Modelling twentieth century global ocean circulation and iceberg flux at 48°N: implications for west Greenland iceberg discharge
Abstract
We have used a coupled ocean–iceberg model to study the variation in global ocean circulation and North Atlantic iceberg flux from 1900 to 2008. The latter component of the study focused particularly on Greenland icebergs feeding into the Labrador Current and past Newfoundland. The model was forced with daily heat, freshwater and wind fluxes from the Twentieth Century Reanalysis. The reanalysis heat fluxes were shown to be offset from the, shorter, NCEP reanalysis and a grid-point correction was applied to this component of the forcing. The model produces a generally realistic ocean circulation, although with an enhanced Atlantic Meridional Overturning largely due to the forcing. The modelled iceberg flux at 48°N is well correlated with the long-term observed flux when using a modelled iceberg discharge that varies in a similar fashion to the highly variable observed flux at 48°N. From this model we infer changes in the spatial and temporal variability of iceberg calving from western Greenland. During the first third of the twentieth century the majority of modelled icebergs reaching 48°N derive from southern Greenland, while only after 1930 is the traditional perspective of a majority of such icebergs originating from Baffin Bay consistent with model results. Decadal-scale changesmore »
- Authors:
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States). Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility (OLCF); Univ. of Sheffield, Sheffield (United Kingdom). Dept. of Geography
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE Office of Science (SC), Biological and Environmental Research (BER)
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1245278
- Alternate Identifier(s):
- OSTI ID: 1565439
- Grant/Contract Number:
- NE/H023402/1
- Resource Type:
- Published Article
- Journal Name:
- Progress in Oceanography
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Name: Progress in Oceanography Journal Volume: 138 Journal Issue: PA; Journal ID: ISSN 0079-6611
- Publisher:
- Elsevier
- Country of Publication:
- United Kingdom
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; Oceanography
Citation Formats
Wilton, David J., Bigg, Grant R., and Hanna, Edward. Modelling twentieth century global ocean circulation and iceberg flux at 48°N: implications for west Greenland iceberg discharge. United Kingdom: N. p., 2015.
Web. doi:10.1016/j.pocean.2015.07.003.
Wilton, David J., Bigg, Grant R., & Hanna, Edward. Modelling twentieth century global ocean circulation and iceberg flux at 48°N: implications for west Greenland iceberg discharge. United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.07.003
Wilton, David J., Bigg, Grant R., and Hanna, Edward. Thu .
"Modelling twentieth century global ocean circulation and iceberg flux at 48°N: implications for west Greenland iceberg discharge". United Kingdom. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.07.003.
@article{osti_1245278,
title = {Modelling twentieth century global ocean circulation and iceberg flux at 48°N: implications for west Greenland iceberg discharge},
author = {Wilton, David J. and Bigg, Grant R. and Hanna, Edward},
abstractNote = {We have used a coupled ocean–iceberg model to study the variation in global ocean circulation and North Atlantic iceberg flux from 1900 to 2008. The latter component of the study focused particularly on Greenland icebergs feeding into the Labrador Current and past Newfoundland. The model was forced with daily heat, freshwater and wind fluxes from the Twentieth Century Reanalysis. The reanalysis heat fluxes were shown to be offset from the, shorter, NCEP reanalysis and a grid-point correction was applied to this component of the forcing. The model produces a generally realistic ocean circulation, although with an enhanced Atlantic Meridional Overturning largely due to the forcing. The modelled iceberg flux at 48°N is well correlated with the long-term observed flux when using a modelled iceberg discharge that varies in a similar fashion to the highly variable observed flux at 48°N. From this model we infer changes in the spatial and temporal variability of iceberg calving from western Greenland. During the first third of the twentieth century the majority of modelled icebergs reaching 48°N derive from southern Greenland, while only after 1930 is the traditional perspective of a majority of such icebergs originating from Baffin Bay consistent with model results. Decadal-scale changes in the dominant regional sources are found, with oscillations between western Greenland and northern Baffin Bay. The latter origin was modelled to be most important in the last third of the twentieth century, although west Greenland sources have increased in importance in recent years. The model correctly reproduces the pronounced late spring peak in flux at 48°N for southern Greenland icebergs, but has an approximately six month offset for icebergs from Baffin Bay, most likely due to resolution issues leading to model icebergs not being delayed in shallow coastal waters, whereas in reality they may be grounded for some time or trapped in coastal sea-ice.},
doi = {10.1016/j.pocean.2015.07.003},
journal = {Progress in Oceanography},
number = PA,
volume = 138,
place = {United Kingdom},
year = {Thu Jul 09 00:00:00 EDT 2015},
month = {Thu Jul 09 00:00:00 EDT 2015}
}
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pocean.2015.07.003
Web of Science
Works referenced in this record:
Multi-decadal retreat of Greenland’s marine-terminating glaciers
journal, January 2011
- Howat, Ian M.; Eddy, Alex
- Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 57, Issue 203
Enhanced Mediterranean-Atlantic exchange during Atlantic freshening phases: ENHANCED MEDITERRANEAN-ATLANTIC EXCHANGE
journal, August 2010
- Rogerson, M.; Colmenero-Hidalgo, E.; Levine, R. C.
- Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems, Vol. 11, Issue 8
Parameterizing the fresh-water flux from land ice to ocean with interactive icebergs in a coupled climate model
journal, January 2010
- Martin, T.; Adcroft, A.
- Ocean Modelling, Vol. 34, Issue 3-4
Ice-sheet mass balance and climate change
journal, June 2013
- Hanna, Edward; Navarro, Francisco J.; Pattyn, Frank
- Nature, Vol. 498, Issue 7452
Iceberg risk in the Titanic year of 1912: was it exceptional?
journal, April 2014
- Bigg, Grant R.; Wilton, David J.
- Weather, Vol. 69, Issue 4
NEMO–ICB (v1.0): interactive icebergs in the NEMO ocean model globally configured at eddy-permitting resolution
journal, January 2015
- Marsh, R.; Ivchenko, V. O.; Skliris, N.
- Geoscientific Model Development, Vol. 8, Issue 5
On the uncertainty of the mass, heat, and salt budgets of the Arctic Ocean
journal, December 1999
- Goldner, Daniel R.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 104, Issue C12
Partitioning Recent Greenland Mass Loss
journal, November 2009
- van den Broeke, M.; Bamber, J.; Ettema, J.
- Science, Vol. 326, Issue 5955
Volume, Freshwater, and Heat Fluxes through Davis Strait, 2004–05*
journal, March 2011
- Curry, B.; Lee, C. M.; Petrie, B.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 41, Issue 3
Mass balance of the Greenland ice sheet from 1958 to 2007
journal, January 2008
- Rignot, E.; Box, J. E.; Burgess, E.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 35, Issue 20
Holocene ice-rafting and sediment transport from the glaciated margin of East Greenland (67–70°N) to the N Iceland shelves: detecting and modelling changing sediment sources
journal, May 2014
- Andrews, John T.; Bigg, Grant R.; Wilton, David J.
- Quaternary Science Reviews, Vol. 91
Arctic sea ice variability and trends, 1979–2006
journal, January 2008
- Parkinson, Claire L.; Cavalieri, Donald J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue C7
Acceleration of the contribution of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets to sea level rise: ACCELERATION OF ICE SHEET LOSS
journal, March 2011
- Rignot, E.; Velicogna, I.; van den Broeke, M. R.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 38, Issue 5
Modeling the impact of polar mesocyclones on ocean circulation
journal, January 2008
- Condron, Alan; Bigg, Grant R.; Renfrew, Ian A.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue C10
Interannual variability in the 1990s in the northern Atlantic and Nordic Seas
journal, June 2005
- Bigg, G. R.; Dye, S. R.; Wadley, M. R.
- Journal of Atmospheric & Ocean Science, Vol. 10, Issue 2
Transient response of the MOC and climate to potential melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the 21st century
journal, January 2009
- Hu, Aixue; Meehl, Gerald A.; Han, Weiqing
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, Issue 10
The Newfoundland ice extent and the solar cycle from 1860 to 1988
journal, January 1990
- Hill, Brian T.; Jones, Stephen J.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 95, Issue C4
Exchange through the Strait of Gibraltar
journal, January 1994
- Bryden, Harry L.; Candela, Julio; Kinder, Thomas H.
- Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 33, Issue 3
A Dynamic Thermodynamic Sea Ice Model
journal, July 1979
- Hibler, W. D.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 9, Issue 4
Decadal variability in the outflow from the Nordic seas to the deep Atlantic Ocean
journal, August 1998
- Bacon, Sheldon
- Nature, Vol. 394, Issue 6696
Greenland Ice Sheet Mass Balance Reconstruction. Part III: Marine Ice Loss and Total Mass Balance (1840–2010)
journal, September 2013
- Box, Jason E.; Colgan, William
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 26, Issue 18
Exceptionally Large Icebergs and Ice Islands in Eastern Canadian Waters: A Review of Sightings from 1900 to Present
journal, January 1993
- Newell, John P.
- ARCTIC, Vol. 46, Issue 3
Seasonal variability in the dynamics of marine-terminating outlet glaciers in Greenland
journal, January 2010
- Howat, Ian M.; Box, Jason E.; Ahn, Yushin
- Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 56, Issue 198
Recent warming in Greenland in a long-term instrumental (1881–2012) climatic context: I. Evaluation of surface air temperature records
journal, October 2012
- Hanna, Edward; Mernild, Sebastian H.; Cappelen, John
- Environmental Research Letters, Vol. 7, Issue 4
Volume and freshwater transport of the Labrador Current in Flemish Pass
journal, December 1996
- Petrie, Brian; Buckley, Joseph
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 101, Issue C12
The origin and flux of icebergs released into the Last Glacial Maximum Northern Hemisphere oceans: the impact of ice-sheet topography
journal, January 2001
- Bigg, Grant R.; Wadley, Martin R.
- Journal of Quaternary Science, Vol. 16, Issue 6
Challenges to Understanding the Dynamic Response of Greenland's Marine Terminating Glaciers to Oceanic and Atmospheric Forcing
journal, August 2013
- Straneo, Fiammetta; Heimbach, Patrick; Sergienko, Olga
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 94, Issue 8
Impact of flow through the Canadian Archipelago and Bering Strait on the North Atlantic and Arctic circulation: An ocean modelling study
journal, October 2002
- Wadley, Martin R.; Bigg, Grant R.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 128, Issue 585
An Estimate of the Flux of Iceberg Calving from Greenland
journal, May 1999
- Bigg, Grant R.
- Arctic, Antarctic, and Alpine Research, Vol. 31, Issue 2
Representing the Global-Scale Water Masses in Ocean General Circulation Models
journal, July 1993
- England, Matthew H.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 23, Issue 7
Observed increases in Bering Strait oceanic fluxes from the Pacific to the Arctic from 2001 to 2011 and their impacts on the Arctic Ocean water column
journal, December 2012
- Woodgate, Rebecca A.; Weingartner, Thomas J.; Lindsay, Ron
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 24
Temporal Variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation at 26.5 N
journal, August 2007
- Cunningham, S. A.; Kanzow, T.; Rayner, D.
- Science, Vol. 317, Issue 5840
Implementation of variable time stepping in an ocean general circulation model
journal, October 1999
- Wadley, Martin R.; Bigg, Grant R.
- Ocean Modelling, Vol. 1, Issue 2-4
The ERA-40 re-analysis
journal, October 2005
- Uppala, S. M.; KÅllberg, P. W.; Simmons, A. J.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 131, Issue 612
Modeling giant-iceberg drift under the influence of sea ice in the Weddell Sea, Antarctica
journal, January 2001
- Lichey, Christoph; Hellmer, Hartmut H.
- Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 47, Issue 158
Abyssal Channel Flow in Ocean General Circulation Models with Application to the Vema Channel
journal, January 1996
- Wadley, Martin R.; Bigg, Grant R.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 26, Issue 1
Intermittent thinning of Jakobshavn Isbræ, West Greenland, since the Little Ice Age
journal, January 2008
- Csatho, Bea; Schenk, Toni; Van Der Veen, C. J.
- Journal of Glaciology, Vol. 54, Issue 184
Evaluation of Seven Different Atmospheric Reanalysis Products in the Arctic
journal, April 2014
- Lindsay, R.; Wensnahan, M.; Schweiger, A.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 27, Issue 7
Recent large increases in freshwater fluxes from Greenland into the North Atlantic: FRESHWATER INTO THE NORTH ATLANTIC
journal, October 2012
- Bamber, Jonathan; van den Broeke, Michiel; Ettema, Janneke
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 19
Impacts on the global ocean circulation from vertical mixing and a collapsing ice sheet
journal, March 2011
- Green, J. A. M.; Bigg, G. R.
- Journal of Marine Research, Vol. 69, Issue 2
Iceberg trajectory modeling and meltwater injection in the Southern Ocean
journal, September 2001
- Gladstone, Rupert M.; Bigg, Grant R.; Nicholls, Keith W.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 106, Issue C9
Increasing rates of ice mass loss from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets revealed by GRACE
journal, January 2009
- Velicogna, I.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 36, Issue 19
Seasonal variability of the Labrador Current and shelf circulation off Newfoundland
journal, January 2008
- Han, Guoqi; Lu, Zhaoshi; Wang, Zeliang
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue C10
Direct measurement of volume flux in the Faroe-Shetland Channel and over the Iceland-Faroe Ridge: DIRECT MEASUREMENT OF CURRENTS
journal, April 2012
- Rossby, T.; Flagg, C. N.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 39, Issue 7
The General Oceanography of the Strait of Belle Isle
journal, March 1954
- Huntsman, A. G.; Bailey, W. B.; Hachey, H. B.
- Journal of the Fisheries Research Board of Canada, Vol. 11, Issue 3
The Twentieth Century Reanalysis Project
journal, January 2011
- Compo, G. P.; Whitaker, J. S.; Sardeshmukh, P. D.
- Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, Vol. 137, Issue 654
Ocean forcing of the Greenland Ice Sheet: Calving fronts and patterns of retreat identified by automatic satellite monitoring of eastern outlet glaciers
journal, January 2011
- Seale, Anthony; Christoffersen, Poul; Mugford, Ruth I.
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue F3
A Reconciled Estimate of Ice-Sheet Mass Balance
journal, November 2012
- Shepherd, A.; Ivins, E. R.; A., G.
- Science, Vol. 338, Issue 6111
Prediction of iceberg trajectories for the North Atlantic and Arctic oceans
journal, December 1996
- Bigg, Grant R.; Wadley, Martin R.; Stevens, David P.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 23, Issue 24
Modelling abrupt glacial North Atlantic freshening: Rates of change and their implications for Heinrich events
journal, December 2011
- Bigg, Grant R.; Levine, Richard C.; Green, Clare L.
- Global and Planetary Change, Vol. 79, Issue 3-4
Modeling the 20th century Arctic Ocean/Sea ice system: Reconstruction of surface forcing
journal, January 2008
- Kauker, Frank; Köberle, Cornelia; Gerdes, Rüdiger
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 113, Issue C9
Atlantic inflow to the Nordic Seas: current structure and volume fluxes from moored current meters, VM-ADCP and SeaSoar-CTD observations, 1995–1999
journal, April 2001
- Orvik, Kjell Arild; Skagseth, Øystein; Mork, Martin
- Deep Sea Research Part I: Oceanographic Research Papers, Vol. 48, Issue 4
The circulation of eastern Canadian seas
journal, November 2012
- Wu, Yongsheng; Tang, Charles; Hannah, Charles
- Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 106
Brief communication "Historical glacier length changes in West Greenland"
journal, January 2012
- Leclercq, P. W.; Weidick, A.; Paul, F.
- The Cryosphere, Vol. 6, Issue 6
An Intersection of Oceanic Waveguides: Variability in the Indonesian Throughflow Region
journal, May 2004
- Wijffels, Susan; Meyers, Gary
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 34, Issue 5
Modelling the dynamics and thermodynamics of icebergs
journal, October 1997
- Bigg, Grant R.; Wadley, Martin R.; Stevens, David P.
- Cold Regions Science and Technology, Vol. 26, Issue 2
Simulated Variability of the Arctic Ocean Freshwater Balance 1948–2001
journal, June 2007
- Köberle, Cornelia; Gerdes, Rüdiger
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 37, Issue 6
Iceberg Severity of Eastern North America: Its Relationship to Sea Ice Variability and Climate Change
journal, September 1994
- Marko, S. R.; Fissel, D. B.; Wadhams, P.
- Journal of Climate, Vol. 7, Issue 9
Isoneutral Diffusion in a z -Coordinate Ocean Model
journal, May 1998
- Griffies, Stephen M.; Gnanadesikan, Anand; Pacanowski, Ronald C.
- Journal of Physical Oceanography, Vol. 28, Issue 5
The NCEP/NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis Project
journal, March 1996
- Kalnay, E.; Kanamitsu, M.; Kistler, R.
- Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, Vol. 77, Issue 3
Greenland Ice Sheet surface mass balance 1870 to 2010 based on Twentieth Century Reanalysis, and links with global climate forcing: GREENLAND ICE SHEET MASS BALANCE
journal, December 2011
- Hanna, Edward; Huybrechts, Philippe; Cappelen, John
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, Vol. 116, Issue D24
Long-term coordinated changes in the convective activity of the North Atlantic
journal, January 1996
- Dickson, Robert; Lazier, John; Meincke, Jens
- Progress in Oceanography, Vol. 38, Issue 3
The Arctic Ocean in summer: A quasi-synoptic inverse estimate of boundary fluxes and water mass transformation: THE ARCTIC OCEAN IN SUMMER
journal, January 2012
- Tsubouchi, T.; Bacon, S.; Naveira Garabato, A. C.
- Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, Vol. 117, Issue C1
Sensitivity of the glacial ocean to Heinrich events from different iceberg sources, as modeled by a coupled atmosphere-iceberg-ocean model: COUPLED SIMULATIONS OF HEINRICH EVENTS
journal, December 2008
- Levine, Richard C.; Bigg, Grant R.
- Paleoceanography, Vol. 23, Issue 4
Deep Labrador Current and its variability in 1996–2005
journal, January 2006
- Dengler, Marcus; Fischer, Jürgen; Schott, Friedrich A.
- Geophysical Research Letters, Vol. 33, Issue 21
Sea ice and iceberg dynamic interaction
journal, January 2011
- Hunke, Elizabeth C.; Comeau, Darin
- Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 116, Issue C5
A global ocean mesh to overcome the North Pole singularity
journal, May 1996
- Madec, Gurvan; Imbard, Maurice
- Climate Dynamics, Vol. 12, Issue 6