Abstract
An outline is given on the most important oil producing countries and on the petroleum reserves available there as they developed from 1960 to 1978. For the last few years, the figures at hand show a distinct decline of new discoveries i.e. of proved reserves, compared with consumption. Prospective development factors are critically examined, and a model of potential petroleum supply is developed covering the period up to the year 2200 and requiring the adjustment of production and consumption. Until 1986, the model shows a plateau of international oil production (and of consumption) amounting to 3 billion tons per year on an average, and subsequently a constant decline of output. The international average consumption being kept at a relatively high level is to give the world economy the opportunity to develop alternative energy sources. From this detailed statement follows automatically the demand to increase exploratory activities and to lead an optimal consumption policy. In a separate section deposits of heavy oil sands and oil shales and respective production technologies are dealt with as well as their potential contribution to meet energy needs.
Citation Formats
Stahmer, A M.
Petroleum - as far as available. Analysis and critical model calculation up to the year 2200. Erdoel - soweit verfuegbar. Analyse und kritische Modellrechnung bis zum Jahr 2200.
Germany: N. p.,
1979.
Web.
Stahmer, A M.
Petroleum - as far as available. Analysis and critical model calculation up to the year 2200. Erdoel - soweit verfuegbar. Analyse und kritische Modellrechnung bis zum Jahr 2200.
Germany.
Stahmer, A M.
1979.
"Petroleum - as far as available. Analysis and critical model calculation up to the year 2200. Erdoel - soweit verfuegbar. Analyse und kritische Modellrechnung bis zum Jahr 2200."
Germany.
@misc{etde_5749364,
title = {Petroleum - as far as available. Analysis and critical model calculation up to the year 2200. Erdoel - soweit verfuegbar. Analyse und kritische Modellrechnung bis zum Jahr 2200}
author = {Stahmer, A M}
abstractNote = {An outline is given on the most important oil producing countries and on the petroleum reserves available there as they developed from 1960 to 1978. For the last few years, the figures at hand show a distinct decline of new discoveries i.e. of proved reserves, compared with consumption. Prospective development factors are critically examined, and a model of potential petroleum supply is developed covering the period up to the year 2200 and requiring the adjustment of production and consumption. Until 1986, the model shows a plateau of international oil production (and of consumption) amounting to 3 billion tons per year on an average, and subsequently a constant decline of output. The international average consumption being kept at a relatively high level is to give the world economy the opportunity to develop alternative energy sources. From this detailed statement follows automatically the demand to increase exploratory activities and to lead an optimal consumption policy. In a separate section deposits of heavy oil sands and oil shales and respective production technologies are dealt with as well as their potential contribution to meet energy needs.}
place = {Germany}
year = {1979}
month = {Jan}
}
title = {Petroleum - as far as available. Analysis and critical model calculation up to the year 2200. Erdoel - soweit verfuegbar. Analyse und kritische Modellrechnung bis zum Jahr 2200}
author = {Stahmer, A M}
abstractNote = {An outline is given on the most important oil producing countries and on the petroleum reserves available there as they developed from 1960 to 1978. For the last few years, the figures at hand show a distinct decline of new discoveries i.e. of proved reserves, compared with consumption. Prospective development factors are critically examined, and a model of potential petroleum supply is developed covering the period up to the year 2200 and requiring the adjustment of production and consumption. Until 1986, the model shows a plateau of international oil production (and of consumption) amounting to 3 billion tons per year on an average, and subsequently a constant decline of output. The international average consumption being kept at a relatively high level is to give the world economy the opportunity to develop alternative energy sources. From this detailed statement follows automatically the demand to increase exploratory activities and to lead an optimal consumption policy. In a separate section deposits of heavy oil sands and oil shales and respective production technologies are dealt with as well as their potential contribution to meet energy needs.}
place = {Germany}
year = {1979}
month = {Jan}
}