Killing the cMSSM softly

Bechtle, Philip; Camargo-Molina, José Eliel; Desch, Klaus; Dreiner, Herbert K.; Hamer, Matthias; Krämer, Michael; O’Leary, Ben; Porod, Werner; Sarrazin, Björn; Stefaniak, Tim; Uhlenbrock, Mathias; Wienemann, Peter

doi:10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3864-0

Title: Killing the cMSSM softly

Abstract

We investigate the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM) in the light of constraining experimental and observational data from precision measurements, astrophysics, direct supersymmetry searches at the LHC and measurements of the properties of the Higgs boson, by means of a global fit using the program Fittino. As in previous studies, we find rather poor agreement of the best fit point with the global data. We also investigate the stability of the electro-weak vacuum in the preferred region of parameter space around the best fit point.We find that the vacuum is metastable, with a lifetime significantly longer than the age of the Universe. For the first time in a global fit of supersymmetry, we employ a consistent methodology to evaluate the goodness-of-fit of the cMSSM in a frequentist approach by deriving p values from large sets of toy experiments. We analyse analytically and quantitatively the impact of the choice of the observable set on the p value, and in particular its dilution when confronting the model with a large number of barely constraining measurements. Lastly, for the preferred sets of observables, we obtain p values for the cMSSM below 10 %, i.e. we exclude the cMSSM as a model atmore » the 90 % confidence level.« less

Authors:

Bechtle, Philip ^[1]; Camargo-Molina, José Eliel ^[2]; Desch, Klaus ^[1]; Dreiner, Herbert K. ^[1]; Hamer, Matthias ^[3]; Krämer, Michael ^[4]; O’Leary, Ben ^[5]; Porod, Werner ^[5]; Sarrazin, Björn ^[1]; Stefaniak, Tim ^[6]; Uhlenbrock, Mathias ^[1]; Wienemann, Peter ^[1]

Univ. of Bonn, Bonn (Germany)
Lund Univ., Lund (Sweden)
Centro Brasileiro de Pesquisas Fisicas, Rio de Janeiro (Brazil)
RWTH Aachen, Aachen (Germany)
Univ. of Wurzburg, Wurzburg (Germany)
Univ. of California, Santa Cruz, CA (United States)

Publication Date:: Wed Feb 24 00:00:00 EST 2016

Research Org.:: Univ. of California, Santa Cruz, CA (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE

OSTI Identifier:: 1361218

Grant/Contract Number:: FG02-04ER41286

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 76; Journal Issue: 2; Journal ID: ISSN 1434-6044

Publisher:: Springer

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Citation Formats


                    Bechtle, Philip, Camargo-Molina, José Eliel, Desch, Klaus, Dreiner, Herbert K., Hamer, Matthias, Krämer, Michael, O’Leary, Ben, Porod, Werner, Sarrazin, Björn, Stefaniak, Tim, Uhlenbrock, Mathias, and Wienemann, Peter. Killing the cMSSM softly.  United States: N. p., 2016. 
Web.  doi:10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3864-0.

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                    Bechtle, Philip, Camargo-Molina, José Eliel, Desch, Klaus, Dreiner, Herbert K., Hamer, Matthias, Krämer, Michael, O’Leary, Ben, Porod, Werner, Sarrazin, Björn, Stefaniak, Tim, Uhlenbrock, Mathias, & Wienemann, Peter. Killing the cMSSM softly.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3864-0

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                    Bechtle, Philip, Camargo-Molina, José Eliel, Desch, Klaus, Dreiner, Herbert K., Hamer, Matthias, Krämer, Michael, O’Leary, Ben, Porod, Werner, Sarrazin, Björn, Stefaniak, Tim, Uhlenbrock, Mathias, and Wienemann, Peter. Wed .  
"Killing the cMSSM softly".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3864-0.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1361218.

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@article{osti_1361218,

  title        = {Killing the cMSSM softly},

  author       = {Bechtle, Philip and Camargo-Molina, José Eliel and Desch, Klaus and Dreiner, Herbert K. and Hamer, Matthias and Krämer, Michael and O’Leary, Ben and Porod, Werner and Sarrazin, Björn and Stefaniak, Tim and Uhlenbrock, Mathias and Wienemann, Peter},

  abstractNote = {We investigate the constrained Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model (cMSSM) in the light of constraining experimental and observational data from precision measurements, astrophysics, direct supersymmetry searches at the LHC and measurements of the properties of the Higgs boson, by means of a global fit using the program Fittino. As in previous studies, we find rather poor agreement of the best fit point with the global data. We also investigate the stability of the electro-weak vacuum in the preferred region of parameter space around the best fit point.We find that the vacuum is metastable, with a lifetime significantly longer than the age of the Universe. For the first time in a global fit of supersymmetry, we employ a consistent methodology to evaluate the goodness-of-fit of the cMSSM in a frequentist approach by deriving p values from large sets of toy experiments. We analyse analytically and quantitatively the impact of the choice of the observable set on the p value, and in particular its dilution when confronting the model with a large number of barely constraining measurements. Lastly, for the preferred sets of observables, we obtain p values for the cMSSM below 10 %, i.e. we exclude the cMSSM as a model at the 90 % confidence level.},

  doi          = {10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3864-0},

  journal      = {European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields},

  number       = 2,

  volume       = 76,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Wed Feb 24 00:00:00 EST 2016},

  month        = {Wed Feb 24 00:00:00 EST 2016}

}

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Global fits of GUT-scale SUSY models with GAMBIT
text, January 2017

Peter, Athron,; Csaba, Balázs,; Torsten, Bringmann,
Springer
DOI: 10.5167/uzh-148660

A global fit of the MSSM with GAMBIT
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DOI: 10.5167/uzh-148662

Likelihood analysis of the sub-GUT MSSM in light of LHC 13-TeV data
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WIMP dark matter candidates and searches - current status and future prospects
text, January 2017

Roszkowski, Leszek; Sessolo, Enrico Maria; Trojanowski, Sebastian
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Model-groups as scientific research programmes
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Chall, Cristin
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Naturalness and dark matter in the supersymmetric B − L extension of the standard model
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Delle Rose, Luigi; Khalil, Shaaban; King, Simon J. D.
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DOI: 10.1103/physrevd.96.055004

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Title: Killing the cMSSM softly

Abstract

Citation Formats

Constraining supersymmetry using the relic density and the Higgs boson journal, March 2014

A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis of the CMSSM text, January 2006

HiggsBounds: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron journal, January 2010

Towards high-precision predictions for the MSSM Higgs sector journal, May 2003

Search for strong production of supersymmetric particles in final states with missing transverse momentum and at least three b-jets at s = 8 $$ \sqrt{s} = 8 $$ TeV proton-proton collisions with the ATLAS detector journal, October 2014

Charge/color breaking minima and A-parameter bounds in supersymmetric models journal, August 1988

Frequentist analysis of the parameter space of minimal supergravity text, January 2011

Search for squarks and gluinos with the ATLAS detector in final states with jets and missing transverse momentum using s = 8 $$ \sqrt{s}=8 $$ TeV proton-proton collision data journal, September 2014

HiggsBounds 2.0.0: Confronting neutral and charged Higgs sector predictions with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron journal, December 2011

Soft-gluon resummation for squark and gluino hadroproduction text, January 2009

Upper bounds on supersymmetric particle masses journal, August 1988

Review of Particle Physics text, January 2008

On the metastability of the Standard Model vacuum text, January 2001

SU(2)L × U(1) symmetry breaking as a radiative effect of supersymmetry breaking in GUTs journal, April 1982

SuperIso v2.3: A program for calculating flavor physics observables in supersymmetry journal, September 2009

Planck 2013 results. XVI. Cosmological parameters journal, October 2014

Supersymmetry in light of 1/fb of LHC data text, January 2012

The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1 journal, September 2015

Vacuum stability and the MSSM Higgs mass journal, March 2014

Constrained MSSM favoring new territories: The impact of new LHC limits and a 125 GeV Higgs boson journal, October 2012

Supersymmetric top and bottom squark production at hadron colliders journal, August 2010

LHC Coverage of RPV MSSM with Light Stops text, January 2012

The CMSSM and NUHM1 after LHC Run 1 text, January 2013

Natural priors, CMSSM fits and LHC weather forecasts journal, August 2007

Supersymmetric dark matter after LHC run 1 journal, October 2015

Measurement of the properties of a Higgs boson in the four-lepton final state text, January 2014

Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications journal, April 1970

Weak interaction breakdown induced by supergravity journal, January 1983

FeynHiggs: a program for the calculation of the masses of the neutral -even Higgs bosons in the MSSM journal, January 2000

Stability of the CMSSM against sfermion VEVs journal, December 2013

Constraining SUSY models with Fittino using measurements before, with and beyond the LHC journal, January 2010

Global fits of the cMSSM including the first LHC and XENON100 data journal, January 2012

Higgs and supersymmetry journal, June 2012

Gauge models with spontaneously broken local supersymmetry journal, December 1982

What if the LHC does not find supersymmetry in the s = 7 TeV run? journal, July 2011

Comparison of grand unified theories with electroweak and strong coupling constants measured at LEP journal, May 1991

HiggsBounds-4: improved tests of extended Higgs sectors against exclusion bounds from LEP, the Tevatron and the LHC journal, March 2014

SUSY naturalness without prejudice text, January 2013

Impact of CMS Multi-jets and Missing Energy Search on CMSSM Fits journal, May 2011

Fate of the false vacuum. II. First quantum corrections journal, September 1977

Low-energy supergravity: False vacua and vacuous predictions journal, December 1983

SPheno, a program for calculating supersymmetric spectra, SUSY particle decays and SUSY particle production at e+e− colliders journal, June 2003

Should we still believe in constrained supersymmetry? conference, June 2013

Looking for supersymmetry: ~1 Tev WIMP and the power of complementarity in LHC and dark matter searches preprint, January 2015

Soft-gluon resummation for squark and gluino hadroproduction journal, December 2009

Constraint on the Photino Mass from Cosmology journal, May 1983

Study of constrained minimal supersymmetry journal, June 1994

CosmoTransitions: Computing cosmological phase transition temperatures and bubble profiles with multiple fields journal, September 2012

Squark and Gluino Hadroproduction journal, June 2011

Spontaneous symmetry breaking and Higgs effect in supergravity without cosmological constant journal, January 1979

Quantum effects and SU(2)×U(1) breaking in supergravity gauge theories journal, May 1984

Should we still believe in constrained supersymmetry? journal, October 2013

HiggsSignals: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with measurements at the Tevatron and the LHC journal, February 2014

Charge and color breaking constraints in MSSM after the Higgs discovery at LHC journal, February 2014

Supersymmetric dark matter after LHC run 1 text, January 2015

Review of Particle Physics text, January 2012

CosmoTransitions: Computing Cosmological Phase Transition Temperatures and Bubble Profiles with Multiple Fields text, January 2011

Planck 2013 results. XVI. Cosmological parameters text, January 2013

The impact of a 126 GeV Higgs on the neutralino mass text, January 2014

Equation of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines journal, June 1953

Low fine tuning in the MSSM with higgsino dark matter and unification constraints journal, April 2014

Implications of initial LHC searches for supersymmetry journal, May 2011

General mass Formula in Broken Supersymmetry text, January 1979

Measurement of Higgs boson production and properties in the WW decay channel with leptonic final states text, January 2014

Analysis of the supersymmetry breaking induced by N = 1 supergravity theories journal, June 1983

Natural Priors, CMSSM Fits and LHC Weather Forecasts text, January 2007

Minimal low-energy supergravity journal, July 1983

SPheno 3.1: extensions including flavour, CP-phases and models beyond the MSSM journal, November 2012

Supersymmetry, supergravity, and particle physics conference, January 1986

Measurement of Higgs boson production and properties in the WW decay channel with leptonic final states journal, January 2014

Supersymmetry and dark matter in light of LHC 2010 and XENON100 data text, January 2011

A Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis of the CMSSM journal, May 2006

Theories with Gauge-Mediated Supersymmetry Breaking text, January 1998

SUSY models under siege: LHC constraints and electroweak fine-tuning journal, June 2014

Threshold Resummation for Squark-Antisquark and Gluino-Pair Production at the LHC journal, March 2009

Higgs and supersymmetry text, January 2012

All possible generators of supersymmetries of the S-matrix journal, March 1975

Constraining supersymmetry using the relic density and the Higgs boson
journal, March 2014

A Markov Chain Monte Carlo Analysis of the CMSSM
text, January 2006

HiggsBounds: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron
journal, January 2010

Towards high-precision predictions for the MSSM Higgs sector
journal, May 2003

Search for strong production of supersymmetric particles in final states with missing transverse momentum and at least three b-jets at s = 8 $$ \sqrt{s} = 8 $$ TeV proton-proton collisions with the ATLAS detector
journal, October 2014

Charge/color breaking minima and A-parameter bounds in supersymmetric models
journal, August 1988

Frequentist analysis of the parameter space of minimal supergravity
text, January 2011

Search for squarks and gluinos with the ATLAS detector in final states with jets and missing transverse momentum using s = 8 $$ \sqrt{s}=8 $$ TeV proton-proton collision data
journal, September 2014

HiggsBounds 2.0.0: Confronting neutral and charged Higgs sector predictions with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron
journal, December 2011

Soft-gluon resummation for squark and gluino hadroproduction
text, January 2009

Upper bounds on supersymmetric particle masses
journal, August 1988

Review of Particle Physics
text, January 2008

On the metastability of the Standard Model vacuum
text, January 2001

SU(2)L × U(1) symmetry breaking as a radiative effect of supersymmetry breaking in GUTs
journal, April 1982

SuperIso v2.3: A program for calculating flavor physics observables in supersymmetry
journal, September 2009

Planck 2013 results. XVI. Cosmological parameters
journal, October 2014

Supersymmetry in light of 1/fb of LHC data
text, January 2012

The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1
journal, September 2015

Vacuum stability and the MSSM Higgs mass
journal, March 2014

Constrained MSSM favoring new territories: The impact of new LHC limits and a 125 GeV Higgs boson
journal, October 2012

Supersymmetric top and bottom squark production at hadron colliders
journal, August 2010

LHC Coverage of RPV MSSM with Light Stops
text, January 2012

The CMSSM and NUHM1 after LHC Run 1
text, January 2013

Natural priors, CMSSM fits and LHC weather forecasts
journal, August 2007

Supersymmetric dark matter after LHC run 1
journal, October 2015

Measurement of the properties of a Higgs boson in the four-lepton final state
text, January 2014

Monte Carlo sampling methods using Markov chains and their applications
journal, April 1970

Weak interaction breakdown induced by supergravity
journal, January 1983

FeynHiggs: a program for the calculation of the masses of the neutral -even Higgs bosons in the MSSM
journal, January 2000

Stability of the CMSSM against sfermion VEVs
journal, December 2013

Constraining SUSY models with Fittino using measurements before, with and beyond the LHC
journal, January 2010

Global fits of the cMSSM including the first LHC and XENON100 data
journal, January 2012

Higgs and supersymmetry
journal, June 2012

Gauge models with spontaneously broken local supersymmetry
journal, December 1982

What if the LHC does not find supersymmetry in the $\sqrt{s} = 7$ TeV run?
journal, July 2011

Comparison of grand unified theories with electroweak and strong coupling constants measured at LEP
journal, May 1991

HiggsBounds-4: improved tests of extended Higgs sectors against exclusion bounds from LEP, the Tevatron and the LHC
journal, March 2014

SUSY naturalness without prejudice
text, January 2013

Impact of CMS Multi-jets and Missing Energy Search on CMSSM Fits
journal, May 2011

Fate of the false vacuum. II. First quantum corrections
journal, September 1977

Low-energy supergravity: False vacua and vacuous predictions
journal, December 1983

SPheno, a program for calculating supersymmetric spectra, SUSY particle decays and SUSY particle production at e+e− colliders
journal, June 2003

Should we still believe in constrained supersymmetry?
conference, June 2013

Looking for supersymmetry: ~1 Tev WIMP and the power of complementarity in LHC and dark matter searches
preprint, January 2015

Soft-gluon resummation for squark and gluino hadroproduction
journal, December 2009

Constraint on the Photino Mass from Cosmology
journal, May 1983

Study of constrained minimal supersymmetry
journal, June 1994

CosmoTransitions: Computing cosmological phase transition temperatures and bubble profiles with multiple fields
journal, September 2012

Squark and Gluino Hadroproduction
journal, June 2011

Spontaneous symmetry breaking and Higgs effect in supergravity without cosmological constant
journal, January 1979

Quantum effects and SU(2)×U(1) breaking in supergravity gauge theories
journal, May 1984

Should we still believe in constrained supersymmetry?
journal, October 2013

HiggsSignals: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with measurements at the Tevatron and the LHC
journal, February 2014

Charge and color breaking constraints in MSSM after the Higgs discovery at LHC
journal, February 2014

Supersymmetric dark matter after LHC run 1
text, January 2015

Review of Particle Physics
text, January 2012

CosmoTransitions: Computing Cosmological Phase Transition Temperatures and Bubble Profiles with Multiple Fields
text, January 2011

Planck 2013 results. XVI. Cosmological parameters
text, January 2013

The impact of a 126 GeV Higgs on the neutralino mass
text, January 2014

Equation of State Calculations by Fast Computing Machines
journal, June 1953

Low fine tuning in the MSSM with higgsino dark matter and unification constraints
journal, April 2014

Implications of initial LHC searches for supersymmetry
journal, May 2011

General mass Formula in Broken Supersymmetry
text, January 1979

Measurement of Higgs boson production and properties in the WW decay channel with leptonic final states
text, January 2014

Analysis of the supersymmetry breaking induced by N = 1 supergravity theories
journal, June 1983

Natural Priors, CMSSM Fits and LHC Weather Forecasts
text, January 2007

Minimal low-energy supergravity
journal, July 1983

SPheno 3.1: extensions including flavour, CP-phases and models beyond the MSSM
journal, November 2012

Supersymmetry, supergravity, and particle physics
conference, January 1986

Measurement of Higgs boson production and properties in the WW decay channel with leptonic final states
journal, January 2014

Supersymmetry and dark matter in light of LHC 2010 and XENON100 data
text, January 2011

A Markov chain Monte Carlo analysis of the CMSSM
journal, May 2006

Theories with Gauge-Mediated Supersymmetry Breaking
text, January 1998

SUSY models under siege: LHC constraints and electroweak fine-tuning
journal, June 2014

Threshold Resummation for Squark-Antisquark and Gluino-Pair Production at the LHC
journal, March 2009

Higgs and supersymmetry
text, January 2012

All possible generators of supersymmetries of the S-matrix
journal, March 1975

Bayesian implications of current LHC and XENON100 search limits for the CMSSM
journal, April 2012

Two-loop renormalization group equations for soft supersymmetry-breaking couplings
journal, August 1994

Dynamical supersymmetry breaking at low energies
journal, August 1993