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Energieprognostik auf dem Pruefstand. Energy prognosis on the test bench

Abstract

Does an energy prognosis reveal more about its author, than about the future of energy The fact that there is a lot of scepticism toward extremely varying and often diametrally opposed forecasts on the area of energy suggested to look at the 'psychology of forecasts and prognosis'. Representatives of the fields involved were invited to Schloss Haigerloch in 1986 in order to analyse the influence of the environment on the result of a prognosis. Linking up with this subject the GEE-prognosis-workshop held in 1987 looked into the fundamental question of 'Progress in prognostication'. Three recent studies which were supplemented by a historic study on deviations between prognosis and the actual facts, were presented at the workshop. They supplied a comparative evaluation of national and international energy prognostications. Papers from both meetings are contained in this volume providing a survey on the state of energy prognosis. (orig.).
Authors:
Haerter, M [1] 
  1. ed.
Publication Date:
Jan 01, 1988
Product Type:
Book
Reference Number:
DE-90-002476; EDB-90-046951
Resource Relation:
Related Information: Schriftenreihe der Gesellschaft fuer Energiewissenschaft und Energiepolitik e. V
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; ENERGY CONSUMPTION; FORECASTING; ENERGY DEMAND; ENERGY SUPPLIES; COMPARATIVE EVALUATIONS; INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS; MATHEMATICAL MODELS; PSYCHOLOGY; DEMAND; 290100* - Energy Planning & Policy- Energy Analysis & Modeling; 290000 - Energy Planning & Policy
OSTI ID:
7252329
Country of Origin:
Germany
Language:
German
Other Identifying Numbers:
Other: ISBN: 3-88585-477-5
Submitting Site:
DE
Size:
Pages: (180 p)
Announcement Date:

Citation Formats

Haerter, M. Energieprognostik auf dem Pruefstand. Energy prognosis on the test bench. Germany: N. p., 1988. Web.
Haerter, M. Energieprognostik auf dem Pruefstand. Energy prognosis on the test bench. Germany.
Haerter, M. 1988. "Energieprognostik auf dem Pruefstand. Energy prognosis on the test bench." Germany.
@misc{etde_7252329,
title = {Energieprognostik auf dem Pruefstand. Energy prognosis on the test bench}
author = {Haerter, M}
abstractNote = {Does an energy prognosis reveal more about its author, than about the future of energy The fact that there is a lot of scepticism toward extremely varying and often diametrally opposed forecasts on the area of energy suggested to look at the 'psychology of forecasts and prognosis'. Representatives of the fields involved were invited to Schloss Haigerloch in 1986 in order to analyse the influence of the environment on the result of a prognosis. Linking up with this subject the GEE-prognosis-workshop held in 1987 looked into the fundamental question of 'Progress in prognostication'. Three recent studies which were supplemented by a historic study on deviations between prognosis and the actual facts, were presented at the workshop. They supplied a comparative evaluation of national and international energy prognostications. Papers from both meetings are contained in this volume providing a survey on the state of energy prognosis. (orig.).}
place = {Germany}
year = {1988}
month = {Jan}
}