Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering
Abstract
Here, despite a growing literature on the projected physical climate responses to solar geoengineering — i.e. proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo — there is no clear picture of the subsequent impacts of such a modified climate on natural and human systems such as agriculture, health, water resources, and ecosystems. Here we argue that engaging the climate impacts research community is necessary to evaluate and communicate how solar geoengineering might reduce some risks, exacerbate others, and give rise to novel risks. We review the current state of knowledge on consequences of solar geoengineering and conclude that a thorough assessment of its impacts can proceed by building upon the frameworks developed for assessing impacts of climate change. However, the climate response to solar geoengineering will depend on the form under consideration and the manner in which it is deployed, presenting a novel challenge for the climate impacts research community.
- Authors:
-
- Inst. for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam (Germany); Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA (United States). John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States). Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change Division
- Inst. for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam (Germany)
- Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam (Germany). Research Domain of Earth System Analysis; Humboldt Univ. of Berlin (Germany). Geography Dept.
- Univ. of Liverpool (United Kingdom). Inst. of Infection and Global Health
- Univ. of Nottingham (United Kingdom). School of Geography
- Univ. of Bristol (United Kingdom). School of Earth Sciences
- Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States). Dept. of Agricultural and Biological Engineering
- Univ. of Amsterdam (Netherlands). Inst. for Biodiversity and Ecosystem Dynamics
- Univ. of Oslo (Norway). Dept. of Geosciences
- GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (Germany)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), College Park, MD (United States). Joint Global Change Research Inst.
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States); Univ. of Liverpool (United Kingdom); Univ. of Oslo (Norway); GEOMAR Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (Germany)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE; Medical Research Council (MRC) (United Kingdom); Norwegian Research Council (Norway); German Research Foundation (DFG)
- Contributing Org.:
- Univ. of Nottingham (United Kingdom); Univ. of Bristol (United Kingdom); Univ. of Amsterdam (Netherlands); Inst. for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam (Germany); Harvard Univ., Cambridge, MA (United States); Potsdam Inst. for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam (Germany); Humboldt Univ. of Berlin (Germany); Univ. of Florida, Gainesville, FL (United States)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1343941
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1346282
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-115412
Journal ID: ISSN 2328-4277
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830; MR/M0501633/1; 229760/E10; 261862/E10; SPP 1689
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Earth's Future
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 5; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 2328-4277
- Publisher:
- American Geophysical Union (AGU)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; climate impacts; climate change; geoengineering; climate engineering; solar radiation management; ISI-MIP
Citation Formats
Irvine, Peter J., Kravitz, Ben, Lawrence, Mark G., Gerten, Dieter, Caminade, Cyril, Gosling, Simon N., Hendy, Erica J., Kassie, Belay T., Kissling, W. Daniel, Muri, Helene, Oschlies, Andreas, and Smith, Steven J. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. United States: N. p., 2016.
Web. doi:10.1002/2016ef000389.
Irvine, Peter J., Kravitz, Ben, Lawrence, Mark G., Gerten, Dieter, Caminade, Cyril, Gosling, Simon N., Hendy, Erica J., Kassie, Belay T., Kissling, W. Daniel, Muri, Helene, Oschlies, Andreas, & Smith, Steven J. Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering. United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016ef000389
Irvine, Peter J., Kravitz, Ben, Lawrence, Mark G., Gerten, Dieter, Caminade, Cyril, Gosling, Simon N., Hendy, Erica J., Kassie, Belay T., Kissling, W. Daniel, Muri, Helene, Oschlies, Andreas, and Smith, Steven J. Wed .
"Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering". United States. https://doi.org/10.1002/2016ef000389. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1343941.
@article{osti_1343941,
title = {Towards a comprehensive climate impacts assessment of solar geoengineering},
author = {Irvine, Peter J. and Kravitz, Ben and Lawrence, Mark G. and Gerten, Dieter and Caminade, Cyril and Gosling, Simon N. and Hendy, Erica J. and Kassie, Belay T. and Kissling, W. Daniel and Muri, Helene and Oschlies, Andreas and Smith, Steven J.},
abstractNote = {Here, despite a growing literature on the projected physical climate responses to solar geoengineering — i.e. proposals to cool the planet by increasing the planetary albedo — there is no clear picture of the subsequent impacts of such a modified climate on natural and human systems such as agriculture, health, water resources, and ecosystems. Here we argue that engaging the climate impacts research community is necessary to evaluate and communicate how solar geoengineering might reduce some risks, exacerbate others, and give rise to novel risks. We review the current state of knowledge on consequences of solar geoengineering and conclude that a thorough assessment of its impacts can proceed by building upon the frameworks developed for assessing impacts of climate change. However, the climate response to solar geoengineering will depend on the form under consideration and the manner in which it is deployed, presenting a novel challenge for the climate impacts research community.},
doi = {10.1002/2016ef000389},
journal = {Earth's Future},
number = 1,
volume = 5,
place = {United States},
year = {Wed Nov 23 00:00:00 EST 2016},
month = {Wed Nov 23 00:00:00 EST 2016}
}
Web of Science
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- Kravitz, Ben; MacMartin, Douglas G.; Tilmes, Simone
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 124, Issue 2
Evaluating climate geoengineering proposals in the context of the Paris Agreement temperature goals
journal, September 2018
- Lawrence, Mark G.; Schäfer, Stefan; Muri, Helene
- Nature Communications, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Potentially dangerous consequences for biodiversity of solar geoengineering implementation and termination
journal, January 2018
- Trisos, Christopher H.; Amatulli, Giuseppe; Gurevitch, Jessica
- Nature Ecology & Evolution, Vol. 2, Issue 3
How do we overcome abrupt degradation of marine ecosystems and meet the challenge of heat waves and climate extremes?
journal, December 2019
- Ainsworth, Tracy D.; Hurd, Catriona L.; Gates, Ruth D.
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 26, Issue 2
Climate, ecosystems, and planetary futures: The challenge to predict life in Earth system models
journal, February 2018
- Bonan, Gordon B.; Doney, Scott C.
- Science, Vol. 359, Issue 6375
Estimating the Impact of Artificially Injected Stratospheric Aerosols on the Global Mean Surface Temperature in the 21th Century
journal, October 2018
- Soldatenko, Sergei
- Climate, Vol. 6, Issue 4
Climate engineering and the ocean: effects on biogeochemistry and primary production
journal, January 2017
- Lauvset, Siv K.; Tjiputra, Jerry; Muri, Helene
- Biogeosciences, Vol. 14, Issue 24
Complementing CO2 emission reduction by solar radiation management might strongly enhance future welfare
journal, January 2019
- Helwegen, Koen G.; Wieners, Claudia E.; Frank, Jason E.
- Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 10, Issue 3
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