Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system
Abstract
The effect of an increase in atmospheric aerosol concentrations on the distribution and radiative properties of Earth’s clouds is the most uncertain component of the overall global radiative forcing from pre-industrial time. General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the tool for predicting future climate, but the treatment of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol-cloud radiative effects carries large uncertainties that directly affect GCM predictions, such as climate sensitivity. Predictions are hampered by the large range of scales of interaction between various components that need to be captured. Observation systems (remote sensing, in situ) are increasingly being used to constrain predictions but significant challenges exist, to some extent because of the large range of scales and the fact that the various measuring systems tend to address different scales. Fine-scale models represent clouds, aerosols, and aerosol-cloud interactions with high fidelity but do not include interactions with the larger scale and are therefore limited from a climatic point of view. Lastly, we suggest strategies for improving estimates of aerosol-cloud relationships in climate models, for new remote sensing and in situ measurements, and for quantifying and reducing model uncertainty.
- Authors:
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[10];
[5];
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- California Inst. of Technology (CalTech), Pasadena, CA (United States)
- Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA (United States)
- Univ. of Leeds, Leeds (United Kingdom)
- Univ. of Manchester, Manchester (United Kingdom)
- Colorado State Univ., Fort Collins, CO (United States)
- National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Washington, D.C. (United States)
- National Oceanic and Atmosphere Administration, Boulder, CO (United States)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Univ. of California, Irvine, CA (United States)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Greenbelt, MD (United States)
- Univ. of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA (United States)
- Georgia Inst. of Technology, Atlanta, GA (United States); Institute of Chemical and Biological Engineering, Petras (Greece); National Observatory of Athens, Palea-Pendeli (Greece)
- Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI (United States)
- Princeton Univ. and National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Princeton, NJ (United States)
- The Hebrew Univ. of Jerusalem, Jerusalem (Israel)
- National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Pasadena, CA (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1327134
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-115586
Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424; KP1703020
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 113; Journal Issue: 21; Journal ID: ISSN 0027-8424
- Publisher:
- National Academy of Sciences, Washington, DC (United States)
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; climate; aerosol-cloud effects; general circulation models; radiative forcing; satellite observations
Citation Formats
Seinfeld, John H., Bretherton, Christopher, Carslaw, Kenneth S., Coe, Hugh, DeMott, Paul J., Dunlea, Edward J., Feingold, Graham, Ghan, Steven, Guenther, Alex B., Kahn, Ralph, Kraucunas, Ian, Kreidenweis, Sonia M., Molina, Mario J., Nenes, Athanasios, Penner, Joyce E., Prather, Kimberly A., Ramanathan, V., Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam, Rasch, Philip J., Ravishankara, A. R., Rosenfeld, Daniel, Stephens, Graeme, and Wood, Robert. Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system. United States: N. p., 2016.
Web. doi:10.1073/pnas.1514043113.
Seinfeld, John H., Bretherton, Christopher, Carslaw, Kenneth S., Coe, Hugh, DeMott, Paul J., Dunlea, Edward J., Feingold, Graham, Ghan, Steven, Guenther, Alex B., Kahn, Ralph, Kraucunas, Ian, Kreidenweis, Sonia M., Molina, Mario J., Nenes, Athanasios, Penner, Joyce E., Prather, Kimberly A., Ramanathan, V., Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam, Rasch, Philip J., Ravishankara, A. R., Rosenfeld, Daniel, Stephens, Graeme, & Wood, Robert. Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system. United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1514043113
Seinfeld, John H., Bretherton, Christopher, Carslaw, Kenneth S., Coe, Hugh, DeMott, Paul J., Dunlea, Edward J., Feingold, Graham, Ghan, Steven, Guenther, Alex B., Kahn, Ralph, Kraucunas, Ian, Kreidenweis, Sonia M., Molina, Mario J., Nenes, Athanasios, Penner, Joyce E., Prather, Kimberly A., Ramanathan, V., Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam, Rasch, Philip J., Ravishankara, A. R., Rosenfeld, Daniel, Stephens, Graeme, and Wood, Robert. Tue .
"Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system". United States. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1514043113. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1327134.
@article{osti_1327134,
title = {Improving our fundamental understanding of the role of aerosol-cloud interactions in the climate system},
author = {Seinfeld, John H. and Bretherton, Christopher and Carslaw, Kenneth S. and Coe, Hugh and DeMott, Paul J. and Dunlea, Edward J. and Feingold, Graham and Ghan, Steven and Guenther, Alex B. and Kahn, Ralph and Kraucunas, Ian and Kreidenweis, Sonia M. and Molina, Mario J. and Nenes, Athanasios and Penner, Joyce E. and Prather, Kimberly A. and Ramanathan, V. and Ramaswamy, Venkatachalam and Rasch, Philip J. and Ravishankara, A. R. and Rosenfeld, Daniel and Stephens, Graeme and Wood, Robert},
abstractNote = {The effect of an increase in atmospheric aerosol concentrations on the distribution and radiative properties of Earth’s clouds is the most uncertain component of the overall global radiative forcing from pre-industrial time. General Circulation Models (GCMs) are the tool for predicting future climate, but the treatment of aerosols, clouds, and aerosol-cloud radiative effects carries large uncertainties that directly affect GCM predictions, such as climate sensitivity. Predictions are hampered by the large range of scales of interaction between various components that need to be captured. Observation systems (remote sensing, in situ) are increasingly being used to constrain predictions but significant challenges exist, to some extent because of the large range of scales and the fact that the various measuring systems tend to address different scales. Fine-scale models represent clouds, aerosols, and aerosol-cloud interactions with high fidelity but do not include interactions with the larger scale and are therefore limited from a climatic point of view. Lastly, we suggest strategies for improving estimates of aerosol-cloud relationships in climate models, for new remote sensing and in situ measurements, and for quantifying and reducing model uncertainty.},
doi = {10.1073/pnas.1514043113},
journal = {Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America},
number = 21,
volume = 113,
place = {United States},
year = {Tue May 24 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Tue May 24 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}
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Aerosol chemistry, transport, and climatic implications during extreme biomass burning emissions over the Indo-Gangetic Plain
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Multi-dimensional satellite observations of aerosol properties and aerosol types over three major urban clusters in eastern China
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Cold cloud microphysical process rates in a global chemistry–climate model
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Controls on surface aerosol particle number concentrations and aerosol-limited cloud regimes over the central Greenland Ice Sheet
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Precipitation response to aerosol–radiation and aerosol–cloud interactions in regional climate simulations over Europe
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Aerosol characteristics at the three poles of the Earth as characterized by Cloud–Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations
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Automation and heat transfer characterization of immersion mode spectroscopy for analysis of ice nucleating particles
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Sensitivity of low-level clouds and precipitation to anthropogenic aerosol emission in southern West Africa: a DACCIWA case study
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