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Title: Sensitivity of the interannual variability of mineral aerosol simulations to meteorological forcing dataset

Interannual variability in desert dust is widely observed and simulated, yet the sensitivity of these desert dust simulations to a particular meteorological dataset, as well as a particular model construction, is not well known. Here we use version 4 of the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM4) with the Community Earth System Model (CESM) to simulate dust forced by three different reanalysis meteorological datasets for the period 1990–2005. We then contrast the results of these simulations with dust simulated using online winds dynamically generated from sea surface temperatures, as well as with simulations conducted using other modeling frameworks but the same meteorological forcings, in order to determine the sensitivity of climate model output to the specific reanalysis dataset used. For the seven cases considered in our study, the different model configurations are able to simulate the annual mean of the global dust cycle, seasonality and interannual variability approximately equally well (or poorly) at the limited observational sites available. Altogether, aerosol dust-source strength has remained fairly constant during the time period from 1990 to 2005, although there is strong seasonal and some interannual variability simulated in the models and seen in the observations over this time period. Model interannual variability comparisons to observations, as well as comparisons between models,more » suggest that interannual variability in dust is still difficult to simulate accurately, with averaged correlation coefficients of 0.1 to 0.6. Because of the large variability, at least 1 year of observations at most sites are needed to correctly observe the mean, but in some regions, particularly the remote oceans of the Southern Hemisphere, where interannual variability may be larger than in the Northern Hemisphere, 2–3 years of data are likely to be needed.« less
 [1] ;  [2] ;  [3] ;  [2] ;  [4] ;  [5] ;  [6] ; ORCiD logo [7] ;  [7]
  1. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States); Univ. at Albany, State Univ. of New York, Albany, NY (United States)
  2. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States)
  3. Cornell Univ., Ithaca, NY (United States); CEA-CNRS-UVSQ, Gif-sur-Yvette (France)
  4. Univ. of Paris Diderot, Paris (France)
  5. Univ. of Paris Diderot, Paris (France); Univ. Paris Est-Paris Diderot Paris, Creteil (France)
  6. Univ. Paris Est-Paris Diderot Paris, Creteil (France)
  7. Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)
Publication Date:
Grant/Contract Number:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (Online)
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Name: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics (Online); Journal Volume: 17; Journal Issue: 5; Journal ID: ISSN 1680-7324
European Geosciences Union
Research Org:
Univ. at Albany, State Univ. of New York, Albany, NY (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
USDOE Office of Science (SC), Basic Energy Sciences (BES) (SC-22)
Country of Publication:
United States
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS; meteorology; atmospheric science
OSTI Identifier: