Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards

Xie, Fei; Lin, Zhenhong; Nealer, Rachael

doi:10.3141/2628-08

Title: Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards

Abstract

This paper conducted an analysis of regulatory documents on current energy- and greenhouse gas–relevant conventional vehicle efficiency technologies in the corporate average fuel economy standards (2017 to 2025) and greenhouse gas rulemaking context by NHTSA and EPA. The focus was on identifying what technologies today—as estimated now (2015 to 2016)—receive higher or lower expectations with regard to effectiveness, cost, and consumer adoption than what experts projected during the 2010 to 2011 rulemaking period. A broad range of conventional vehicle efficiency technologies, including gasoline engine and diesel engine, transmission, accessory, hybrid, and vehicle body technologies, was investigated in this analysis. Finally, most assessed technologies were found to have had better competitiveness than expected with regard to effectiveness or costs, or both, with costs and market penetration more difficult to predict than technology effectiveness.

Authors:

Xie, Fei ^[1]; Lin, Zhenhong ^[1]; Nealer, Rachael ^[2]

Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Dept. of Energy (DOE), Washington DC (United States)

Publication Date:: 2017-09-30

Research Org.:: Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE

OSTI Identifier:: 1394122

Grant/Contract Number:: AC05-00OR22725

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 2628; Journal ID: ISSN 0361-1981

Publisher:: National Academy of Sciences, Engineering and Medicine

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY

Citation Formats


                    Xie, Fei, Lin, Zhenhong, and Nealer, Rachael. Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards.  United States: N. p., 2017. 
Web.  doi:10.3141/2628-08.

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                    Xie, Fei, Lin, Zhenhong, & Nealer, Rachael. Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.3141/2628-08

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                    Xie, Fei, Lin, Zhenhong, and Nealer, Rachael. Sat .  
"Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.3141/2628-08.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1394122.

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@article{osti_1394122,

  title        = {Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards},

  author       = {Xie, Fei and Lin, Zhenhong and Nealer, Rachael},

  abstractNote = {This paper conducted an analysis of regulatory documents on current energy- and greenhouse gas–relevant conventional vehicle efficiency technologies in the corporate average fuel economy standards (2017 to 2025) and greenhouse gas rulemaking context by NHTSA and EPA. The focus was on identifying what technologies today—as estimated now (2015 to 2016)—receive higher or lower expectations with regard to effectiveness, cost, and consumer adoption than what experts projected during the 2010 to 2011 rulemaking period. A broad range of conventional vehicle efficiency technologies, including gasoline engine and diesel engine, transmission, accessory, hybrid, and vehicle body technologies, was investigated in this analysis. Finally, most assessed technologies were found to have had better competitiveness than expected with regard to effectiveness or costs, or both, with costs and market penetration more difficult to predict than technology effectiveness.},

  doi          = {10.3141/2628-08},

  journal      = {Transportation Research Record: Journal of the Transportation Research Board},

  number       = ,

  volume       = 2628,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {2017},

  month        = {9}

}

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Title: Performance, Cost, and Market Share of Conventional Vehicle Efficiency Technologies? Retrospective Comparison of Regulatory Document Projections for Corporate Average Fuel Economy and Greenhouse Gas Standards

Abstract

Citation Formats

A Tale of Two Chinese Transit Metropolises and the Implementation of Their Policies: Shenyang and Dalian (Liaoning Province, China) journal, February 2018

A Tale of Two Chinese Transit Metropolises and the Implementation of Their Policies: Shenyang and Dalian (Liaoning Province, China)
journal, February 2018