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Title: Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends

Abstract

Here, we examined natural and anthropogenic controls on terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) changes from 1982 to 2010 using multiple estimates from remote sensing-based datasets and process-oriented land surface models. A significant increasing trend of ET in each hemisphere was consistently revealed by observationally-constrained data and multi-model ensembles that considered historic natural and anthropogenic drivers. The climate impacts were simulated to determine the spatiotemporal variations in ET. Globally, rising CO2 ranked second in these models after the predominant climatic influences, and yielded decreasing trends in canopy transpiration and ET, especially for tropical forests and high-latitude shrub land. Increasing nitrogen deposition slightly amplified global ET via enhanced plant growth. Land-use-induced ET responses, albeit with substantial uncertainties across the factorial analysis, were minor globally, but pronounced locally, particularly over regions with intensive land-cover changes. Our study highlights the importance of employing multi-stream ET and ET-component estimates to quantify the strengthening anthropogenic fingerprint in the global hydrologic cycle.

Authors:
 [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [1];  [2];  [3];  [2];  [1];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9];  [10];  [1];  [5];  [1] more »;  [11];  [9];  [6];  [12];  [13];  [1];  [14];  [7];  [15];  [3];  [16];  [10];  [17];  [18];  [18];  [19];  [19];  [4];  [20];  [16];  [21] « less
+ Show Author Affiliations
  1. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
  2. Univ. of Texas, Austin, TX (United States)
  3. California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA (United States)
  4. Peking Univ., Beijing (People's Republic of China)
  5. Beijing Normal Univ., Beijing (People's Republic of China)
  6. Northern Arizona Univ., Flagstaff, AZ (United States)
  7. Auburn Univ., Auburn, AL (United States)
  8. Univ. of California, Irvine, CA (United States)
  9. McMaster Univ., Hamilton, ON (Canada)
  10. Lab. des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif sur Yvette (France)
  11. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
  12. National Institute for Environmental Studies, Ibaraki (Japan)
  13. Univ. of Illinois, Urbana, IL (United States)
  14. Tsinghua Univ., Beijing (People's Republic of China)
  15. Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA (United States)
  16. Univ. of Quebec at Montreal (UQAM), Montreal, QC (Canada)
  17. Montana State Univ., Bozeman, MT (United States)
  18. Univ. of Colorado, Boulder, CO (United States)
  19. National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Mountain View, CA (United States)
  20. Univ. of Maryland, College Park, MD (United States)
  21. Northwest A&F Univ., Yangling (People's Republic of China)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States); Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
OSTI Identifier:
1256803
Alternate Identifier(s):
OSTI ID: 1337293
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-117647
Journal ID: ISSN 1748-9326; KP1702010; ERKP788
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-00OR22725; AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Environmental Research Letters
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 10; Journal Issue: 9; Journal ID: ISSN 1748-9326
Publisher:
IOP Publishing
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; evapotransportation; natural and anthropogenic controls; factorial analysis; MsTMIP; evapotranspiration

Citation Formats

Mao, Jiafu, Shi, Xiaoying, Ricciuto, Daniel M., Wei, Yaxing, Thornton, Peter E., Hoffman, Forrest M., Fu, Wenting, Fisher, Joshua B., Dickinson, Robert E., Shem, Willis, Piao, Shilong, Wang, Kaicun, Schwalm, Christopher R., Tian, Hanqin, Mu, Mingquan, Arain, Altaf, Ciais, Philippe, Cook, Robert, Dai, Yongjiu, Hayes, Daniel, Huang, Maoyi, Huang, Suo, Huntzinger, Deborah N., Ito, Akihiko, Jain, Atul, King, Anthony W., Lei, Huimin, Lu, Chaoqun, Michalak, Anna M., Parazoo, Nicholas, Peng, Changhui, Peng, Shushi, Poulter, Benjamin, Schaefer, Kevin, Jafarov, Elchin, Wang, Weile, Zeng, Ning, Zeng, Zhenzhong, Zhao, Fang, Zhu, Qiuan, and Zhu, Zaichun. Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends. United States: N. p., 2015. Web. doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094008.
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Mao, Jiafu, Shi, Xiaoying, Ricciuto, Daniel M., Wei, Yaxing, Thornton, Peter E., Hoffman, Forrest M., Fu, Wenting, Fisher, Joshua B., Dickinson, Robert E., Shem, Willis, Piao, Shilong, Wang, Kaicun, Schwalm, Christopher R., Tian, Hanqin, Mu, Mingquan, Arain, Altaf, Ciais, Philippe, Cook, Robert, Dai, Yongjiu, Hayes, Daniel, Huang, Maoyi, Huang, Suo, Huntzinger, Deborah N., Ito, Akihiko, Jain, Atul, King, Anthony W., Lei, Huimin, Lu, Chaoqun, Michalak, Anna M., Parazoo, Nicholas, Peng, Changhui, Peng, Shushi, Poulter, Benjamin, Schaefer, Kevin, Jafarov, Elchin, Wang, Weile, Zeng, Ning, Zeng, Zhenzhong, Zhao, Fang, Zhu, Qiuan, & Zhu, Zaichun. Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends. United States. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094008
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Mao, Jiafu, Shi, Xiaoying, Ricciuto, Daniel M., Wei, Yaxing, Thornton, Peter E., Hoffman, Forrest M., Fu, Wenting, Fisher, Joshua B., Dickinson, Robert E., Shem, Willis, Piao, Shilong, Wang, Kaicun, Schwalm, Christopher R., Tian, Hanqin, Mu, Mingquan, Arain, Altaf, Ciais, Philippe, Cook, Robert, Dai, Yongjiu, Hayes, Daniel, Huang, Maoyi, Huang, Suo, Huntzinger, Deborah N., Ito, Akihiko, Jain, Atul, King, Anthony W., Lei, Huimin, Lu, Chaoqun, Michalak, Anna M., Parazoo, Nicholas, Peng, Changhui, Peng, Shushi, Poulter, Benjamin, Schaefer, Kevin, Jafarov, Elchin, Wang, Weile, Zeng, Ning, Zeng, Zhenzhong, Zhao, Fang, Zhu, Qiuan, and Zhu, Zaichun. Tue . "Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends". United States. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094008. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1256803.
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@article{osti_1256803,
title = {Disentangling climatic and anthropogenic controls on global terrestrial evapotranspiration trends},
author = {Mao, Jiafu and Shi, Xiaoying and Ricciuto, Daniel M. and Wei, Yaxing and Thornton, Peter E. and Hoffman, Forrest M. and Fu, Wenting and Fisher, Joshua B. and Dickinson, Robert E. and Shem, Willis and Piao, Shilong and Wang, Kaicun and Schwalm, Christopher R. and Tian, Hanqin and Mu, Mingquan and Arain, Altaf and Ciais, Philippe and Cook, Robert and Dai, Yongjiu and Hayes, Daniel and Huang, Maoyi and Huang, Suo and Huntzinger, Deborah N. and Ito, Akihiko and Jain, Atul and King, Anthony W. and Lei, Huimin and Lu, Chaoqun and Michalak, Anna M. and Parazoo, Nicholas and Peng, Changhui and Peng, Shushi and Poulter, Benjamin and Schaefer, Kevin and Jafarov, Elchin and Wang, Weile and Zeng, Ning and Zeng, Zhenzhong and Zhao, Fang and Zhu, Qiuan and Zhu, Zaichun},
abstractNote = {Here, we examined natural and anthropogenic controls on terrestrial evapotranspiration (ET) changes from 1982 to 2010 using multiple estimates from remote sensing-based datasets and process-oriented land surface models. A significant increasing trend of ET in each hemisphere was consistently revealed by observationally-constrained data and multi-model ensembles that considered historic natural and anthropogenic drivers. The climate impacts were simulated to determine the spatiotemporal variations in ET. Globally, rising CO2 ranked second in these models after the predominant climatic influences, and yielded decreasing trends in canopy transpiration and ET, especially for tropical forests and high-latitude shrub land. Increasing nitrogen deposition slightly amplified global ET via enhanced plant growth. Land-use-induced ET responses, albeit with substantial uncertainties across the factorial analysis, were minor globally, but pronounced locally, particularly over regions with intensive land-cover changes. Our study highlights the importance of employing multi-stream ET and ET-component estimates to quantify the strengthening anthropogenic fingerprint in the global hydrologic cycle.},
doi = {10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094008},
journal = {Environmental Research Letters},
number = 9,
volume = 10,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue Sep 08 00:00:00 EDT 2015},
month = {Tue Sep 08 00:00:00 EDT 2015}
}
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