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  1. AEO2015 BWG

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Behjat Hojjati Kevin Jarzomski David Peterson Steve Wade Owen Comstock (currently on detail) August 7, 2014 AEO2015 Model Updates Discussion purposes only - do not cite or circulate Overview AEO2015 Builldings Working Group Washington, D.C., August 7, 2014 2 * Shorter AEO this year * Federal standards * End-use technology characterizations * Historical updates * Discussion Discussion purposes only - do not cite or circulate Federal standards AEO2015 Builldings Working Group Washington, D.C.,

  2. AEO2016 Electricity Working Group

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    in Reference Case: coal ash, cooling water intake, effluent limits (under ... Regulation AEO2015 Assumption AEO2016 Assumption Comment Cooling Water Intakes (Clean ...

  3. World Oil Prices in AEO2007 (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Over the long term, the Annual Energy Outlook 2007 (AEO) projection for world oil prices -- defined as the average price of imported low-sulfur, light crude oil to U.S. refiners -- is similar to the AEO2006 projection. In the near term, however, AEO2007 projects prices that are $8 to $10 higher than those in AEO2006.

  4. AEO2014 results and status updates for the AEO2015

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    For AEO Electricity Working Group July 31, 2014, 1:00 PM Electricity Analysis Team Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Electric Power in the Annual Energy Outlook AEO2014 results and status updates for the AEO2015 Working group presentation for discussion purposes. Do not quote or cite, as preliminary AEO2015 data and results are subject to change. Agenda Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear and Renewables Analysis | July 31, 2014 | Working group presentation for

  5. World Oil Prices in AEO2006 (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    World oil prices in the Annual Energy Outlook 2006 (AEO) reference case are substantially higher than those in the AEO2005 reference case. In the AEO2006 reference case, world crude oil prices, in terms of the average price of imported low-sulfur, light crude oil to U.S. refiners, decline from current levels to about $47 per barrel (2004 dollars) in 2014, then rise to $54 per barrel in 2025 and $57 per barrel in 2030. The price in 2025 is approximately $21 per barrel higher than the corresponding price projection in the AEO2005 reference case.

  6. AEO2014 Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    September 26, 2013 AEO2014 Preliminary Results For discussion purposes only Not for citation Overview 2 * Residential projects - RECS update - Housing stock formation and decay - Lighting model - ENERGY STAR homes benchmarking - Weather elasticities * Commercial projects - Major end-use capacity factors - Data center servers - ENERGY STAR buildings - Hurdle rate floor * Both sectors - Usual annual updates - Miscellaneous end-use technology assumptions updates - Distributed generation * Contract

  7. AEO2016 Electricity Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis December 8, 2015 | Washington, DC AEO2016 Electricity Working Group WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE What to look for: Electricity sector in AEO2016 * Inclusion of EPA final Clean Power Plan in Reference Case * Updated cost estimates for new generating technologies * Major data update on existing coal plant status: MATS- compliant technology or retirement

  8. Industrial Plans for AEO2014

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    30, 2013 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Industrial team plans for AEO2014 Overview -- AEO2014 * Process flow status & updates * Other model updates * Major data updates * CHP updates 2 Industrial Team Washington DC, July 30, 2013 WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Process flow models * General: - Replace energy consumption based on

  9. Renewable Electricity in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO)

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    For Renewable Electricity Working Group July 24, 2014 Christopher Namovicz and Gwen Bredehoeft Renewable Electricity Analysis Team AEO2014 results and status updates for the AEO2015 Agenda Renewable Electricity Analysis Team July 24, 2014 2 * Review of AEO2014 - Changes made for AEO2014 - Review of Results * Status of AEO2015 * Updates planned for AEO2015 WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Updates included in the AEO2014

  10. Industrial Team Plans for AEO2015

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Process flow models * General: - Replace energy consumption based on engineering judgment ... drivers * AEO2015 new model - DLM joint pricing model of ethane and propane - Automated ...

  11. Industrial Team Plans for AEO2015

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    CHANGE Data updates & regulation * Data - CHP historical data - Benchmarking total ... for AEO2015; may not be applicable to CHP * Size: greater than or equal to 25MW ...

  12. AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Presentation

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting #1 Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas, and Biofuels Analysis August 25, 2016 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Discussion topics * "Short" AEO2017 * World Oil Price Path * Assumptions/changes for AEO2017 - petroleum * Assumptions/changes for AEO2017 - biofuels/non-petroleum 2 AEO2017 LFMM/IEM Working Group Meeting

  13. AEO2015 Transportation Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... Vehicles with these technology options are not connected to the electrical grid. 7. Has EIA made any improvements to the VMT modeling? a. For AEO2014, EIA updated the population, ...

  14. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    202-586-6419 Vishakh Mantri, Ph.D, P.E. Chemical Engineer, Energy Information ... tcapehart@ers.usda.gov 202-694-5313 Chemical Production in the AEO Peter Gross Energy ...

  15. AEO2015 Coal Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    AS AEO2015 MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND INPUTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. 1 July 30, 2014 MEMORANDUM TO: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis FROM: Coal and Uranium Analysis Team SUBJECT: AEO2015 Coal Working Group Meeting I Summary Attendees (39) Name Affiliation Greg Adams (Moderator) US DOE: EIA Jim Diefenderfer Tyler Hodge Elias Johnson Ayaka Jones Eric Krall Laura Martin Mike Mellish Kate

  16. AEO2016 Preliminary Industrial Output Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    1: Preliminary macroeconomic results For Macro-Industrial Working Group December 3, 2015 | Washington, DC By Kay Smith, Macro Team Leader, Elizabeth Sendich, Russ Tarver, and Vipin Arora DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE Macro Team's AEO2016 Briefing Plans * Review incorporation of completed AEO macroeconomic initiatives - Revised commercial floorspace model using indices rather than levels so that EIA customers won't have to incur extra data costs to compensate Dodge - Enhancements of the industrial

  17. Coal Working Group - AEO2017 Summary Notes

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    AEO2017 MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND NOTE INPUTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. 1 September 7, 2016 MEMORANDUM TO: Dr. Ian Mead Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis FROM: Coal and Uranium Analysis Team SUBJECT: Notes from the AEO2017 1 st Coal Working Group held on August 31, 2016 Attendees (62) *Indicates participation via WebEx. In an effort to solicit feedback each year, the Coal and Uranium Analysis Team

  18. Second AEO2016 Macro-Induistrial Working Group Meeting summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... liquid feedstocks. - Projections of CHP generation in the AEO2016 are lower than in the AEO2015 reference case due to updates in historical CHP data and the new process flow models ...

  19. File:AEO2012earlyrelease.pdf | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    AEO2012earlyrelease.pdf Jump to: navigation, search File File history File usage File:AEO2012earlyrelease.pdf Size of this preview: 463 599 pixels. Other resolution: 464 600...

  20. Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    August 13, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Renewable Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting held on July 24, 2014 Presenters: Chris Namovicz, Gwen Bredehoeft Topics included AEO2014 model and data updates, a summary of AEO2014 model results,

  1. AEO 2015 Electricity, Coal, Nuclear and Renewables Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Electricity, Coal, Nuclear and Renewables Preliminary Results For Joint Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables AEO2015 Working Group September 15, 2014 | Washington, DC By EIA, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear & Renewables Analysis WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE The AEO2015 will be abridged compared to AEO2014 * The U.S. Energy Information Administration is revising the schedule for production of the

  2. AEO2017 Modeling updates in the transportation sector

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    7 For AEO2017 Transportation Working Group August 31, 2016 | Washington, DC By Melissa Lynes, John Maples, Mark Schipper, and David Stone Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis Modeling updates in the transportation sector Updates to the Annual Energy Outlook 2017 * Transportation demand model highlights - 10-year extension of last-year projection, AEO2016 is 2040 and AEO2017 is 2050 - Battery costs for electric vehicles - Phase 2 greenhouse gas and fuel efficiency standards for

  3. AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Presentation

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... assumptionschanges * Key assumptions maintained from AEO2016 - Ethanol and biodiesel tax credits are not extended beyond current end dates - GTL, CTL, BTL (xTL ...

  4. First AEO2015 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    TEAM EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION and NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAMS SUBJECT: First AEO2015 Oil and Gas Working Group ... to High Resource case * World oil price outlooks based on ...

  5. Second AEO2017 Industrial Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ONLY. DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. October 4, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: Ian Mead Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis James Turnure Director, Office of Energy Consumption & Efficiency Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader, Analysis Integration Team FROM: Industrial Energy Consumption & Efficiency Analysis Team Subject: Second AEO2017 Industrial Working Group Meeting held on September 22, 2016 The Energy Consumption & Efficiency Analysis Team led a discussion

  6. World Oil Prices and Production Trends in AEO2009 (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    The oil prices reported in Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO) represent the price of light, low-sulfur crude oil in 2007 dollars. Projections of future supply and demand are made for "liquids," a term used to refer to those liquids that after processing and refining can be used interchangeably with petroleum products. In AEO2009, liquids include conventional petroleum liquids -- such as conventional crude oil and natural gas plant liquids -- in addition to unconventional liquids, such as biofuels, bitumen, coal-to-liquids (CTL), gas-to-liquids (GTL), extra-heavy oils, and shale oil.

  7. Energy Technologies on the Horizon (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    A key issue in mid-term forecasting is the representation of changing and developing technologies. How existing technologies will evolve, and what new technologies might emerge, cannot be known with certainty. The issue is of particular importance in Annual Energy Outlook 2006 (AEO), the first AEO with projections out to 2030.

  8. Buildings Working Group Meeting AEO2016 Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Buildings Working Group Meeting Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis February 18, 2016 | Washington, DC By Buildings Energy Analysis Team AEO2016 Preliminary Results Discussion purposes only - do not cite or circulate Overview * Key policies - Clean Power Plan - Federal standards and ENERGY STAR specifications * Sector drivers - Fuel prices - Weather - Commercial floorspace * Distributed generation * Residential and commercial consumption AEO2016 Buildings Working Group,

  9. World Oil Prices and Production Trends in AEO2008 (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    Annual Energy Outlook 2008 (AEO) defines the world oil price as the price of light, low-sulfur crude oil delivered in Cushing, Oklahoma. Since 2003, both "above ground" and "below ground" factors have contributed to a sustained rise in nominal world oil prices, from $31 per barrel in 2003 to $69 per barrel in 2007. The AEO2008 reference case outlook for world oil prices is higher than in the AEO2007 reference case. The main reasons for the adoption of a higher reference case price outlook include continued significant expansion of world demand for liquids, particularly in non-OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries, which include China and India; the rising costs of conventional non-OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) supply and unconventional liquids production; limited growth in non-OPEC supplies despite higher oil prices; and the inability or unwillingness of OPEC member countries to increase conventional crude oil production to levels that would be required for maintaining price stability. The Energy Information Administration will continue to monitor world oil price trends and may need to make further adjustments in future AEOs.

  10. Clean Air Interstate Rule: Changes and Modeling in AEO2010 (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    On December 23, 2008, the D.C. Circuit Court remanded but did not vacate the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR), overriding its previous decision on February 8, 2008, to remand and vacate CAIR. The December decision, which is reflected in Annual Energy Outlook 2010 (AEO) , allows CAIR to remain in effect, providing time for the Environmental Protection Agency to modify the rule in order to address objections raised by the Court in its earlier decision. A similar rule, referred to as the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR), which was to set up a cap-and-trade system for reducing mercury emissions by approximately 70%, is not represented in the AEO2010 projections, because it was vacated by the D.C. Circuit Court in February 2008.

  11. AEO2011: Energy Consumption by Sector and Source - Mountain ...

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    comes from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), and is part of the 2011 Annual Energy Outlook Report (AEO2011). This dataset is table 8, and contains only the reference...

  12. AEO2011:Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary ...

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    case. The dataset uses quadrillion Btu and the U.S. Dollar. The data is broken down into production, imports, exports, consumption and price. Data and Resources AEO2011:Total...

  13. Second AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    In comparing the AEO2014 macro industrial forecast with the ... of robust supply and low price) and how this influenced ... allow multi-channel burners (burners of more than one fuel). ...

  14. Summary of AEO2017 Renewables Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    A separate working group will be held at a later date to present preliminary AEO2017 model results. Solar PV Load Shapes After EIA presented solar PV load shapes as one of the key ...

  15. Summary of Second AEO 2015 Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    November 7, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis SUBJECT: Summary of Second AEO 2015 Working Group Meeting held on September 15, 2014 ATTENDEES: 21 EIA, 68 external (list provided following meeting summary) Presentation topics included a review of the AEO2015 publication schedule and contents, an overview of model assumptions updates in

  16. EPACT2005: Status of Provisions (Update) (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The Energy Policy Act 2005 (EPACT) was signed into law by President Bush on August 8, 2005, and became Public Law 109-058. A number of provisions from EPACT2005 were included in the Annual Energy Outlook 2006 (AEO) projections. Many others were not considered in AEO2006particularly, those that require funding appropriations or further specification by federal agencies or Congress before implementation.

  17. First AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    AEO2017 MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND NOTE INPUTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. 1 September 13, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: IAN MEAD ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSYS FROM: JOHN STAUB TEAM LEADER, EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION TEAM ACTING TEAM LEADER, LIQUID FUELS MARKET TEAM SUBJECT: First AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on 08-25-2016) Attendees: (EIA) John Staub, Mindi Farber-DeAnda, Adrian Geagla, Beth May, John Powell (DOE) Attending by Phone: Dale Nesbitt

  18. Handling Key AEO2017 Electric Sector Policy Assumptions and Key Model Updates

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Key AEO2017 Renewable Electricity Key Model Updates For EIA Renewables Working Group September 1, 2016 By Chris Namovicz Team Leader for Renewable Electricity Analysis Summary of key changes from AEO2016 * AEO 2017 will be a limited release year - Very few side cases and limited analytic write-up (similar to AEO 2015) * We plan on extending the projections to 2050 * Pending any relevant court rulings, the Clean Power Plan will continue to be in the Reference case. * This presentation will focus

  19. California's Move Toward E10 (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    In Annual Energy Outlook 2009, (AEO) E10a gasoline blend containing 10% ethanolis assumed to be the maximum ethanol blend allowed in California erformulated gasoline (RFG), as opposed to the 5.7% blend assumed in earlier AEOs. The 5.7% blend had reflected decisions made when California decided to phase out use of the additive methyl tertiary butyl ether in its RFG program in 2003, opting instead to use ethanol in the minimum amount that would meet the requirement for 2.0% oxygen content under the Clean Air Act provisions in effect at that time.

  20. First AEO2017 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. September 12, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: Ian Mead Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis FROM: John Staub Team Lead, Exploration and Production Analysis Mindi Farber-DeAnda Acting Team Lead, Natural Gas Markets Subject: First AEO2017 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting held on August 25, 2016 The meeting began with an overview of the areas under focus for the AEO2017 in the Oil and Gas Supply Module (OGSM) and the Natural Gas Transmission and

  1. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update Through 2007 (Update) (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    In recent years, the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) has tracked the growing number of states that have adopted requirements or goals for renewable energy. While there is no federal renewable generation mandate, the states have been adopting such standards for some time. AEO2005 provided a summary of all existing programs in effect at that time, and subsequent AEOs have examined new policies or changes to existing ones. Since the publication of AEO2007, four states have enacted new renewable portfolio standards (RPS) legislation, and five others have strengthened their existing RPS programs. In total, 25 states and the District of Columbia.

  2. Microsoft Word - AEO2012 SENR final markup 1 31 12 _2_.docx

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    nonpetroleum liquids, net petroleum imports make up a smaller share of total liquids consumption: U.S. dependence on imported petroleum liquids declines in the AEO2012 Reference...

  3. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    end uses such as space heating, air conditioning, water heating, refrigeration, and so on. ... Total Btu Space Heating AC Water Heating Etc. (known) total (unknown) end-use components ...

  4. Federal Fuels Taxes and Tax Credits (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2007 (AEO) reference case and alternative cases generally assume compliance with current laws and regulations affecting the energy sector. Some provisions of the U.S. Tax Code are scheduled to expire, or may be subject to adjustment, before the end of the projection period. In general, scheduled expirations and adjustments provided in legislation or regulations are assumed to occur, unless there is significant historical evidence to support an alternative assumption. This section examines the AEO2007 treatment of three provisions that could have significant impacts on U.S. energy markets: the gasoline excise tax, biofuel (ethanol and biodiesel) tax credits, and the production tax credit for electricity generation from certain renewable resources.

  5. Second AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    7, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS PAUL HOLTBERG TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FROM: MACROECONOMIC & INDUSTRIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS TEAMS SUBJECT: Second AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on 09-26-2013) Attendees: Bob Adler (EIA) Robert

  6. Second AEO2014 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    7 November 12, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS FROM: ANGELINA LAROSE TEAM LEAD NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAM JOHN STAUB TEAM LEAD EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION ANALYSIS TEAM EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION and NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAMS SUBJECT: Second AEO2014 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary (presented September 26, 2013) Attendees: Robert Anderson (DOE) Peter Balash (NETL)* David Bardin (self) Joe Benneche (EIA) Philip Budzik (EIA) Kara Callahan

  7. Second AEO2015 Macro-Industrial Workiing Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    6, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS PAUL HOLTBERG TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FROM: MACROECONOMIC & INDUSTRIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS TEAMS SUBJECT: Second AEO2015 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary, presented on 09-29-2014 Attendees: Gary Ambach (Michaels

  8. Second AEO2016 Buildings Sector Workingb Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES ONLY DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE June 10, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader, Analysis Integration Team James Turnure Director, Office of Energy Consumption & Efficiency Analysis FROM: Buildings Consumption & Efficiency Analysis Team Subject: Second AEO2016 Buildings Sector Working Group Meeting Summary, workshop held on February 18, 2016

  9. Second AEO2016 Macro-Induistrial Working Group Meeting summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    March 21, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS PAUL HOLTBERG TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ANALYSIS FROM: MACROECONOMIC & INDUSTRIAL ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS TEAMS SUBJECT: Second AEO2016 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary, presented on 02-18-2016 Attendees: Nate Aden

  10. Second AEO2016 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    April 8, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS FROM: MINDI FARBER-DEANDA ACTING TEAM LEAD NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAM JOHN STAUB TEAM LEAD EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION ANALYSIS TEAM EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION and NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAMS SUBJECT: Second AEO2016 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on February 29, 2016) Attendees: Joseph Benneche (EIA) Katie Dyl (EIA) Terry Yen (EIA) Danya Murali (EIA) Laura Singer (EIA) Faouzi Aloulou (EIA) Dana

  11. Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE February 29, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Renewable Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting held on February 9, 2016 Presenter: Chris

  12. Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    February 10, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Chris Namovicz Acting Team Leader for Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on February 10, 2016 PRESENTERS: Thad Huetteman and Chris Namovicz ATTENDEES: 14 EIA, 27 external (list provided following

  13. Summary of AEO2017 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. MEMORANDUM SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2017 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on September 1, 2016 DATE: September 29, 2016 TO: Ian Mead Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader, Analysis Integration Team FROM: Thad Huetteman Team Leader for Electricity Analysis Team PRESENTERS: Thad Huetteman, Chris Namovicz, Nancy

  14. Summary of AEO2017 Renewables Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    September 20, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: Ian Mead Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Chris Namovicz Team Leader for Renewable Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2017 Renewables Working Group Meeting held on September 1, 2016 PRESENTERS: Chris Namovicz ATTENDEES: 12 EIA, 30 external (list provided following meeting summary) Presentation

  15. Summary of First AEO2014 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    9, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Alan Beamon Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of First AEO 2014 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on July 24, 2013 ATTENDEES: Diefenderfer, Jim Aniti, Lori Milton, Carrie Jones, Jeff Martin, Laura Bredehoeft, Gwendolyn Eynon, Bob Leff, Mike Mellish, Mike Kearney, Diane

  16. Summary of First AEO2015 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    August 8, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of First AEO 2015 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on July 31, 2014 ATTENDEES: Krall, Eric Diefenderfer, Jim †Aniti, Lori Bowman, Michelle Hodge, Tyler Mellish, Mike Slater-Thompson, Nancy Marcy, Cara

  17. Summary of Second AEO 2014 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    7, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Alan Beamon Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of Second AEO 2014 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on September 25, 2013 ATTENDEES: Adams, Greg (EIA OEA) Aniti, Lori (EIA OEA) Bredehoeft, Gwendolyn (EIA OEA) Crozat, Matthew P. (US DOE: Office of Nuclear Energy)

  18. AEO 2014 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    DATE: September 30, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Office of Energy Analysis Alan Beamon Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis FROM: Renewable Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: AEO 2014 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting Summary ATTENDEES: In person John Conti Alan Beamon Bob Eynon Chris Namovicz Danielle Lowenthal-Savy Erin Boedecker Gwen Bredehoeft Jim Diefenderfer Marie Rinkoski Spangler Michael

  19. AEO2014 Coal Working Group Meeting I Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    July 22, 2013 MEMORANDUM TO: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Alan Beamon Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis FROM: Coal and Uranium Analysis Team SUBJECT: AEO2014 Coal Working Group Meeting I Summary Attendees (41) Name Affiliation Greg Adams (Moderator) US DOE: EIA Vlad Dorjets Bob Eynon Karen Freedman Tyler Hodge Paul Holtberg Elias Johnson Ayaka Jones Diane Kearney Mike Leff Mike Mellish Carrie Milton Nick Paduano Margaret Cook US

  20. AEO2014 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting 1

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    2 AEO2014 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting 1 July 24, 2013 Attendance (In Person) (EIA) John Powell, Mindi Farber-DeAnda, Mike Cole, Beth May, Adrian Geagla, Vish Mantri, Tony Radich, Irene Olson, Julie Harris (non-EIA) Jeff Meyer (HIS CERA, Oil Market Analyst), Adam Christensen (Johns Hopkin) Attendance (WebEx) Dave Schmalzer, Seth Snyder (Argonne National Laboratory), Donald Hanson (Argonne National Laboratory), Wyatt Thompson (FAPRI, University of Missouri), Jarrett Whistance

  1. AEO2014 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    9 August 12, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS FROM: ANGELINA LAROSE TEAM LEAD NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAM JOHN STAUB TEAM LEAD EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION ANALYSIS TEAM EXPLORATION AND PRODUCTION and NATURAL GAS MARKETS TEAMS SUBJECT: First AEO2014 Oil and Gas Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on July 25, 2013) Attendees: Anas Alhajji (NGP)* Samuel Andrus (IHS)* Emil Attanasi (USGS)* Andre Barbe (Rice University) David J. Barden (self) Joseph

  2. AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Presentation

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Independent Statistics & Analysis Assumptions for Annual Energy Outlook 2015: Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas & Biofuels Analysis July 17, 2014 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Discussion topics Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas, & Biofuels Analysis Working Group Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington

  3. AEO2017 Industrial Working Group Meeting 1: Preview of Updates

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    1: preview of updates Industrial Working Group Industrial Team: Kelly Perl, Team Leader; Peter Gross, Susan Hicks, Paul Otis, & Matt Skelton August 16, 2016| Washington, DC Preliminary Results. Do not Disseminate. Macro-Industrial Working Group has split in two! * Macro working group had meeting July 28; materials available on http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/macroindustrial/ * Industrial working group will have two meetings this year - Second date: September 22, 2016: 1:30-3:00

  4. AEO2017 Industrial Working Group Meeting Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    2: Preliminary results Industrial Working Group Industrial Team: Kelly Perl, Team Leader; Chris Dickerson, Peter Gross, Susan Hicks, Paul Otis, & Matt Skelton September 22, 2016| Washington, DC Preliminary Results. Do not Disseminate. AEO2017 What we did * Extend model to 2050 (now complete) * Individual industry benchmark improvements * Regulation: Kept Boiler MACT as is * Lowered DRI and relaxed constraints on EAF usage * Running Limited side cases: macro, price, and resource Industrial

  5. First AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    July 21, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSYS JOHN POWELL TEAM LEADER, LIQUID FUELS MARKET TEAM MICHAEL SCHAAL DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF ENERGY ANALYSIS FROM: LIQUID FUELS MARKET TEAM SUBJECT: First AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on 07-17-2014) Attendees: (EIA) John Powell, Mindi Farber-DeAnda, Mike Cole, Adrian Geagla, Arup Mallik, David Manowitz, Vishakh Mantri, Beth May, Terry Yen, John Conti, Michael Schaal Bryan Just

  6. Federal Fuels Taxes and Tax Credits (Update) (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2008 (AEO) reference case incorporates current regulations that pertain to the energy industry. This section describes the handling of federal taxes and tax credits in AEO2008, focusing primarily on areas where regulations have changed or the handling of taxes or tax credits has been updated.

  7. Rapid automatic keyword extraction for information retrieval and analysis

    DOEpatents

    Rose, Stuart J; Cowley,; Wendy E; Crow, Vernon L; Cramer, Nicholas O

    2012-03-06

    Methods and systems for rapid automatic keyword extraction for information retrieval and analysis. Embodiments can include parsing words in an individual document by delimiters, stop words, or both in order to identify candidate keywords. Word scores for each word within the candidate keywords are then calculated based on a function of co-occurrence degree, co-occurrence frequency, or both. Based on a function of the word scores for words within the candidate keyword, a keyword score is calculated for each of the candidate keywords. A portion of the candidate keywords are then extracted as keywords based, at least in part, on the candidate keywords having the highest keyword scores.

  8. CONTINATION HEETIREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO COTIUTINSHE DE-AC27-08RV14800/044 2AG OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) Account code: ARRA Appr Year 2009 Allottee 3 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 31003 Program 11113 70 Project 2002110 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0420660 TAS Agency Code 89 TAS Account Code 0253 TAS Subaccount Code Amount: -$100,000.00 Delivery Location Code: 010601 Richland

  9. CONTINATION HEETIREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO COTIUAIN IET DE-AC27--08RV14800/046 2G OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) ORP-00014 TOO Funds Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reportng Enity 4231.11 Object Class 25200 Program 1111412 Project 0004262 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0000000 Amount: $1,200,000.00 ORP 0014 TOO Fund 01250 AppL Ye~ir 2010 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200

  10. CONTINATION HEETIREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO COTIUAIN HETDE-AC27-08RV14800/052 2A OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNITI UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Program 1110462 Project 0001539 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0420149 Amount: $10,214.00 Delivery Location Code: 00601 RichandOperations Office U.S Dep~artment of Energy Richland Operations

  11. CONTINUATION S EFIIERENCE NO OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    CONTINUATION S EFIIERENCE NO OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO CONINUTIO SHETDE-AC27-08RV148OO/095 rG NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASH-INGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC- ITEM NO SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) )/F New Total Amount for this Award: $7,094,451,000.00 Obligated Amount for this Modification: $30, 952, 500.00 New Total Obligated Amount for this Award: $1, 353,766,560.39 Incremental Funded Amount changed: from $1,293,125,180.69 to $1,323,766,560.39

  12. CONTINUATON SHEETREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    CONTINUATON SHEETREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO COTNUTO SETDE-AC27-08RV14800/070 2AG OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) De-obligating WEPS TDD funds for ATL Aluminum Solubility Sample Analysis Fund 01250 Appr Year 2009 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Program 1110676 Project 0004022 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0000000 Amount: -$3,155.93

  13. CONTIUATIN SHET IREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    CONTIUATIN SHET IREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO COTNUTO SETDE-AC27-08RVI4800/055 2AG OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIESISERVICES QUANTITY NIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) Total Amount changed from $7,066,503,000.00 to $7,066,500,000.00 Obligated Amount for this modification: $140, 000.00 Incremental Funded Amount changed from $1,102, 822,315.05 to $1,102,962,315.05 NEW ACCOUNTING CODE ADDED: Account code: WTP

  14. AEO2014 - Issues in Focus articles - U.S. Energy Information...

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Past AEO analyses that remain relevant 2013 2012 2011 U.S. reliance on imported liquid fuels in alternative scenarios Competition between coal and natural gas in the electric...

  15. Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007: Summary of Provisions (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    The Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007 was signed into law on December 19, 2007, and became Public Law 110-140. Provisions in EISA2007 that require funding appropriations to be implemented, whose impact is highly uncertain, or that require further specification by federal agencies or Congress are not included in Annual Energy Outlook 2008 (AEO). For example, the Energy Information Administration (EIA) does not try to anticipate policy responses to the many studies required by EISA2007, nor to predict the impact of research and development (R&D) funding authorizations included in the bill. Moreover, AEO2008 does not include any provision that addresses a level of detail beyond that modeled in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which was used to develop the AEO2008 projections. AEO2008 addresses only those provisions in EISA2007 that establish specific tax credits, incentives, or standards.

  16. Changing Trends in the Bulk Chemicals and Pulp and Paper Industries (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    Compared with the experience of the 1990s, rising energy prices in recent years have led to questions about expectations of growth in industrial output, particularly in energy-intensive industries. Given the higher price trends, a review of expected growth trends in selected industries was undertaken as part of the production of Annual Energy Outlook 2005 (AEO). In addition, projections for the industrial value of shipments, which were based on the Standard Industrial Classification (SIC) system in AEO2004, are based on the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) in AEO2005. The change in industrial classification leads to lower historical growth rates for many industrial sectors. The impacts of these two changes are highlighted in this section for two of the largest energy-consuming industries in the U.S. industrial sector-bulk chemicals and pulp and paper.

  17. Natural Gas Prices Forecast Comparison--AEO vs. Natural Gas Markets

    SciTech Connect

    Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle; Lekov, Alex; Dale, Larry

    2005-02-09

    This paper evaluates the accuracy of two methods to forecast natural gas prices: using the Energy Information Administration's ''Annual Energy Outlook'' forecasted price (AEO) and the ''Henry Hub'' compared to U.S. Wellhead futures price. A statistical analysis is performed to determine the relative accuracy of the two measures in the recent past. A statistical analysis suggests that the Henry Hub futures price provides a more accurate average forecast of natural gas prices than the AEO. For example, the Henry Hub futures price underestimated the natural gas price by 35 cents per thousand cubic feet (11.5 percent) between 1996 and 2003 and the AEO underestimated by 71 cents per thousand cubic feet (23.4 percent). Upon closer inspection, a liner regression analysis reveals that two distinct time periods exist, the period between 1996 to 1999 and the period between 2000 to 2003. For the time period between 1996 to 1999, AEO showed a weak negative correlation (R-square = 0.19) between forecast price by actual U.S. Wellhead natural gas price versus the Henry Hub with a weak positive correlation (R-square = 0.20) between forecasted price and U.S. Wellhead natural gas price. During the time period between 2000 to 2003, AEO shows a moderate positive correlation (R-square = 0.37) between forecasted natural gas price and U.S. Wellhead natural gas price versus the Henry Hub that show a moderate positive correlation (R-square = 0.36) between forecast price and U.S. Wellhead natural gas price. These results suggest that agencies forecasting natural gas prices should consider incorporating the Henry Hub natural gas futures price into their forecasting models along with the AEO forecast. Our analysis is very preliminary and is based on a very small data set. Naturally the results of the analysis may change, as more data is made available.

  18. Comparison of AEO 2010 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX Futures Prices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark A.; Wiser, Ryan H.

    2010-01-04

    On December 14, 2009, the reference-case projections from Annual Energy Outlook 2010 were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have, in the past, compared the EIA's reference-case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables can play in itigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO reference-case gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings.

  19. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update through 2009 (Update) (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    To the extent possible,Annual Energy Outlook 2010 (AEO) incorporates the impacts of state laws requiring the addition of renewable generation or capacity by utilities doing business in the states. Currently, 30 states and the District of Columbia have enforceable renewable portfolio standards (RPS) or similar laws). Under such standards, each state determines its own levels of generation, eligible technologies, and noncompliance penalties. AEO2010 includes the impacts of all laws in effect as of September 2009 (with the exception of Hawaii, because the National Energy Modeling System provides electricity market projections for the continental United States only).

  20. National Library of Energy : Main View : Search Results for Keyword...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Search: Keyword: microelectromechanical OR mems OR mem Did you mean ? Create new alert from this search New Search My Selections (0) Alerts Source Status Activity Indicator 0 top...

  1. Comparison of AEO 2006 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX FuturesPrices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2005-12-19

    On December 12, 2005, the reference case projections from ''Annual Energy Outlook 2006'' (AEO 2006) were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have in the past compared the EIA's reference case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables play in mitigating such risk (see, for example, http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/EMS/reports/53587.pdf or http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/54751.pdf). As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings. As a refresher, our past work in this area has found that over the past five years, forward natural gas contracts (with prices that can be locked in--e.g., gas futures, swaps, and physical supply) have traded at a premium relative to contemporaneous long-term reference case gas price forecasts from the EIA. As such, we have concluded that, over the past five years at least, levelized cost comparisons of fixed-price renewable generation with variable price gas-fired generation that have been based on AEO natural gas price forecasts (rather than forward prices) have yielded results that are ''biased'' in favor of gas-fired generation, presuming that long-term price stability is valued. In this memo we simply update our past analysis to include the latest long-term gas price forecast from the EIA, as contained in AEO 2006. For the sake of brevity, we do not rehash information (on methodology, potential explanations for the premiums, etc.) contained in our earlier reports on this topic; readers interested in such information are encouraged to download that work from http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/EMS/reports/53587.pdf or http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/54751.pdf. As was the case in the past five AEO releases (AEO 2001-AEO

  2. Comparison of AEO 2007 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX FuturesPrices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2006-12-06

    On December 5, 2006, the reference case projections from 'Annual Energy Outlook 2007' (AEO 2007) were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have, in the past, compared the EIA's reference case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables play in mitigating such risk (see, for example, http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/EMS/reports/53587.pdf or http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/54751.pdf). As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings. As a refresher, our past work in this area has found that over the past six years, forward natural gas contracts (with prices that can be locked in--e.g., gas futures, swaps, and physical supply) have traded at a premium relative to contemporaneous long-term reference case gas price forecasts from the EIA. As such, we have concluded that, over the past six years at least, levelized cost comparisons of fixed-price renewable generation with variable-price gas-fired generation that have been based on AEO natural gas price forecasts (rather than forward prices) have yielded results that are 'biased' in favor of gas-fired generation, presuming that long-term price stability is valued. In this memo we simply update our past analysis to include the latest long-term gas price forecast from the EIA, as contained in AEO 2007. For the sake of brevity, we do not rehash information (on methodology, potential explanations for the premiums, etc.) contained in our earlier reports on this topic; readers interested in such information are encouraged to download that work from http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/EMS/reports/53587.pdf or http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/54751.pdf. As was the case in the past six AEO releases (AEO 2001-AEO 2006), we

  3. Comparison of AEO 2005 natural gas price forecast to NYMEX futures prices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2004-12-13

    On December 9, the reference case projections from ''Annual Energy Outlook 2005 (AEO 2005)'' were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. As some of you may be aware, we at LBNL have in the past compared the EIA's reference case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables play in mitigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings. As a refresher, our past work in this area has found that over the past four years, forward natural gas contracts (e.g., gas futures, swaps, and physical supply) have traded at a premium relative to contemporaneous long-term reference case gas price forecasts from the EIA. As such, we have concluded that, over the past four years at least, levelized cost comparisons of fixed-price renewable generation with variable price gas-fired generation that have been based on AEO natural gas price forecasts (rather than forward prices) have yielded results that are ''biased'' in favor of gas-fired generation (presuming that long-term price stability is valued). In this memo we simply update our past analysis to include the latest long-term gas price forecast from the EIA, as contained in AEO 2005. For the sake of brevity, we do not rehash information (on methodology, potential explanations for the premiums, etc.) contained in our earlier reports on this topic; readers interested in such information are encouraged to download that work from http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/EMS/reports/53587.pdf or, more recently (and briefly), http://eetd.lbl.gov/ea/ems/reports/54751.pdf. As was the case in the past four AEO releases (AEO 2001-AE0 2004), we once again find that the AEO 2005 reference case gas price forecast falls well below

  4. Industrial Sector Energy Demand: Revisions for Non-Energy-Intensive Manufacturing (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    For the industrial sector, the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) analysis and projection efforts generally have focused on the energy-intensive industriesfood, bulk chemicals, refining, glass, cement, steel, and aluminumwhere energy cost averages 4.8% of annual operating cost. Detailed process flows and energy intensity indicators have been developed for narrowly defined industry groups in the energy-intensive manufacturing sector. The non-energy-intensive manufacturing industries, where energy cost averages 1.9% of annual operating cost, previously have received somewhat less attention, however. In Annual Energy Outlook 2006 (AEO), energy demand projections were provided for two broadly aggregated industry groups in the non-energy-intensive manufacturing sector: metal-based durables and other non-energy-intensive. In the AEO2006 projections, the two groups accounted for more than 50% of the projected increase in industrial natural gas consumption from 2004 to 2030.

  5. Second AEO2-015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    September 24, 2014 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSYS MICHAEL SCHAAL DIRECTOR, OFFICE OF ENERGY ANALYSIS JOHN POWELL TEAM LEADER, LIQUID FUELS MARKET TEAM FROM: LIQUID FUELS MARKET TEAM SUBJECT: Second AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary (presented on 09-24-2014) Attendees: (EIA) John Powell, Mindi Farber-DeAnda, Mike Cole, Adrian Geagla, David Manowitz, Beth May Seth Meyer (USDA) Austin Brown (NREL) Robert Smith (US DOE) Ben Salisbury

  6. Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on December 8, 2015

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    January7, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team Office of Integrated and International Energy Analysis FROM: Chris Namovicz Team Leader for Electricity Analysis (acting) And Thad Huetteman, Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on December 8, 2015 Presenters: Chris

  7. Microsoft PowerPoint - AEO2017 1st Electricity Working Group Presentation_v5

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Electricity Sector Working Group Policy Assumptions and Key Model Updates For Electricity Working Group September 1, 2016 By Thad Huetteman, Team Lead, Electricity Team Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis What to look for re: Electricity in AEO2017 * Evolution of new longer-term forecast horizon (extend Reference Case to 2050) including: - Renewables: integration/ distributed generation - Nuclear: retirements/uprates/plant life extension - Continued updates: generating

  8. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES. DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS AEO2016

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    February 1, 2016 MEMORANDUM TO: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis FROM: Coal and Uranium Analysis Team SUBJECT: Notes from the First AEO2016 Coal Working Group Meeting workshop held on December 1, 2015 Attendees (47) Name Affiliation Ross, Joey Alliance Resource Partners, L.P. Alfaro, Jose L. Alpha Natural Resources Blumenfeld, Andy Arch Coal, Inc. Lewandowski, David Clean Energy James,

  9. A sensitivity analysis of the treatment of wind energy in the AEO99 version of NEMS

    SciTech Connect

    Osborn, Julie G; Wood, Frances; Richey, Cooper; Sanders, Sandy; Short, Walter; Koomey, Jonathan

    2001-01-01

    Each year, the U.S. Department of Energy's Energy Information Administration (EIA) publishes a forecast of the domestic energy economy in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). During the forecast period of the AEO (currently through 2020), renewable energy technologies have typically not achieved significant growth. The contribution of renewable technologies as electric generators becomes more important, however, in scenarios analyzing greenhouse gas emissions reductions or significant technological advancements. We examined the economic assumptions about wind power used for producing forecasts with the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) to determine their influence on the projected capacity expansion of this technology. This analysis should help illustrate to policymakers what types of issues may affect wind development, and improve the general understanding of the NEMS model itself. Figure 1 illustrates the model structure and factors relevant to wind deployment. We found that NEMS uses various cost multipliers and constraints to represent potential physical and economic limitations to growth in wind capacity, such as resource depletion, costs associated with rapid manufacturing expansion, and grid stability with high levels of capacity from intermittent resources. The model's flexibility allows the user to make alternative assumptions about the magnitude of these factors. While these assumptions have little effect on the Reference Case forecast for the 1999 edition of the AEO, they can make a dramatic difference when wind is more attractive, such as under a carbon permit trading system. With $100/ton carbon permits, the wind capacity projection for 2020 ranges from 15 GW in the unaltered model (AEO99 Reference Case) to 168 GW in the extreme case when all the multipliers and constraints examined in this study are removed. Furthermore, if modifications are made to the model allowing inter-regional transmission of electricity, wind capacity is forecast to reach 214

  10. AEO2016 - Issues in Focus articles - U.S. Energy Information Administration

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Issues in Focus Effects of the Clean Power Plan Release Date: 6/20/2016 The Clean Power Plan (CPP) [1] rule, issued under Section 111(d) of the Clean Air Act, is the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) program to regulate carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions at existing fossil-fired electric power plants. EPA estimates that the CPP will reduce CO2 emissions from the power sector by 32% from 2005 levels by 2030. As described in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) Legislation and Regulations

  11. Comparison of AEO 2009 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX Futures Prices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2009-01-28

    On December 17, 2008, the reference-case projections from Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO 2009) were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have, in the past, compared the EIA's reference-case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables can play in mitigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO reference-case gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings. Note that this memo pertains only to natural gas fuel price risk (i.e., the risk that natural gas prices might differ over the life of a gas-fired generation asset from what was expected when the decision to build the gas-fired unit was made). We do not take into consideration any of the other distinct attributes of gas-fired and renewable generation, such as dispatchability (or lack thereof), differences in capital costs and O&M expenses, or environmental externalities. A comprehensive comparison of different resource types--which is well beyond the scope of this memo--would need to account for differences in all such attributes, including fuel price risk. Furthermore, our analysis focuses solely on natural-gas-fired generation (as opposed to coal-fired or nuclear generation, for example), for several reasons: (1) price volatility has been more of a concern for natural gas than for other fuels used to generate power; (2) for environmental and other reasons, natural gas has, in recent years, been the fuel of choice among power plant developers; and (3) natural gas-fired generators often set the market clearing price in competitive wholesale power markets throughout the United States. That said, a more-complete analysis of how renewables mitigate fuel price risk would also need to consider coal, uranium, and

  12. Comparison of AEO 2008 Natural Gas Price Forecast to NYMEX Futures Prices

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark A; Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2008-01-07

    On December 12, 2007, the reference-case projections from Annual Energy Outlook 2008 (AEO 2008) were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have, in the past, compared the EIA's reference-case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market, with the goal of better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables can play in mitigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO reference-case gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. This brief memo presents our findings. Note that this memo pertains only to natural gas fuel price risk (i.e., the risk that natural gas prices might differ over the life of a gas-fired generation asset from what was expected when the decision to build the gas-fired unit was made). We do not take into consideration any of the other distinct attributes of gas-fired and renewable generation, such as dispatchability (or lack thereof) or environmental externalities. A comprehensive comparison of different resource types--which is well beyond the scope of this memo--would need to account for differences in all such attributes, including fuel price risk. Furthermore, our analysis focuses solely on natural-gas-fired generation (as opposed to coal-fired generation, for example), for several reasons: (1) price volatility has been more of a concern for natural gas than for other fuels used to generate power; (2) for environmental and other reasons, natural gas has, in recent years, been the fuel of choice among power plant developers (though its appeal has diminished somewhat as prices have increased); and (3) natural gas-fired generators often set the market clearing price in competitive wholesale power markets throughout the United States. That said, a more-complete analysis of how renewables mitigate fuel price risk would also need to consider coal and

  13. Update to industrial drivers in the AEO2015 as a result of new input-output data

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Update to industrial drivers in the AEO2015 as a result of new input-output data Elizabeth Sendich May 4, 2015 Independent Statistics & Analysis www.eia.gov U.S. Energy Information Administration Washington, DC 20585 This paper is released to encourage discussion and critical comment. The analysis and conclusions expressed here are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the U.S. Energy Information Administration. WORKING PAPER SERIES April 2015 Elizabeth Sendich | U.S. Energy

  14. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    MATERIAL* J. A. Van Den Avyle, Mechanical Metallurgy Division H. J. Sutherland, Wind Energy Research Division Sandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, New Mexico ABSTRACT The...

  15. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Mechanical El Stanford University Stanford, CA 94305 K. Bergey University of Oklahoma Aero Engineering Department Norman, OK 73069 Ir. Jos Beurskens Programme Manager for...

  16. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Laboratories Albuquerque, NM 87185 ABSTRACT The LIFE2 computer code is a fatiguefracture analysis code that is specialized to the analysis of wind turbine components. The...

  17. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    joints as shown in Figure 2, a schematic of the blade shape geometry. Because of the multi-sectioned, step- tapered characteristics of the Test Bed blades, the normally-used...

  18. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    ... loss, just as trans- mitting watts does, and creates voltage drop.) The important considerations when discussing var con- sumption are the cost, transmission, regulation impacts. ...

  19. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    ... and otherwise) for this document. . iv Preface This document is intended to promote the knowledge and appropriate use of solar photovoltaic technology for development applications. ...

  20. UNKNOWN

    Office of Legacy Management (LM)

    DEPARTMENT O F ENERGY'S AMCHITKA ISLAND NUCLEAR TEST SlTE Joanna Burger',', Henry J. ... contamination is from underground nuclear test shot cavities containing large ...

  1. UNKNOWN

    Office of Legacy Management (LM)

    Energy; Arnchitka, Alaska; Under- ground nuclear testing; Conflict resolution; Consen- ... no longer needed for nuclear material production or related national security mis- sions. ...

  2. UNKNOWN

    Office of Legacy Management (LM)

    radionuclides from the underground nuclear test sites at Amchitka Island, Alaska, ... May Z O O 0 Abstract Three underground nuclear tests representing approximately 15-16% ...

  3. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    we study a D-spar composite structure, which is part of the airfoil shape. The basic dimension of the D-spar is 6' (long), 6" (wide) and 3" (height) as shown in Figure 2...

  4. Unknown

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    ... PV power is produced directly by sun- light shining on an array of PV modules, ... A thin, silicon cell, 10 cm across, can produce more than 1 watt (W) of dc electrical ...

  5. Oil merger trend: exploring the unknowns

    SciTech Connect

    Solomon, B.

    1984-03-26

    Experts disagree on the effect recent oil company mergers will have on exploration spending and US credit markets. Proclaiming the answers unknowable, some see the issue as surpassing antitrust concerns. It is generally agreed, however, that there will be less spending on exploration and production during the transition period of the merger. The effect on stocks is also unknown, but analysts suggest that shareholder's adjustments will have only a minimal effect on the credit market.

  6. AEO2015 BWG

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    heaters, refrigerators, freezers, dishwashers, clothes washers, clothes dryers * Contract report from LeidosNavigant will be available online Discussion purposes only - do ...

  7. Impacts of Increased Access to Oil & Natural Gas Resources in the Lower 48 Federal Outer Continental Shelf (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    This analysis was updated for Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO): Impact of Limitations on Access to Oil and Natural Gas Resources in the Federal Outer Continental Shelf (OCS). The OCS is estimated to contain substantial resources of crude oil and natural gas; however, some areas of the OCS are subject to drilling restrictions. With energy prices rising over the past several years, there has been increased interest in the development of more domestic oil and natural gas supply, including OCS resources. In the past, federal efforts to encourage exploration and development activities in the deep waters of the OCS have been limited primarily to regulations that would reduce royalty payments by lease holders. More recently, the states of Alaska and Virginia have asked the federal government to consider leasing in areas off their coastlines that are off limits as a result of actions by the President or Congress. In response, the Minerals Management Service (MMS) of the U.S. Department of the Interior has included in its proposed 5-year leasing plan for 2007-2012 sales of one lease in the Mid-Atlantic area off the coastline of Virginia and two leases in the North Aleutian Basin area of Alaska. Development in both areas still would require lifting of the current ban on drilling.

  8. Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions before they blast into space By John Greenwald December 23, 2015 Tweet Widget Google Plus One Share on Facebook...

  9. Bayesian methods for characterizing unknown parameters of material models

    DOE PAGES [OSTI]

    Emery, J. M.; Grigoriu, M. D.; Field Jr., R. V.

    2016-02-04

    A Bayesian framework is developed for characterizing the unknown parameters of probabilistic models for material properties. In this framework, the unknown parameters are viewed as random and described by their posterior distributions obtained from prior information and measurements of quantities of interest that are observable and depend on the unknown parameters. The proposed Bayesian method is applied to characterize an unknown spatial correlation of the conductivity field in the definition of a stochastic transport equation and to solve this equation by Monte Carlo simulation and stochastic reduced order models (SROMs). As a result, the Bayesian method is also employed tomore » characterize unknown parameters of material properties for laser welds from measurements of peak forces sustained by these welds.« less

  10. System for identifying known materials within a mixture of unknowns

    DOEpatents

    Wagner, John S.

    1999-01-01

    One or both of two methods and systems are used to determine concentration of a known material in an unknown mixture on the basis of the measured interaction of electromagnetic waves upon the mixture. One technique is to utilize a multivariate analysis patch technique to develop a library of optimized patches of spectral signatures of known materials containing only those pixels most descriptive of the known materials by an evolutionary algorithm. Identity and concentration of the known materials within the unknown mixture is then determined by minimizing the residuals between the measurements from the library of optimized patches and the measurements from the same pixels from the unknown mixture. Another technique is to train a neural network by the genetic algorithm to determine the identity and concentration of known materials in the unknown mixture. The two techniques may be combined into an expert system providing cross checks for accuracy.

  11. Method for identifying known materials within a mixture of unknowns

    DOEpatents

    Wagner, John S.

    2000-01-01

    One or both of two methods and systems are used to determine concentration of a known material in an unknown mixture on the basis of the measured interaction of electromagnetic waves upon the mixture. One technique is to utilize a multivariate analysis patch technique to develop a library of optimized patches of spectral signatures of known materials containing only those pixels most descriptive of the known materials by an evolutionary algorithm. Identity and concentration of the known materials within the unknown mixture is then determined by minimizing the residuals between the measurements from the library of optimized patches and the measurements from the same pixels from the unknown mixture. Another technique is to train a neural network by the genetic algorithm to determine the identity and concentration of known materials in the unknown mixture. The two techniques may be combined into an expert system providing cross checks for accuracy.

  12. System for identifying known materials within a mixture of unknowns

    DOEpatents

    Wagner, J.S.

    1999-07-20

    One or both of two methods and systems are used to determine concentration of a known material in an unknown mixture on the basis of the measured interaction of electromagnetic waves upon the mixture. One technique is to utilize a multivariate analysis patch technique to develop a library of optimized patches of spectral signatures of known materials containing only those pixels most descriptive of the known materials by an evolutionary algorithm. Identity and concentration of the known materials within the unknown mixture is then determined by minimizing the residuals between the measurements from the library of optimized patches and the measurements from the same pixels from the unknown mixture. Another technique is to train a neural network by the genetic algorithm to determine the identity and concentration of known materials in the unknown mixture. The two techniques may be combined into an expert system providing cross checks for accuracy. 37 figs.

  13. Energy Intensity Trends in AEO2010 (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Energy intensity (energy consumption per dollar of real GDP) indicates how much energy a country uses to produce its goods and services. From the early 1950s to the early 1970s, U.S. total primary energy consumption and real GDP increased at nearly the same annual rate. During that period, real oil prices remained virtually flat. In contrast, from the mid-1970s to 2008, the relationship between energy consumption and real GDP growth changed, with primary energy consumption growing at less than one-third the previous average rate and real GDP growth continuing to grow at its historical rate. The decoupling of real GDP growth from energy consumption growth led to a decline in energy intensity that averaged 2.8% per year from 1973 to 2008. In the Annual Energy Outlook 2010 Reference case, energy intensity continues to decline, at an average annual rate of 1.9% from 2008 to 2035.

  14. AEO2014: Preliminary Industrial Output

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    and demand computed from Input-Output basis * Major drivers: capacity utilization, interest rates, relative prices, ... For the energy industries (coal mining, oil & gas ...

  15. AEO2017 Preliminary Macroeconomic Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... equations in the macro model. * Test the incorporation of price movements from the industrial output model into the macro model. * Test integration between the IHS macro ...

  16. AEO2014: Preliminary Industrial Output

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Insights' (GI) May Long-term Trend forecast and this year's ... demand is driven by the price level, income, wealth, ... NG 322 Pulp & paper Fuel Index 32511a9 Bulk ...

  17. AEO2017 Preliminary Macroeconomic Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Preliminary Macroeconomic Results For Macroeconomic Working Group July 28, 2016 | Washington, DC By Vipin Arora, Elizabeth Sendich, and Russ Tarver Macroeconomic Analysis Team Economic growth in major trading partners slows over the projection period while the dollar gradually depreciates Macroeconomic Working Group, Washington DC, July 28, 2016 2 -4.0 -3.0 -2.0 -1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 1989 1994 1999 2004 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2034 2039 real trade-weighted GDP of major trading partners

  18. AEO2012 Early Release Overview

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Mellish, Carrie Milton, Brian Murphy, Kelly Perl, David Peterson, John Powell, Nancy Slater-Thompson, Kay A. Smith, John Staub, Charles L. Smith, Craig Federhen, and Peggy Wells. ...

  19. AEO Early Release 2013 - oil

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Growing U.S. oil output and rising vehicle fuel economy to cut U.S. reliance on foreign oil The United States is expected to continue cutting its dependence on petroleum and liquid ...

  20. AEO2012 Early Release Overview

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    9 U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2016 Chapter 2 Petroleum and other liquid fuels Overview In the International Energy Outlook 2016 (IEO2016) Reference case, worldwide consumption of petroleum and other liquid fuels increases from 90 million barrels per day (b/d) in 2012 to 100 million b/d in 2020 and 121 million b/d in 2040. Much of the growth in world liquid fuels consumption is projected for the emerging, non-Organization for Economic Cooperation and

  1. Industrial Plans for AEO2014

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... * Quadrennial MECS update to 2010 * New nonmanufacturing data approach - Uses Census and USDA data to derive usage data from expenditures - Improves estimation of nonmanufacturing ...

  2. Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    before they blast into space | Princeton Plasma Physics Lab Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions before they blast into space By John Greenwald December 23, 2015 Tweet Widget Google Plus One Share on Facebook This solar flare occurred at the peak of the solar cycle in October 2014 with no observed eruptions. PPPL researchers say this is a promising candidate for studying the effect of guide magnetic fields. (Photo by NASA) This solar flare occurred at the

  3. Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    before they blast into space | Princeton Plasma Physics Lab Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions before they blast into space By John Greenwald December 23, 2015 Tweet Widget Google Plus One Share on Facebook This solar flare occurred at the peak of the solar cycle in October 2014 with no observed eruptions. PPPL researchers say this is a promising candidate for studying the effect of guide magnetic fields. (Photo by NASA) This solar flare occurred at the

  4. Simulated NMIS Imaging Data for an Unknown Object

    SciTech Connect

    Walker, Mark E; Mihalczo, John T

    2012-04-01

    This report presents simulated Nuclear Materials Identification System (NMIS) imaging data for an unclassified object, whose characteristics are initially unknown to the reader. This data will be used to test various analysis capabilities and was created with a simple deterministic ray-tracing algorithm. NMIS is a time-dependent coincidence counting system that is used to characterize both fissile and non-fissile materials undergoing nondestructive assay. NMIS characterizes materials by interrogating them with neutrons, either from an associated-particle deuterium-tritium (DT) neutron generator, which produces a time and directionally tagged monoenergetic beam of 14.1 MeV neutrons, or a time-tagged spontaneous fission source in an ionization chamber.

  5. Discovery of a meta-stable Al-Sm phase with unknown stoichiometry...

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

    Discovery of a meta-stable Al-Sm phase with unknown stoichiometry using a genetic algorithm Citation Details In-Document Search Title: Discovery of a meta-stable Al-Sm phase with...

  6. Metal-Organic Frameworks Based on Previously Unknown Zr8/Hf Cubic...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Metal-Organic Frameworks Based on Previously Unknown Zr8Hf Cubic Clusters Previous Next List Dawei Feng, Hai-Long Jiang, Ying-Pin Chen, Zhi-Yuan Gu, Zhangwen Wei, and Hong-Cai...

  7. AEO Early Release 2013 - LNG exports

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    U.S. expected to become net exporter of natural gas by end of decade The United States is on track to become a net exporter of natural gas by 2020 as domestic gas production continues to increase faster than consumption through this decade. Growing production and low prices will help spur exports, according to the new long-term outlook from the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Some of that gas will be sent overseas in huge ocean-going tankers carrying super-cooled liquefied natural gas,

  8. AEO Early Release 2013 - renewable generation

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Renewables account for a bigger share of U.S. electricity generation in decades ahead The United States will generate a bigger share of its electricity from renewable sources such as solar, wind, and biomass energy in the decades ahead, according to the new long-term outlook just released by the U.S. Energy Information Administration. EIA says that lower costs are making renewable electricity more economical, and along with federal and state policies that promote renewables, EIA projects that

  9. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... of Congress, the General Accounting Office, or other Federal agencies authorized by law to receive such information. A court of competent jurisdiction may obtain this ...

  10. AEO2014 Renewables Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... Owen noted that there were no big projects in the works, but that they would be updating their core data sets for interconnection limits and baseline capacity and generation. A ...

  11. AEO2016 Preliminary Industrial Output Results

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    through network analysis will inform future work on analyzing supply matrices - We plan on incorporating detailed industrial price movements which will come from the ...

  12. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Annual Energy Outlook

    From a market perspective, commodity buyers do not typically care about the source of a product as long as its chemical composition meets specifications. We are proposing to rework ...

  13. State Appliance Standards (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    State appliance standards have existed for decades, starting with Californias enforcement of minimum efficiency requirements for refrigerators and several other products in 1979. In 1987, recognizing that different efficiency standards for the same products in different states could create problems for manufacturers, Congress enacted the National Appliance Energy Conservation Act (NAECA), which initially covered 12 products. The Energy Policy Act of 1992 (EPACT92), EPACT2005, and EISA2007 added additional residential and commercial products to the 12 products originally specified under NAECA.

  14. Energy Demand (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Growth in U.S. energy use is linked to population growth through increases in demand for housing, commercial floorspace, transportation, manufacturing, and services. This affects not only the level of energy use, but also the mix of fuels and consumption by sector.

  15. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After reaching a four-month low in the beginning of August, crude oil prices rebounded close to the highest levels of the ...

  16. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Addendum to Potential Impacts of Reductions in Refinery Activity on Northeast Petroleum Product Markets 1 May 11, 2012 ADDENDUM Potential Impacts of Reductions in Refinery Activity on Northeast Petroleum Product Markets Additional Information on Jones Act Vessels' Potential Role in Northeast Refinery Closures The U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA) recent report exploring the potential impacts of reductions in refinery activity in the Northeast on petroleum product markets in that

  17. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    October 2014 1 October 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices continued on a downward trajectory in September, falling under $100 per barrel (bbl) for the first time since June 2012. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $93.42/bbl on October 2, a decrease of $6.92/bbl from September 2 (Figure 1). U.S. domestic crude oil benchmarks also declined, with the front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI)

  18. CAFE Standards (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Pursuant to the Presidents announcement of a National Fuel Efficiency Policy, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) and the EPA have promulgated nationally coordinated standards for tailpipe Carbon Dioxide (CO2)-equivalent emissions and fuel economy for light-duty vehicles (LDVs), which includes both passenger cars and light-duty trucks. In the joint rulemaking, the Environmental Protection Agency is enacting CO2-equivalent emissions standards under the Clean Air Act (CAA), and NHTSA is enacting companion Corporate Average Fuel Economy standards under the Energy Policy and Conservation Act, as amended by the Energy Independence and Security Act of 2007.

  19. Microsoft Word - macroeconomic_aeo2012.docx

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Gross State Product The MAM projects regional gross regional product in real per capita terms. The equations are in log form. There is an estimated equation for each of the nine...

  20. Coal Transportation Issues (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Most of the coal delivered to U.S. consumers is transported by railroads, which accounted for 64% of total domestic coal shipments in 2004. Trucks transported approximately 12% of the coal consumed in the United States in 2004, mainly in short hauls from mines in the East to nearby coal-fired electricity and industrial plants. A number of minemouth power plants in the West also use trucks to haul coal from adjacent mining operations. Other significant modes of coal transportation in 2004 included conveyor belt and slurry pipeline (12%) and water transport on inland waterways, the Great Lakes, and tidewater areas (9%).

  1. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... Those schedules include; * Schedule 2, General Information and Energy Sources and ... EIA-861. These schedules include Schedule 2C Green Pricing and Schedule 2D Net Metering. ...

  2. Coal Working Group - AEO2017 Summary Notes

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Clark Leidos *Bill Meroney Environmental Protection Agency *Leslie Coleman National Mining Association *Greg Moxness Department of Labor John Dean JD Energy, Inc. *Chris Nichols ...

  3. Comparing Efficiency Projections (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Realized improvements in energy efficiency generally rely on a combination of technology and economics. The figure below illustrates the role of technology assumptions in the Annual Energy Outlook 2010 projections for energy efficiency in the residential and commercial buildings sector. Projected energy consumption in the Reference case is compared with projections in the Best Available Technology, High Technology, and 2009 Technology cases and an estimate based on an assumption of no change in efficiency for building shells and equipment.

  4. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... and other advanced technology vehicles (e.g., gasoline or diesel- electric hybrid vehicles) that vehicle suppliers made available in a calendar year and plan to make available ...

  5. Efficiency and Intensity in the AEO 2010

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Average annual rate of decrease Steve Wade, 2010 Energy Conference, April 7, 2010 6 * Conservation - Changes in energy use that reduce consumption by reducing services provided * ...

  6. AEO 2013 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    year Under the LCFS Brazilian sugarcane Ethanol is favorable due to its carbon intensity ... as it is more expensive than corn based ethanol Q: Is the California LCFS an attempt to ...

  7. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    6 11.7 44.2 83.7 12.9 46.8 83.8 13.8 46.1 83.4 14.4 46.2 85.1 14.3 46.6 84.9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 Residential Commercial Industrial 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 Note: These deliveries included quantities covered by long-term contracts and gas involved in short-term or spot market sales. Source: Energy Information Administration (EIA), Form EIA -176, "Annual Report of Natural and Supplemental Gas Supply and Disposition." Figure 18. Percent of natural gas deliveries in the United

  8. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    1 July 2012 Short-Term Energy Outlook Highlights * EIA projects the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil spot price to average about $88 per barrel over the second half of 2012 and the U.S. refiner acquisition cost (RAC) of crude oil to average $93 per barrel, both about $7 per barrel lower than last month's Outlook. EIA expects WTI and RAC crude oil prices to remain roughly at these second half levels in 2013. Beginning in this month's Outlook, EIA is also providing a forecast of Brent crude

  9. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    012 Short-Term Energy Outlook August 7, 2012 Notice of change to electricity generation and renewables forecast tables The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) has changed the format of the Short-Term Energy Outlook tables for electricity industry overview (Table 7a), electricity generation (Table 7d), electricity generation fuel consumption (Table 7e), and renewable energy (Table 8). Electricity Generation and Fuel Consumption The new electricity generation and fuel consumption tables

  10. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil futures prices declined in March and are near the bottom of their recent trading range. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $106.15 per barrel (bbl) on April 3, a decrease of $5.05/bbl from March 3 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price declined by $4.63/bbl over the same period, settling at $100.29/bbl on April 3. An apparent decline in risks associated

  11. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    5 1 April 2015 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After increasing in February, global crude oil prices declined in March. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $54.95/bbl on April 2, a decline of $4.59/bbl since the close on March 2 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price declined by $0.45/bbl over the same period to settle at $49.14/bbl on April 2. The average Brent price for March was 3.2% lower

  12. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After increasing at the start of March, crude oil prices stabilized and traded within a relatively narrow range through the first week of April. The North Sea Brent front month futures price rose $2.62 per barrel (b) from March 1 to settle at $39.43/b on April 7 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price rose $2.86/b and settled at $37.26 over the same period. The increase in crude oil prices alongside

  13. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Front month futures prices for both the Brent and WTI crude oil benchmarks rose over the last month, with WTI rising faster than Brent to sharply narrow the spread between the two benchmarks. Since July 1, Brent has increased by $6.54 per barrel to settle at $109.54 per barrel on August 1 (Figure 1). Over the same time period, WTI increased by $9.90 per barrel to settle at $107.89. While the August 1 settle was the highest price for Brent

  14. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices, which reached their highest point of the year in June, fell to their lowest levels of the year in early August. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $105.44/barrel on August 7, a decrease of $6.85/barrel from July 1 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract also fell, settling at $97.34/barrel on August 7, $8.00/barrel lower than on July 1. A further easing of

  15. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices moved lower through much of July and early August. The North Sea Brent front month futures price declined $12.49 per barrel (b) since July 1 to settle at $49.52/b on August 6 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price declined $12.30/b over the same time, settling at $44.66/b on August 6. Both benchmarks recorded their largest month-over-month decline since January 2015. One of the factors that

  16. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices broke below $45/b and out of of a two-month-long trading range in July. The front-month Brent crude oil price decreased $6.06 per barrel (b) since July 1, settling at $44.29/b on August 4 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price settled at $41.93/b, declining $7.06/b over the same time. Crude oil production outages, which removed more than 3.7 million barrels per day (b/d) of production in May, declined

  17. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil benchmarks moved higher in November, showing their first month-over-month increase since August, while U.S. crude oil prices moved higher during the first week of December. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $110.98 per barrel on December 5, an increase of $5.07 per barrel since its close on November 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures contract rose $2.77 per

  18. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    1 December 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices continued to move lower in November and recorded their fifth consecutive month of declines. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $69.64/bbl on December 4, a decline of $15.14/bbl from November 3 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price settled at $66.81/bbl on December 4, decreasing by $11.97/bbl since the start of November. The

  19. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices in November declined to the lowest levels since August. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $43.84 per barrel (b) on December 3, a decrease of $4.95/b since November 2 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price settled at $41.08/b on December 3, declining $5.06/b over the same period. The prospect of an oversupplied crude oil market continuing in the near term weighed on

  20. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    February 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices were relatively stable to start the year. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $107.19 per barrel (bbl) on February 6, a decline of less than $1/bbl from its settle price on January 2 (Figure 1). Over the same period, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures contract rose $2.40/bbl, settling at $97.84/bbl on February 6. Crude oil has so

  1. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices moved higher toward the end of January and into the first week of February. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $56.57/bbl on February 5, an increase of $0.15/bbl from January 2 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price settled at $50.48/bbl on February 5, $2.21/bbl lower than at the start of January. These changes were relatively small compared to an average

  2. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $34.46/b on February 4 $2.76 per barrel (b) below its January 4 level (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price settled at $31.72, a decrease of $5.04/b over the same period. On January 20, both Brent and WTI were at their lowest levels since 2003. During the first three weeks of January, Brent and WTI front month futures prices declined 25% and 28%,

  3. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices were relatively stable throughout December before declining at the beginning of January, while U.S. domestic prices moved higher in December. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $107.78 per barrel (bbl) on January 2, a decline of $3.67/bbl from its close on December 2 (Figure 1). Over the same period, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures contract rose $1.62/bbl, settling

  4. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil markets continue to search for a bottom as prices declined again in December and the first week of January. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $50.96/bbl on January 8, a decline of $21.58/bbl from December 1 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price settled at $48.79/bbl on January 8, decreasing by $20.21/bbl since the start of December. Crude oil prices now have declined more

  5. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil futures prices reached the lowest level in 12 years in December and early January. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $33.75 per barrel (b) on January 7, $10.69/b lower than the close on December 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price settled at $33.27, a decrease of $8.58/b over the same period. Global crude oil prices declined after the December 4 Organization of Petroleum

  6. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After an upward move in mid-June, crude oil prices retreated close to previous levels. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $111/barrel on July 3, an increase of $2.17/barrel from June 2 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract also rose, settling at $104.06/barrel on July 3, $1.59/barrel higher than on June 2. Tensions in Iraq were the primary driver of the crude oil price increase in mid-June.

  7. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Global and domestic crude oil prices traded in a narrow range in June. The North Sea Brent front month futures price declined $2.87 per barrel (b) since June 1 to settle at $62.01/b on July 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price declined $3.24/b over the month, settling at $56.96/b on July 1. As global crude oil supply remains robust, demand-side factors are likely contributing to renewed price stability

  8. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Despite some price volatility in June and early July, crude oil prices remained in a narrow trading range near recent highs. The front-month Brent crude oil price decreased $3.32 per barrel (b) since June 1, settling at $46.40/b on July 7 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price settled at $45.14/b, declining $3.87/b over the same time. Drilling activity in the United States, as measured by the Baker Hughes oil rig

  9. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    4 1 June 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil futures prices increased slightly over the previous month but remained rangebound. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $108.79 per barrel (bbl) on June 5, an increase of $1.03/bbl from May 1 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract also rose, settling at $102.48/bbl on June 5, $3.06/bbl higher than on May 1. Lower-than-previously

  10. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices declined in May and in the first week of June while domestic crude oil prices stayed relatively stable. The North Sea Brent front month futures declined $4.43 per barrel (b) since May 1 to settle at $62.03/b on June 4 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price decreased $1.15/b over the same period to settle at $58/b on June 4. Elevated crude oil production from members of The

  11. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Global crude oil prices increased for the fourth consecutive month in May, closing at more than $50 per barrel (b) for the first time since November 2015. The front- month Brent crude oil price increased $4.21/b since May 2, settling at $50.04/b on June 2. The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price increased $4.39 over the same period to settle at $49.17/b (Figure 1). Global unplanned supply outages were estimated at 3.7 million

  12. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil futures prices rose over the previous month but remained within the recent, and relatively narrow, trading range. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $108.10 per barrel (bbl) on March 6, an increase of $2.06/bbl from February 3 (Figure 1). Over the same period, the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures contract rose $5.13/bbl, settling at $101.56/bbl on March 6. The brief uptick in

  13. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    March 2015 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Over the past month, international crude oil prices recorded the first month- over-month increase since June 2014. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $60.48/bbl on March 5, an increase of $5.73/bbl from February 2 (Figure 1). In the U.S. market, domestic crude oil prices continued to lag behind international benchmarks. The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price

  14. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: The North Sea Brent front month futures price rose $2.83 per barrel (b) from February 1 to settle at $37.07/b on March 3 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price rose $2.95/b and settled at $34.57 over the same period. Crude oil prices began to increase during the second half of February in response to potential future supply reductions and better economic data in the United States. Discussion of a potential

  15. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil futures prices rebounded in April and approached the top of their recent trading range. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $107.76 per barrel (bbl) on May 1, an increase of $2.14/bbl from April 1 (Figure 1). West Texas Intermediate (WTI) prices at the start of May were near the same levels as the beginning of April. The front month WTI contract settled at $99.42/bbl on May 1, a slight decrease

  16. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices continued to rise in April and reached their highest levels of the year. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $65.54 per barrel (b) on May 7, an increase of $8.44/b since the close on April 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price rose by $8.85/b over the same period to settle at $58.94/b on May 7. Although current oil market conditions still show production outpacing

  17. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices continued upward and reached the highest levels of the year. The North Sea Brent front-month futures price rose $6.34 per barrel (b) from April 1 to settle at $45.01/b on May 5 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front-month futures price rose $7.53/b and settled at $44.32/b over the same period. Early data on petroleum product consumption in 2016 suggest that last year's strong growth may continue this year. U.S.

  18. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: North Sea Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures contracts continued their recent decline in October and the first week of November as a larger-than-normal seasonal decrease in global refinery runs from August through October lessened demand for crude oil. The Brent contract settled at $103.46 per barrel on November 7, a decline of $4.48 per barrel compared to October 1 (Figure 1). The decreases in WTI futures prices

  19. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    4 1 November 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Both international and domestic crude oil prices moved sharply lower over the previous five weeks. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $82.86/bbl on November 6, a decline of $11.30/bbl from October 1 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price settled at $77.91/bbl on November 6, decreasing by $12.82/bbl since the start of October. November marked

  20. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices remained within the range established over the previous three months. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $47.98 per barrel (b) on November 5, an increase of $0.29/b since October 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price settled at $45.20/b on November 5, rising by 46 cents/b over the same time. Although prices were relatively stable, large uncertainty remains in the

  1. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    3 1 October 2013 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Front month futures prices for the Brent and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil benchmarks fell in September. The Brent contract settled at $109.00 per barrel on October 3, a decline of $6.68 per barrel since September 3, and WTI settled at $103.31 per barrel on October 3, falling by $5.23 per barrel over the same period (Figure 1). These changes marked the first month-over-month declines in

  2. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    4 1 October 2014 Short-Term Energy Outlook Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices continued on a downward trajectory in September, falling under $100 per barrel (bbl) for the first time since June 2012. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $93.42/bbl on October 2, a decrease of $6.92/bbl from September 2 (Figure 1). U.S. domestic crude oil benchmarks also declined, with the front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price

  3. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: The front month futures price for Brent, the world waterborne crude benchmark, increased by $5.72 per barrel to settle at $115.26 per barrel on September 5 (Figure 1). Front month futures prices for West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil also increased over the same time period but by a lesser amount, to settle at $108.37 per barrel on September 5. The primary drivers of higher crude oil prices over the past five weeks included an uptick

  4. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: International crude oil prices fell in August and remain near their lowest levels of 2014. The North Sea Brent front month futures price settled at $101.83/barrel on September 4, a decrease of $3.01/barrel from August 1 (Figure 1). The front month West Texas Intermediate (WTI) contract price fell by $3.43/barrel over the same period, settling at $94.45/barrel on September 4. Although the U.S. economy showed robust growth in the second

  5. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: Crude oil prices declined through most of August before rising at the end of the month and in the first week of September. The North Sea Brent front month futures price rose $1.16 per barrel (b) since August 3 to settle at $50.68/b on September 3 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front month futures price increased $1.58/b over the same period to settle at $46.75/b. In contrast to July, when crude oil prices may have responded

  6. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Market Prices and Uncertainty Report Crude Oil Prices: After reaching a four-month low in the beginning of August, crude oil prices rebounded close to the highest levels of the year. The front-month Brent crude oil price increased $3.31 per barrel (b) since August 1, settling at $45.45/b on September 1 (Figure 1). The West Texas Intermediate (WTI) front-month crude oil price settled at $43.16/b, an increase of $3.10/b over the same period. Price volatility in global equity markets declined in

  7. 2017 Levelized Costs AEO 2012 Early Release

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Report," collects the cost and quality of fossil fuel purchases made by electric ... a reduction of approximately 9 percent of natural gas purchases, cost, and quality data. ...

  8. First AEO2017 Industrial Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... Among other differences, it also models heat while NEMS does not. 2. Do you have access to the U.S. Department of Census Manufacturing consumption data? Answer: We do not have ...

  9. Nonconventional Liquid Fuels (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    Higher prices for crude oil and refined petroleum products are opening the door for nonconventional liquids to displace petroleum in the traditional fuel supply mix. Growing world demand for diesel fuel is helping to jump-start the trend toward increasing production of nonconventional liquids, and technological advances are making the nonconventional alternatives more viable commercially. Those trends are reflected in the Annual Energy Outlook 2006 projections.

  10. CONTINATIONSHEETREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    COTIUTINSHE DE-AC27-08RV14800/067 2G OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) -$1,000,000.00 New Total Obligated Amount tor this Award: $1, 180,251,170.41 incremental Funded Amount changed: from $1,181,251,170.41 to $1, 180,251,170.41 Account code: Reforming Treatability Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Program 1111412 Project

  11. CONTINATIONSHEETREFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    COTNUTO SETDE-AC27-08RV14800/048 rAG OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIESISERVICES QUANTITY JNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) WRPS Operations (FY 2010) Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Aliottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Progrl~am~ 1110909 Project 0001481 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0000000 Amount: $70,000,000.00 Delivery Location Code: 00601 Richland Operations Office U.S. Department of Energy Richland Operations Office

  12. Performance study of LMS based adaptive algorithms for unknown system identification

    SciTech Connect

    Javed, Shazia; Ahmad, Noor Atinah

    2014-07-10

    Adaptive filtering techniques have gained much popularity in the modeling of unknown system identification problem. These techniques can be classified as either iterative or direct. Iterative techniques include stochastic descent method and its improved versions in affine space. In this paper we present a comparative study of the least mean square (LMS) algorithm and some improved versions of LMS, more precisely the normalized LMS (NLMS), LMS-Newton, transform domain LMS (TDLMS) and affine projection algorithm (APA). The performance evaluation of these algorithms is carried out using adaptive system identification (ASI) model with random input signals, in which the unknown (measured) signal is assumed to be contaminated by output noise. Simulation results are recorded to compare the performance in terms of convergence speed, robustness, misalignment, and their sensitivity to the spectral properties of input signals. Main objective of this comparative study is to observe the effects of fast convergence rate of improved versions of LMS algorithms on their robustness and misalignment.

  13. Production of unknown transactinides in asymmetry-exit-channel quasifission reactions

    SciTech Connect

    Adamian, G.G.; Antonenko, N. V.; Zubov, A. S.

    2005-03-01

    Possibilities of production of new isotopes of superheavy nuclei with charge numbers 104-108 in asymmetry-exit-channel quasifission reactions are studied for the first time. The optimal conditions for the synthesis are suggested in this type of reaction. The products of suggested reactions can fill a gap of unknown isotopes between the isotopes of heaviest nuclei obtained in cold and hot complete fusion reactions.

  14. GIS keyword | OpenEI Community

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Open government map data initiatives in the USA or Canada? IRENA launches global atlas of renewable energy potential more Group members (8) Managers: NickL Recent members:...

  15. World Oil Prices and Production Trends in AEO2010 (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    In Annual Energy Outlook 2010, the price of light, low-sulfur (or "sweet") crude oil delivered at Cushing, Oklahoma, is tracked to represent movements in world oil prices. The Energy Information Administration makes projections of future supply and demand for "total liquids,"" which includes conventional petroleum liquids -- such as conventional crude oil, natural gas plant liquids, and refinery gain -- in addition to unconventional liquids, which include biofuels, bitumen, coal-to-liquids (CTL), gas-to-liquids (GTL), extra-heavy oils, and shale oil.

  16. Natural Gas and Crude Oil Prices in AEO (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    If oil and natural gas were perfect substitutes in all markets where they are used, market forces would be expected to drive their delivered prices to near equality on an energy-equivalent basis. The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil generally is denominated in terms of barrels, where 1 barrel has an energy content of approximately 5.8 million Btu. The price of natural gas (at the Henry Hub), in contrast, generally is denominated in million Btu. Thus, if the market prices of the two fuels were equal on the basis of their energy contents, the ratio of the crude oil price (the spot price for WTI, or low-sulfur light, crude oil) to the natural gas price (the Henry Hub spot price) would be approximately 6.0. From 1990 through 2007, however, the ratio of natural gas prices to crude oil prices averaged 8.6; and in the Annual Energy Outlook 2009 projections from 2008 through 2030, it averages 7.7 in the low oil price case, 14.6 in the reference case, and 20.2 in the high oil price case.

  17. Reconstruction of signals with unknown spectra in information field theory with parameter uncertainty

    SciTech Connect

    Ensslin, Torsten A.; Frommert, Mona [Max-Planck-Institut fuer Astrophysik, Karl-Schwarzschild-Str. 1, 85741 Garching (Germany)

    2011-05-15

    The optimal reconstruction of cosmic metric perturbations and other signals requires knowledge of their power spectra and other parameters. If these are not known a priori, they have to be measured simultaneously from the same data used for the signal reconstruction. We formulate the general problem of signal inference in the presence of unknown parameters within the framework of information field theory. To solve this, we develop a generic parameter-uncertainty renormalized estimation (PURE) technique. As a concrete application, we address the problem of reconstructing Gaussian signals with unknown power-spectrum with five different approaches: (i) separate maximum-a-posteriori power-spectrum measurement and subsequent reconstruction, (ii) maximum-a-posteriori reconstruction with marginalized power-spectrum, (iii) maximizing the joint posterior of signal and spectrum, (iv) guessing the spectrum from the variance in the Wiener-filter map, and (v) renormalization flow analysis of the field-theoretical problem providing the PURE filter. In all cases, the reconstruction can be described or approximated as Wiener-filter operations with assumed signal spectra derived from the data according to the same recipe, but with differing coefficients. All of these filters, except the renormalized one, exhibit a perception threshold in case of a Jeffreys prior for the unknown spectrum. Data modes with variance below this threshold do not affect the signal reconstruction at all. Filter (iv) seems to be similar to the so-called Karhune-Loeve and Feldman-Kaiser-Peacock estimators for galaxy power spectra used in cosmology, which therefore should also exhibit a marginal perception threshold if correctly implemented. We present statistical performance tests and show that the PURE filter is superior to the others, especially if the post-Wiener-filter corrections are included or in case an additional scale-independent spectral smoothness prior can be adopted.

  18. Role of Definitive Radiation Therapy in Carcinoma of Unknown Primary in the Abdomen and Pelvis

    SciTech Connect

    Kelly, Patrick; Das, Prajnan; Varadhachary, Gauri R.; Fontanilla, Hiral P.; Krishnan, Sunil; Delclos, Marc E.; Jhingran, Anuja; Eifel, Patricia J.; Crane, Christopher H.

    2012-04-01

    Objectives: Carcinoma of unknown primary (CUP) in the abdomen and pelvis is a heterogeneous group of cancers with no standard treatment. Considered by many to be incurable, these patients are often treated with chemotherapy alone. In this study, we determined the effectiveness of radiation therapy in combination with chemotherapy in patients with CUP in the abdomen and pelvis. Patients and Methods: Medical records were reviewed for 37 patients with CUP treated with radiation therapy for disease located in the soft tissues and/or nodal basins of the abdomen and pelvis at University of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer between 2002 and 2009. All patients underwent chemotherapy, either before or concurrent with radiation therapy. Patients were selected for radiation therapy on the basis of histologic type, disease extent, and prior therapy response. Twenty patients underwent definitive radiation therapy (defined as radiation therapy targeting all known disease sites with at least 45 Gy) and 17 patients underwent palliative radiation therapy. Only 6 patients had surgical resection of their disease. Patient and treatment characteristics were extracted and the endpoints of local disease control, progression-free survival (PFS), overall survival (OS), and treatment-related toxicity incidence were analyzed. Results: The 2-year PFS and OS rates for the entire cohort were 32% and 57%, respectively. However, in patients treated with definitive radiation therapy, the rates were 48% and 76%, and 7 patients lived more than 3 years after treatment with no evidence of disease progression. Nevertheless, radiation-associated toxicity was significant in this cohort, as 40% experienced Grade 2 or higher late toxicities. Conclusions: The use of definitive radiation therapy should be considered in selected patients with CUP in the soft tissues or nodal basins of the abdomen and pelvis.

  19. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Renewables AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 23, 2015) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (February 9, 2016) Presentation AEO2015 Meetings First ...

  20. Microsoft Word - Final AEO2007 Commercial Doc.doc

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    the State Energy Data System (SEDS) historical commercial sector consumption, applying an additive correction term to ensure that simulated model results correspond to published...

  1. Microsoft Word - Final Industrial Documentation AEO2008 _6-12...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    factors are multiplicative for all fuels which have values greater than zero and are additive otherwise. ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) ( ) - - - max...

  2. Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2006 - Supplemental Tables - All Tables

    SciTech Connect

    2009-01-18

    Tables describing regional energy consumption and prices by sector; residential, commercial, and industrial demand sector data; transportation demand sector; electricity and renewable fuel; and petroleum, natural gas, and coal data.

  3. Liquefied Natural Gas: Global Challenges (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    U.S. imports of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2007 were more than triple the 2000 total, and they are expected to grow in the long term as North Americas conventional natural gas production declines. With U.S. dependence on LNG imports increasing, competitive forces in the international markets for natural gas in general and LNG in particular will play a larger role in shaping the U.S. market for LNG. Key factors currently shaping the future of the global LNG market include the evolution of project economics, worldwide demand for natural gas, government policies that affect the development and use of natural resources in countries with LNG facilities, and changes in seasonal patterns of LNG trade.

  4. REFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO CONTINUATION SHEET...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    2010 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Amount: 43,752,060.00 Account code: P&B Rocky Flats Post Retirement Benefits Fund 01050 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity...

  5. Second AEO2014 Transportation Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Maples (EIAOECEA) Steve Plotkin (ANL) Attending by Phone: Kevin Bollon (EPA) Dallas Burkholder (EPA) John Davies (DOT) Kaoru Horie (Honda) Ken Howden (DOEEERE) Ryan Keefe ...

  6. First AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Frances Wood (OnLocation) Bhima Sastri (DOE-EERE) Don Hanson (ANL) Betsy Dutrow (EPA) Gale Boyd (Duke University) 2 WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT ...

  7. Buildings Working Group Meeting AEO2016 Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Clean Power Plan * EIA issued analysis of proposed Clean Power Plan (CPP) in 2015; CPP was finalized by EPA and is currently under judicial review. The Supreme Court has issued a ...

  8. First AEO2014 Buildings Sector Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    0, 2013 MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS PAUL HOLTBERG TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY ...

  9. First AEO2015 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... period for the NAICS revisions is just ending now, so we don't expect the revisions to happen before 2017. 2. Do the macro or industrial models explicitly model climate change? a. ...

  10. AEO 2013 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group 2

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Slide 12 - Corn Oil and Tallow are needed for biodiesel to meet the LCFS Slide 13 - Energy crops are needed to meet the LCFS There is not enough cellulosic production to meet the ...

  11. First AEO2017 Liquid Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... The following assumptions related to biofuelsnon-petroleum production were also maintained: ethanol and biodiesel tax credits are not extended beyond current expiration dates; ...

  12. Second AEO2014 Liquids Fuels Markets Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... biofuels to California - corn ethanol, biodiesel, Brazilian sugarcane ethanol, etc. ... A- 10 billion gallons per year - Biodiesel is included in Northeast heating oil ...

  13. Second AEO2016 Macro-Induistrial Working Group Meeting summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... recovers later in the forecast, thereby allowing for ... moderate growth in the long-term spurred on by the relative ... 7. Why is there petroleum fuel growth in the steel ...

  14. Workshop on Biofuels Projections in AEO Presenters Biographies

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Prior to his service at DOE, Howard was Senior Staff Economist at the Council of Economic ... of biofuels, the national Renewable Fuel Standard (RFS), the California Low Carbon Fuel ...

  15. AEO2013 Early Release Base Overnight Project Technological Total...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    4.39 30.64 8,800 8,740 Integrated Coal-Gasification Comb Cycle (IGCC) 7 2016 1200 4 3,475 ... 1.05 1.00 1,759 7.62 17.14 10,042 9,880 Biomass 2016 50 4 3,685 1.07 1.02 4,041 5.17 ...

  16. Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... tracking systems in the future. A participant wanted to know if the wind capacity is hitting any growth bounds, and if the wind growth bounds are specified at the EMM level. ...

  17. Updated State Air Emissions Regulations (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    The Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) is a program that includes 10 Northeast states that have agreed to curtail and reverse growth in their carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions. The RGGI program includes all electricity generating units with a capacity of at least 25 megawatts and requires an allowance for each ton of CO2 emitted. The first year of mandatory compliance was in 2009.

  18. Energy Policy Act 2005 Summary (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    The U.S. House of Representatives passed H.R. 6 EH, the Energy Policy Act of 2005, on April 21, 2005, and the Senate passed H.R. 6 EAS on June 28, 2005. A conference committee was convened to resolve differences between the two bills, and a report was approved and issued on July 27, 2005. The House approved the conference report on July 28, 2005, and the Senate followed on July 29, 2005. EPACT2005 was signed into law by President Bush on August 8, 2005, and became Public Law 109-058.

  19. Restricted Natural Gas Supply Case (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The restricted natural gas supply case provides an analysis of the energy-economic implications of a scenario in which future gas supply is significantly more constrained than assumed in the reference case. Future natural gas supply conditions could be constrained because of problems with the construction and operation of large new energy projects, and because the future rate of technological progress could be significantly lower than the historical rate. Although the restricted natural gas supply case represents a plausible set of constraints on future natural gas supply, it is not intended to represent what is likely to happen in the future.

  20. No Sunset and Extended Policies Cases (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2010 Reference case is best described as a current laws and regulations case, because it generally assumes that existing laws and fully promulgated regulations will remain unchanged throughout the projection period, unless the legislation establishing them specifically calls for them to end or change. The Reference case often serves as a starting point for the analysis of proposed legislative or regulatory changes, a task that would be difficult if the Reference case included projected legislative or regulatory changes.

  1. Federal Fuels Taxes and Tax Credits (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Provides a review and update of the handling of federal fuels taxes and tax credits, focusing primarily on areas for which regulations have changed or the handling of taxes or credits has been updated in Annual Energy Outlook 2009.

  2. Liquid Fuels Taxes and Credits (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Provides a review of the treatment of federal fuels taxes and tax credits in Annual Energy Outlook 2010.

  3. EPACT2005 Loan Guarantee Program (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    Title XVII of the Energy Policy Act 2005 (EPACT) authorized the Department of Energy (DOE) to issue loan guarantees for projects involving new or improved technologies to avoid, reduce, or sequester greenhouse gases (GHGs). The law specified that the amount of the guarantee would be up to 80% of a project's cost. EPACT2005 also specified that DOE must receive funds equal to the subsidy cost either through the federal appropriations process or from the firm receiving the guarantee. As discussed in Annual Energy Outlook 2007, this program, by lowering borrowing costs, can have a major impact on the economics of capital-intensive technologies.

  4. American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The American Jobs Creation Act of 2004 was signed into law on October 22, 2004. Most of the 650 pages of the Act are related to tax legislation. Provisions pertaining to energy are detailed in this analysis.

  5. New NHTSA CAFE Standards (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    EISA2007 requires the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) to raise the Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards for passenger cars and light trucks to ensure that the average tested fuel economy of the combined fleet of all new passenger cars and light trucks sold in the United States in model year (MY) 2020 equals or exceeds 35 mpg, 34% above the current fleet average of 26.4 mpg. Pursuant to this legislation, NHTSA recently proposed revised CAFE standards that substantially increase the minimum fuel economy requirements for passenger cars and light trucks for MY 2011 through MY 2015.

  6. Second AEO2016 Buildings Sector Workingb Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    equipment standards and ENERGY STAR specifications; an ... The presentation materials are provided as a separate ... generation (DG) and solar photovoltaics (PV): The ...

  7. AEO2012 Preliminary Assumptions: Oil and Gas Supply

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    3 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis July 31, 2012 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2013: Oil and Gas Working Group Overview 2 Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis Working Group Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington, DC, July 31, 2012 DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE as results are subject to

  8. Climate Stewardship Act of 2004 (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The Climate Stewardship Act of 2004 would establish a system of tradable allowances to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The bill includes requirements for mandatory emissions reporting by covered entities and for voluntary reporting of emissions reduction activities by noncovered entities; a national greenhouse gas database and registry of reductions; and a research program on climate change and related activities.

  9. AEO2014 - Legislation and Regulations articles - U.S. Energy...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    and diesel fuel sold. There are four interrelated requirements, for cellulosic biofuels, biomass-based diesel, advanced biofuels, and total renewable fuels. State renewable...

  10. Mobile Source Air Toxics Rule (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    On February 9, 2007, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) released its MSAT2 rule, which will establish controls on gasoline, passenger vehicles, and portable fuel containers. The controls are designed to reduce emissions of benzene and other hazardous air pollutants. Benzene is a known carcinogen, and the EPA estimates that mobile sources produced more than 70% of all benzene emissions in 1999. Other mobile source air toxics, including 1,3-butadiene, formaldehyde, acetaldehyde, acrolein, and naphthalene, also are thought to increase cancer rates or contribute to other serious health problems.

  11. AEO2017 Modeling updates in the transportation sector

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Massachusetts, Rhode Island, Vermont * CD2: New ... * Update total freight ton-mile and vehicle miles traveled ... - Stock is made up of three types of aircraft: ...

  12. Workshop on Biofuels Projections in AEO Attendance List

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... Schremp California Energy Commission Anthony Shen Stifel Daniel Sinks Phillips 66 Russ Smith U.S. EPA Wyatt Thompson FAPRI-MU Paul Trupo USDA Lisa Twedt USDA - Foreign Agricultural ...

  13. EIA - Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2013 Data Tables

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Table 55.2. Electric Power Projections by Electricity Market Module Region - Florida Reliability Coordinating Council XLS Table 55.3. Electric Power Projections by Electricity...

  14. Summary of AEO2017 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg ... issues raised, including prospects for nuclear re-licensing, 2) continued inclusion of ...

  15. Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg ... The results shown include electricity sales, coal and nuclear retirements, electricity and ...

  16. Summary of Second AEO 2014 Electricity Working Group Meeting

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg ... Crozat, Matthew P. (US DOE: Office of Nuclear Energy) Diefenderfer, Jim (EIA OEA) ...

  17. Summary of AEO2016 Electricity Working Group Meeting held on...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    January7, 2016 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Director, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul ...

  18. Electricity Plant Cost Uncertainties (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Construction costs for new power plants have increased at an extraordinary rate over the past several years. One study, published in mid-2008, reported that construction costs had more than doubled since 2000, with most of the increase occurring since 2005. Construction costs have increased for plants of all types, including coal, nuclear, natural gas, and wind.

  19. Multi-Pollutant Legislation and Regulations (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The 108th Congress proposed and debated a variety of bills addressing pollution control at electric power plants but did not pass any of them into law. In addition, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) currently is preparing two regulations-a proposed Clean Air Interstate Rule (pCAIR) and a Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR)-to address emissions from coal-fired power plants. Several states also have taken legislative actions to limit pollutants from power plants in their jurisdictions. This section discusses three Congressional air pollution bills and the EPA's pCAIR and CAMR regulations.

  20. Federal Air Emissions Regulations (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    In 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized two regulations, the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) and the Clean Air Mercury Rule CAMR, that would reduce emissions from coal-fired power plants in the United States. Both CAIR and CAMR are included in the Annual Energy Outlook 2006 reference case. The EPA has received 11 petitions for reconsideration of CAIR and has provided an opportunity for public comment on reconsidering certain aspects of CAIR. Public comments were accepted until January 13, 2006. The EPA has also received 14 petitions for reconsideration of CAMR and is willing to reconsider certain aspects of the rule. Public comments were accepted for 45 days after publication of the reconsideration notice in the Federal Register. Several states and organizations have filed lawsuits against CAMR. The ultimate decision of the courts will have a significant impact on the implementation of CAMR.

  1. Clean Air Mercury Rule (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    On February 8, 2008, a three-judge panel on the D.C. Circuit of the U.S. Court of Appeals issued a decision to vacate the Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR). In its ruling, the panel cited the history of hazardous air pollutant regulation under Section 112 of the Clean Air Act (CAA). Section 112, as written by Congress, listed emitted mercury as a hazardous air pollutant that must be subject to regulation unless it can be proved harmless to public welfare and the environment. In 2000, the Environmental Protection Agency ruled that mercury was indeed hazardous and must be regulated under Section 112 and, therefore, subjected to the best available control technology for mitigation.

  2. Distributed Generation in Buildings (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    Currently, distributed generation provides a very small share of residential and commercial electricity requirements in the United States. The Annual Energy Outlook 2005 reference case projects a significant increase in electricity generation in the buildings sector, but distributed generation is expected to remain a small contributor to the sectors energy needs. Although the advent of higher energy prices or more rapid improvement in technology could increase the use of distributed generation relative to the reference case projection, the vast majority of electricity used in buildings is projected to continue to be purchased from the grid.

  3. Mercury Emissions Control Technologies (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2006 reference case assumes that states will comply with the requirements of the Environmental Protection Agency's new Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR) regulation. CAMR is a two-phase program, with a Phase I cap of 38 tons of mercury emitted from all U.S. power plants in 2010 and a Phase II cap of 15 tons in 2018. Mercury emissions in the electricity generation sector in 2003 are estimated at around 50 tons. Generators have a variety of options to meet the mercury limits, such as: switching to coal with a lower mercury content, relying on flue gas desulfurization or selective catalytic reduction equipment to reduce mercury emissions, or installing conventional activated carbon injection (ACI) technology.

  4. Second AEO2015 Macro-Industrial Workiing Group Meeting Summary

    Annual Energy Outlook

    TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ...

  5. First AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ...

  6. First AEO2015 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    TEAM LEADER ANALYSIS INTEGRATION TEAM JAMES TURNURE DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY CONSUMPTION & EFFICIENCY ANALYSIS LYNN WESTFALL DIRECTOR OFFICE OF ENERGY MARKETS & FINANCIAL ...

  7. Second AEO2014 Macro-Industrial Working Group Meeting Summary

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    net migration, a lower starting population size, and increased life expectancies, which ... Is it primarily aircraft or motor vehicles? a. Transportation equipment shipments are ...

  8. Handling Key AEO2017 Electric Sector Policy Assumptions and Key...

    Annual Energy Outlook

    time * PV load shapes * Renewables Integration - Energy Storage - Address Solar curtailments * Solar resource data update * Regional solar costs * State RPS policy updates ...

  9. First AEO2014 Transportation Working Group Meeting Summary

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    inform HDV model year, vehicle type and VMT aspects using the Polk data. 4. What does the measure "E85 market share" represent on the Consumer choice for E85 graph on slide 11? a. ...

  10. Clean Air Interstate Rule (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) is a cap-and-trade program promulgated by the Environmental Protection Agency in 2005, covering 28 eastern U.S. states and the District of Columbia. It was designed to reduce sulfur dioxide (SO2) and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions in order to help states meet their National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ozone and particulate matter (PM2.5) and to further emissions reductions already achieved through the Acid Rain Program and the NOx State Implementation Plan call program. The rule was set to commence in 2009 for seasonal and annual NOx emissions and in 2010 for SO2 emissions.

  11. Clean Air Nonroad Diesel Rule (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    On June 29, 2004, the Environmental Protection Agency issued a comprehensive final rule regulating emissions from nonroad diesel engines and sulfur content in nonroad diesel fuel. The nonroad fuel market makes up more than 18% of the total distillate pool. The rule applies to new equipment covering a broad range of engine sizes, power ratings, and equipment types. There are currently about 6 million pieces of nonroad equipment operating in the United States, and more than 650,000 new units are sold each year.

  12. Electricity Prices in Transition (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The push by some states to restructure electricity markets progressed rapidly throughout the late 1990s. Although the energy crisis in California during 2000 and 2001 slowed the momentum, 19 states and the District of Columbia currently have some form of restructuring in place. In addition, Washington State, which has not restructured its electricity market, allows its largest industrial customers to choose their suppliers.

  13. Tax Credits and Renewable Generation (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Tax incentives have been an important factor in the growth of renewable generation over the past decade, and they could continue to be important in the future. The Energy Tax Act of 1978 (Public Law 95-618) established ITCs for wind, and EPACT92 established the Renewable Electricity Production Credit (more commonly called the PTC) as an incentive to promote certain kinds of renewable generation beyond wind on the basis of production levels. Specifically, the PTC provided an inflation-adjusted tax credit of 1.5 cents per kilowatthour for generation sold from qualifying facilities during the first 10 years of operation. The credit was available initially to wind plants and facilities that used closed-loop biomass fuels and were placed in service after passage of the Act and before June 1999.

  14. Second AEO2014 Buildings Sector Working Group Meeting

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY ANALYSIS PAUL HOLTBERG TEAM LEADER ... Ackerly (Alliance for Green Heat) Xiaojing Sun (Georgia Tech) Matt Cox (Georgia Tech) ...

  15. Overview of Levelized Cost of Energy in the AEO

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Decade Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Year-6 Year-7 Year-8 Year-9 1990's 798,236 818,233 807,040 793,261 774,978 815,754 747,154 784,209 815,512 2000's 876,145 786,947 830,504 895,100 917,014 918,593 4,290,187 4,430,466 4,839,942 5,225,005 2010's 5,864,402 6,958,125 8,225,321 689,082 631,536 600,656

    Decade Year-0 Year-1 Year-2 Year-3 Year-4 Year-5 Year-6 Year-7 Year-8 Year-9 1980's 826,576 1990's 810,100 784,362 800,913 788,472 774,724 759,728 805,491 736,679 775,235 800,579 2000's

  16. EIA - Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2013 Data Tables

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Analysis & Projections Annual Energy Outlook 2016 Full Release Date: September 15, ... Summary Case Tables Table 1. Total Energy Supply, Disposition, and Price Summary Table 2. ...

  17. Alaskan Natural Gas Pipeline Developments (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2007 reference case projects that an Alaska natural gas pipeline will go into operation in 2018, based on the Energy Information Administration's current understanding of the projects time line and economics. There is continuing debate, however, about the physical configuration and the ownership of the pipeline. In addition, the issue of Alaskas oil and natural gas production taxes has been raised, in the context of a current market environment characterized by rising construction costs and falling natural gas prices. If rates of return on investment by producers are reduced to unacceptable levels, or if the project faces significant delays, other sources of natural gas, such as unconventional natural gas production and liquefied natural gas imports, could fulfill the demand that otherwise would be served by an Alaska pipeline.

  18. Expectations for Oil Shale Production (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Oil shales are fine-grained sedimentary rocks that contain relatively large amounts of kerogen, which can be converted into liquid and gaseous hydrocarbons (petroleum liquids, natural gas liquids, and methane) by heating the rock, usually in the absence of oxygen, to 650 to 700 degrees Fahrenheit (in situ retorting) or 900 to 950 degrees Fahrenheit (surface retorting). (Oil shale is, strictly speaking, a misnomer in that the rock is not necessarily a shale and contains no crude oil.) The richest U.S. oil shale deposits are located in Northwest Colorado, Northeast Utah, and Southwest Wyoming. Currently, those deposits are the focus of petroleum industry research and potential future production. Among the three states, the richest oil shale deposits are on federal lands in northwest Colorado.

  19. Changing Trends in the Refining Industry (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    There have been some major changes in the U.S. refining industry recently, prompted in part by a significant decline in the quality of imported crude oil and by increasing restrictions on the quality of finished products. As a result, high-quality crudes, such as the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude that serves as a benchmark for oil futures on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX), have been trading at record premiums to the OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) Basket price.

  20. World Oil Price Cases (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    World oil prices in Annual Energy Outlook 2005 are set in an environment where the members of OPEC (Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries) are assumed to act as the dominant producers, with lower production costs than other supply regions or countries. Non-OPEC oil producers are assumed to behave competitively, producing as much oil as they can profitability extract at the market price for oil. As a result, the OPEC member countries will be able effectively to set the price of oil when they can act in concert by varying their aggregate production. Alternatively, OPEC members could target a fixed level of production and let the world market determine the price.

  1. Economic Effects of High Oil Prices (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2006 projections of future energy market conditions reflect the effects of oil prices on the macroeconomic variables that affect oil demand, in particular, and energy demand in general. The variables include real gross domestic product (GDP) growth, inflation, employment, exports and imports, and interest rates.

  2. The structure of the cyanobactin domain of unknown function from PatG in the patellamide gene cluster

    SciTech Connect

    Mann, Greg; Koehnke, Jesko; Bent, Andrew F.; Graham, Rachael; Houssen, Wael; Jaspars, Marcel; Schwarz-Linek, Uli; Naismith, James H.

    2014-11-14

    The highly conserved domain of unknown function in the cyanobactin superfamily has a novel fold. The protein does not appear to bind the most plausible substrates, leaving questions as to its role. Patellamides are members of the cyanobactin family of ribosomally synthesized and post-translationally modified cyclic peptide natural products, many of which, including some patellamides, are biologically active. A detailed mechanistic understanding of the biosynthetic pathway would enable the construction of a biotechnological toolkit to make novel analogues of patellamides that are not found in nature. All but two of the protein domains involved in patellamide biosynthesis have been characterized. The two domains of unknown function (DUFs) are homologous to each other and are found at the C-termini of the multi-domain proteins PatA and PatG. The domain sequence is found in all cyanobactin-biosynthetic pathways characterized to date, implying a functional role in cyanobactin biosynthesis. Here, the crystal structure of the PatG DUF domain is reported and its binding interactions with plausible substrates are investigated.

  3. Improved Dosimetric and Clinical Outcomes With Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy for Head-and-Neck Cancer of Unknown Primary Origin

    SciTech Connect

    Chen, Allen M.; Li Baoqing; Farwell, D. Gregory; Marsano, Joseph; Vijayakumar, Srinivasan; Purdy, James A.

    2011-03-01

    Purpose: To compare differences in dosimetric, clinical, and quality-of-life endpoints among a cohort of patients treated by intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) and conventional radiotherapy (CRT) for head-and-neck cancer of unknown primary origin. Methods and Materials: The medical records of 51 patients treated by radiation therapy for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck presenting as cervical lymph node metastasis of occult primary origin were reviewed. Twenty-four patients (47%) were treated using CRT, and 27 (53%) were treated using IMRT. The proportions of patients receiving concurrent chemotherapy were 54% and 63%, respectively. Results: The 2-year estimates of overall survival, local-regional control, and disease-specific survival for the entire patient population were 86%, 89%, and84%, respectively. There were no significant differences in any of these endpoints with respect to radiation therapy technique (p > 0.05 for all). Dosimetric analysis revealed that the use of IMRT resulted in significant improvements with respect to mean dose and V30 to the contralateral (spared) parotid gland. In addition, mean doses to the ipsilateral inner and middle ear structures were significantly reduced with IMRT (p < 0.05 for all). The incidence of severe xerostomia in the late setting was 58% and 11% among patients treated by CRT and IMRT, respectively (p < 0.001). The percentages of patients who were G-tube dependent at 6 months after treatment were 42% and 11%, respectively (p < 0.001). Conclusions: IMRT results in significant improvements in the therapeutic ratio among patients treated by radiation therapy for head-and-neck cancer of unknown primary origin.

  4. Analysis methods for fast impurity ion dynamics data

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Residential/Commercial Buildings AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 8, 2015) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (February 18, 2016) Summary of meeting Presentation AEO2015 Meetings First AEO2015 Meeting (August 7, 2014) Summary of meeting Presentation AEO2014 Meetings First AEO2014 Meeting (July 22, 2013) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2014 Meeting (September 26, 2013) Summary of meeting Presentation AEO2013 Meetings First AEO2013 Assumptions Meeting

  5. Property:OpenEI/Tool/Keyword | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    +, Green Button Apps + Badema + Cleanweb Hackathon +, Boston +, Community Generated + Bioenergy KDF + Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) Tools + Biofuels Techno-Economic...

  6. National Library of Energy : Main View : Search Results for Keyword...

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

    site. Website Policies and Important Links Search capabilities provided by DOEOSTI Deep Web Technologies Source Status Additional Results Available There are more results...

  7. Efficacy and Toxicity of Chemoradiotherapy Using Intensity-Modulated Radiotherapy for Unknown Primary of Head and Neck

    SciTech Connect

    Sher, David J.; Balboni, Tracy A.; Haddad, Robert I.; Norris, Charles M.; Posner, Marshall R.; Wirth, Lori J.; Goguen, Laura A.; Annino, Donald; Tishler, Roy B.

    2011-08-01

    Purpose: No single standard treatment paradigm is available for head-and-neck squamous cell carcinoma of an unknown primary (HNCUP). Bilateral neck radiotherapy with mucosal axis irradiation is widely used, with or without chemotherapy and/or surgical resection. Intensity-modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) is a highly conformal method for delivering radiation that is becoming the standard of care and might reduce the long-term treatment-related sequelae. We report the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute experience with IMRT-based treatment for HNCUP. Patients and Materials: A retrospective study of all patients treated at the Dana-Farber Cancer Institute for HNCUP with IMRT between August 2004 and January 2009. The primary endpoint was overall survival; the secondary endpoints were locoregional and distant control, and acute and chronic toxicity. Results: A total of 24 patients with HNCUP were included. Of these patients, 22 had Stage N2 disease or greater. All patients underwent neck computed tomography, positron emission tomography-computed tomography, and examination under anesthesia with directed biopsies. Of the 24 patients, 22 received concurrent chemotherapy, and 7 (29%) also underwent induction chemotherapy. The median involved nodal dose was 70 Gy, and the median mucosal dose was 60 Gy. With a median follow-up of 2.1 years, the 2-year actuarial overall survival and locoregional control rate was 92% and 100%, respectively. Only 25% of the patients had Grade 2 xerostomia, although 11 patients (46%) required esophageal dilation for stricture. Conclusion: In a single-institution series, IMRT-based chemoradiotherapy for HNCUP was associated with superb overall survival and locoregional control. The xerostomia rates were promising, but the aggressive therapy was associated with significant rates of esophageal stenosis.

  8. Teleportation of a two-qubit arbitrary unknown state using a four-qubit genuine entangled state with the combination of bell-state measurements

    SciTech Connect

    Dong, Li; Xiu, Xiao-Ming, E-mail: xiuxiaomingdl@126.com [Dalian University of Technology, School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology (China)] [Dalian University of Technology, School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology (China); Ren, Yuan-Peng [Bohai University, Higher Professional Technical Institute (China)] [Bohai University, Higher Professional Technical Institute (China); Gao, Ya-Jun [Bohai University, College of Mathematics and Physics (China)] [Bohai University, College of Mathematics and Physics (China); Yi, X. X. [Dalian University of Technology, School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology (China)] [Dalian University of Technology, School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology (China)

    2013-01-15

    We propose a protocol transferring an arbitrary unknown two-qubit state using the quantum channel of a four-qubit genuine entangled state. Simplifying the four-qubit joint measurement to the combination of Bell-state measurements, it can be realized more easily with currently available technologies.

  9. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Liquid Fuels Markets AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (November 19, 2015) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (February 24, 2016) Summary of meeting ...

  10. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Electricity AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 8, 2015) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (February 10, 2016) Summary of meeting Presentation ...

  11. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ResidentialCommercial Buildings AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 8, 2015) Summary of meeting Presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (February 18, 2016) Summary of ...

  12. Method for measuring dose-equivalent in a neutron flux with an unknown energy spectra and means for carrying out that method

    DOEpatents

    Distenfeld, Carl H.

    1978-01-01

    A method for measuring the dose-equivalent for exposure to an unknown and/or time varing neutron flux which comprises simultaneously exposing a plurality of neutron detecting elements of different types to a neutron flux and combining the measured responses of the various detecting elements by means of a function, whose value is an approximate measure of the dose-equivalent, which is substantially independent of the energy spectra of the flux. Also, a personnel neutron dosimeter, which is useful in carrying out the above method, comprising a plurality of various neutron detecting elements in a single housing suitable for personnel to wear while working in a radiation area.

  13. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Oil and Natural Gas AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 15, 2015) Summary of meeting Oil and Gas presentation AEO2015 Meetings First AEO2015 Meeting (August 7, 2014) ...

  14. Radiation Therapy in the Management of Head-and-Neck Cancer of Unknown Primary Origin: How Does the Addition of Concurrent Chemotherapy Affect the Therapeutic Ratio?

    SciTech Connect

    Chen, Allen M.; Farwell, D. Gregory; Lau, Derick H.; Li Baoqing; Luu, Quang; Donald, Paul J.

    2011-10-01

    Purpose: To determine how the addition of cisplatin-based concurrent chemotherapy to radiation therapy influences outcomes among a cohort of patients treated for head-and-neck cancer of unknown primary origin. Methods and Materials: The medical records of 60 consecutive patients treated by radiation therapy for squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck presenting as cervical lymph node metastasis of occult primary origin were reviewed. Thirty-two patients (53%) were treated by concurrent chemoradiation, and 28 patients (47%) were treated by radiation therapy alone. Forty-five patients (75%) received radiation therapy after surgical resection, and 15 patients (25%) received primary radiation therapy. Thirty-five patients (58%) were treated by intensity-modulated radiotherapy. Results: The 2-year estimates of overall survival, local-regional control, and progression-free survival were 89%, 89%, and 79%, respectively, among patients treated by chemoradiation, compared to 90%, 92%, and 83%, respectively, among patients treated by radiation therapy alone (p > 0.05, for all). Exploratory analysis failed to identify any subset of patients who benefited from the addition of concurrent chemotherapy to radiation therapy. The use of concurrent chemotherapy was associated with a significantly increased incidence of Grade 3+ acute and late toxicity (p < 0.001, for both). Conclusions: Concurrent chemoradiation is associated with significant toxicity without a clear advantage to overall survival, local-regional control, and progression-free survival in the treatment of head-and-neck cancer of unknown primary origin. Although selection bias cannot be ignored, prospective data are needed to further address this question.

  15. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Macroeconomic AEO2017 Meetings First AEO2017 Meeting (July 28, 2016) Summary of meeting Macroeconomic modeling plans presentation Prior years meetings were combined with Industrial group AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 3, 2015) Summary of meeting Macroeconomic modeling plans presentation Industrial modeling plans presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (March 21, 2016) Summary of meeting Industrial modeling plans presentation AEO2015 Meetings First AEO2015 Meeting (July 24, 2014)

  16. Importance of Low Permeability Natural Gas Reservoirs (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Production from low-permeability reservoirs, including shale gas and tight gas, has become a major source of domestic natural gas supply. In 2008, low-permeability reservoirs accounted for about 40% of natural gas production and about 35% of natural gas consumption in the United States. Permeability is a measure of the rate at which liquids and gases can move through rock. Low-permeability natural gas reservoirs encompass the shale, sandstone, and carbonate formations whose natural permeability is roughly 0.1 millidarcies or below. (Permeability is measured in darcies.)

  17. Military Construction Appropriations and Emergency Hurricane Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2005 (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    H.R. 4837, The Military Construction Appropriations and Emergency Hurricane Supplemental Appropriations Act, 2005, was signed into law on October 13, 2004. The Act provides for construction to support the operations of the U.S. Armed Forces and for military family housing. It also provides funds to help citizens in Florida and elsewhere in the aftermath of multiple hurricanes and other natural disasters. In addition, it authorizes construction of an Alaska Natural Gas Pipeline.

  18. FE LNG Exports-v1-aeo2014_8_29_14.xlsx

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    50.3 50.3 51.4 51.5 51.5 51.5 51.8 51.9 51.9 51.9 75.6 75.7 75.7 75.7 End-Use Electricity Price (2012 centsKwh) 10.4 10.5 10.5 10.6 10.6 9.8 9.8 9.8 9.8 11.1 11.4 11.4 11.5 10.5 ...

  19. Price Responsiveness in the AEO2003 NEMS Residential and Commercial Buildings Sector Models

    Reports and Publications

    2003-01-01

    This paper describes the demand responses to changes in energy prices in the Annual Energy Outlook 2003 versions of the Residential and Commercial Demand Modules of the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). It updates a similar paper completed for the Annual Energy Outlook 1999 version of the NEMS.

  20. Microsoft Word - macro industrial AEO2013 working group 08-02...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    GI's (Global Insights') long-term forecast of GDP. There was no ... of a dynamic price driver (comprised of the ... incentivize boiler fuel switching to natural gas ...

  1. Loan Guarantees and the Economics of Electricity Generating Technologies (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The loan guarantee program authorized in Title XVII of EPACT2005 is not included in the Annual Energy Outlook 2007, because the Federal Credit Reform Act of 1990 requires congressional authorization of loan guarantees in an appropriations act before a federal agency can make a binding loan guarantee agreement. As of October 2006, Congress had not provided the legislation necessary for the Department of Energy (DOE) to implement the loan guarantee program (see Legislation and Regulations). In August 2006, however, DOE invited firms to submit pre-applications for the first $2 billion in potential loan guarantees.

  2. Fuel Economy Standards for New Light Trucks (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    In March 2006, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) finalized Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards requiring higher fuel economy performance for light-duty trucks in model year (MY) 2008 through 2011. Unlike the proposed CAFE standards discussed in Annual Energy Outlook 2006, which would have established minimum fuel economy requirements by six footprint size classes, the final reformed CAFE standards specify a continuous mathematical function that determines minimum fuel economy requirements by vehicle footprint, defined as the wheelbase (the distance from the front axle to the center of the rear axle) times the average track width (the distance between the center lines of the tires) of the vehicle in square feet.

  3. Proposed Revisions to Light Truck Fuel Economy Standard (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    In August 2005, the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) published proposed reforms to the structure of CAFE standards for light trucks and increases in light truck Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) standards for model years 2008 through 201. Under the proposed new structure, NHTSA would establish minimum fuel economy levels for six size categories defined by the vehicle footprint (wheelbase multiplied by track width), as summarized in Table 3. For model years 2008 through 2010, the new CAFE standards would provide manufacturers the option of complying with either the standards defined for each individual footprint category or a proposed average light truck fleet standard of 22.5 miles per gallon in 2008, 23.1 miles per gallon in 2009, and 23.5 miles per gallon in 2010. All light truck manufacturers would be required to meet an overall standard based on sales within each individual footprint category after model year 2010.

  4. Update on Transition to Ultra-Low-Sulfur Diesel Fuel (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    On November 8, 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) Administrator signed a direct final rule that will shift the retail compliance date for offering ultra-low sulfur diesel (ULSD) for highway use from September 1, 2006, to October 15, 2006. The change will allow more time for retail outlets and terminals to comply with the new 15 parts per million (ppm) sulfur standard, providing time for entities in the diesel fuel distribution system to flush higher sulfur fuel out of the system during the transition. Terminals will have until September 1, 2006, to complete their transitions to ULSD. The previous deadline was July 15, 2006.

  5. Regulation of Emissions from Stationary Diesel Engines (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    On July 11, 2006, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued regulations covering emissions from stationary diesel engines New Source Performance Standards that limit emissions of NOx, particulate matter, SO2, carbon monoxide, and hydrocarbons to the same levels required for nonroad diesel engines. The regulation affects new, modified, and reconstructed diesel engines. Beginning with model year 2007, engine manufacturers must specify that new engines less than 3,000 horsepower meet the same emissions standard as nonroad diesel engines. For engines greater than 3,000 horsepower, the standard will be fully effective in 2011. Stationary diesel engine fuel will also be subject to the same standard as nonroad diesel engine fuel, which reduces the sulfur content of the fuel to 500 parts per million by mid-2007 and 15 parts per million by mid-2010.

  6. California Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Light-Duty Vehicles (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    In July 2002, California Assembly Bill 1493 (A.B. 1493) was signed into law. The law requires that the California Air Resources Board (CARB) develop and adopt, by January 1, 2005, greenhouse gas emission standards for light-duty vehicles that provide the maximum feasible reduction in emissions. In estimating the feasibility of the standard, CARB is required to consider cost-effectiveness, technological capability, economic impacts, and flexibility for manufacturers in meeting the standard.

  7. Energy Improvement and Extension Act of 2008: Summary of Provisions (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    The Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 (Public Law 110-343), which was signed into law on October 3, 2008, incorporates EIEA2008 in Division B. Provisions in EIEA2008 that require funding appropriations to be implemented, whose impact is highly uncertain or that require further specification by federal agencies or Congress, are not included in Annual Energy Outlook 2009.

  8. Limited Electricity Generation Supply and Limited Natural Gas Supply Cases (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    Development of U.S. energy resources and the permitting and construction of large energy facilities have become increasingly difficult over the past 20 years, and they could become even more difficult in the future. Growing public concern about global warming and CO2 emissions also casts doubt on future consumption of fossil fuels -- particularly coal, which releases the largest amount of CO2 per unit of energy produced. Even without regulations to limit greenhouse gas emissions in the United States, the investment community may already be limiting the future use of some energy options. In addition, there is considerable uncertainty about the future availability of, and access to, both domestic and foreign natural gas resources.

  9. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update Through 2005 (Update) (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    Annual Energy Outlook 2005 provided a summary of 17 state renewable energy programs in existence as of December 31, 2003, in 15 states.

  10. Volumetric Excise Tax Credit for Alternative Fuels (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    On August 10, 2005, President Bush signed into law the Safe, Accountable, Flexible, and Efficient Transportation Equity Act: A Legacy for Users (SAFETEA-LU)]. The act includes authorization for a multitude of transportation infrastructure projects, establishes highway safety provisions, provides for research and development, and includes a large number of miscellaneous provisions related to transportation, most of which are not included in Annual Energy Outlook 2006 because their energy impacts are vague or undefined.

  11. State Restrictions on Methyl Tertiary Butyl Ether (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    By the end of 2005, 25 states had barred, or passed laws banning, any more than trace levels of methyl tertiary butyl ether (MTBE) in their gasoline supplies, and legislation to ban MTBE was pending in 4 others. Some state laws address only MTBE; others also address ethers such as ethyl tertiary butyl ether (ETBE) and tertiary amyl methyl ether (TAME). Annual Energy Outlook 2006 assumes that all state MTBE bans prohibit the use of all ethers for gasoline blending.

  12. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update Through 2003 (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    As of the end of 2003, 15 states had legislated programs to encourage the development of renewable energy for electricity generation. Of the 17 programs (two states have multiple programs), 9 are renewable portfolio standards (RPS), 4 are renewable energy mandates, and 4 are renewable energy goals.

  13. Impacts of Temperature Variation on Energy Demand in Buildings (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    In the residential and commercial sectors, heating and cooling account for more than 40% of end-use energy demand. As a result, energy consumption in those sectors can vary significantly from year to year, depending on yearly average temperatures.

  14. Economics of Plug-In Hybrid Electric Vehicles (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Plug-In hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs) have gained significant attention in recent years, as concerns about energy, environmental, and economic securityincluding rising gasoline prices have prompted efforts to improve vehicle fuel economy and reduce petroleum consumption in the transportation sector. PHEVs are particularly well suited to meet these objectives, because they have the potential to reduce petroleum consumption both through fuel economy gains and by substituting electric power for gasoline use.

  15. 13 SEER Standard for Central Air Conditioners and Heat Pumps (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    In January 2004, after years of litigation in a case that pitted environmental groups and Attorneys General from 10 states against the U.S. Secretary of Energy, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit reestablished the central air conditioner and heat pump standard originally set in January 200. The Courts ruling, which struck down a May 2002 rollback of the 2001 standard to a 12 Seasonal Energy Efficiency Ratio (SEER) mandates that all new central air conditioners and heat pumps meet a 13 SEER standard by January 2006, requiring a 30% increase in efficiency relative to current law. The Annual Energy Outlook 2005 reference case incorporates the 13 SEER standard as mandated by the Courts ruling.

  16. Trends in Heating and Cooling Degree Days: Implications for Energy Demand Issues (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    Weather-related energy use, in the form of heating, cooling, and ventilation, accounted for more than 40% of all delivered energy use in residential and commercial buildings in 2006. Given the relatively large amount of energy affected by ambient temperature in the buildings sector, the Energy Information Administration has reevaluated what it considers normal weather for purposes of projecting future energy use for heating, cooling, and ventilation. The Annual Energy Outlook 2008, estimates of normal heating and cooling degree-days are based on the population-weighted average for the 10-year period from 1997 through 2006.

  17. Impacts of Rising Construction and Equipment Costs on Energy Industries (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Costs related to the construction industry have been volatile in recent years. Some of the volatility may be related to higher energy prices. Prices for iron and steel, cement, and concrete -- commodities used heavily in the construction of new energy projects -- rose sharply from 2004 to 2006, and shortages have been reported. How such price fluctuations may affect the cost or pace of new development in the energy industries is not known with any certainty, and short-term changes in commodity prices are not accounted for in the 25-year projections in Annual Energy Outlook 2007. Most projects in the energy industries require long planning and construction lead times, which can lessen the impacts of short-term trends.

  18. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update through 2008 (Update) (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    State renewable portfolio standards (RPS) programs continue to play an important role in Annual Energy Outlook 2009, growing in number while existing programs are modified with more stringent targets. In total, 28 states and the District of Columbia now have mandatory RPS programs, and at least 4 other states have voluntary renewable energy programs. In the absence of a federal renewable electricity standard, each state determines its own levels of generation, eligible technologies, and noncompliance penalties. The growth in state renewable energy requirements has led to an expansion of renewable energy credit (REC) markets, which vary from state to state. Credit prices depend on the state renewable requirements and how easily they can be met.

  19. Impacts of Uncertainty in Energy Project Costs (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    From the late 1970s through 2002, steel, cement, and concrete prices followed a general downward trend. Since then, however, iron and steel prices have increased by 8% in 2003, 10% in 2004, and 31% in 2005. Although iron and steel prices declined in 2006, early data for 2007 show another increase. Cement and concrete prices, as well as the composite cost index for all construction commodities, have shown similar trends but with smaller increases in 2004 and 2005.

  20. Working Families Tax Relief Act of 2004 (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The Working Families Tax Relief Act of 2004 was signed into law on October 13, 2004. Primarily, the Act reduces taxes for individuals and businesses. At least two provisions relate to energy: Depletion of marginal properties and qualified vehicles.

  1. State Regulations on Airborne Emissions: Update Through 2007 (Update) (released in AEO2008)

    Reports and Publications

    2008-01-01

    States are moving forward with implementation plans for the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR). The program, promulgated by the EPA in March 2005, is a cap-and-trade system designed to reduce emissions of SO2 and NOx. States originally had until March 2007 to submit implementation plans, but the deadline has been extended by another year. CAIR covers 28 eastern states and the District of Columbia. States have the option to participate in the cap-and trade plan or devise their own plans, which can be more stringent than the federal requirements. To date, no state has indicated an intent to form NOx and SO2 programs with emissions limits stricter than those in CAIR, and it is expected that all states will participate in the Environmental Protection Agency administered cap-and-trade program. CAIR remains on schedule for implementation, and Annual Energy Outlook 2008 includes CAIR by assuming that all required states will meet only the federal requirement and will trade credits.

  2. Natural Gas as a Fuel for Heavy Trucks: Issues and Incentives (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Environmental and energy security concerns related to petroleum use for transportation fuels, together with recent growth in U.S. proved reserves and technically recoverable natural gas resources, including shale gas, have sparked interest in policy proposals aimed at stimulating increased use of natural gas as a vehicle fuel, particularly for heavy trucks.

  3. American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009: Summary of Provisions (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    The American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009 (ARRA), signed into law in mid-February 2009, provides significant new federal funding, loan guarantees, and tax credits to stimulate investments in energy efficiency and renewable energy. The provisions of ARRA were incorporated initially as part of a revision to the Annual Energy Outlook 2009 Reference case that was released in April 2009, and they also are included in Annual Energy Outlook 2010.

  4. Bringing Alaska North Slope Natural Gas to Market (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    At least three alternatives have been proposed over the years for bringing sizable volumes of natural gas from Alaska's remote North Slope to market in the lower 48 states: a pipeline interconnecting with the existing pipeline system in central Alberta, Canada; a gas-to-liquids (GTL) plant on the North Slope; and a large liquefied natural gas (LNG) export facility at Valdez, Alaska. The National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) explicitly models the pipeline and GTL options. The what if LNG option is not modeled in NEMS.

  5. State Renewable Energy Requirements and Goals: Update Through 2006 (Update) (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Annual Energy Outlook 2006 provided a review of renewable energy programs that were in effect in 23 states at the end of 2005. Since then (as of September 1, 2006), no new state programs have been adopted; however, several states with renewable energy programs in place have made changes as they have gained experience and identified areas for improvement. Revisions made over the past year range from clarification or modification of program definitions, such as which resources qualify, to substantial increases in targets for renewable electricity generation or capacity. The following paragraphs provide an overview of substantive changes in the design or implementation of state renewable energy programs.

  6. AEO2011_Newell_SENR_Testimony_2 03_11final revised

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    ... China alone accounts for 78 percent of the total net ... trends; current laws and regulations; and consumer behavior. ... and other State environmental rules; and (4) updates ...

  7. U.S. Greenhouse Gas Intensity and the Global Climate Change Initiative (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    On February 14, 2002, President Bush announced the Administrations Global Climate Change Initiative. A key goal of the Climate Change Initiative is to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas intensity by 18% over the 2002 to 2012 time frame. For the purposes of the initiative, greenhouse gas intensity is defined as the ratio of total U.S. greenhouse gas emissions to economic output.

  8. U.S. Greenhouse Gas Intensity and the Global Climate Change Initiative (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    On February 14, 2002, President Bush announced the Administrations Global Climate Change Initiative. A key goal of the Climate Change Initiative is to reduce U.S. greenhouse gas (GHG) intensity-defined as the ratio of total U.S. GHG emissions to economic output-by 18% over the 2002 to 2012 time frame.

  9. Greenhouse Gas Concerns and Power Sector Planning (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Concerns about potential climate change driven by rising atmospheric concentrations of Greenhouse Gases (GHG) have grown over the past two decades, both domestically and abroad. In the United States, potential policies to limit or reduce GHG emissions are in various stages of development at the state, regional, and federal levels. In addition to ongoing uncertainty with respect to future growth in energy demand and the costs of fuel, labor, and new plant construction, U.S. electric power companies must consider the effects of potential policy changes to limit or reduce GHG emissions that would significantly alter their planning and operating decisions. The possibility of such changes may already be affecting planning decisions for new generating capacity.

  10. Biofuels in the U.S. Transportation Sector (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Sustained high world oil prices and the passage of the Energy Policy Act 2005 (EPACT) have encouraged the use of agriculture-based ethanol and biodiesel in the transportation sector; however, both the continued growth of the biofuels industry and the long-term market potential for biofuels depend on the resolution of critical issues that influence the supply of and demand for biofuels. For each of the major biofuelscorn-based ethanol, cellulosic ethanol, and biodieselresolution of technical, economic, and regulatory issues remains critical to further development of biofuels in the United States.

  11. Federal and State Ethanol and Biodiesel Requirements (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    The Energy Policy Act 2005 requires that the use of renewable motor fuels be increased from the 2004 level of just over 4 billion gallons to a minimum of 7.5 billion gallons in 2012, after which the requirement grows at a rate equal to the growth of the gasoline pool. The law does not require that every gallon of gasoline or diesel fuel be blended with renewable fuels. Refiners are free to use renewable fuels, such as ethanol and biodiesel, in geographic regions and fuel formulations that make the most sense, as long as they meet the overall standard. Conventional gasoline and diesel can be blended with renewables without any change to the petroleum components, although fuels used in areas with air quality problems are likely to require adjustment to the base gasoline or diesel fuel if they are to be blended with renewables.

  12. Production Tax Credit for Renewable Electricity Generation (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    In the late 1970s and early 1980s, environmental and energy security concerns were addressed at the federal level by several key pieces of energy legislation. Among them, the Public Utility Regulatory Policies Act of 1978 (PURPA), P.L. 95-617, required regulated power utilities to purchase alternative electricity generation from qualified generating facilities, including small-scale renewable generators; and the Investment Tax Credit (ITC), P.L. 95-618, part of the Energy Tax Act of 1978, provided a 10% federal tax credit on new investment in capital-intensive wind and solar generation technologies.

  13. Fuel Economy of the Light-Duty Vehicle Fleet (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    The U.S. fleet of light-duty vehicles consists of cars and light trucks, including minivans, sport utility vehicles (SUVs) and trucks with gross vehicle weight less than 8,500 pounds. The fuel economy of light-duty vehicles is regulated by the (Corporate Average Fuel Economy) CAFE standards set by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration. Currently, the CAFE standard is 27.5 miles per gallon (mpg) for cars and 20.7 mpg for light trucks. The most recent increase in the CAFE standard for cars was in 1990, and the most recent increase in the CAFE standard for light trucks was in 1996.

  14. Microsoft PowerPoint - AEO2017 1st Electricity Working Group...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    By Thad Huetteman, Team Lead, Electricity Team Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and ... integration distributed generation - Nuclear: retirementsupratesplant life extension ...

  15. Miscellaneous Electricity Services in the Buildings Sector (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Residential and commercial electricity consumption for miscellaneous services has grown significantly in recent years and currently accounts for more electricity use than any single major end-use service in either sector (including space heating, space cooling, water heating, and lighting). In the residential sector, a proliferation of consumer electronics and information technology equipment has driven much of the growth. In the commercial sector, telecommunications and network equipment and new advances in medical imaging have contributed to recent growth in miscellaneous electricity use.

  16. New EPA Guidelines for Review of Surface Coal Mining Operations in Appalachia (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    On April 1, 2010, the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) issued a set of new guidelines to several of its Regional offices regarding the compliance of surface coal mining operations in Appalachia with the provisions of the Clean Water Act (CWA), the National Environmental Policy Act, and the environmental justice Executive Order (E.O. 12898). The stated purpose of the guidance was to explain more fully the approach that the EPA will be following in permit reviews, and to provide additional assurance that its Regional offices use clear, consistent, and science-based standards in reviewing the permits. Although the new guidelines go into effect immediately, they will be subjected to review both by the public and by the EPA's Science Advisory Board, with a set of final guidelines to be issued no later than April 1, 2011.

  17. U.S. Nuclear Power Plants: Continued Life or Replacement After 60? (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Nuclear power plants generate approximately 20% of U.S. electricity, and the plants in operation today are often seen as attractive assets in the current environment of uncertainty about future fossil fuel prices, high construction costs for new power plants (particularly nuclear plants), and the potential enactment of greenhouse gas regulations. Existing nuclear power plants have low fuel costs and relatively high power output. However, there is uncertainty about how long they will be allowed to continue operating.

  18. AEO2011: World Total Coal Flows By Importing Regions and Exporting...

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Coal Flows By Importing Regions and Exporting Countries This dataset comes from the Energy Information Administration (EIA), and is part of the 2011 Annual Energy Outlook Report...

  19. State Regulations on Airborne Emissions: Update Through 2006 (Update) (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    In May 2005, the Environmental Protection Agency published two final rules aimed at reducing emissions from coal-fired power plants. The Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) requires 28 states and the District of Columbia to reduce emissions of SO2 and/or NOx. The Clean Air Mercury Rule (CAMR) requires the states to reduce emissions of mercury from new and existing coal-fired plants.

  20. State Air Emission Regulations That Affect Electric Power Producers (Update) (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    Several states have recently enacted air emission regulations that will affect the electricity generation sector. The regulations govern emissions of NOx, SO2, CO2, and mercury from power plants.

  1. Update on State Air Emission Regulations That Affect Electric Power Producers (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    Several states have recently enacted air emission regulations that will affect the electricity generation sector. The regulations are intended to improve air quality in the states and assist them in complying with the revised 1997 National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) for ground-level ozone and fine particulates. The affected states include Connecticut, Massachusetts, Maine, Missouri, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Oregon, Texas, and Washington. The regulations govern emissions of NOx, SO2, CO2, and mercury from power plants.

  2. Loan Guarantee Program Established in EPACT2005 (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    Title XVII of EPACT2005 [20] authorized the Department of Energy (DOE) to issue loan guarantees to new or improved technology projects that avoid, reduce, or sequester greenhouse gases. In 2006, DOE issued its first solicitation for $4 billion in loan guarantees for non-nuclear technologies. The issue of the size of the program was addressed subsequently in the Consolidated Appropriation Act of 2008 (the FY08 Appropriations Act) passed in December 2008, which limited future solicitations to $38.5 billion and stated that authority to make the guarantees would end on September 30, 2009. The legislation also allocated the $38.5 billion cap as follows: $18.5 billion for nuclear plants; $6 billion for CCS technologies; $2 billion for advanced coal gasification units; $2 billion for advanced nuclear facilities for the front end of the nuclear fuel cycle; and $10 billion for renewable, conservation, distributed energy, and transmission/ distribution technologies. DOE also was required to submit all future solicitations to both the House and Senate Appropriations Committees for approval.

  3. Advanced Technologies for Light-Duty Vehicles (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    A fundamental concern in projecting the future attributes of light-duty vehicles-passenger cars, sport utility vehicles, pickup trucks, and minivans-is how to represent technological change and the market forces that drive it. There is always considerable uncertainty about the evolution of existing technologies, what new technologies might emerge, and how consumer preferences might influence the direction of change. Most of the new and emerging technologies expected to affect the performance and fuel use of light-duty vehicles over the next 25 years are represented in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS); however, the potential emergence of new, unforeseen technologies makes it impossible to address all the technology options that could come into play. The previous section of Issues in Focus discussed several potential technologies that currently are not represented in NEMS. This section discusses some of the key technologies represented in NEMS that are expected to be implemented in light-duty vehicles over the next 25 years.

  4. Maximum Achievable Control Technology for New Industrial Boilers (released in AEO2005)

    Reports and Publications

    2005-01-01

    As part of Clean Air Act 90 (CAAA90, the EPA on February 26, 2004, issued a final rulethe National Emission Standards for Hazardous Air Pollutants (NESHAP) to reduce emissions of hazardous air pollutants (HAPs) from industrial, commercial, and institutional boilers and process heaters. The rule requires industrial boilers and process heaters to meet limits on HAP emissions to comply with a Maximum Achievable Control Technology (MACT) floor level of control that is the minimum level such sources must meet to comply with the rule. The major HAPs to be reduced are hydrochloric acid, hydrofluoric acid, arsenic, beryllium, cadmium, and nickel. The EPA predicts that the boiler MACT rule will reduce those HAP emissions from existing sources by about 59,000 tons per year in 2005.

  5. California Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Light-Duty Vehicles (Update) (released in AEO2006)

    Reports and Publications

    2006-01-01

    The state of California was given authority under the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 (CAAA90) to set emissions standards for light-duty vehicles that exceed federal standards. In addition, other states that do not comply with the National Ambient Air Quality Standards (NAAQS) set by the Environmental Protection Agency under CAAA90 were given the option to adopt Californias light-duty vehicle emissions standards in order to achieve air quality compliance. CAAA90 specifically identifies hydrocarbon, carbon monoxide, and NOx as vehicle-related air pollutants that can be regulated. California has led the nation in developing stricter vehicle emissions standards, and other states have adopted the California standards.

  6. Accounting for Carbon Dioxide Emissions from Biomass Energy Combustion (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Carbon Dioxide (CO2) emissions from the combustion of biomass to produce energy are excluded from the energy-related CO2 emissions reported in Annual Energy Outlook 2010. According to current international convention, carbon released through biomass combustion is excluded from reported energy-related emissions. The release of carbon from biomass combustion is assumed to be balanced by the uptake of carbon when the feedstock is grown, resulting in zero net emissions over some period of time]. However, analysts have debated whether increased use of biomass energy may result in a decline in terrestrial carbon stocks, leading to a net positive release of carbon rather than the zero net release assumed by its exclusion from reported energy-related emissions.

  7. AEO2014 - Legislation and Regulations articles - U.S. Energy Information

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Chart Gallery for November 2016 Short-Term Energy Outlook 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 Jan 2015 Jul 2015 Jan 2016 Jul 2016 Jan 2017 Jul 2017 West Texas intermediate (WTI) crude oil price dollars per barrel Historical spot price STEO price forecast NYMEX futures price 95% NYMEX futures upper confidence interval 95% NYMEX futures lower confidence interval Source: Short-Term Energy Outlook, November 2016. Note: Confidence interval derived from options market information for the 5 trading days ending

  8. Factors Affecting the Relationship between Crude Oil and Natural Gas Prices (released in AEO2010)

    Reports and Publications

    2010-01-01

    Over the 1995-2005 period, crude oil prices and U.S. natural gas prices tended to move together, which supported the conclusion that the markets for the two commodities were connected. Figure 26 illustrates the fairly stable ratio over that period between the price of low-sulfur light crude oil at Cushing, Oklahoma, and the price of natural gas at the Henry Hub on an energy-equivalent basis.

  9. Proposed Plan for the R-Area Bingham Pump Outage Pits (643-8G, -9G, -10G) and R-Area Unknown Pits No.1, No.2, No.3 (RUNK-1, -2, -3)

    SciTech Connect

    Mundy, S.

    2002-07-31

    The purpose of this proposed plan is to describe the preferred remedial alternative for the R-Area Bingham Pump Outage Pits (R BPOPs) and the R-Area Unknowns (RUNKs) operable unit (OU) and to provide for public involvement in the decision-making process.

  10. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Industrial AEO2017 Meetings First AEO2017 Meeting (August 16, 2016) Summary of meeting Industrial modeling plans presentation Second AEO2017 Meeting (September 22, 2016) Summary of meeting Industrial modeling plans presentation Prior years meetings were combined with Macroeconomic group AEO2016 Meetings First AEO2016 Meeting (December 3, 2015) Summary of meeting Macroeconomic modeling plans presentation Industrial modeling plans presentation Second AEO2016 Meeting (March 21, 2016) Summary of

  11. Today in Energy - Browse by Tag List - U.S. Energy Information

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Administration (EIA) Browse by Tag List Tag List | Tag Cloud 2011 Briefs 2012 Briefs 2013 Briefs AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) AEO2014 (Annual Energy Outlook 2014) AEO2015 (Annual Energy Outlook 2015) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) Africa age of generators series Alaska alternative fuel vehicle alternative transportation fuel animation appliance appliance standards Arkansas Australia Bakken barge Barnett

  12. Table 14a. Average Electricity Prices, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Average Electricity Prices, Projected vs. Actual Projected Price in Constant Dollars (constant dollars, cents per kilowatt-hour in "dollar year" specific to each AEO) AEO Year ...

  13. Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2014 - Abbreviations

    Annual Energy Outlook

    AEO: Annual Energy Outlook AEO2012: Annual Energy Outlook 2012 AFUE: Average Fuel Use Efficiency ANWR: Artic National Wildlife Refuge ARRA2009: American Recovery and...

  14. Energy Demand: Limits on the Response to Higher Energy Prices in the End-Use Sectors (released in AEO2007)

    Reports and Publications

    2007-01-01

    Energy consumption in the end-use demand sectorsresidential, commercial, industrial, and transportationgenerally shows only limited change when energy prices increase. Several factors that limit the sensitivity of end-use energy demand to price signals are common across the end-use sectors. For example, because energy generally is consumed in long-lived capital equipment, short-run consumer responses to changes in energy prices are limited to reductions in the use of energy services or, in a few cases, fuel switching; and because energy services affect such critical lifestyle areas as personal comfort, medical services, and travel, end-use consumers often are willing to absorb price increases rather than cut back on energy use, especially when they are uncertain whether price increases will be long-lasting. Manufacturers, on the other hand, often are able to pass along higher energy costs, especially in cases where energy inputs are a relatively minor component of production costs. In economic terms, short-run energy demand typically is inelastic, and long-run energy demand is less inelastic or moderately elastic at best.

  15. Regulations Related to the Outer Continental Shelf Moratoria and Implications of Not Renewing the Moratoria (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    From 1982 through 2008, Congress annually enacted appropriations riders prohibiting the Minerals Management Service (MMS) of the U.S. Department of the Interior from conducting activities related to leasing, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas on much of the federal Outer Continental Shelf (OCS). Further, a separate executive ban (originally put in place in 1990 by President George H.W. Bush and later extended by President William J. Clinton through 2012) also prohibited leasing on the OCS, with the exception of the Western Gulf of Mexico, portions of the Central and Eastern Gulf of Mexico, and Alaska. In combination, those actions prohibited drilling along the Atlantic and Pacific coasts, in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, and in portions of the central Gulf of Mexico. The Gulf of Mexico Energy Security Act of 2006 (Public Law 109-432) imposed yet a third ban on drilling through 2022 on tracts in the Eastern Gulf of Mexico that are within 125 miles of Florida, east of a dividing line known as the Military Mission Line, and in the Central Gulf of Mexico within 100 miles of Florida.

  16. Supplemental Tables to the Annual Energy Outlook

    Reports and Publications

    2015-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) Supplemental tables were generated for the reference case of the AEO using the National Energy Modeling System, a computer-based model which produces annual projections of energy markets. Most of the tables were not published in the AEO, but contain regional and other more detailed projections underlying the AEO projections.

  17. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud 2012 Briefs (2) 2013 Briefs (2) AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) (2) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (5) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (1) AEO2014 (Annual Energy Outlook 2014) (3) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) (1) annual (6) Australia (8) barge (3) Canada (1) CAPP (Central Appalachian Coal) (9) China (9) Clean Power Plan (CPP) (1) CO2 (carbon dioxide) (4) coke (2) Colombia (3) Congressional &

  18. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud 2013 Briefs (1) AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) (2) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (3) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (2) AEO2014 (Annual Energy Outlook 2014) (6) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) (1) all sectors (18) alternative fuel vehicle (1) annual (3) appliance (8) appliance standards (9) baseload capacity (1) buildings (15) CAFE standards (1) China (1) CO2 (carbon dioxide) (3) commercial (15)

  19. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud 2011 Briefs (1) 2012 Briefs (1) 2013 Briefs (2) AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) (2) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (6) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (4) AEO2014 (Annual Energy Outlook 2014) (7) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) (5) age of generators series (7) annual (6) Annual Energy Outlook related (2) Arizona (2) baseload capacity (3) biomass (17) Bonneville Power Administration (5) Brazil (2)

  20. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud 2011 Briefs (3) 2012 Briefs (2) 2013 Briefs (3) AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) (1) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (5) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (9) AEO2014 (Annual Energy Outlook 2014) (8) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) (2) Africa (2) Alaska (3) analysis (1) animation (2) annual (8) Annual Energy Outlook related (1) Arkansas (2) Bakken (16) Barnett (6) CAB (Country Analysis Brief) (5)

  1. Discovering a previously unknown mechanism that halts solar eruptions...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    ... and a "potential magnetic field" like the ones that enclose the rope in the solar corona. Potential magnetic field This potential magnetic field is composed of magnetic ...

  2. Property:Plants with Unknown Planned Capacity | Open Energy Informatio...

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Colorado Plateau Geothermal Region + 0 + Southern Rockies Geothermal Region + 0 + T Transition Zone Geothermal Region + 1 + W Walker-Lane Transition Zone Geothermal Region + 0 + Y...

  3. Methods for characterizing, classifying, and identifying unknowns in samples

    DOEpatents

    Grate, Jay W [West Richland, WA; Wise, Barry M [Manson, WA

    2002-01-01

    Disclosed is a method for taking the data generated from an array of responses from a multichannel instrument, and determining the characteristics of a chemical in the sample without the necessity of calibrating or training the instrument with known samples containing the same chemical. The characteristics determined by the method are then used to classify and identify the chemical in the sample. The method can also be used to quantify the concentration of the chemical in the sample.

  4. Methods for characterizing, classifying, and identifying unknowns in samples

    DOEpatents

    Grate, Jay W.; Wise, Barry M.

    2003-08-12

    Disclosed is a method for taking the data generated from an array of responses from a multichannel instrument, and determining the characteristics of a chemical in the sample without the necessity of calibrating or training the instrument with known samples containing the same chemical. The characteristics determined by the method are then used to classify and identify the chemical in the sample. The method can also be used to quantify the concentration of the chemical in the sample.

  5. Microbes in Thawing Permafrost: The Unknown Variable in the Climate...

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

    has been continuously frozen for at least 2 years), our understanding of the diversity of microbial life in this extreme habitat is surprisingly limited. Taking into account the...

  6. Microbes in thawing permafrost: the unknown variable in the climate...

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

    and Biological Problems in Soil Science, Russian Academy of Sciences U.S. Department of Energy, Joint Genome Institute Bob L ORNL Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine...

  7. Renewable Electricity Working Group Presentation

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    and all side cases would have substantially delayed full AEO publication - Instead, the law was accounted for in a side case as part of the AEO - This side case will be used as a ...

  8. Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Renewable Electricity Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... Depending on when a potential extension or modification is passed into law, it may not be reflected in the AEO or may affect the AEO release schedule. Mr. Namovicz also noted that ...

  9. Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    for AEO2015 Reference case and Clean Power Plan cases, selected years 2005 2013 2020 2030 ... Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan 24 Table 3. Summary results for AEO2015 ...

  10. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE...

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... Some expected outcomes in the AEO2016 results include better representation of future CHP ... Does industrial CHP as modeled in the AEO receive credit for the Clean Power Plan (CPP)? ...

  11. International Energy Outlook 2014

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    2015 0 40 80 120 160 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 World crude oil price projection is lower in the AEO2015 Reference case than in AEO2014, particularly...

  12. Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Electricity Sector Preliminary Results

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    By EIA, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear & Renewables Analysis WORKING GROUP ... AEO2016 Reference AEO2015 Reference 2015 EIA Clean Power Plan Study Nuclear Gas CC O&G ...

  13. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    In all the AEO2015 cases, emissions remain below the 2005 level of 5,993 million mt. As noted above, the AEO2015 cases do not assume implementation of EPA's proposed Clean Power ...

  14. Presentation Title

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    New technical choice models in the Industrial Demand Module, with steel and paper results For 2016 EIA Conference July 12, 2016 | Washington, DC By Kelly Perl Team Leader, Industrial Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis Team Overview * Definitions - What is a process flow industry? - What is primary production? * AEO2016 cases * AEO2016 Industrial results for all industries * AEO2016 Steel Results: Energy consumption, Technology choice, and selected side cases * AEO2016 Paper results:

  15. Petroleum Data, Natural Gas Data, Coal Data, Macroeconomic Data, Petroleum Import Data

    SciTech Connect

    2009-01-18

    Supplemental tables to the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) 2006 for petroleum, natural gas, coal, macroeconomic, and import data

  16. Presentations

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    New technical choice models in the Industrial Demand Module, with steel and paper results For 2016 EIA Conference July 12, 2016 | Washington, DC By Kelly Perl Team Leader, Industrial Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis Team Overview * Definitions - What is a process flow industry? - What is primary production? * AEO2016 cases * AEO2016 Industrial results for all industries * AEO2016 Steel Results: Energy consumption, Technology choice, and selected side cases * AEO2016 Paper results:

  17. Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2015: Oil and Gas Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Oil and Gas Working Group AEO2016 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis December 1, 2015| Washington, DC http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/ WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE We welcome feedback on our assumptions and documentation * The AEO Assumptions report http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/assumptions/

  18. Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2017: Oil and Gas Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Oil and Gas Working Group AEO2017 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis August 25, 2016| Washington, DC http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/ WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Overview * "Short" AEO2017 with extension of model projection period to 2050 * World oil prices * Upstream - Offshore Gulf of Mexico and Alaska - Feedback on AEO2016 results *

  19. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud AEO2011 (Annual Energy Outlook 2011) (3) AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (4) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (1) AEO2016 (Annual Energy Outlook 2016) (1) alternative fuel vehicle (9) alternative fuels (34) alternative transportation fuel (11) annual (6) biofuels (50) biomass (21) Brazil (3) CAFE standards (4) California (9) Canada (1) capacity and generation (44) China (3) CO2 (carbon dioxide) (4) commercial (1)

  20. Has Driving Come to a Halt?

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Key AEO2017 Renewable Electricity Key Model Updates For EIA Renewables Working Group September 1, 2016 By Chris Namovicz Team Leader for Renewable Electricity Analysis Summary of key changes from AEO2016 * AEO 2017 will be a limited release year - Very few side cases and limited analytic write-up (similar to AEO 2015) * We plan on extending the projections to 2050 * Pending any relevant court rulings, the Clean Power Plan will continue to be in the Reference case. * This presentation will focus

  1. REFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO CONTINUATION SHEET DE-AC27-08RV14800/057 2G OF

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    SHEET DE-AC27-08RV14800/057 2G OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CO NTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC________________ ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY UNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) (B) (C) (D) (E) (F) NEW ACCOUNTING CODE ADDED: Account code: WRPS Spares Account Fund D1250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Program 1110909 Project 0D01481 WFO D0DD0D0 Local Use 0421405 Amount: $1,80D,000.00 Account code: WEIPS Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 Reporting

  2. REFERENCE NO. OF DOCUMENT BEING CONTINUED AEO CONTINUATION SHEETI DE-AC27-08RV14800/075 [AG OF

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    SHEETI DE-AC27-08RV14800/075 [AG OF NAME OF OFFEROR OR CONTRACTOR WASHINGTON RIVER PROTECTION SOLUTIONS LLC ITEM NO. SUPPLIES/SERVICES QUANTITY JNIT UNIT PRICE AMOUNT (A) j(B) (C) (D) (E) (F) Account code: Fund 01250 Appr Year 2ulu Allottee 34 Reporting Entity 421301 Object Class 25200 Program 1110909 Project 0001481 WFO 0000000 Local Use 0000000 Amount: $5,918,827.27 Account code: WTP Support Funding for RFS OWTPO1 Fund 01250 Appr Year 2010 Allottee 34 R eporting Entity 421301 uuj1JeLu

  3. Impact of Limitations on Access to Oil and Natural Gas Resources in the Federal Outer Continental Shelf (released in AEO2009)

    Reports and Publications

    2009-01-01

    The U.S. offshore is estimated to contain substantial resources of both crude oil and natural gas, but until recently some of the areas of the lower 48 states Outer Continental Shelf (OCS) have been under leasing moratoria. The Presidential ban on offshore drilling in portions of the lower 48 OCS was lifted in July 2008, and the Congressional ban was allowed to expire in September 2008, removing regulatory obstacles to development of the Atlantic and Pacific OCS.

  4. Presentation Title

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Buildings Working Group Meeting Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis December 8, 2015 | Washington, DC By Buildings Energy Analysis Team AEO2016 Model Updates Discussion purposes only - do not cite or circulate Overview * AEO release: this year versus last * Federal standards and ENERGY STAR specifications * Energy efficiency and distributed generation * End-use technology characterizations * Commercial floorspace and CBECS * Annual updates * Discussion AEO2016 Buildings Working

  5. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    AEO 2013 Electricity Working Group Electricity Analysis Team August 9 th , 2012 | Washington, DC 1 st Presentation for stakeholders WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AEO 2013 Working Group Meetings * Macroeconomic/Industrial * Buildings - Residential/Commercial * Oil and Gas - Petroleum Markets - Natural Gas Production/Natural Gas Markets * Renewables * Coal * Electricity * Transportation 2 AEO 2013 Electricity Working Group

  6. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis December 7, 2015 | Washington, DC Working Group Meeting on Handling Renewable Electricity and Key Model Updates in AEO2016 Highlights for AEO 2016 2 Working Group Meeting on Renewable Electricity in AEO2016 Policy and Assumptions December 7, 2015 * EPA's Clean Power Plan rule is final - Representing this final rule will be a significant model development effort * Updating capital costs - We will conduct follow-up meetings as

  7. Renewable Electricity in the Annual Energy Outlook 2014

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    2014 For Renewable Electricity Working Group AEO2014 Second Meeting September 26, 2013 Christopher Namovicz and Gwen Bredehoeft, Renewable Electricity Analysis Team Agenda Renewable Electricity Analysis Team, September 26, 2013 2 * Status of AEO2014 and future development plans * Data and model updates - PTC expiration update - Capital costs - Transmission - 860 (planned capacity) data - Polysys integration - Spinning reserves - RPS updates * Preliminary Results for the AEO2014 Reference case

  8. Macro Industrial Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    September 29, 2014 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Industrial team preliminary results for AEO2015 Overview AEO2015 2 Industrial Team Washington DC, September 29, 2014 WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE * AEO2015 is a "Lite" year - New ethane/propane pricing model only major update - Major side cases released with Reference case

  9. Macro-Industrial Working Group: meeting 1

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    4 Macro/Industrial Working Group Macroeconomic team: Kay Smith, Russ Tarver, Elizabeth Sendich and Vipin Arora Briefing on Macroeconomic Reference Case for the Annual Energy Outlook 2015 Macro's FY2015 AEO initiatives met 2 Kay Smith, AEO2015 Macroeconomic/Industrial Working Group July 24, 2014 PLEASE DO NOT CITE OR DISTRIBUTE * Review incorporation of completed AEO macroeconomic initiatives. - Incorporation of 2009 based GDP - Use of 2007 supply matrix and its extension to 2012 - The extension

  10. Annual Energy Outlook 2017 1st Coal Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    1 st Coal Working Group Coal and Uranium Analysis Team August 31, 2016| Washington, D.C. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES. DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS AEO2017 MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND INPUTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. Agenda Coal and Uranium Analysis Team August 31, 2016 | Washington, D.C. 2 * EIA ongoing activities * Modeling focus for AEO2017 * Review of AEO2016 results * General Modeling Assumptions - Focus on productivity and other factors affecting price - Feedback from CWG

  11. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Changes AEO 2011 Changes from Annual Energy Outlook 2013 Key updates made for the AEO2016 Reference case include the following: The Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) Reference case included as part of this complete report (released in July 2016) has been updated from the Annual Energy Outlook 2015 Reference case (released in April 2015). The updated Reference case reflects new legislation and regulations enacted since April 2015, model changes, and data updates. The key model and data updates

  12. The 2008/2009 World Economic Crisis: What It Means for U.S. Agricultur...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Biofuels in AEO2013 Workshop U.S. Energy Information Administration March 20, 2013 ... not forecasts - Conditional, long-run scenario - Neutral assumptions for macro, policy, ...

  13. Preliminary Reference Case Results for Oil and Natural Gas

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Preliminary Reference Case Results for Oil and Natural Gas AEO2014 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis September 26, 2013 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AEO2014P uses ref2014.d092413a AEO2013 uses ref2013.d102312a Changes for AEO2014 2 * Revised shale & tight play resources (EURs, type curves) * Updated classification of shale gas, tight gas, &

  14. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Oil AEO2013 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis October 4, 2012 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AEO2013P uses ref2013.d100312b AEO2012 uses ref2012.d020112c Changes for AEO2013 Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis Working Group Oil Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington, DC, October 4, 2012 DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE as results are subject

  15. "Variable","Average Absolute Percent Differences","Percent of...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... combined heat and power (CHP) electricity generation in electricity generating plants. Prior to AEO2003, coal price projections reflected data collected, estimated, and reported ...

  16. Table 14a. Average Electricity Prices, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Average Electricity Prices, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected Price in Constant Dollars" " (constant dollars, cents per kilowatt-hour in ""dollar year"" specific to each AEO)" ...

  17. Analysis of the Climate Change Technology Initiative: Fiscal Year 2001

    Reports and Publications

    2000-01-01

    Analysis of the potential impacts of Climate Change Technology Initiative, relative to the baseline energy projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2000 (AEO2000).

  18. Local Option- Residential Energy Efficiency Loan Loss Reserve Program

    Energy.gov [DOE]

    Arkansas Energy Office (AEO) offers a loan loss reserve program that the utilities can participate in to subsidize their energy efficiency loans to its residential customers. Municipal utility...

  19. Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Module

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    July 31, 2012, Washington, DC Major assumption changes for AEO2013 Oil and Gas Working Group Natural Gas Transmission and Distribution Module DRAFT WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION DO ...

  20. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Summary of meeting Transportation modeling plans presentation Second AEO2013 Meeting (October 15, 2012) Summary of meeting Transportation modeling plans presentation Contacts: John ...

  1. Cost and Performance Baseline for Fossil Energy Plants; Volume...

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Cases) X LIST OF ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS AACE Association for the Advancement of Cost Engineering acfm Actual cubic feet per minute AEO Annual Energy Outlook BACT Best...

  2. Assumption to the Annual Energy Outlook 2014 - Industrial Demand...

    Annual Energy Outlook

    AEO2014. Pollutants covered by Boiler MACT include the hazardous air pollutants (HAP), hydrogen chloride (HCI), mercury (HG), dioxinfuran, carbon monoxide (CO),and particulate...

  3. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    (Figure MT-4). The AEO2014 price cases included varying assumptions about: (1) investment and production decisions by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries...

  4. Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2015

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... The technology assumed is similar to an integrated gasification combined cycle, first ... For AEO2015, coal-biomass-to-liquids (CBTL) are not modeled. CTL facilities produce ...

  5. Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2015

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    description AEO handling Basis A. National Appliance Energy Conservation Act of 1987 (NAECA87) Requires Secretary of Energy to set minimum efficiency standards for various ...

  6. Coal | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Assuming no additional constraints on CO2 emissions, coal remains the largest source of electricity generation in the AEO2011 Reference case because of continued reliance on...

  7. Macro-Industrial Working Group 2

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    So compared to the AEO2012, this year more of the industrial output again satisfies domestic demand. * More detailed inclusion of increased unconventional natural gas impacts on ...

  8. Tax Credits, Rebates & Savings | Department of Energy

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    Savings Tax Credits, Rebates & Savings Local Option- Residential Energy Efficiency Loan Loss Reserve Program Arkansas Energy Office (AEO) offers a loan loss reserve program that...

  9. Annual Energy Outlook Report | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Report Jump to: navigation, search Topics in AEO 2011 Energy Sources OilLiquids Natural Gas Coal Electricity RenewableAlternative Nuclear Sectors Residential Commercial...

  10. Annual Energy Outlook 2016 2nd Coal Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    2 nd Coal Working Group Coal and Uranium Analysis Team February 9, 2016| Washington, D.C. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES. DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS AEO2016 MODELING ASSUMPTIONS AND INPUTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE. Key results for the AEO2016 Reference case 2 * Coal-fired generation, production, and capacity are all lower in the preliminary AEO2016 Reference case - Coal's share of total electricity generation falls from 38% in 2014 to 18% by 2040, compared to 33% in AEO2015 - Coal

  11. Annual Energy Outlook2014

    Annual Energy Outlook

    For further information . . . The Annual Energy Outlook 2014 (AEO2014) was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), under the direction of John J. Conti...

  12. Analysis of Heat Rate Improvement Potential at Coal-Fired Power...

    Annual Energy Outlook

    The projections in the AEO2015 are produced by the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), ... three primary functions - capacity planning, fuel dispatching, and finance and pricing. ...

  13. UNITED STATES OF AMERICA DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY OFFICE OF FOSSIL...

    Office of Environmental Management (EM)

    ... 19 i FREQUENTLY USED ACRONYMS AEO Annual Energy Outlook APGA American Public Gas Association Bcfd Billion Cubic Feet per Day Bcfyr Billion...

  14. Industrial | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Trends Despite a 54-percent increase in industrial shipments, industrial energy consumption increases by only 19 percent from 2009 to 2035 in the AEO2011 Reference case....

  15. Assumptions to the Annual Energy Outlook 2014 - Coal Market Module

    Annual Energy Outlook

    AEO2014 includes a representation of California Assembly Bill 32 (AB32), the California Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006, which authorized the California Air Resources Board...

  16. Table 12. Total Coal Consumption, Projected vs. Actual Projected

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Coal Consumption, Projected vs. Actual Projected (million short tons) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 920 928 933 938 943 948 953 958 962 967 978 990 987 992 1006 1035 1061 1079 AEO 1995 935 940 941 947 948 951 954 958 963 971 984 992 996 1002 1013 1025 1039 AEO 1996 937 942 954 962 983 990 1004 1017 1027 1033 1046 1067 1070 1071 1074 1082 1087 1094 1103 AEO 1997 948 970 987 1003 1017 1020 1025 1034 1041

  17. Table 15. Total Electricity Sales, Projected vs. Actual Projected

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Electricity Sales, Projected vs. Actual Projected (billion kilowatt-hours) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 2843 2891 2928 2962 3004 3039 3071 3112 3148 3185 3228 3263 3298 3332 3371 3406 3433 3469 AEO 1995 2951 2967 2983 3026 3058 3085 3108 3134 3166 3204 3248 3285 3321 3357 3396 3433 3475 AEO 1996 2973 2998 3039 3074 3106 3137 3173 3215 3262 3317 3363 3409 3454 3505 3553 3604 3660 3722 3775 AEO 1997 3075

  18. Table 4. Total Petroleum Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Petroleum Consumption, Projected vs. Actual Projected (million barrels) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 6450 6566 6643 6723 6811 6880 6957 7059 7125 7205 7296 7377 7446 7523 7596 7665 7712 7775 AEO 1995 6398 6544 6555 6676 6745 6822 6888 6964 7048 7147 7245 7337 7406 7472 7537 7581 7621 AEO 1996 6490 6526 6607 6709 6782 6855 6942 7008 7085 7176 7260 7329 7384 7450 7501 7545 7581 7632 7676 AEO 1997 6636 6694

  19. Table 5. Domestic Crude Oil Production, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Domestic Crude Oil Production, Projected vs. Actual Projected (million barrels) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 2508 2373 2256 2161 2088 2022 1953 1891 1851 1825 1799 1781 1767 1759 1778 1789 1807 1862 AEO 1995 2402 2307 2205 2095 2037 1967 1953 1924 1916 1905 1894 1883 1887 1887 1920 1945 1967 AEO 1996 2387 2310 2248 2172 2113 2062 2011 1978 1953 1938 1916 1920 1927 1949 1971 1986 2000 2018 2055 AEO 1997 2362 2307

  20. Table 6. Petroleum Net Imports, Projected vs. Actual Projected

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Petroleum Net Imports, Projected vs. Actual Projected (million barrels) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 2935 3201 3362 3504 3657 3738 3880 3993 4099 4212 4303 4398 4475 4541 4584 4639 4668 4672 AEO 1995 2953 3157 3281 3489 3610 3741 3818 3920 4000 4103 4208 4303 4362 4420 4442 4460 4460 AEO 1996 3011 3106 3219 3398 3519 3679 3807 3891 3979 4070 4165 4212 4260 4289 4303 4322 4325 4347 4344 AEO 1997 3099 3245 3497

  1. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Annual Energy Outlook

    In the News: Many key uncertainties in the AEO2013 projections are addressed through alternative cases The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 2013...

  2. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Prices Crude oil AEO2015 considers a number of factors related to the uncertainty of future world crude oil prices, including changes in worldwide demand for petroleum products, ...

  3. Tax Credits, Rebates & Savings | Department of Energy

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    Insulation Tax Credits, Rebates & Savings Tax Credits, Rebates & Savings Local Option- Residential Energy Efficiency Loan Loss Reserve Program Arkansas Energy Office (AEO)...

  4. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    used for any particular scenario. The AEO2014 Reference case projection is a business-as-usual trend estimate, given known technology and technological and demographic...

  5. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    consumption is slower than growth in shipments In the AEO2014 Reference case, manufacturing shipments increase by 87% from 2012 to 2040, while delivered energy consumption...

  6. Slide 1

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... * Multi-team effort to forecast NGL prices - ... Price in 2011 million BTU NEMS run 9412 AEO2012 ... BOM most affected - Update fuel costselection factors to ...

  7. Analyzing the Impacts of Policies and Technological Change Using...

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    ... This scenario shares production among four. equal costs. This scenario shares production among four. Hydrogen Production by Pathway, DOE 2010 Goals Met,2006 AEO High World Oil ...

  8. Macro-Industrial Working Group: meeting 1

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... by category for different projection periods shows strong net export growth in "waves" 9 Kay Smith, AEO2015 MacroeconomicIndustrial Working Group July 24, 2014 PLEASE DO ...

  9. Presentation Title

    Annual Energy Outlook

    AEO2016 Transportation Working Group Meeting Washington, DC, March 9, 2016 Battery electric vehicle sales Discussion purposes only - Do not cite or circulate Source: Annual Energy ...

  10. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    Appendix E NEMS overview and brief description of cases The National Energy Modeling System Projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) are generated using the National ...

  11. Chapter 5: Increasing Efficiency of Building Systems and Technologies...

    Energy.gov [DOE] (indexed site)

    ... This climatic grouping allows the analysis to incorporate both AEO data, which breaks energy use down by census division, and to incorporate thermal load components data from two ...

  12. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... industrial sector energy consumption; non-manufacturing data updates (Economic Census and EIA data) are complete; AEO2016 efforts to calibrate model output with fuel-specific EIA ...

  13. Analysis & Projections - Pub - U.S. Energy Information Administration...

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Second AEO2013 Meeting (September 11, 2012) Summary of meeting Industrial preliminary results presentation Macroeconomic presentation Contacts: Kay Smith (Macroeconomic) (202) ...

  14. LA-UR-12-22318

    Office of Scientific and Technical Information (OSTI)

    PAR keyword enhanced New keyword LOC New keyword LOC New keyword DAT Benchmarking (NUSTLGoldhagen collaboration) Atmosphere (primary spectra, soon) ...

  15. Backscattering spectrometry device for identifying unknown elements present in a workpiece

    DOEpatents

    Doyle, Barney L.; Knapp, James A.

    1991-01-01

    A backscattering spectrometry method and device for identifying and quantifying impurities in a workpiece during processing and manufacturing of that workpiece. While the workpiece is implanted with an ion beam, that same ion beam backscatters resulting from collisions with known atoms and with impurities within the workpiece. Those ions backscatter along a predetermined scattering angle and are filtered using a self-supporting filter to stop the ions with a lower energy because they collided with the known atoms of the workpiece of a smaller mass. Those ions which pass through the filter have a greater energy resulting from impact with impurities having a greater mass than the known atoms of the workpiece. A detector counts the number and measures the energy of the ions which pass through the filter. From the energy determination and knowledge of the scattering angle, a mass calculation determines the identity, and from the number and solid angle of the scattering angle, a relative concentration of the impurity is obtained.

  16. Two-color X-rays Give Scientists 3-D View of the Unknown | U...

    Office of Science (SC)

    with a pair of precisely tuned X-ray laser pulses of different colors, or photon energies. ... photocathode with a train of two laser pulses separated in time by a few picoseconds. ...

  17. The crossing statistic: dealing with unknown errors in the dispersion of Type Ia supernovae

    SciTech Connect

    Shafieloo, Arman; Clifton, Timothy; Ferreira, Pedro E-mail: tclifton@astro.ox.ac.uk

    2011-08-01

    We propose a new statistic that has been designed to be used in situations where the intrinsic dispersion of a data set is not well known: The Crossing Statistic. This statistic is in general less sensitive than χ{sup 2} to the intrinsic dispersion of the data, and hence allows us to make progress in distinguishing between different models using goodness of fit to the data even when the errors involved are poorly understood. The proposed statistic makes use of the shape and trends of a model's predictions in a quantifiable manner. It is applicable to a variety of circumstances, although we consider it to be especially well suited to the task of distinguishing between different cosmological models using type Ia supernovae. We show that this statistic can easily distinguish between different models in cases where the χ{sup 2} statistic fails. We also show that the last mode of the Crossing Statistic is identical to χ{sup 2}, so that it can be considered as a generalization of χ{sup 2}.

  18. Discovering the Unknown: Improving Detection of Novel Species and Genera from Short Reads

    DOE PAGES [OSTI]

    Rosen, Gail L.; Polikar, Robi; Caseiro, Diamantino A.; Essinger, Steven D.; Sokhansanj, Bahrad A.

    2011-01-01

    High-throughput sequencing technologies enable metagenome profiling, simultaneous sequencing of multiple microbial species present within an environmental sample. Since metagenomic data includes sequence fragments (“reads”) from organisms that are absent from any database, new algorithms must be developed for the identification and annotation of novel sequence fragments. Homology-based techniques have been modified to detect novel species and genera, but, composition-based methods, have not been adapted. We develop a detection technique that can discriminate between “known” and “unknown” taxa, which can be used with composition-based methods, as well as a hybrid method. Unlike previous studies, we rigorously evaluate all algorithms for theirmore » ability to detect novel taxa. First, we show that the integration of a detector with a composition-based method performs significantly better than homology-based methods for the detection of novel species and genera, with best performance at finer taxonomic resolutions. Most importantly, we evaluate all the algorithms by introducing an “unknown” class and show that the modified version of PhymmBL has similar or better overall classification performance than the other modified algorithms, especially for the species-level and ultrashort reads. Finally, we evaluate theperformance of several algorithms on a real acid mine drainage dataset.« less

  19. Microbes in Thawing Permafrost: The Unknown Variable in the Climate Change Equation

    SciTech Connect

    Graham, David E; Wallenstein, Matthew D; Vishnivetskaya, T.; Waldrop, Mark P.; Phelps, Tommy Joe; Pfiffner, Susan M.; Onstott, T. C.; Whyte, Lyle; Rivkina, Elizaveta; Gilichinsky, David A; Elias, Dwayne A; Mackelprang, Rachel; Verberkmoes, Nathan C; Hettich, Robert {Bob} L; Wagner, Dirk; Wullschleger, Stan D; Jansson, Janet

    2012-01-01

    Considering that 25% of Earth's terrestrial surface is underlain by permafrost (ground that has been continuously frozen for at least 2 years), our understanding of the diversity of microbial life in this extreme habitat is surprisingly limited. Taking into account the total mass of perennially frozen sediment (up to several hundred meters deep), permafrost contains a huge amount of buried, ancient organic carbon (Tarnocai et al., 2009).

  20. Microbes in thawing permafrost: the unknown variable in the climate change equation

    SciTech Connect

    Graham, David E; Wallenstein, Matthew D; Vishnivetskaya, T.; Waldrop, Mark P.; Phelps, Tommy Joe; Pfiffner, Susan M.; Onstott, T. C.; Whyte, Lyle; Rivkina, Elizaveta; Gilichinsky, David A; Elias, Dwayne A; Mackelprang, Rachel; Verberkmoes, Nathan C; Hettich, Robert {Bob} L; Wagner, Dirk; Wullschleger, Stan D; Jansson, Janet

    2012-01-01

    Considering that 25% of Earth s terrestrial surface is underlain by permafrost (ground that has been continuously frozen for at least 2 years), our understanding of the diversity of microbial life in this extreme habitat is surprisingly limited. Taking into account the total mass of perennially frozen sediment (up to several hundred meters deep), permafrost contains a huge amount of buried, ancient organic carbon (Tarnocai et al., 2009). In addition, permafrost is warming rapidly in response to global climate change (Romanovsky et al., 2010), potentially leading to widespread thaw and a larger, seasonally thawed soil active layer. This concern has prompted the question: will permafrost thawing lead to the release of massive amounts of carbon dioxide (CO2) and methane (CH4) into the atmosphere? This question can only be answered by understanding how the microbes residing in permafrost will respond to thaw, through processes such as respiration, fermentation, methanogenesis and CH4 oxidation (Schuur et al., 2009). Predicting future carbon fluxes is complicated by the diversity of permafrost environments, ranging from high mountains, southern boreal forests, frozen peatlands and Pleistocene ice complexes (yedoma) up to several hundred meters deep, which vary widely in soil composition, soil organic matter (SOM) quality, hydrology and thermal regimes (Figure 1). Permafrost degradation can occur in many forms: thaw can progress downward from seasonally-thawed active layer soils in warming climates or laterally because of changes in surface or groundwater flow paths (Grosse et al., 2011). Permafrost degradation can sometimes lead to dramatic changes in ecosystem structure and function

  1. "Table 2. Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Trends, Projected vs. Actual"

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Real Gross Domestic Product Growth Trends, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected Real GDP Growth Trend" " (cumulative average percent growth in projected real GDP from first year shown for each AEO)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO

  2. Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review

    Reports and Publications

    2015-01-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review provides a yearly comparison between realized energy outcomes and the Reference case projections included in previous Annual Energy Outlooks (AEO) beginning with 1982. This edition of the report adds the AEO 2012 projections and updates the historical data to incorporate the latest data revisions.

  3. Annual Energy Outlook 2009 with Projections to 2030

    SciTech Connect

    2009-03-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2009 (AEO2009), prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), presents long-term projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2030, based on results from EIA’s National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). EIA published an “early release” version of the AEO2009 reference case in December 2008.

  4. Supplement to the Annual Energy Outlook 1993

    SciTech Connect

    Not Available

    1993-02-17

    The Supplement to the Annual Energy Outlook 1993 is a companion document to the Energy Information Administration`s (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 1993 (AEO). Supplement tables provide the regional projections underlying the national data and projections in the AEO. The domestic coal, electric power, commercial nuclear power, end-use consumption, and end-use price tables present AEO forecasts at the 10 Federal Region level. World coal tables provide data and projections on international flows of steam coal and metallurgical coal, and the oil and gas tables provide the AEO oil and gas supply forecasts by Oil and Gas Supply Regions and by source of supply. All tables refer to cases presented in the AEO, which provides a range of projections for energy markets through 2010.

  5. EIA - Annual Energy Outlook 2016 Early Release

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ‹ Analysis & Projections AEO2016 Early Release: Summary of Two Cases Release Date: May 17, 2016 | Full Report Release Date: July 7, 2016 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383ER(2016) This release is an annotated PowerPoint summary and the data for two cases from the Annual Energy Outlook 2016-the Reference case and the No Clean Power Plan case. The AEO2016 full version, including additional cases and discussion, will be released July 7, 2016. Download the AEO2016 Early Release: An Annotated

  6. Model developer`s appendix to the model documentation report: NEMS macroeconomic activity module

    SciTech Connect

    1994-07-15

    The NEMS Macroeconomic Activity Module (MAM) tested here was used to generate the Annual Energy Outlook 1994 (AEO94). MAM is a response surface model, not a structural model, composed of three submodules: the National Submodule, the Interindustry Submodule, and the Regional Submodule. Contents of this report are as follows: properties of the mathematical solution; NEMS MAM empirical basis; and scenario analysis. Scenario analysis covers: expectations for scenario analysis; historical world oil price scenario; AEO94 high world oil price scenario; AEO94 low world oil price scenario; and immediate increase world oil price scenario.

  7. Annual Energy Outlook 2011

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Natural Gas Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels Analysis Administrator Briefing October 2nd, 2012 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE AEO2013P uses ref2013.d100312b AEO2012 uses ref2012.d020112c Changes for AEO2013 Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis Working Group Natural Gas Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington, DC, October 4, 2012 DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE as results are subject to

  8. Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2015: Oil and Gas Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    5: Oil and Gas Working Group AEO2015 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis August 7, 2014 | Washington, DC http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/ WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Changes in release cycles for EIA's AEO and IEO * To focus more resources on rapidly changing energy markets and how they might evolve over the next few years, the U.S. Energy Information

  9. Table 12. Total Coal Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Coal Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (million short tons)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",920,928,933,938,943,948,953,958,962,967,978,990,987,992,1006,1035,1061,1079 "AEO 1995",,935,940,941,947,948,951,954,958,963,971,984,992,996,1002,1013,1025,1039 "AEO

  10. Table 15. Total Electricity Sales, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Electricity Sales, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (billion kilowatt-hours)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",2843,2891,2928,2962,3004,3039,3071,3112,3148,3185,3228,3263,3298,3332,3371,3406,3433,3469 "AEO 1995",,2951,2967,2983,3026,3058,3085,3108,3134,3166,3204,3248,3285,3321,3357,3396,3433,3475 "AEO

  11. Table 3a. Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected Price in Constant Dollars" " (constant dollars per barrel in ""dollar year"" specific to each AEO)" ,"AEO $ Year",1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",1992,16.69,16.42999,16.9899,17.66,18.28,19.0599,19.89,20.72,21.65,22.61,23.51,24.29,24.9,25.6,26.3,27,27.64,28.16

  12. Annual Energy Outlook

    Reports and Publications

    2015-01-01

    The projections in the U.S. Energy Information Administration's (EIA's) Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) focus on the factors that shape the U.S. energy system over the long term. For the first time, the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO) is presented as a shorter edition under a newly adopted two-year release cycle. With this approach, full editions and shorter editions of the AEO will be produced in alternating years. This approach will allow EIA to focus more resources on rapidly changing energy markets both in the United States and internationally, and to consider how they might evolve over the next few years.

  13. EIA - Annual Energy Outlook 2016 Early Release

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ‹ Analysis & Projections AEO2016 Early Release: Summary of Two Cases Release Date: May 17, 2016 | Full Report Release Date: July 7, 2016 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0383ER(2016) This release is an annotated PowerPoint summary and the data for two cases from the Annual Energy Outlook 2016-the Reference case and the No Clean Power Plan case. The AEO2016 full version, including additional cases and discussion, will be released July 7, 2016. Download the AEO2016 Early Release: An Annotated

  14. Nuclear forensic analysis of an unknown uranium ore concentrate sample seized in a criminal investigation in Australia

    DOE PAGES [OSTI]

    Keegan, Elizabeth; Kristo, Michael J.; Colella, Michael; Robel, Martin; Williams, Ross; Lindvall, Rachel; Eppich, Gary; Roberts, Sarah; Borg, Lars; Gaffney, Amy; et al

    2014-04-13

    In early 2009, a state policing agency raided a clandestine drug laboratory in a suburb of a major city in Australia. While searching the laboratory, they discovered a small glass jar labelled “Gamma Source” and containing a green powder. The powder was radioactive. This paper documents the detailed nuclear forensic analysis undertaken to characterize and identify the material and determine its provenance. Isotopic and impurity content, phase composition, microstructure and other characteristics were measured on the seized sample, and the results were compared with similar material obtained from the suspected source (ore and ore concentrate material). While an extensive rangemore » of parameters were measured, the key ‘nuclear forensic signatures’ used to identify the material were the U isotopic composition, Pb and Sr isotope ratios, and the rare earth element pattern. These measurements, in combination with statistical analysis of the elemental and isotopic content of the material against a database of uranium ore concentrates sourced from mines located worldwide, led to the conclusion that the seized material (a uranium ore concentrate of natural isotopic abundance) most likely originated from Mary Kathleen, a former Australian uranium mine.« less

  15. Nuclear forensic analysis of an unknown uranium ore concentrate sample seized in a criminal investigation in Australia

    SciTech Connect

    Keegan, Elizabeth; Kristo, Michael J.; Colella, Michael; Robel, Martin; Williams, Ross; Lindvall, Rachel; Eppich, Gary; Roberts, Sarah; Borg, Lars; Gaffney, Amy; Plaue, Jonathan; Wong, Henri; Davis, Joel; Loi, Elaine; Reinhard, Mark; Hutcheon, Ian

    2014-04-13

    In early 2009, a state policing agency raided a clandestine drug laboratory in a suburb of a major city in Australia. While searching the laboratory, they discovered a small glass jar labelled “Gamma Source” and containing a green powder. The powder was radioactive. This paper documents the detailed nuclear forensic analysis undertaken to characterize and identify the material and determine its provenance. Isotopic and impurity content, phase composition, microstructure and other characteristics were measured on the seized sample, and the results were compared with similar material obtained from the suspected source (ore and ore concentrate material). While an extensive range of parameters were measured, the key ‘nuclear forensic signatures’ used to identify the material were the U isotopic composition, Pb and Sr isotope ratios, and the rare earth element pattern. These measurements, in combination with statistical analysis of the elemental and isotopic content of the material against a database of uranium ore concentrates sourced from mines located worldwide, led to the conclusion that the seized material (a uranium ore concentrate of natural isotopic abundance) most likely originated from Mary Kathleen, a former Australian uranium mine.

  16. STATEMENT OF ADAM SIEMINSKI ADMINISTRATOR ENERGY INFORMATION...

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    ... fuel economy (CAFE) standards for light-duty vehicles (LDVs) through the 2025 model year. ... projected in AEO2012. U.S. net exports to Mexico via pipeline also increase steadily over ...

  17. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Annual Energy Outlook

    This projected increase in production is notably higher than the outlook a year ago in AEO2013, largely the result of higher shale gas production growth. The increase in supply ...

  18. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Annual Energy Outlook Model, Peter Gross PDF Sugars, Renewable Chemicals & Fuels, Sam Nejame PDF Drop-in biofuels in the AEO, Mac Statton PDF Applications of the Biomass Scenario ...

  19. "Table 7a. Natural Gas Price, Electric Power Sector, Actual vs. Projected"

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Natural Gas Price, Electric Power Sector, Actual vs. Projected" "Projected Price in Constant Dollars" " (constant dollars per million Btu in ""dollar year"" specific to each AEO)" ,"AEO $ Year",1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",1992,2.44,2.48,2.57,2.66,2.7,2.79,2.84,2.92,3.04,3.16,3.25,3.36,3.51,3.6,3.77,3.91,3.97,4.08 "AEO

  20. SEAP Briefing

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    ... nuclear unit age 60 AEO 2015 adds 9 GW nuclear 1 GW coal * The U.S. EPA says it will ... the agency's climate rule for existing facilities, a top official with the agency said ...

  1. Impacts of Unconventional Gas Technology in the Annual Energy Outlook 2000

    Reports and Publications

    2000-01-01

    This paper describes the methodology used in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) to represent unconventional gas technologies and their impacts on projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2000 (AEO2000).

  2. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Annual Energy Outlook

    from shale plays is higher than in AEO2013 because of an updated, more localized assessment of well recovery and decline rates. Natural gas from tight formations continues to...

  3. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    economic growth projections in AEO2015 with actual growth rates over the past 30 years. ... 2040-a rate that is 0.4 percentage points slower than the average over the past 30 years. ...

  4. Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    ... ELECTRICITY PRICES (2013 cents per kWh) May 2015 U.S. Energy Information Administration | Analysis of the Impacts of the Clean Power Plan 26 Table 4. Summary results for AEO2015 ...

  5. Annual Energy Outlook 2015

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2015 (AEO2015) was prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), under the direction of John J. Conti (john.conti@eia.gov, 202586-2222), ...

  6. Impact of Unconventional Gas Technology in the Annual Energy Outlook 2000

    Reports and Publications

    2000-01-01

    This paper describes the methodology used in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) to represent unconventional gas technologies and their impacts on projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2000 (AEO2000).

  7. STATEMENT OF GUY CARUSO DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY ENERGY INFORMATION...

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    EIA's analysis considers the proposed Clean Power Plan in the context of the AEO2015 High ... EIA's modeling generally uses the 22 Electricity Market Module (EMM) regions in its ...

  8. EV Everywhere Consumer/Charging Workshop: Target-Setting Framework...

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    projection (with high and low technology sensitivities), EIA's AEO11 "High Oil" fuel prices projections for 2022 Gasoline 5.12gal, diesel 4.76gal, Electricity 4.12...

  9. EV Everywhere Electric Drive Workshop: Preliminary Target-Setting...

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    projection (with high and low technology sensitivities), EIA's AEO11 "High Oil" fuel prices projections for 2022 Gasoline 5.12gal, diesel 4.76gal, Electricity 4.12...

  10. EV Everywhere Battery Workshop: Preliminary Target-Setting Framework

    Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) (indexed site)

    projection (with high and low technology sensitivities), EIA's AEO11 "High Oil" fuel prices projections for 2022 Gasoline 5.12gal, diesel 4.76gal, Electricity 4.12...

  11. Alfred L. Frechette, M.D. COYYISIIONE~

    Office of Legacy Management (LM)

    E. Nott. Mrector Envlromental Control Technology Dlvlslon bee: AeoSpa&-- WEMott, 'ECT EV-131 AJWhitman 121079 EV-131:AJ man:ngm:112179: Retyped 121079 REF: MC 66089...

  12. Transportation | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    Data From AEO2011 report . Market Trends From 2009 to 2035, transportation sector energy consumption grows at an average annual rate of 0.6 percent (from 27.2 quadrillion Btu...

  13. Electricity | Open Energy Information

    OpenEI (Open Energy Information) [EERE & EIA]

    AEO2011 report Full figure data for Figure 76. Reference Case Tables Table 1. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source - New England Table 2. Energy Consumption by Sector and Source...

  14. Table 11a. Coal Prices to Electric Generating Plants, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Coal Prices to Electric Generating Plants, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected Price in Constant Dollars" " (constant dollars per million Btu in ""dollar year"" specific to each AEO)" ,"AEO $ Year",1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",1992,1.4699,1.4799,1.53,1.57,1.58,1.57,1.61,1.63,1.68,1.69,1.7,1.72,1.7,1.76,1.79,1.81,1.88,1.92 "AEO

  15. Table 11a. Coal Prices to Electric Generating Plants, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Coal Prices to Electric Generating Plants, Projected vs. Actual Projected Price in Constant Dollars (constant dollars per million Btu in "dollar year" specific to each AEO) AEO $ Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 1992 1.47 1.48 1.53 1.57 1.58 1.57 1.61 1.63 1.68 1.69 1.70 1.72 1.70 1.76 1.79 1.81 1.88 1.92 AEO 1995 1993 1.39 1.39 1.38 1.40 1.40 1.39 1.39 1.42 1.41 1.43 1.44 1.45 1.46 1.46 1.46 1.47

  16. Table 3a. Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil, Projected vs. Actual Projected Price in Constant Dollars (constant dollars per barrel in "dollar year" specific to each AEO) AEO $ Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 1992 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16 AEO 1995 1993 14.90 16.41 16.90 17.45 18.00 18.53 19.13 19.65 20.16 20.63

  17. Table 7a. Natural Gas Price, Electric Power Sector, Actual vs. Projected

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    a. Natural Gas Price, Electric Power Sector, Actual vs. Projected Projected Price in Constant Dollars (constant dollars per million Btu in "dollar year" specific to each AEO) AEO $ Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 1992 2.44 2.48 2.57 2.66 2.70 2.79 2.84 2.92 3.04 3.16 3.25 3.36 3.51 3.60 3.77 3.91 3.97 4.08 AEO 1995 1993 2.39 2.48 2.42 2.45 2.45 2.53 2.59 2.78 2.91 3.10 3.24 3.38 3.47 3.53 3.61 3.68

  18. MEMORANDUM FOR: JOHN CONTI ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR FOR ENERGY...

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    to exclude the renewable fuel oil and biogas representation in the RFS for AEO2016. ... The conversation expanded to biogas and compressed NG in long-haul heavy duty vehicles, to ...

  19. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... Plant "nth" plant Pyrolysis Gasification Green Diesel Feedstock O&M Capital Drop-in ... in the AEO March 20, 2013 Macro Economy Energy Demand Primary Energy Supply Energy ...

  20. Supplement to the annual energy outlook 1994

    SciTech Connect

    1994-03-01

    This report is a companion document to the Annual Energy Outlook 1994 (AEO94), (DOE/EIA-0383(94)), released in Jan. 1994. Part I of the Supplement presents the key quantitative assumptions underlying the AEO94 projections, responding to requests by energy analysts for additional information on the forecasts. In Part II, the Supplement provides regional projections and other underlying details of the reference case projections in the AEO94. The AEO94 presents national forecasts of energy production, demand and prices through 2010 for five scenarios, including a reference case and four additional cases that assume higher and lower economic growth and higher and lower world oil prices. These forecasts are used by Federal, State, and local governments, trade associations, and other planners and decisionmakers in the public and private sectors.

  1. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Delivered energy consumption by sector Transportation Energy consumption in the transportation sector declines in the AEO2015 Reference case from 27.0 quadrillion Btu (13.8 million ...

  2. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Annual Energy Outlook

    technologies, such as new coal-fired and coal-to-liquids (CTL) plants without carbon capture and storage (CCS), is increased by 3 percentage points in the AEO2014...

  3. Table 40. U.S. Coal Stocks at Manufacturing Plants by North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) Code

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Imported Refiner Acquisition Cost of Crude Oil, Projected vs. Actual Projected Price in Constant Dollars (constant dollars per barrel in "dollar year" specific to each AEO) AEO $ Year 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 1992 16.69 16.43 16.99 17.66 18.28 19.06 19.89 20.72 21.65 22.61 23.51 24.29 24.90 25.60 26.30 27.00 27.64 28.16 AEO 1995 1993 14.90 16.41 16.90 17.45 18.00 18.53 19.13 19.65 20.16 20.63 21.08

  4. Initial Comments of the National Rural Electric Cooperative Associatio...

    Energy Saver

    ... 4 DOE NOPR spreadsheet dt-nopr-lcc-dl01-50kva.xlsb, Forecast Cells tab. ... The AEO price, which includes the recovery of fuel, generation capacity, transmission capacity, and a rate ...

  5. Measuring Changes in Energy Efficiency for the Annual Energy Outlook 2002

    Reports and Publications

    2002-01-01

    This paper describes the methodology used to develop the National Energy Modeling System estimate of projected aggregate energy efficiency and to describe the results of applying it to the Annual Energy Outlook 2002 (AEO2002) reference case.

  6. Table 8. Total Natural Gas Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Actual Projected (trillion cubic feet) 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 AEO 1994 19.87 20.21 20.64 20.99 ...

  7. Presentation Title

    Annual Energy Outlook

    ... not cite or circulate 7 Percent diesel heavy duty vehicles on road by Census division Source: 2014 Polk data 8 AEO2016 Transportation Working Group Washington, D.C., December 15, ...

  8. Search | Y-12 National Security Complex

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    Search / Search Search Enter your keywords Search

  9. Annual Energy Outlook 2016

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    LA-1 U.S. Energy Information Administration | Annual Energy Outlook 2016 AB 32 California Assembly Bill 32, the Global Warming Solutions Act of 2006 ACEEE American Council for an Energy-Efficient Economy ACP alternative compliance payment AEO Annual Energy Outlook AEO2016 Annual Energy Outlook 2016 ACU atmospheric cracking unit API American Petroleum Institute ARRA American Recovery and Reinvestment Act ASHRAE American Society of Heating, Refrigeration and Air- Conditioning Engineers ATPZEV

  10. Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Summary of Two Cases

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    AEO2016 Rollout Presentation Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies June 28, 2016 | Washington, D.C. by Adam Sieminski, Administrator Key takeaways from AEO2016 * Energy use per dollar of Gross Domestic Product declines through 2040 allowing for economic growth without upward pressure on energy consumption and related emissions * Electricity demand growth slows while non-power sector generation increases, dampening the need for central power station generation * Market forces

  11. Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review - Energy Information

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Administration ‹ Analysis & Projections Annual Energy Outlook Retrospective Review Release Date: March 25, 2015 | Next Release Date: April 2017 | Report Number: DOE/EIA-0640(2014) Evaluation of 2014 and Prior Reference Case Projections The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) produces projections of energy production, consumption and prices each year in the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). Each year, EIA also produces an AEO Retrospective Review document, which presents a

  12. Presentation Title

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Annual Energy Outlook 2016 For AEO2016 Working Group December 15, 2015| Washington, DC By Trisha Hutchins, Melissa Lynes, John Maples, and Mark Schipper Office of Energy Consumption and Efficiency Analysis Modeling updates in the transportation sector AEO2016 Transportation Demand Model Updates * Domestic and international marine - International Convention for the Prevention of Pollution from Ships (MARPOL) * On-road vehicles - Light duty vehicles (LDV) - Heavy duty vehicles (HDV) * Side cases

  13. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    1 st Coal Working Group Mike Mellish, Economist Diane Kearney, Operations Research Analyst August 2, 2012| Washington, D.C. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Issues/assumptions for AEO2013 2 * Compressed AEO modeling and production schedule * Re-coding of coal model from Fortran to AIMMS * Extension to 2040 * Current laws and regulations - Cross State Air Pollution Rule - Mercury and Air Toxics Standards - State Renewable

  14. Presentation title: This can be up to 2 lines

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    LFMM preliminary results AEO2015 Liquid Fuels Market Module Results Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas & Biofuels Analysis September 24, 2014 | Washington, DC WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Discussion topics Office of Petroleum, Natural Gas, & Biofuels Analysis Working Group Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington DC, September 24, 2014 DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE as results are subject to change 2 * AEO2015 vs

  15. Slide 1

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Portfolio Standards Costs and Benefits Energy Information Administration 2008 Energy Conference 30 years of Energy Information and Analysis Washington, DC April 7- 8, 2008 Chris Namovicz Operations Research Analyst Energy Information Administration EIA Analyses of RPS Policy * AEO 2008 - Includes state RPS program * Other scenarios are based on AEO 2007 - Bingaman RPS - 15 percent national RPS by 2020 - 25 X 25 Proposal - 25 percent national RPS by 2025 plus 25 percent biofuels * Other renewable

  16. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    7, 2013 | Release date: April 18, 2013 | Next release: April 25, 2013 | Previous weeks JUMP TO: In The News | Overview | Prices/Supply/Demand | Storage In the News: Many key uncertainties in the AEO2013 projections are addressed through alternative cases The Energy Information Administration's (EIA) Annual Energy Outlook 2013 (AEO2013) presents long-term projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2040, based on results from EIA's National Energy Modeling System. This Monday marked

  17. Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Electricity Sector Preliminary Results

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Electricity Sector Preliminary Results For Electricity AEO2016 Working Group February 10, 2016| Washington, DC By EIA, Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear & Renewables Analysis WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Summary 2 Electricity Analysis Team February 10, 2016 * Address issues raised by stakeholders * Discuss recent developments- updates to generator status and capital costs * Present preliminary AEO2016 forecast

  18. Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2014: Oil and Gas Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    4: Oil and Gas Working Group AEO2014 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis July 25, 2013 | Washington, DC http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/ WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Introduction/Background Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis Working Group Presentation for Discussion Purposes Washington, DC, July 25, 2013 DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE as results are

  19. Assumptions and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2015: Oil and Gas Working Group

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    and Expectations for Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Oil and Gas Working Group AEO2016 Oil and Gas Supply Working Group Meeting Office of Petroleum, Gas, and Biofuels Analysis February 29, 2016| Washington, DC http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/workinggroup/ WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE Overview * Natural gas markets - Natural gas supply and delivered prices - Natural gas consumption - Pipeline imports/exports - LNG exports *

  20. 2017 Project Peer Review | Department of Energy

    U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) - all webpages (Extended Search)

    AEO2016 Levelized Costs 1 August 2016 Levelized Cost and Levelized Avoided Cost of New Generation Resources in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 This paper presents average values of levelized costs for generating technologies entering service in 2018, 2022, 1 and 2040 as represented in the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS) for the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) Reference case. 2 The levelized costs for generating technologies entering service in 2022 are presented in the body of the

  1. Table 4. Total Petroleum Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Petroleum Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (million barrels)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",6449.55,6566.35,6643,6723.3,6810.9,6880.25,6956.9,7059.1,7124.8,7205.1,7296.35,7376.65,7446,7522.65,7595.65,7665,7712.45,7774.5 "AEO

  2. Table 6. Petroleum Net Imports, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Petroleum Net Imports, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (million barrels)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",2934.6,3201.05,3361.65,3504,3657.3,3737.6,3879.95,3993.1,4098.95,4212.1,4303.35,4398.25,4474.9,4540.6,4584.4,4639.15,4668.35,4672 "AEO

  3. WORKING GROUP PRESENTATION FOR DISCUSSION PURPOSES DO NOT QUOTE OR CITE AS RESULTS ARE SUBJECT TO CHANGE

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    December 23, 2015 MEMORANDUM FOR: John Conti Assistant Administrator for Energy Analysis Jim Diefenderfer Office Director Office of Electricity, Coal, Nuclear, and Renewables Analysis Paul Holtberg Team Leader Analysis Integration Team FROM: Chris Namovicz Team Leader for Renewable Electricity Analysis And Renewable Electricity Analysis Team SUBJECT: Summary of AEO2015 Renewable Electricity Working Group Meeting held on December 7, 2015 Presenters: Chris Namovicz Topics included AEO2016 model

  4. EIA - Annual Energy Outlook 2016

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Annual Energy Outlook 2016 Full Release Date: September 15, 2016 | Next Early Release Date: January 2017 | full report Overview Data Reference Case Side Cases Interactive Table Viewer By Section Issues in Focus Market Trends Executive Summary Legislation and Regulations Comparison with Other Projections Appendices Annual Energy Outlook 2016 presents yearly projections and analysis of energy topics Download the AEO2016 Report Projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) focus on the

  5. Annual Energy Outlook 2016: Summary of Two Cases

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    AEO2016 Rollout Presentation Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies June 28, 2016 | Washington, D.C. by Adam Sieminski, Administrator Key takeaways from AEO2016 * Energy use per dollar of Gross Domestic Product declines through 2040 allowing for economic growth without upward pressure on energy consumption and related emissions * Electricity demand growth slows while non-power sector generation increases, dampening the need for central power station generation * Market forces

  6. Contact Us - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - U.S. Energy

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Information Administration (EIA) Forecasting & Analysis Short-Term (STEO) Energy Forecast Experts Long-Term (AEO) Energy Forecast Experts International (IEO) Energy Forecast Experts Renewable Energy Forecast Experts Long-Term (AEO) Analysis and Forecasting Experts Fax: (202) 586-3045 Annual Energy Outlook General questions/Executive summary Angelina LaRose 202-586-6135 angelina.larose@eia.gov Carbon dioxide emissions Perry Lindstrom 202-586-0934 perry.lindstrom@eia.gov Coal supply and

  7. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Ap

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Browse by Tag (alphabetical) Sort by: Alphabetical | Frequency | Tag Cloud AEO2012 (Annual Energy Outlook 2012) (3) AEO2013 (Annual Energy Outlook 2013) (1) annual (5) baseload capacity (1) California (5) Canada (1) capacity and generation (12) capacity factor (1) China (1) Congressional & other requests (1) electricity (28) electricity generating fuel mix (3) Florida (1) forecast (1) generation (21) generation capacity (13) generators (2) historical (2) imports (4) international (9)

  8. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Executive Summary Projections in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016) focus on the factors expected to shape U.S. energy markets through 2040. The projections provide a basis for examination and discussion of energy market trends and serve as a starting point for analysis of potential changes in U.S. energy policies, rules, and regulations, as well as the potential role of advanced technologies. Key issues addressed in the AEO2016 Reference and alternative cases and discussed in this

  9. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Preface The Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016), prepared by the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), presents long-term projections of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2040. The projections, focused on U.S. energy markets, are based on results from EIA's National Energy Modeling System (NEMS). NEMS enables EIA to make projections under alternative, internallyconsistent sets of assumptions. The analysis in AEO2016 focuses on the Reference case and 17 alternative cases. EIA

  10. U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) - Pub

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Comparison with other projections Few organizations produce energy projections with details and time horizons comparable with those in the Annual Energy Outlook 2016 (AEO2016). Other organizations do, however, address one or more aspects of the U.S. energy market. Projections from other organizations, which tend to focus on selected areas-such as economic growth, international oil prices, energy consumption, electricity, natural gas, petroleum, and coal-are compared with the AEO2016 Reference

  11. Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    State RPS programs Release Date: 9/15/2016 To the extent possible, AEO2016 reflects state laws and regulations in effect at the end of December 2015 that mandate levels of renewable generation or capacity for utilities doing business in the state. These mandates are known as renewable portfolio standards (RPS) requirements. The AEO2016 projections do not include laws and regulations with either voluntary goals or targets that can be substantially satisfied with nonrenewable resources. In

  12. Slide 1

    Gasoline and Diesel Fuel Update

    Biofuels: Continuing Shifts in the Industry and the Long-Term Outlook April 6, 2010 2010 Energy Conference Washington, DC Peter Gross EIA's Long-Term Biofuels Outlook Peter Gross, 2010 Energy Conference, April 6, 2010 2 Outline * Projection highlights and assumptions behind projections * RFS2 mandate * Projections - AEO2010 reference case - AEO2009 price cases - Waxman-Markey * Projections of E85 and E10 * Future Issues Peter Gross, 2010 Energy Conference, April 6, 2010 3 Highlights of

  13. Betting on the Future: The authors compare natural gas forecaststo futures buys

    SciTech Connect

    Bolinger, Mark; Wiser, Ryan

    2006-01-20

    On December 12, 2005, the reference case projections from Annual Energy Outlook 2006 (AEO 2006) were posted on the Energy Information Administration's (EIA) web site. We at LBNL have in the past compared the EIA's reference case long-term natural gas price forecasts from the AEO series to contemporaneous natural gas prices that can be locked in through the forward market. The goal is better understanding fuel price risk and the role that renewables play in mitigating such risk. As such, we were curious to see how the latest AEO gas price forecast compares to the NYMEX natural gas futures strip. Below is a discussion of our findings. As a refresher, our past work in this area has found that over the past five years, forward natural gas contracts (with prices that can be locked in--.g., gas futures, swaps, and physical supply) have traded at a premium relative to contemporaneous long-term reference case gas price forecasts from the EIA. As such, we have concluded that, over the past five years at least, levelized cost comparisons of fixed-price renewable generation with variable price gas-fired generation have yielded results that are ''biased'' in favor of gas-fired generation, presuming that long-term price stability is valued. In this article we update our past analysis to include the latest long-term gas price forecast from the EIA, as contained in AEO 2006. For the sake of brevity, we do not rehash information (on methodology, potential explanations for the premiums, etc.) contained in our earlier reports on this topic. As was the case in the past five AEO releases (AEO 2001-AEO 2005), we once again find that the AEO 2006 reference case gas price forecast falls well below where NYMEX natural gas futures contracts were trading at the time the EIA finalized its gas price forecast. In fact, the NYMEX-AEO 2006 reference case comparison yields by far the largest premium--$2.3/MMBtu levelized over five years--that we have seen over the last six years. In other words

  14. Annual energy outlook 2005 with projections to 2025

    SciTech Connect

    2005-02-01

    The Annual Energy Outlook 2005 (AEO2005) presents midterm forecasts of energy supply, demand, and prices through 2025 prepared by the Energy Information Administration (EIA). The projections are based on results from EIA's National Energy Modelling System (NEMS). The report begins with an 'Overview' summarizing the AEO2005 reference case. The next section, 'Legislation and Regulations', discusses evolving legislative and regulatory issues in the USA. Issues in Focus includes discussions on key energy market issues and examines their potential impacts. In particular, it includes a discussion of the world oil price assumptions used in the reference case and four alternative world oil price cases examined in AEO2005. 'Issues in Focus' is followed by 'Market Trends', which provides a summary of energy market trends in the AEO2005 forecast. The analysis in AEO2005 focuses primarily on a reference case, lower and higher economic growth cases, and four alternative oil price cases, a low world oil price case, an October oil futures case, and two high world oil price cases. Forecast tables for those cases are provided in Appendixes A through D. The major results for the alterative cases, which explore the impacts of varying key assumption in NEMS (such as rates of technology penetration), are summarized in Appendix E. Appendix F briefly describes NEMS and the alternative cases. 115 figs., 38 tabs., 8 apps.

  15. "Table 17. Total Delivered Residential Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual"

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Delivered Residential Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (quadrillion Btu)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",10.31,10.36,10.36,10.37,10.38,10.4,10.4,10.41,10.43,10.43,10.44,10.45,10.46,10.49,10.51,10.53,10.56,10.6 "AEO 1995",,10.96,10.8,10.81,10.81,10.79,10.77,10.75,10.73,10.72,10.7,10.7,10.69,10.7,10.72,10.75,10.8,10.85 "AEO

  16. "Table 18. Total Delivered Commercial Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual"

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Delivered Commercial Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (quadrillion Btu)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",6.82,6.87,6.94,7,7.06,7.13,7.16,7.22,7.27,7.32,7.36,7.38,7.41,7.45,7.47,7.5,7.51,7.55 "AEO 1995",,6.94,6.9,6.95,6.99,7.02,7.05,7.08,7.09,7.11,7.13,7.15,7.17,7.19,7.22,7.26,7.3,7.34 "AEO

  17. "Table 20. Total Delivered Transportation Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual"

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Delivered Transportation Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (quadrillion Btu)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",23.62,24.08,24.45,24.72,25.06,25.38,25.74,26.16,26.49,26.85,27.23,27.55,27.91,28.26,28.61,28.92,29.18,29.5 "AEO 1995",,23.26,24.01,24.18,24.69,25.11,25.5,25.86,26.15,26.5,26.88,27.28,27.66,27.99,28.25,28.51,28.72,28.94 "AEO

  18. Table 16. Total Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Energy Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (quadrillion Btu)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",88.02,89.53,90.72,91.73,92.71,93.61,94.56,95.73,96.69,97.69,98.89,100,100.79,101.7,102.7,103.6,104.3,105.23 "AEO 1995",,89.21,89.98,90.57,91.91,92.98,93.84,94.61,95.3,96.19,97.18,98.38,99.37,100.3,101.2,102.1,102.9,103.88 "AEO

  19. Table 8. Total Natural Gas Consumption, Projected vs. Actual

    Energy Information Administration (EIA) (indexed site)

    Total Natural Gas Consumption, Projected vs. Actual" "Projected" " (trillion cubic feet)" ,1993,1994,1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000,2001,2002,2003,2004,2005,2006,2007,2008,2009,2010,2011,2012,2013 "AEO 1994",19.87,20.21,20.64,20.99,21.2,21.42,21.6,21.99,22.37,22.63,22.95,23.22,23.58,23.82,24.09,24.13,24.02,24.14 "AEO 1995",,20.82,20.66,20.85,21.21,21.65,21.95,22.12,22.25,22.43,22.62,22.87,23.08,23.36,23.61,24.08,24.23,24.59 "AEO

  20. Distributed Generation Potential of the U.S. CommercialSector

    SciTech Connect

    LaCommare, Kristina Hamachi; Edwards, Jennifer L.; Gumerman,Etan; Marnay, Chris

    2005-06-01

    Small-scale (100 kW-5 MW) on-site distributed generation (DG) economically driven by combined heat and power (CHP) applications and, in some cases, reliability concerns will likely emerge as a common feature of commercial building energy systems in developed countries over the next two decades. In the U.S., private and public expectations for this technology are heavily influenced by forecasts published by the Energy Information Administration (EIA), most notably the Annual Energy Outlook (AEO). EIA's forecasts are typically made using the National Energy Modeling System (NEMS), which has a forecasting module that predicts the penetration of several possible commercial building DG technologies over the period 2005-2025. Annual penetration is forecast by estimating the payback period for each technology, for each of a limited number of representative building types, for each of nine regions. This process results in an AEO2004 forecast deployment of about a total 3 GW of DG electrical generating capacity by 2025, which is only 0.25 percent of total forecast U.S. capacity. Analyses conducted using both the AEO2003 and AEO2004 versions of NEMS changes the baseline costs and performance characteristics of DG to reflect a world without U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) research into several thermal DG technologies, which is then compared to a case with enhanced technology representative of the successful achievement of DOE research goals. The net difference in 2025 DG penetration is dramatic using the AEO2003 version of NEMS, but much smaller in the AEO2004 version. The significance and validity of these contradictory results are discussed, and possibilities for improving estimates of commercial U.S. DG potential are explored.