Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations
Abstract
Despite the fact that Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs have been used to project hydrologic impacts of climate change using off-line hydrologic models for two decades, many of these efforts have been disjointed applications or at least calibrations have been focused on individual river basins and using a few of the available GCMs. This study improves upon earlier attempts by systematically projecting hydrologic impacts for the entire conterminous United States (US), using outputs from ten GCMs from the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive, with seamless hydrologic model calibration and validation techniques to produce a spatially and temporally consistent set of current hydrologic projections. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model was forced with ten-member ensemble projections of precipitation and air temperature that were dynamically downscaled using a regional climate model (RegCM4) and bias-corrected to 1/24 (~4 km) grid resolution for the baseline (1966 2005) and future (2011 2050) periods under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Based on regional analysis, the VIC model projections indicate an increase in winter and spring total runoff due to increases in winter precipitation of up to 20% in most regions of the US. However, decreases in snow water equivalent (SWE) and snow-coveredmore »
- Authors:
-
[1];
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Climate Change Science Inst. and Environmental Sciences Division
- Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Climate Change Science Inst. and Computer Science and Mathematics Division
- Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN (United States). Dept. of Agronomy
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- DOE Office of Science (SC); USDOE Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) Program
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1261547
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1323998
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-00OR22725
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Global and Planetary Change
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 143; Journal Issue: C; Journal ID: ISSN 0921-8181
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; hydroclimate change; extreme events; CMIP5; RegCM4; VIC
Citation Formats
Naz, Bibi S., Kao, Shih-Chieh, Ashfaq, Moetasim, Rastogi, Deeksha, Mei, Rui, and Bowling, Laura C. Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations. United States: N. p., 2016.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.003.
Naz, Bibi S., Kao, Shih-Chieh, Ashfaq, Moetasim, Rastogi, Deeksha, Mei, Rui, & Bowling, Laura C. Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations. United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.003
Naz, Bibi S., Kao, Shih-Chieh, Ashfaq, Moetasim, Rastogi, Deeksha, Mei, Rui, and Bowling, Laura C. Thu .
"Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations". United States. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.003. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1261547.
@article{osti_1261547,
title = {Regional hydrologic response to climate change in the conterminous United States using high-resolution hydroclimate simulations},
author = {Naz, Bibi S. and Kao, Shih-Chieh and Ashfaq, Moetasim and Rastogi, Deeksha and Mei, Rui and Bowling, Laura C.},
abstractNote = {Despite the fact that Global Climate Model (GCM) outputs have been used to project hydrologic impacts of climate change using off-line hydrologic models for two decades, many of these efforts have been disjointed applications or at least calibrations have been focused on individual river basins and using a few of the available GCMs. This study improves upon earlier attempts by systematically projecting hydrologic impacts for the entire conterminous United States (US), using outputs from ten GCMs from the latest Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 5 (CMIP5) archive, with seamless hydrologic model calibration and validation techniques to produce a spatially and temporally consistent set of current hydrologic projections. The Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model was forced with ten-member ensemble projections of precipitation and air temperature that were dynamically downscaled using a regional climate model (RegCM4) and bias-corrected to 1/24 (~4 km) grid resolution for the baseline (1966 2005) and future (2011 2050) periods under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5. Based on regional analysis, the VIC model projections indicate an increase in winter and spring total runoff due to increases in winter precipitation of up to 20% in most regions of the US. However, decreases in snow water equivalent (SWE) and snow-covered days will lead to significant decreases in summer runoff with more pronounced shifts in the time of occurrence of annual peak runoff projected over the eastern and western US. In contrast, the central US will experience year-round increases in total runoff, mostly associated with increases in both extreme high and low runoff. Furthermore, the projected hydrological changes described in this study have implications for various aspects of future water resource management, including water supply, flood and drought preparation, and reservoir operation.},
doi = {10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.003},
journal = {Global and Planetary Change},
number = C,
volume = 143,
place = {United States},
year = {Thu Jun 16 00:00:00 EDT 2016},
month = {Thu Jun 16 00:00:00 EDT 2016}
}
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record
Other availability
Search WorldCat to find libraries that may hold this journal
Cited by: 79 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science
Web of Science
Save to My Library
You must Sign In or Create an Account in order to save documents to your library.
Works referenced in this record:
Influence of the PNA on declining mountain snowpack in the Western United States
journal, April 2010
- Abatzoglou, John T.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 31, Issue 8
A comparison of statistical downscaling methods suited for wildfire applications
journal, March 2011
- Abatzoglou, John T.; Brown, Timothy J.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 32, Issue 5
Statistical downscaling and bias correction of climate model outputs for climate change impact assessment in the U.S. northeast
journal, January 2013
- Ahmed, Kazi Farzan; Wang, Guiling; Silander, John
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 100
Internal Variability in Regional Climate Downscaling at the Seasonal Scale
journal, September 2007
- Alexandru, Adelina; de Elia, Ramon; Laprise, René
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 135, Issue 9
Hydrological Processes in Regional Climate Model Simulations of the Central United States Flood of June–July 1993
journal, June 2003
- Anderson, Christopher J.; Arritt, Raymond W.; Pan, Zaitao
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 4, Issue 3
Near-term acceleration of hydroclimatic change in the western U.S.: NEAR-TERM WESTERN US SNOW
journal, October 2013
- Ashfaq, Moetasim; Ghosh, Subimal; Kao, Shih-Chieh
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 19
Distribution of Mesoscale Convective Complex Rainfall in the United States
journal, December 2003
- Ashley, Walker S.; Mote, Thomas L.; Dixon, P. Grady
- Monthly Weather Review, Vol. 131, Issue 12
The Effects of Climate Change on Water Resources in the West: Introduction and Overview
journal, January 2004
- Barnett, Tim; Malone, Robert; Pennell, William
- Climatic Change, Vol. 62, Issue 1-3
Hydrologic impacts of future climate change on Southeast US watersheds
journal, April 2013
- Bastola, Satish
- Regional Environmental Change, Vol. 13, Issue S1
GIS-Based Water Budget Framework for High-Resolution Groundwater Recharge Estimation of Large-Scale Humid Regions
journal, August 2014
- Beigi, Ehsan; Tsai, Frank T. -C.
- Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, Vol. 19, Issue 8
Digital Hydrologic Networks Supporting Applications Related to Spatially Referenced Regression Modeling1: Digital Hydrologic Networks Supporting Applications Related to Spatially Referenced Regression Modeling
journal, August 2011
- Brakebill, J. W.; Wolock, D. M.; Terziotti, S. E.
- JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 47, Issue 5
Estimates of future flow, including extremes, of the Columbia River headwaters: FUTURE FLOW OF THE COLUMBIA RIVER HEADWATERS
journal, October 2011
- Bürger, G.; Schulla, J.; Werner, A. T.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 47, Issue 10
Spatial and temporal changes in runoff caused by climate change in a complex large river basin in Oregon
journal, July 2010
- Chang, Heejun; Jung, Il-Won
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 388, Issue 3-4
Performance and uncertainty evaluation of empirical downscaling methods in quantifying the climate change impacts on hydrology over two North American river basins
journal, February 2013
- Chen, Jie; Brissette, François P.; Chaumont, Diane
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 479
Hydrologic impacts of projected future climate change in the Lake Michigan region
journal, January 2010
- Cherkauer, Keith A.; Sinha, Tushar
- Journal of Great Lakes Research, Vol. 36
Variable infiltration capacity cold land process model updates
journal, July 2003
- Cherkauer, Keith A.; Bowling, Laura C.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 38, Issue 1-2
Modeling the potential impacts of climate change on streamflow in agricultural watersheds of the Midwestern United States
journal, May 2013
- Chien, Huicheng; Yeh, Pat J. -F.; Knouft, Jason H.
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 491
A multimodel ensemble approach to assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology and water resources of the Colorado River Basin
journal, January 2007
- Christensen, N. S.; Lettenmaier, D. P.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 11, Issue 4
Internal variability of regional climate models
journal, August 2001
- Christensen, O. B.; Gaertner, M. A.; Prego, J. A.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 17, Issue 11
The Effects of Climate Change on the Hydrology and Water Resources of the Colorado River Basin
journal, January 2004
- Christensen, Niklas S.; Wood, Andrew W.; Voisin, Nathalie
- Climatic Change, Vol. 62, Issue 1-3
Physiographically sensitive mapping of climatological temperature and precipitation across the conterminous United States
journal, December 2008
- Daly, Christopher; Halbleib, Michael; Smith, Joseph I.
- International Journal of Climatology, Vol. 28, Issue 15
Potential for added value in precipitation simulated by high-resolution nested Regional Climate Models and observations
journal, April 2011
- Di Luca, Alejandro; de Elía, Ramón; Laprise, René
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 38, Issue 5-6
Potential for small scale added value of RCM’s downscaled climate change signal
journal, June 2012
- Di Luca, Alejandro; de Elía, Ramón; Laprise, René
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 40, Issue 3-4
Intensification of hot extremes in the United States: INTENSIFICATION OF HOT EXTREMES
journal, August 2010
- Diffenbaugh, Noah S.; Ashfaq, Moetasim
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 37, Issue 15
Fine-scale processes regulate the response of extreme events to global climate change
journal, October 2005
- Diffenbaugh, N. S.; Pal, J. S.; Trapp, R. J.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 102, Issue 44
An integrated approach to assessing 21st century climate change over the contiguous U.S. using the NARCCAP RCM output
journal, August 2012
- Elguindi, N.; Grundstein, A.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 117, Issue 4
Climate Change Impacts on Streamflow and Subbasin-Scale Hydrology in the Upper Colorado River Basin
journal, August 2013
- Ficklin, Darren L.; Stewart, Iris T.; Maurer, Edwin P.
- PLoS ONE, Vol. 8, Issue 8
Regional Dynamical Downscaling and the CORDEX Initiative
journal, November 2015
- Giorgi, Filippo; Gutowski, William J.
- Annual Review of Environment and Resources, Vol. 40, Issue 1
RegCM4: model description and preliminary tests over multiple CORDEX domains
journal, March 2012
- Giorgi, F.; Coppola, E.; Solmon, F.
- Climate Research, Vol. 52
Evaluating the utility of dynamical downscaling in agricultural impacts projections
journal, May 2014
- Glotter, M.; Elliott, J.; McInerney, D.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 111, Issue 24
Response of the water balance to climate change in the United States over the 20th and 21st centuries: Results from the VEMAP Phase 2 model intercomparisons: WATER BALANCE RESPONSE TO CLIMATE CHANGE
journal, February 2004
- Gordon, W. S.; Famiglietti, J. S.
- Global Biogeochemical Cycles, Vol. 18, Issue 1
Global warming and fluvial geomorphology
journal, September 2006
- Goudie, Andrew S.
- Geomorphology, Vol. 79, Issue 3-4
Influence of spatial resolution on simulated streamflow in a macroscale hydrologic model: INFLUENCE OF SPATIAL RESOLUTION
journal, July 2002
- Haddeland, Ingjerd; Matheussen, Bernt V.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 38, Issue 7
Climate change impact on available water resources obtained using multiple global climate and hydrology models
journal, January 2013
- Hagemann, S.; Chen, C.; Clark, D. B.
- Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 4, Issue 1
Effects of Climate Change on Hydrology and Water Resources in the Columbia River Basin
journal, December 1999
- Hamlet, Alan F.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
- Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 35, Issue 6
An Overview of the Columbia Basin Climate Change Scenarios Project: Approach, Methods, and Summary of Key Results
journal, September 2013
- Hamlet, Alan F.; Elsner, Marketa McGuire; Mauger, Guillaume S.
- Atmosphere-Ocean, Vol. 51, Issue 4
Use of dynamical downscaling to improve the simulation of Central U.S. warm season precipitation in CMIP5 models: DOWNSCALING CENTRAL U.S. PRECIPITATION
journal, November 2013
- Harding, Keith J.; Snyder, Peter K.; Liess, Stefan
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 118, Issue 22
Watershed-Scale Response to Climate Change through the Twenty-First Century for Selected Basins across the United States
journal, June 2011
- Hay, Lauren E.; Markstrom, Steven L.; Ward-Garrison, Christian
- Earth Interactions, Vol. 15, Issue 17
Past and future changes in climate and hydrological indicators in the US Northeast
journal, November 2006
- Hayhoe, Katharine; Wake, Cameron P.; Huntington, Thomas G.
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 28, Issue 4
Detection and Attribution of Streamflow Timing Changes to Climate Change in the Western United States
journal, July 2009
- Hidalgo, H. G.; Das, T.; Dettinger, M. D.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 22, Issue 13
Climate and hydrological changes in the northeastern United States: recent trends and implications for forested and aquatic ecosystemsThis article is one of a selection of papers from NE Forests 2100: A Synthesis of Climate Change Impacts on Forests of the Northeastern US and Eastern Canada.
journal, February 2009
- Huntington, Thomas G.; Richardson, Andrew D.; McGuire, Kevin J.
- Canadian Journal of Forest Research, Vol. 39, Issue 2
Investigating the Sensitivity of U.S. Streamflow and Water Quality to Climate Change: U.S. EPA Global Change Research Program’s 20 Watersheds Project
journal, September 2012
- Johnson, T. E.; Butcher, J. B.; Parker, A.
- Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management, Vol. 138, Issue 5
Extent of the rain-snow transition zone in the western U.S. under historic and projected climate: Climatic rain-snow transition zone
journal, July 2014
- Klos, P. Zion; Link, Timothy E.; Abatzoglou, John T.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 41, Issue 13
Large increases in flood magnitude in response to modest changes in climate
journal, February 1993
- Knox, James C.
- Nature, Vol. 361, Issue 6411
Regional Climate Model Projections and Uncertainties of U.S. Summer Heat Waves
journal, August 2010
- Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Liang, Xin-Zhong; Zhu, Jinhong
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 23, Issue 16
Monitoring and Understanding Trends in Extreme Storms: State of Knowledge
journal, April 2013
- Kunkel, Kenneth E.; Karl, Thomas R.; Brooks, Harold
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 94, Issue 4
A simple hydrologically based model of land surface water and energy fluxes for general circulation models
journal, January 1994
- Liang, Xu; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.; Wood, Eric F.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 99, Issue D7
Surface soil moisture parameterization of the VIC-2L model: Evaluation and modification
journal, June 1996
- Liang, Xu; Wood, Eric F.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 13, Issue 1-4
Analyzing projected changes and trends of temperature and precipitation in the southern USA from 16 downscaled global climate models
journal, January 2012
- Liu, Lu; Hong, Yang; Hocker, James E.
- Theoretical and Applied Climatology, Vol. 109, Issue 3-4
A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States: Update and Extensions
journal, December 2013
- Livneh, Ben; Rosenberg, Eric A.; Lin, Chiyu
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 23
A spatially comprehensive, hydrometeorological data set for Mexico, the U.S., and Southern Canada 1950–2013
journal, August 2015
- Livneh, Ben; Bohn, Theodore J.; Pierce, David W.
- Scientific Data, Vol. 2, Issue 1
Potential climate change impacts on flood producing mechanisms in southern British Columbia, Canada using the CGCMA1 simulation results
journal, March 2002
- Loukas, Athanasios; Vasiliades, Lampros; Dalezios, Nicolas R.
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 259, Issue 1-4
Changes in hail and flood risk in high-resolution simulations over Colorado's mountains
journal, January 2012
- Mahoney, Kelly; Alexander, Michael A.; Thompson, Gregory
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 2, Issue 2
The changing nature of flooding across the central United States
journal, February 2015
- Mallakpour, Iman; Villarini, Gabriele
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 5, Issue 3
Effects of changes in snow pattern and the timing of runoff on NYC water supply system
journal, May 2011
- Matonse, Adão H.; Pierson, Donald C.; Frei, Allan
- Hydrological Processes, Vol. 25, Issue 21
Uncertainty in hydrologic impacts of climate change in the Sierra Nevada, California, under two emissions scenarios
journal, February 2007
- Maurer, Edwin P.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 82, Issue 3-4
Uncertainty in projections of streamflow changes due to climate change in California
journal, January 2005
- Maurer, Edwin P.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 32, Issue 3
A Long-Term Hydrologically Based Dataset of Land Surface Fluxes and States for the Conterminous United States*
journal, November 2002
- Maurer, E. P.; Wood, A. W.; Adam, J. C.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 15, Issue 22
The utility of daily large-scale climate data in the assessment of climate change impacts on daily streamflow in California
journal, January 2010
- Maurer, E. P.; Hidalgo, H. G.; Das, T.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 14, Issue 6
The North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program: Overview of Phase I Results
journal, September 2012
- Mearns, Linda O.; Arritt, Ray; Biner, Sébastien
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 93, Issue 9
Climate change projections of the North American Regional Climate Change Assessment Program (NARCCAP)
journal, July 2013
- Mearns, L. O.; Sain, S.; Leung, L. R.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 120, Issue 4
Global pattern of trends in streamflow and water availability in a changing climate
journal, November 2005
- Milly, P. C. D.; Dunne, K. A.; Vecchia, A. V.
- Nature, Vol. 438, Issue 7066
Climate-Driven Variability and Trends in Mountain Snowpack in Western North America
journal, December 2006
- Mote, Philip W.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 19, Issue 23
Preparing for Climatic Change: The Water, Salmon, and Forests of the Pacific Northwest
journal, January 2003
- Mote, Philip W.; Parson, Edward A.; Hamlet, Alan F.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 61, Issue 1/2, p. 45-88
Declining Mountain Snowpack in Western North America*
journal, January 2005
- Mote, Philip W.; Hamlet, Alan F.; Clark, Martyn P.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 86, Issue 1
On the need for bias correction in regional climate scenarios to assess climate change impacts on river runoff
journal, January 2013
- Muerth, M. J.; Gauvin St-Denis, B.; Ricard, S.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 17, Issue 3
Estimation of global leaf area index and absorbed par using radiative transfer models
journal, January 1997
- Myneni, R. B.; Ramakrishna, R.; Nemani, R.
- IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Vol. 35, Issue 6
Abrupt changes in rainfall during the twentieth century
journal, January 2007
- Narisma, Gemma T.; Foley, Jonathan A.; Licker, Rachel
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 34, Issue 6
Sensitivity of streamflow in the Colorado Basin to climatic changes
journal, July 1991
- Nash, Linda L.; Gleick, Peter H.
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 125, Issue 3-4
Predicting the Discharge of Global Rivers
journal, August 2001
- Nijssen, Bart; O'Donnell, Greg M.; Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 14, Issue 15
Twenty-First-Century Projections of Snowfall and Winter Severity across Central-Eastern North America
journal, September 2014
- Notaro, Michael; Lorenz, David; Hoving, Christopher
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 17
A large-scale, high-resolution hydrological model parameter data set for climate change impact assessment for the conterminous US
journal, January 2014
- Oubeidillah, A. A.; Kao, S. -C.; Ashfaq, M.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 18, Issue 1
Mitigating the Effects of Climate Change on the Water Resources of the Columbia River Basin
journal, January 2004
- Payne, Jeffrey T.; Wood, Andrew W.; Hamlet, Alan F.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 62, Issue 1-3
The challenge to keep global warming below 2 °C
journal, December 2012
- Peters, Glen P.; Andrew, Robbie M.; Boden, Tom
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 1
Rain-on-snow runoff events in New York: RAIN-ON-SNOW EVENTS IN NEW YORK
journal, June 2013
- Pradhanang, Soni M.; Frei, Allan; Zion, Mark
- Hydrological Processes, Vol. 27, Issue 21
How Well Do Large-Scale Models Reproduce Regional Hydrological Extremes in Europe?
journal, December 2011
- Prudhomme, Christel; Parry, Simon; Hannaford, Jamie
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 12, Issue 6
Climate Change and Hydrological Response in the Trans-State Oologah Lake Watershed–Evaluating Dynamically Downscaled NARCCAP and Statistically Downscaled CMIP3 Simulations with VIC Model
journal, June 2014
- Qiao, Lei; Hong, Yang; McPherson, Renee
- Water Resources Management, Vol. 28, Issue 10
Climate Change Impacts on the Water Balance of the Colorado Headwaters: High-Resolution Regional Climate Model Simulations
journal, June 2014
- Rasmussen, Roy; Ikeda, Kyoko; Liu, Changhai
- Journal of Hydrometeorology, Vol. 15, Issue 3
Improving pan-European hydrological simulation of extreme events through statistical bias correction of RCM-driven climate simulations
journal, January 2011
- Rojas, R.; Feyen, L.; Dosio, A.
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 15, Issue 8
Integrated assessment of Hadley Centre (HadCM2) climate change projections on agricultural productivity and irrigation water supply in the conterminous United States
journal, June 2003
- Rosenberg, Norman J.; Brown, Robert A.; Izaurralde, R. Cesar
- Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, Vol. 117, Issue 1-2
Greenhouse warming and the 21st century hydroclimate of southwestern North America
journal, December 2010
- Seager, R.; Vecchi, G. A.
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 107, Issue 50
Model Projections of an Imminent Transition to a More Arid Climate in Southwestern North America
journal, May 2007
- Seager, R.; Ting, M.; Held, I.
- Science, Vol. 316, Issue 5828
Projections of declining surface-water availability for the southwestern United States
journal, December 2012
- Seager, Richard; Ting, Mingfang; Li, Cuihua
- Nature Climate Change, Vol. 3, Issue 5
Evaluating the ability of a hydrologic model to replicate hydro-ecologically relevant indicators: EVALUATION OF HYDROLOGIC-MODEL-SIMULATED HYDRO-ECOLOGICAL INDICATORS
journal, September 2013
- Shrestha, Rajesh R.; Peters, Daniel L.; Schnorbus, Markus A.
- Hydrological Processes, Vol. 28, Issue 14
A nonparametric stochastic method for generating daily climate-adjusted streamflows: A stochastic method for daily climate-adjusted streamflows
journal, October 2013
- Stagge, J. H.; Moglen, G. E.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 49, Issue 10
Changes in Snowmelt Runoff Timing in Western North America under a `Business as Usual' Climate Change Scenario
journal, January 2004
- Stewart, Iris T.; Cayan, Daniel R.; Dettinger, Michael D.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 62, Issue 1-3
Changes toward Earlier Streamflow Timing across Western North America
journal, April 2005
- Stewart, Iris T.; Cayan, Daniel R.; Dettinger, Michael D.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 18, Issue 8
Characterizing changes in drought risk for the United States from climate change
journal, October 2010
- Strzepek, Kenneth; Yohe, Gary; Neumann, James
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 5, Issue 4
Streamflow in the upper Mississippi river basin as simulated by SWAT driven by 20th Century contemporary results of global climate models and NARCCAP regional climate models [Streamflow in the upper Mississippi river basin as simulated by SWAT driven by 20th Century contemporary results of global climate models and NARCCAP regional climate models]
journal, August 2010
- Takle, Eugene S.; Jha, Manoj; Lu, Er
- Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol. 19, Issue 4
Generating surfaces of daily meteorological variables over large regions of complex terrain
journal, March 1997
- Thornton, Peter E.; Running, Steven W.; White, Michael A.
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 190, Issue 3-4
Impacts of 21st-Century Climate Change on Hydrologic Extremes in the Pacific Northwest Region of North America
journal, June 2014
- Tohver, Ingrid M.; Hamlet, Alan F.; Lee, Se-Yeun
- JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 50, Issue 6
Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow
journal, January 2014
- Vano, Julie A.; Udall, Bradley; Cayan, Daniel R.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 95, Issue 1
Multi-model climate impact assessment and intercomparison for three large-scale river basins on three continents
journal, January 2015
- Vetter, T.; Huang, S.; Aich, V.
- Earth System Dynamics, Vol. 6, Issue 1
Explaining spatial variability in mean annual runoff in the conterminous United States
journal, January 1999
- Wolock, Dm; McCabe, Gj
- Climate Research, Vol. 11
Hydrologic Implications of Dynamical and Statistical Approaches to Downscaling Climate Model Outputs
journal, January 2004
- Wood, A. W.; Leung, L. R.; Sridhar, V.
- Climatic Change, Vol. 62, Issue 1-3
Hyperresolution global land surface modeling: Meeting a grand challenge for monitoring Earth's terrestrial water: OPINION
journal, May 2011
- Wood, Eric F.; Roundy, Joshua K.; Troy, Tara J.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 47, Issue 5
Climate Change Projections for the United States Midwest
journal, October 2004
- Wuebbles, Donald J.; Hayhoe, Katharine
- Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Vol. 9, Issue 4
Uncertainty assessment of climate change impacts on the hydrology of small prairie wetlands
journal, January 2011
- Zhang, Hua; Huang, Guo H.; Wang, Dunling
- Journal of Hydrology, Vol. 396, Issue 1-2
Works referencing / citing this record:
Evaluating the relative importance of precipitation, temperature and land-cover change in the hydrologic response to extreme meteorological drought conditions over the North American High Plains
journal, January 2019
- Hein, Annette; Condon, Laura; Maxwell, Reed
- Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, Vol. 23, Issue 4
Contribution of environmental forcings to US runoff changes for the period 1950–2010
journal, May 2018
- Forbes, Whitney L.; Mao, Jiafu; Jin, Mingzhou
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 13, Issue 5
Do invasive alien plants benefit more from global environmental change than native plants?
journal, February 2017
- Liu, Yanjie; Oduor, Ayub M. O.; Zhang, Zhen
- Global Change Biology, Vol. 23, Issue 8
How Will Global Environmental Changes Affect the Growth of Alien Plants?
journal, November 2016
- Jia, Jujie; Dai, Zhicong; Li, Feng
- Frontiers in Plant Science, Vol. 7
Climatic and physiographic controls of spatial variability in surface water balance over the contiguous United States using the Budyko relationship: BUDYKO WATER BALANCE MODEL OVER CONUS
journal, September 2017
- Abatzoglou, John T.; Ficklin, Darren L.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 53, Issue 9
Assessment on the Effect of Climate Change on Streamflow in the Source Region of the Yangtze River, China
journal, January 2017
- Bian, Huanqing; Lü, Haishen; Sadeghi, Ali
- Water, Vol. 9, Issue 1
Sensitivity of seasonal flood simulations to regional climate model spatial resolution
journal, May 2019
- Castaneda-Gonzalez, Mariana; Poulin, Annie; Romero-Lopez, Rabindranarth
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 53, Issue 7-8
The Dependence of Hydroclimate Projections in Snow‐Dominated Regions of the Western United States on the Choice of Statistically Downscaled Climate Data
journal, March 2019
- Alder, Jay R.; Hostetler, Steven W.
- Water Resources Research, Vol. 55, Issue 3
Satellite-Based Evapotranspiration in Hydrological Model Calibration
journal, January 2020
- Jiang, Lulu; Wu, Huan; Tao, Jing
- Remote Sensing, Vol. 12, Issue 3
Multi-model Hydroclimate Projections for the Alabama-Coosa-Tallapoosa River Basin in the Southeastern United States
journal, February 2020
- Gangrade, Sudershan; Kao, Shih-Chieh; McManamay, Ryan A.
- Scientific Reports, Vol. 10, Issue 1
How Will Global Environmental Changes Affect the Growth of Alien Plants?
journal, November 2016
- Jia, Jujie; Dai, Zhicong; Li, Feng
- Frontiers in Plant Science, Vol. 7