present and future monsoons
journal, May 2018


Ozone sensitivity to varying greenhouse gases and ozone-depleting substances in CCMI-1 simulations
text, January 2018


ESMValTool (v1.0) – a community diagnostic and performance metrics tool for routine evaluation of Earth system models in CMIP
text, January 2016

  • Eyring, Veronika; Righi, Mattia; Lauer, Axel
  • Copernicus Publications
  • DOI: 10.48350/167138

Reviews and syntheses: Carbonyl sulfide as a multi-scale tracer for carbon and water cycles
journal, January 2018

  • Whelan, Mary E.; Lennartz, Sinikka T.; Gimeno, Teresa E.
  • Biogeosciences, Vol. 15, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.5194/bg-15-3625-2018

Revised records of atmospheric trace gases CO2, CH4, N2O, and δ13C-CO2 over the last 2000 years from Law Dome, Antarctica
journal, January 2019

  • Rubino, Mauro; Etheridge, David M.; Thornton, David P.
  • Earth System Science Data, Vol. 11, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.5194/essd-11-473-2019

Significant improvement of cloud representation in the global climate model MRI-ESM2
journal, January 2019

  • Kawai, Hideaki; Yukimoto, Seiji; Koshiro, Tsuyoshi
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 12, Issue 7
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-12-2875-2019

The Dynamics and Variability Model Intercomparison Project (DynVarMIP) for CMIP6: assessing the stratosphere–troposphere system
journal, January 2016


The CMIP6 Sea-Ice Model Intercomparison Project (SIMIP): understanding sea ice through climate-model simulations
journal, January 2016

  • Notz, Dirk; Jahn, Alexandra; Holland, Marika
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 9
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-3427-2016

Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison Project (ISMIP6) contribution to CMIP6
journal, January 2016

  • Nowicki, Sophie M. J.; Payne, Anthony; Larour, Eric
  • Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 9, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.5194/gmd-9-4521-2016

pyam: Analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios
journal, September 2021


ATMODAT Standard (v3.0)
text, January 2021


Ranking IPCC Models Using the Wasserstein Distance
journal, January 2020


Does CMIP6 Inspire More Confidence in Simulating Climate Extremes over China?
journal, July 2020


Prescribing Zonally Asymmetric Ozone Climatologies in Climate Models: Performance Compared to a Chemistry‐Climate Model
journal, April 2019

  • Rae, Cameron D.; Keeble, James; Hitchcock, Peter
  • Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, Vol. 11, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1029/2018ms001478

Causes of model dry and warm bias over central U.S. and impact on climate projections
journal, October 2017


Model structures amplify uncertainty in predicted soil carbon responses to climate change
journal, June 2018


Benchmark decadal forecast skill for terrestrial water storage estimated by an elasticity framework
journal, March 2019


Key determinants of global land-use projections
journal, May 2019


Causal networks for climate model evaluation and constrained projections
journal, March 2020


Impact of deforestation and climate on the Amazon Basin’s above-ground biomass during 1993–2012
journal, November 2017


Beyond Forcing Scenarios: Predicting Climate Change through Response Operators in a Coupled General Circulation Model
journal, May 2020


Past warming trend constrains future warming in CMIP6 models
journal, March 2020

  • Tokarska, Katarzyna B.; Stolpe, Martin B.; Sippel, Sebastian
  • Science Advances, Vol. 6, Issue 12
  • DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aaz9549

pyam: Analysis and visualisation of integrated assessment and macro-energy scenarios
journal, June 2021


Annual Cycle of East Asian Precipitation Simulated by CMIP6 Models
journal, December 2020


Evaluation of Sea Ice Simulation of CAS-ESM 2.0 in Historical Experiment
journal, July 2022


Projected Changes in Water Year Types and Hydrological Drought in California’s Central Valley in the 21st Century
journal, January 2021

  • He, Minxue; Anderson, Jamie; Lynn, Elissa
  • Climate, Vol. 9, Issue 2
  • DOI: 10.3390/cli9020026

Land Cover Change Intensifies Actual and Potential Radiative Forcing through CO2 in South and Southeast Asia from 1992 to 2015
journal, July 2019

  • Cui, Yaoping; Meadows, Michael E.; Li, Nan
  • International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol. 16, Issue 14
  • DOI: 10.3390/ijerph16142460

Direct and Indirect Effects -- An Information Theoretic Perspective
text, January 2019


Machine learning for weather and climate are worlds apart
text, January 2020


Ensembling geophysical models with Bayesian Neural Networks
text, January 2020


Combining distribution-based neural networks to predict weather forecast probabilities
text, January 2021


Evaluating permafrost physics in the CMIP6 models and their sensitivity to climate change
journal, February 2020

  • Burke, Eleanor; Zhang, Yu; Krinner, Gerhard
  • The Cryosphere Discussions
  • DOI: 10.5194/tc-2019-309

Inferring causation from time series in Earth system sciences
text, January 2019