The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1

de Vries, K. J.; Bagnaschi, E. A.; Buchmueller, O.; Cavanaugh, R.; Citron, M.; De Roeck, A.; Dolan, M. J.; Ellis, J. R.; Flächer, H.; Heinemeyer, S.; Isidori, G.; Malik, S.; Marrouche, J.; Santos, D. Martínez; Olive, K. A.; Sakurai, K.; Weiglein, G.

doi:10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3599-y

Title: The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1

Abstract

We present a frequentist analysis of the parameter space of the pMSSM10, in which the following ten soft SUSY-breaking parameters are specified independently at the mean scalar top mass scale M_SUSY ≡ √m_{$$\tilde{t}$$₁}m_{$$\tilde{t}$$₂} : the gaugino masses M_1,2,3 , the first-and second-generation squark masses m_{$$\tilde{q}$$₁} = m_{$$\tilde{q}$$₂} , the third-generation squark mass m_{$$\tilde{q}$$₃}, a common slepton mass m_{$$\tilde{ℓ}$$} and a common trilinear mixing parameter A , as well as the Higgs mixing parameter μ , the pseudoscalar Higgs mass M_A and tanβ , the ratio of the two Higgs vacuum expectation values. We use the MultiNest sampling algorithm with ~ 1.2 ×10⁹ points to sample the pMSSM10 parameter space. A dedicated study shows that the sensitivities to strongly interacting sparticle masses of ATLAS and CMS searches for jets, leptons + E-slash_T signals depend only weakly on many of the other pMSSM10 parameters. With the aid of the Atom and Scorpion codes, we also implement the LHC searches for electroweakly interacting sparticles and light stops, so as to confront the pMSSM10 parameter space with all relevant SUSY searches. In addition, our analysis includes Higgs mass and rate measurements using the HiggsSignals code, SUSY Higgs exclusion bounds, the measurements of BR(B_s→μ⁺μ^-) by LHCb and CMS, other B -physics observables, electroweak precision observables, the cold dark matter density and the XENON100 and LUX searches for spin-independent dark matter scattering, assuming that the cold dark matter is mainly provided by the lightest neutralino χ-tilde₁⁰ . We show that the pMSSM10 is able to provide a supersymmetric interpretation of (g-2)_μ , unlike the CMSSM, NUHM1 and NUHM2. As a result, we find (omitting Higgs rates) that the minimum χ2=20.5 with 18 degrees of freedom (d.o.f.) in the pMSSM10, corresponding to a χ2 probability of 30.8 %, to be compared with χ2/d.o.f.=32.8/24(31.1/23)(30.3/22) in the CMSSM (NUHM1) (NUHM2). We display the one-dimensional likelihood functions for sparticle masses, and we show that they may be significantly lighter in the pMSSM10 than in the other models, e.g., the gluino may be as light as ~ 1250 GeV at the 68 % CL, and squarks, stops, electroweak gauginos and sleptons may be much lighter than in the CMSSM, NUHM1 and NUHM2. We discuss the discovery potential of future LHC runs, e⁺e^- colliders and direct detection experiments.

Authors:: de Vries, K. J.; Bagnaschi, E. A.; Buchmueller, O.; Cavanaugh, R.; Citron, M.; De Roeck, A.; Dolan, M. J.; Ellis, J. R.; Flächer, H.; Heinemeyer, S.; Isidori, G.; Malik, S.; Marrouche, J.; Santos, D. Martínez; Olive, K. A.; Sakurai, K.; Weiglein, G.

Publication Date:: Tue Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 2015

Research Org.:: Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory (FNAL), Batavia, IL (United States)

Sponsoring Org.:: USDOE Office of Science (SC), High Energy Physics (HEP)

OSTI Identifier:: 1212750

Report Number(s):: FERMILAB-PUB-15-100-CMS; UMN-TH-3427-15; SLAC-PUB-16245; LCTS-2015-07; KCL-PH-TH-2015-15; FTPI-MINN-15-13; DESY-15-046; CERN-PH-TH-2015-066
Journal ID: ISSN 1434-6044; arXiv eprint number arXiv:1504.03260

Grant/Contract Number:: AC02-07CH11359

Resource Type:: Accepted Manuscript

Journal Name:: European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields

Additional Journal Information:: Journal Volume: 75; Journal Issue: 9; Journal ID: ISSN 1434-6044

Publisher:: Springer

Country of Publication:: United States

Language:: English

Subject:: 72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS

Citation Formats


                    de Vries, K. J., Bagnaschi, E. A., Buchmueller, O., Cavanaugh, R., Citron, M., De Roeck, A., Dolan, M. J., Ellis, J. R., Flächer, H., Heinemeyer, S., Isidori, G., Malik, S., Marrouche, J., Santos, D. Martínez, Olive, K. A., Sakurai, K., and Weiglein, G. The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1.  United States: N. p., 2015. 
Web.  doi:10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3599-y.

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                    de Vries, K. J., Bagnaschi, E. A., Buchmueller, O., Cavanaugh, R., Citron, M., De Roeck, A., Dolan, M. J., Ellis, J. R., Flächer, H., Heinemeyer, S., Isidori, G., Malik, S., Marrouche, J., Santos, D. Martínez, Olive, K. A., Sakurai, K., & Weiglein, G. The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1.  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3599-y

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                    de Vries, K. J., Bagnaschi, E. A., Buchmueller, O., Cavanaugh, R., Citron, M., De Roeck, A., Dolan, M. J., Ellis, J. R., Flächer, H., Heinemeyer, S., Isidori, G., Malik, S., Marrouche, J., Santos, D. Martínez, Olive, K. A., Sakurai, K., and Weiglein, G. Tue .  
"The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1".  United States.  https://doi.org/10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3599-y.  https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1212750.

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@article{osti_1212750,

  title        = {The pMSSM10 after LHC run 1},

  author       = {de Vries, K. J. and Bagnaschi, E. A. and Buchmueller, O. and Cavanaugh, R. and Citron, M. and De Roeck, A. and Dolan, M. J. and Ellis, J. R. and Flächer, H. and Heinemeyer, S. and Isidori, G. and Malik, S. and Marrouche, J. and Santos, D. Martínez and Olive, K. A. and Sakurai, K. and Weiglein, G.},

  abstractNote = {We present a frequentist analysis of the parameter space of the pMSSM10, in which the following ten soft SUSY-breaking parameters are specified independently at the mean scalar top mass scale MSUSY ≡ √m$\tilde{t}$1m$\tilde{t}$2 : the gaugino masses M1,2,3 , the first-and second-generation squark masses m$\tilde{q}$1 = m$\tilde{q}$2 , the third-generation squark mass m$\tilde{q}$3, a common slepton mass m$\tilde{ℓ}$ and a common trilinear mixing parameter A , as well as the Higgs mixing parameter μ , the pseudoscalar Higgs mass MA and tanβ , the ratio of the two Higgs vacuum expectation values. We use the MultiNest sampling algorithm with ~ 1.2 ×109 points to sample the pMSSM10 parameter space. A dedicated study shows that the sensitivities to strongly interacting sparticle masses of ATLAS and CMS searches for jets, leptons + E-slashT signals depend only weakly on many of the other pMSSM10 parameters. With the aid of the Atom and Scorpion codes, we also implement the LHC searches for electroweakly interacting sparticles and light stops, so as to confront the pMSSM10 parameter space with all relevant SUSY searches. In addition, our analysis includes Higgs mass and rate measurements using the HiggsSignals code, SUSY Higgs exclusion bounds, the measurements of BR(Bs→μ+μ-) by LHCb and CMS, other B -physics observables, electroweak precision observables, the cold dark matter density and the XENON100 and LUX searches for spin-independent dark matter scattering, assuming that the cold dark matter is mainly provided by the lightest neutralino χ-tilde10 . We show that the pMSSM10 is able to provide a supersymmetric interpretation of (g-2)μ , unlike the CMSSM, NUHM1 and NUHM2. As a result, we find (omitting Higgs rates) that the minimum χ2=20.5 with 18 degrees of freedom (d.o.f.) in the pMSSM10, corresponding to a χ2 probability of 30.8 %, to be compared with χ2/d.o.f.=32.8/24(31.1/23)(30.3/22) in the CMSSM (NUHM1) (NUHM2). We display the one-dimensional likelihood functions for sparticle masses, and we show that they may be significantly lighter in the pMSSM10 than in the other models, e.g., the gluino may be as light as ~ 1250 GeV at the 68 % CL, and squarks, stops, electroweak gauginos and sleptons may be much lighter than in the CMSSM, NUHM1 and NUHM2. We discuss the discovery potential of future LHC runs, e+e- colliders and direct detection experiments.},

  doi          = {10.1140/epjc/s10052-015-3599-y},

  journal      = {European Physical Journal. C, Particles and Fields},

  number       = 9,

  volume       = 75,

  place        = {United States},

  year         = {Tue Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 2015},

  month        = {Tue Sep 01 00:00:00 EDT 2015}

}

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Abstract

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Observation of a new particle in the search for the Standard Model Higgs boson with the ATLAS detector at the LHC journal, September 2012

Observation of a new boson at a mass of 125 GeV with the CMS experiment at the LHC journal, September 2012

Measurement of the B s 0 → μ + μ − Branching Fraction and Search for B 0 → μ + μ − Decays at the LHCb Experiment journal, September 2013

Measurement of the B s 0 → μ + μ − Branching Fraction and Search for B 0 → μ + μ − with the CMS Experiment journal, September 2013

Supersymmetry, supergravity and particle physics journal, August 1984

The search for supersymmetry: Probing physics beyond the standard model journal, January 1985

Neutralino relic density in minimal N = 1 supergravity journal, January 1993

Cosmological relic density from minimal supergravity with implications for collider physics journal, January 1996

Neutralino dark matter in minimal supergravity: Direct detection versus collider searches journal, January 1998

Yukawa unified supersymmetric SO ( 10 ) model: Cosmology, rare decays, and collider searches journal, December 2000

The CMSSM parameter space at large tanβ journal, June 2001

Study of constrained minimal supersymmetry journal, June 1994

Supersymmetric dark matter in the light of LEP 1.5 journal, November 1996

Constraints on neutralino dark matter from LEP 2 and cosmology journal, November 1997

Charginos and neutralinos in the light of radiative corrections: Sealing the fate of Higgsino dark matter journal, September 1998

Relic density of neutralino dark matter in supergravity models journal, March 1998

Supersymmetric dark matter in the light of CERN LEP and the Fermilab Tevatron collider journal, September 2000

New cosmological and experimental constraints on the CMSSM journal, August 2001

Constraints on the minimal supergravity model and prospects for SUSY particle production at future linear e + e − colliders journal, August 2001

Supersymmetric dark matter and Yukawa unification journal, August 2002

Constraining supersymmetry journal, June 2002

Updated Constraints on the Minimal Supergravity Model journal, July 2002

Benchmark models, planes, lines and points for future SUSY searches at the LHC journal, December 2011

Neutralino cold dark matter in a one-parameter extension of the minimal supergravity model journal, May 2005

Direct, indirect and collider detection of neutralino dark matter in SUSY models with non-universal Higgs masses journal, July 2005

Varying the universality of supersymmetry-breaking contributions to MSSM Higgs boson masses journal, October 2008

The Higgs mass beyond the CMSSM journal, April 2013

The MSSM parameter space with non-universal Higgs masses journal, July 2002

Exploration of the MSSM with non-universal Higgs masses journal, March 2003

Supersymmetry without prejudice journal, February 2009

Fitting the phenomenological MSSM journal, May 2010

Supersymmetry without prejudice at the LHC journal, July 2011

Discovery reach for generic supersymmetry at the LHC: M T2 versus missing transverse momentum selections for pMSSM searches journal, July 2011

Interpreting LHC SUSY searches in the phenomenological MSSM journal, February 2012

Implications of LHC searches on SUSY particle spectra: The pMSSM parameter space with neutralino dark matter journal, January 2012

An update of the constraints on the phenomenological MSSM from the new LHC Higgs results journal, March 2013

More energy, more searches, but the phenomenological MSSM lives on journal, August 2013

Profile likelihood maps of a 15-dimensional MSSM journal, September 2014

Lessons and prospects from the pMSSM after LHC Run I journal, March 2015

Prospects for dark matter searches in the pMSSM journal, February 2015

Measurement of the Negative Muon Anomalous Magnetic Moment to 0.7 ppm journal, April 2004

Final report of the E821 muon anomalous magnetic moment measurement at BNL journal, April 2006

The NUHM2 after LHC Run 1 journal, December 2014

Multimodal nested sampling: an efficient and robust alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for astronomical data analyses: Multimodal nested sampling journal, January 2008

MultiNest: an efficient and robust Bayesian inference tool for cosmology and particle physics journal, October 2009

Universal mass limits on gluino and third-generation squarks in the context of Natural-like SUSY spectra journal, March 2014

The CMSSM and NUHM1 after LHC Run 1 journal, June 2014

Supersymmetry in light of 1/fb of LHC data journal, February 2012

The CMSSM and NUHM1 in light of 7 TeV LHC, B s →μ + μ − and XENON100 data journal, November 2012

Implications of improved Higgs mass calculations for supersymmetric models journal, March 2014

SOFTSUSY: A program for calculating supersymmetric spectra journal, March 2002

Precise prediction for M W in the MSSM journal, August 2006

Z pole observables in the MSSM journal, April 2008

Towards high-precision predictions for the MSSM Higgs sector journal, May 2003

The masses of the neutral journal, January 1999

FeynHiggs: a program for the calculation of the masses of the neutral -even Higgs bosons in the MSSM journal, January 2000

High-Precision Predictions for the Light C P -Even Higgs Boson Mass of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model journal, April 2014

Flavor physics at large tan β with a binolike lightest supersymmetric particle journal, June 2007

SuperIso: A program for calculating the isospin asymmetry of in the MSSM journal, May 2008

SuperIso v2.3: A program for calculating flavor physics observables in supersymmetry journal, September 2009

Charged Higgs bosons in minimal supersymmetry: updated constraints and experimental prospects journal, November 2008

micrOMEGAs 2.0: A program to calculate the relic density of dark matter in a generic model journal, March 2007

micrOMEGAs: Version 1.3 journal, April 2006

SDECAY: a Fortran code for the decays of the supersymmetric particles in the MSSM journal, May 2005

HiggsSignals: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with measurements at the Tevatron and the LHC journal, February 2014

Probing the Standard Model with Higgs signal rates from the Tevatron, the LHC and a future ILC journal, November 2014

HiggsBounds: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron journal, January 2010

HiggsBounds 2.0.0: Confronting neutral and charged Higgs sector predictions with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron journal, December 2011

HiggsBounds-4: improved tests of extended Higgs sectors against exclusion bounds from LEP, the Tevatron and the LHC journal, March 2014

SUSY Les Houches Accord 2 journal, January 2009

First Results from the LUX Dark Matter Experiment at the Sanford Underground Research Facility journal, March 2014

Dark Matter Results from 100 Live Days of XENON100 Data journal, September 2011

Rivet user manual journal, December 2013

PYTHIA 6.4 physics and manual journal, May 2006

Natural SUSY endures journal, September 2012

‘Stop’ that ambulance! New physics at the LHC? journal, December 2014

Fastlim: a fast LHC limit calculator journal, November 2014

Observation of a new particle in the search for the Standard Model Higgs boson with the ATLAS detector at the LHC
journal, September 2012

Observation of a new boson at a mass of 125 GeV with the CMS experiment at the LHC
journal, September 2012

Measurement of the $B_{s}^{0} \to μ^{+} μ^{-}$ Branching Fraction and Search for $B^{0} \to μ^{+} μ^{-}$ Decays at the LHCb Experiment
journal, September 2013

Measurement of the $B_{s}^{0} \to μ^{+} μ^{-}$ Branching Fraction and Search for $B^{0} \to μ^{+} μ^{-}$ with the CMS Experiment
journal, September 2013

Supersymmetry, supergravity and particle physics
journal, August 1984

The search for supersymmetry: Probing physics beyond the standard model
journal, January 1985

Neutralino relic density in minimal $N = 1$ supergravity
journal, January 1993

Cosmological relic density from minimal supergravity with implications for collider physics
journal, January 1996

Neutralino dark matter in minimal supergravity: Direct detection versus collider searches
journal, January 1998

Yukawa unified supersymmetric $SO (10)$ model: Cosmology, rare decays, and collider searches
journal, December 2000

The CMSSM parameter space at large tanβ
journal, June 2001

Study of constrained minimal supersymmetry
journal, June 1994

Supersymmetric dark matter in the light of LEP 1.5
journal, November 1996

Constraints on neutralino dark matter from LEP 2 and cosmology
journal, November 1997

Charginos and neutralinos in the light of radiative corrections: Sealing the fate of Higgsino dark matter
journal, September 1998

Relic density of neutralino dark matter in supergravity models
journal, March 1998

Supersymmetric dark matter in the light of CERN LEP and the Fermilab Tevatron collider
journal, September 2000

New cosmological and experimental constraints on the CMSSM
journal, August 2001

Constraints on the minimal supergravity model and prospects for SUSY particle production at future linear e ⁺ e ⁻ colliders
journal, August 2001

Supersymmetric dark matter and Yukawa unification
journal, August 2002

Constraining supersymmetry
journal, June 2002

Updated Constraints on the Minimal Supergravity Model
journal, July 2002

Benchmark models, planes, lines and points for future SUSY searches at the LHC
journal, December 2011

Neutralino cold dark matter in a one-parameter extension of the minimal supergravity model
journal, May 2005

Direct, indirect and collider detection of neutralino dark matter in SUSY models with non-universal Higgs masses
journal, July 2005

Varying the universality of supersymmetry-breaking contributions to MSSM Higgs boson masses
journal, October 2008

The Higgs mass beyond the CMSSM
journal, April 2013

The MSSM parameter space with non-universal Higgs masses
journal, July 2002

Exploration of the MSSM with non-universal Higgs masses
journal, March 2003

Supersymmetry without prejudice
journal, February 2009

Fitting the phenomenological MSSM
journal, May 2010

Supersymmetry without prejudice at the LHC
journal, July 2011

Discovery reach for generic supersymmetry at the LHC: M T2 versus missing transverse momentum selections for pMSSM searches
journal, July 2011

Interpreting LHC SUSY searches in the phenomenological MSSM
journal, February 2012

Implications of LHC searches on SUSY particle spectra: The pMSSM parameter space with neutralino dark matter
journal, January 2012

An update of the constraints on the phenomenological MSSM from the new LHC Higgs results
journal, March 2013

More energy, more searches, but the phenomenological MSSM lives on
journal, August 2013

Profile likelihood maps of a 15-dimensional MSSM
journal, September 2014

Lessons and prospects from the pMSSM after LHC Run I
journal, March 2015

Prospects for dark matter searches in the pMSSM
journal, February 2015

Measurement of the Negative Muon Anomalous Magnetic Moment to 0.7 ppm
journal, April 2004

Final report of the E821 muon anomalous magnetic moment measurement at BNL
journal, April 2006

The NUHM2 after LHC Run 1
journal, December 2014

Multimodal nested sampling: an efficient and robust alternative to Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods for astronomical data analyses: Multimodal nested sampling
journal, January 2008

MultiNest: an efficient and robust Bayesian inference tool for cosmology and particle physics
journal, October 2009

Universal mass limits on gluino and third-generation squarks in the context of Natural-like SUSY spectra
journal, March 2014

The CMSSM and NUHM1 after LHC Run 1
journal, June 2014

Supersymmetry in light of 1/fb of LHC data
journal, February 2012

The CMSSM and NUHM1 in light of 7 TeV LHC, B s →μ + μ − and XENON100 data
journal, November 2012

Implications of improved Higgs mass calculations for supersymmetric models
journal, March 2014

SOFTSUSY: A program for calculating supersymmetric spectra
journal, March 2002

Precise prediction for M _W in the MSSM
journal, August 2006

Z pole observables in the MSSM
journal, April 2008

Towards high-precision predictions for the MSSM Higgs sector
journal, May 2003

The masses of the neutral
journal, January 1999

FeynHiggs: a program for the calculation of the masses of the neutral -even Higgs bosons in the MSSM
journal, January 2000

High-Precision Predictions for the Light $C P$ -Even Higgs Boson Mass of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model
journal, April 2014

Flavor physics at large tan $β$ with a binolike lightest supersymmetric particle
journal, June 2007

SuperIso: A program for calculating the isospin asymmetry of in the MSSM
journal, May 2008

SuperIso v2.3: A program for calculating flavor physics observables in supersymmetry
journal, September 2009

Charged Higgs bosons in minimal supersymmetry: updated constraints and experimental prospects
journal, November 2008

micrOMEGAs 2.0: A program to calculate the relic density of dark matter in a generic model
journal, March 2007

micrOMEGAs: Version 1.3
journal, April 2006

SDECAY: a Fortran code for the decays of the supersymmetric particles in the MSSM
journal, May 2005

HiggsSignals: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with measurements at the Tevatron and the LHC
journal, February 2014

Probing the Standard Model with Higgs signal rates from the Tevatron, the LHC and a future ILC
journal, November 2014

HiggsBounds: Confronting arbitrary Higgs sectors with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron
journal, January 2010

HiggsBounds 2.0.0: Confronting neutral and charged Higgs sector predictions with exclusion bounds from LEP and the Tevatron
journal, December 2011

HiggsBounds-4: improved tests of extended Higgs sectors against exclusion bounds from LEP, the Tevatron and the LHC
journal, March 2014

SUSY Les Houches Accord 2
journal, January 2009

First Results from the LUX Dark Matter Experiment at the Sanford Underground Research Facility
journal, March 2014

Dark Matter Results from 100 Live Days of XENON100 Data
journal, September 2011

Rivet user manual
journal, December 2013

PYTHIA 6.4 physics and manual
journal, May 2006

Natural SUSY endures
journal, September 2012

‘Stop’ that ambulance! New physics at the LHC?
journal, December 2014

Fastlim: a fast LHC limit calculator
journal, November 2014

DELPHES 3: a modular framework for fast simulation of a generic collider experiment
journal, February 2014

Search for supersymmetry in pp collisions at 7 TeV in events with jets and missing transverse energy
journal, April 2011

Search for top-squark pair production in the single-lepton final state in pp collisions at $\sqrt{s}=8\ \mathrm{TeV}$
journal, December 2013