Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States
Abstract
Climate change impacts on water resources in the U.S. are likely to be far-reaching and substantial, because the water sector spans many parts of the economy, from supply and demand for agriculture, industry, energy production, transportation and municipal use to damages from natural hazards. This paper provides impact and damage estimates from five water resource-related models in the CIRA frame work, addressing drought risk, flooding damages, water supply and demand, and global water scarcity. The four models differ in the water system assessed, their spatial scale, and the units of assessment, but together they provide a quantitative and descriptive richness in characterizing water resource sector effects of climate change that no single model can capture. The results also address the sensitivity of these estimates to greenhouse gas emission scenarios, climate sensitivity alternatives, and global climate model selection. While calculating the net impact of climate change on the water sector as a whole may be impractical, because each of the models applied here uses a consistent set of climate scenarios, broad conclusions can be drawn regarding the patterns of change and the benefits of GHG mitigation policies for the water sector. Two key findings emerge: 1) climate mitigation policy substantially reducesmore »
- Authors:
-
- Massachusetts Inst. of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA (United States)
- Industrial Economics, Cambridge, MA (United States)
- Stratus Consulting, Boulder, CO (United States)
- US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), Washington, DC (United States)
- Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Publication Date:
- Research Org.:
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1208767
- Report Number(s):
- PNNL-SA-93379
Journal ID: ISSN 0165-0009; 400408000
- Grant/Contract Number:
- AC05-76RL01830
- Resource Type:
- Accepted Manuscript
- Journal Name:
- Climatic Change
- Additional Journal Information:
- Journal Volume: 131; Journal Issue: 1; Journal ID: ISSN 0165-0009
- Publisher:
- Springer
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; 29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY
Citation Formats
Strzepek, K., Neumann, Jim, Smith, Joel, Martinich, Jeremy, Boehlert, Brent, Hejazi, Mohamad I., Henderson, Jim, Wobus, Cameron, Jones, Russ, Calvin, Katherine V., Johnson, D., Monier, Erwan, Strzepek, J., and Yoon, Jin-Ho. Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States. United States: N. p., 2014.
Web. doi:10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9.
Strzepek, K., Neumann, Jim, Smith, Joel, Martinich, Jeremy, Boehlert, Brent, Hejazi, Mohamad I., Henderson, Jim, Wobus, Cameron, Jones, Russ, Calvin, Katherine V., Johnson, D., Monier, Erwan, Strzepek, J., & Yoon, Jin-Ho. Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States. United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9
Strzepek, K., Neumann, Jim, Smith, Joel, Martinich, Jeremy, Boehlert, Brent, Hejazi, Mohamad I., Henderson, Jim, Wobus, Cameron, Jones, Russ, Calvin, Katherine V., Johnson, D., Monier, Erwan, Strzepek, J., and Yoon, Jin-Ho. Sat .
"Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States". United States. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1208767.
@article{osti_1208767,
title = {Benefits of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation on the Supply, Management, and Use of Water Resources in the United States},
author = {Strzepek, K. and Neumann, Jim and Smith, Joel and Martinich, Jeremy and Boehlert, Brent and Hejazi, Mohamad I. and Henderson, Jim and Wobus, Cameron and Jones, Russ and Calvin, Katherine V. and Johnson, D. and Monier, Erwan and Strzepek, J. and Yoon, Jin-Ho},
abstractNote = {Climate change impacts on water resources in the U.S. are likely to be far-reaching and substantial, because the water sector spans many parts of the economy, from supply and demand for agriculture, industry, energy production, transportation and municipal use to damages from natural hazards. This paper provides impact and damage estimates from five water resource-related models in the CIRA frame work, addressing drought risk, flooding damages, water supply and demand, and global water scarcity. The four models differ in the water system assessed, their spatial scale, and the units of assessment, but together they provide a quantitative and descriptive richness in characterizing water resource sector effects of climate change that no single model can capture. The results also address the sensitivity of these estimates to greenhouse gas emission scenarios, climate sensitivity alternatives, and global climate model selection. While calculating the net impact of climate change on the water sector as a whole may be impractical, because each of the models applied here uses a consistent set of climate scenarios, broad conclusions can be drawn regarding the patterns of change and the benefits of GHG mitigation policies for the water sector. Two key findings emerge: 1) climate mitigation policy substantially reduces the impact of climate change on the water sector across multiple dimensions; and 2) the more managed the water resources system, the more tempered the climate change impacts and the resulting reduction of impacts from climate mitigation policies.},
doi = {10.1007/s10584-014-1279-9},
journal = {Climatic Change},
number = 1,
volume = 131,
place = {United States},
year = {Sat Nov 29 00:00:00 EST 2014},
month = {Sat Nov 29 00:00:00 EST 2014}
}
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