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Title: Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues

Abstract

Here, this paper presents the new International Energy Agency Wind Task 36 on Forecasting, and invites to collaborate within the group. Wind power forecasts have been used operatively for over 20 years. Despite this fact, there are still several possibilities to improve the forecasts, both from the weather prediction side and from the usage of the forecasts. The new International Energy Agency (IEA) Task on Forecasting for Wind Energy tries to organise international collaboration, among national meteorological centres with an interest and/or large projects on wind forecast improvements (NOAA, DWD, MetOffice, met.no, DMI,...), operational forecaster and forecast users. The Task is divided in three work packages: Firstly, a collaboration on the improvement of the scientific basis for the wind predictions themselves. This includes numerical weather prediction model physics, but also widely distributed information on accessible datasets. Secondly, we will be aiming at an international pre-standard (an IEA Recommended Practice) on benchmarking and comparing wind power forecasts, including probabilistic forecasts. This WP will also organise benchmarks, in cooperation with the IEA Task WakeBench. Thirdly, we will be engaging end users aiming at dissemination of the best practice in the usage of wind power predictions. As first results, an overview of currentmore » issues for research in short-term forecasting of wind power is presented.« less

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [4];  [5];  [6];  [7];  [8];  [9]
  1. Technical Univ. of Denmark, Roskilde (Denmark). DTU National Lab. for Sustainable Energy
  2. U.S. Dept. of Energy, Washington, DC (United States). Wind and Water Power Program
  3. Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach (Germany)
  4. Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
  5. Technical Univ. of Denmark, Lyngby (Denmark). Elektro
  6. National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
  7. MINES ParisTech and PSL Research Univ., Paris (France)
  8. Vattenfall AB, Kolding (Denmark)
  9. WEPROG Aps, Assens (Denmark)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE)
OSTI Identifier:
1335576
Report Number(s):
[NREL/JA-5D00-67542]
[Journal ID: ISSN 1742-6588]
Grant/Contract Number:  
[AC36-08GO28308]
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Journal of Physics. Conference Series
Additional Journal Information:
[ Journal Volume: 753]; Journal ID: ISSN 1742-6588
Publisher:
IOP Publishing
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
17 WIND ENERGY; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY; International Energy Agency; IEA; Task 36; wind; forecasting

Citation Formats

Giebel, G., Cline, J., Frank, H., Shaw, W., Pinson, P., Hodge, B-M, Kariniotakis, G., Madsen, J., and Möhrlen, C. Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042.
Giebel, G., Cline, J., Frank, H., Shaw, W., Pinson, P., Hodge, B-M, Kariniotakis, G., Madsen, J., & Möhrlen, C. Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues. United States. doi:10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042.
Giebel, G., Cline, J., Frank, H., Shaw, W., Pinson, P., Hodge, B-M, Kariniotakis, G., Madsen, J., and Möhrlen, C. Mon . "Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues". United States. doi:10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1335576.
@article{osti_1335576,
title = {Wind power forecasting: IEA Wind Task 36 & future research issues},
author = {Giebel, G. and Cline, J. and Frank, H. and Shaw, W. and Pinson, P. and Hodge, B-M and Kariniotakis, G. and Madsen, J. and Möhrlen, C.},
abstractNote = {Here, this paper presents the new International Energy Agency Wind Task 36 on Forecasting, and invites to collaborate within the group. Wind power forecasts have been used operatively for over 20 years. Despite this fact, there are still several possibilities to improve the forecasts, both from the weather prediction side and from the usage of the forecasts. The new International Energy Agency (IEA) Task on Forecasting for Wind Energy tries to organise international collaboration, among national meteorological centres with an interest and/or large projects on wind forecast improvements (NOAA, DWD, MetOffice, met.no, DMI,...), operational forecaster and forecast users. The Task is divided in three work packages: Firstly, a collaboration on the improvement of the scientific basis for the wind predictions themselves. This includes numerical weather prediction model physics, but also widely distributed information on accessible datasets. Secondly, we will be aiming at an international pre-standard (an IEA Recommended Practice) on benchmarking and comparing wind power forecasts, including probabilistic forecasts. This WP will also organise benchmarks, in cooperation with the IEA Task WakeBench. Thirdly, we will be engaging end users aiming at dissemination of the best practice in the usage of wind power predictions. As first results, an overview of current issues for research in short-term forecasting of wind power is presented.},
doi = {10.1088/1742-6596/753/3/032042},
journal = {Journal of Physics. Conference Series},
number = ,
volume = [753],
place = {United States},
year = {2016},
month = {10}
}

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