Title: Assessing the observed impact of anthropogenic climate change

Journal Article · · Nature Climate Change
 [1];  [2]
  1. Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (Germany)
  2. Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)

Impacts of recent regional changes in climate on natural and human systems are documented across the globe, yet studies explicitly linking these observations to anthropogenic forcing of the climate are scarce. Here in this work, we provide a systematic assessment of the role of anthropogenic climate change for the range of impacts of regional climate trends reported in the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report. We find that almost two-thirds of the impacts related to atmospheric and ocean temperature can be confidently attributed to anthropogenic forcing. In contrast, evidence connecting changes in precipitation and their respective impacts to human influence is still weak. Moreover, anthropogenic climate change has been a major influence for approximately three-quarters of the impacts observed on continental scales. Finally, hence the effects of anthropogenic emissions can now be discerned not only globally, but also at more regional and local scales for a variety of natural and human systems.

Research Organization:
Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER) (SC-23)
Grant/Contract Number:
AC02-05CH11231
OSTI ID:
1379304
Journal Information:
Nature Climate Change, Journal Name: Nature Climate Change Journal Issue: 5 Vol. 6; ISSN 1758-678X
Publisher:
Nature Publishing GroupCopyright Statement
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

References (29)

Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations - the CRU TS3.10 Dataset: UPDATED HIGH-RESOLUTION GRIDS OF MONTHLY CLIMATIC OBSERVATIONS journal May 2013
Detection and attribution of anthropogenic climate change impacts: Anthropogenic climate change impacts journal February 2013
Detection and attribution of climate change: a regional perspective: Detection and attribution of climate change
  • Stott, Peter A.; Gillett, Nathan P.; Hegerl, Gabriele C.
  • Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, Vol. 1, Issue 2 https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.34
journal March 2010
Checking for model consistency in optimal fingerprinting journal June 1999
GPCC's new land surface precipitation climatology based on quality-controlled in situ data and its role in quantifying the global water cycle journal March 2013
Causes for the recent changes in cold- and heat-related mortality in England and Wales journal January 2010
The challenge to detect and attribute effects of climate change on human and natural systems journal August 2013
Global analyses of sea surface temperature, sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth century journal January 2003
Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 1. Measurement and sampling uncertainties journal January 2011
Reassessing biases and other uncertainties in sea surface temperature observations measured in situ since 1850: 2. Biases and homogenization journal January 2011
Global Surface Temperature Change journal January 2010
Separating signal and noise in atmospheric temperature changes: The importance of timescale: TEMPERATURE SIGNAL-TO-NOISE RATIOS journal November 2011
Attributing physical and biological impacts to anthropogenic climate change journal May 2008
Anthropogenic impact on Earth’s hydrological cycle journal July 2013
Global distribution of observed climate change impacts journal February 2015
Dominant role of greenhouse-gas forcing in the recovery of Sahel rainfall journal June 2015
Regional rainfall decline in Australia attributed to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and ozone levels journal July 2014
Human-induced rainfall changes journal July 2014
Early onset of significant local warming in low latitude countries journal July 2011
A unifying view of climate change in the Sahel linking intra-seasonal, interannual and longer time scales journal April 2013
Human-Induced Changes in the Hydrology of the Western United States journal February 2008
Human-Induced Arctic Moistening journal April 2008
Rapid Range Shifts of Species Associated with High Levels of Climate Warming journal August 2011
Attribution of global glacier mass loss to anthropogenic and natural causes journal August 2014
Representing Twentieth-Century Space–Time Climate Variability. Part II: Development of 1901–96 Monthly Grids of Terrestrial Surface Climate journal July 2000
commentary and analysis: The Difference Between Grid Spacing and Resolution and Their Application to Numerical Modeling journal March 2000
Global Land Precipitation: A 50-yr Monthly Analysis Based on Gauge Observations journal June 2002
A New Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Boundary Dataset for the Community Atmosphere Model journal October 2008
An Overview of CMIP5 and the Experiment Design journal April 2012

Cited By (4)

Comparative thermal performance of the reef-building coral Orbicella franksi at its latitudinal range limits journal September 2019
A Framework for Disaster Vulnerability in a Small Island in the Southwest Pacific: A Case Study of Emae Island, Vanuatu journal October 2017
Global change, parasite transmission and disease control: lessons from ecology journal March 2017
Towards sustainable cities: about redundancy, voids and the potentials of the land journal December 2019