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Title: Inferring the anthropogenic contribution to local temperature extremes

Abstract

Here, in PNAS, Hansen et al. document an observed planet-wide increase in the frequency of extremely hot months and a decrease in the frequency of extremely cold months, consistent with earlier studies. This analysis is achieved through aggregation of gridded monthly temperature measurements from all over the planet. Such aggregation is advantageous in achieving statistical sampling power; however, it sacrifices regional specificity. Lastly, in that light, we find the conclusion of Hansen et al. that “the extreme summer climate anomalies in Texas in 2011, in Moscow in 2010, and in France in 2003 almost certainly would not have occurred in the absence of global warming” to be unsubstantiated by their analysis.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [1];  [1];  [1]
  1. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States). Computational Research Division
  2. Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA (United States). Department of Statistics
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
OSTI Identifier:
1407185
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC02-05CH11231
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 110; Journal Issue: 17; Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424
Publisher:
National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC (United States)
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Citation Formats

Stone, Dáithí A., Paciorek, Christopher J., Prabhat, ., Pall, Pardeep, and Wehner, Michael. Inferring the anthropogenic contribution to local temperature extremes. United States: N. p., 2013. Web. doi:10.1073/pnas.1221461110.
Stone, Dáithí A., Paciorek, Christopher J., Prabhat, ., Pall, Pardeep, & Wehner, Michael. Inferring the anthropogenic contribution to local temperature extremes. United States. doi:10.1073/pnas.1221461110.
Stone, Dáithí A., Paciorek, Christopher J., Prabhat, ., Pall, Pardeep, and Wehner, Michael. Tue . "Inferring the anthropogenic contribution to local temperature extremes". United States. doi:10.1073/pnas.1221461110. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1407185.
@article{osti_1407185,
title = {Inferring the anthropogenic contribution to local temperature extremes},
author = {Stone, Dáithí A. and Paciorek, Christopher J. and Prabhat, . and Pall, Pardeep and Wehner, Michael},
abstractNote = {Here, in PNAS, Hansen et al. document an observed planet-wide increase in the frequency of extremely hot months and a decrease in the frequency of extremely cold months, consistent with earlier studies. This analysis is achieved through aggregation of gridded monthly temperature measurements from all over the planet. Such aggregation is advantageous in achieving statistical sampling power; however, it sacrifices regional specificity. Lastly, in that light, we find the conclusion of Hansen et al. that “the extreme summer climate anomalies in Texas in 2011, in Moscow in 2010, and in France in 2003 almost certainly would not have occurred in the absence of global warming” to be unsubstantiated by their analysis.},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.1221461110},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
number = 17,
volume = 110,
place = {United States},
year = {2013},
month = {3}
}

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