skip to main content
DOE PAGES title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Impacts of climate change on sub-regional electricity demand and distribution in the southern United States

Abstract

New tools are employed to develop an electricity demand map for the southeastern United States at neighborhood resolution to serve as a baseline from which to project increases in electricity demand due to a rise in global and local temperature and to population shifts motivated by increases in extreme weather events due to climate change. We find that electricity demand increases due to temperature rise over the next 40 years have a much smaller impact than those due to large population influx. In addition, we find evidence that some, sections of the national electrical grid are more adaptable to these population shifts and changing demand than others are; and that detailed projections of changing local electricity demand patterns are viable and important for planning at the urban level.

Authors:
 [1];  [2];  [3];  [1]
  1. Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
  2. Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (United States)
  3. Univ. of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN (United States); Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF); Joint Institute for Computational Sciences (JICS)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE Office of Science (SC)
OSTI Identifier:
1261258
Grant/Contract Number:  
AC05-00OR22725
Resource Type:
Accepted Manuscript
Journal Name:
Nature Energy
Additional Journal Information:
Journal Volume: 1; Journal Issue: 8; Journal ID: ISSN 2058-7546
Publisher:
Nature Publishing Group
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Citation Formats

Allen, Melissa R., Fernandez, Steven J., Fu, Joshua S., and Olama, Mohammed M. Impacts of climate change on sub-regional electricity demand and distribution in the southern United States. United States: N. p., 2016. Web. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2016.103.
Allen, Melissa R., Fernandez, Steven J., Fu, Joshua S., & Olama, Mohammed M. Impacts of climate change on sub-regional electricity demand and distribution in the southern United States. United States. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2016.103.
Allen, Melissa R., Fernandez, Steven J., Fu, Joshua S., and Olama, Mohammed M. Mon . "Impacts of climate change on sub-regional electricity demand and distribution in the southern United States". United States. doi:10.1038/nenergy.2016.103. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1261258.
@article{osti_1261258,
title = {Impacts of climate change on sub-regional electricity demand and distribution in the southern United States},
author = {Allen, Melissa R. and Fernandez, Steven J. and Fu, Joshua S. and Olama, Mohammed M.},
abstractNote = {New tools are employed to develop an electricity demand map for the southeastern United States at neighborhood resolution to serve as a baseline from which to project increases in electricity demand due to a rise in global and local temperature and to population shifts motivated by increases in extreme weather events due to climate change. We find that electricity demand increases due to temperature rise over the next 40 years have a much smaller impact than those due to large population influx. In addition, we find evidence that some, sections of the national electrical grid are more adaptable to these population shifts and changing demand than others are; and that detailed projections of changing local electricity demand patterns are viable and important for planning at the urban level.},
doi = {10.1038/nenergy.2016.103},
journal = {Nature Energy},
number = 8,
volume = 1,
place = {United States},
year = {2016},
month = {7}
}

Journal Article:
Free Publicly Available Full Text
Publisher's Version of Record

Citation Metrics:
Cited by: 5 works
Citation information provided by
Web of Science

Save / Share:

Works referenced in this record:

LandScan USA: a high-resolution geospatial and temporal modeling approach for population distribution and dynamics
journal, September 2007


Research Note: A Matrix Formulation of the Lowry Model for Intrametropolitan Activity Allocation
journal, November 1966


Dynamical and statistical downscaling of the French Mediterranean climate: uncertainty assessment
journal, January 2012


Identifying Critical Locations in a Spatial Network with Graph Theory
journal, February 2008


The rising tide: assessing the risks of climate change and human settlements in low elevation coastal zones
journal, April 2007

  • McGranahan, Gordon; Balk, Deborah; Anderson, Bridget
  • Environment and Urbanization, Vol. 19, Issue 1
  • DOI: 10.1177/0956247807076960

Spatiotemporal Patterns and Return Periods of Tropical Storm and Hurricane Strikes from Texas to Maine
journal, July 2007

  • Keim, Barry D.; Muller, Robert A.; Stone, Gregory W.
  • Journal of Climate, Vol. 20, Issue 14
  • DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4187.1

Increasing destructiveness of tropical cyclones over the past 30 years
journal, July 2005


Climate Change, Mortality, and Adaptation: Evidence from Annual Fluctuations in Weather in the US
journal, October 2011

  • Deschênes, Olivier; Greenstone, Michael
  • American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, Vol. 3, Issue 4
  • DOI: 10.1257/app.3.4.152

Locally adaptive, spatially explicit projection of US population for 2030 and 2050
journal, January 2015

  • McKee, Jacob J.; Rose, Amy N.; Bright, Edward A.
  • Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Vol. 112, Issue 5
  • DOI: 10.1073/pnas.1405713112

Projected changes of extreme weather events in the eastern United States based on a high resolution climate modeling system
journal, November 2012


Mapping of settlements in high-resolution satellite imagery using high performance computing
journal, August 2007


Normalized Hurricane Damage in the United States: 1900–2005
journal, February 2008


Responses of energy use to climate change: A climate modeling study
journal, January 2006

  • Hadley, Stanton W.; Erickson, David J.; Hernandez, Jose Luis
  • Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, Issue 17
  • DOI: 10.1029/2006GL026652

The Size, Scale, and Shape of Cities
journal, February 2008


A new scenario framework for climate change research: the concept of shared socioeconomic pathways
journal, October 2013


The macroeconomic consequences of disasters
journal, March 2009


Electricity Demand Evolution Driven by Storm Motivated Population Movement
journal, January 2014


Downscaling CMIP5 climate models shows increased tropical cyclone activity over the 21st century
journal, July 2013


    Works referencing / citing this record:

    Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns
    journal, March 2019

    • Ralston Fonseca, Francisco; Jaramillo, Paulina; Bergés, Mario
    • Climatic Change, Vol. 154, Issue 3-4
    • DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02413-w

    Seasonal effects of climate change on intra-day electricity demand patterns
    journal, March 2019

    • Ralston Fonseca, Francisco; Jaramillo, Paulina; Bergés, Mario
    • Climatic Change, Vol. 154, Issue 3-4
    • DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02413-w