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Prediction of energy-related technology for next 30 years

Journal Article:

Abstract

The report outlines major results of a survey concerning technologies expected to emerge during the next 30 years that was carried out by the Japan's Science and Technology Agency using the DELPHI method. The survey covered 51 technical issues in energy-related areas including fossil energy, nucler energy, natural energy, biomass and energy utilization techniques, and process-related areas including exploration, collection/extraction, transportation/storage, power generation, resources conversion and substitution. For each technical issue, investigation is made on its importance, time of realization, restrictions, procedure and responsible organization for promoting research and development, and government policy. Results show that the importance of nuclear energy will continue to increase and that diversification of energy sources, such as shift to coal, will also become more important. It is indicated that technological breakthroughs, such as the development of new superconducting materials, will accelerate the development of other techniques in related areas and simultaneously increase the importance of such techniques. The survey provides valuable basic data serving for predicting future social changes that may be caused by technical innovation or a shift in view on technology in the economic areas or in the society. (2 figs, 1 tab)
Publication Date:
Dec 01, 1987
Product Type:
Journal Article
Reference Number:
NEDO-87-920278; EDB-88-101838
Resource Relation:
Journal Name: Ener. Foramus; (Japan); Journal Volume: 33:396
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; ENERGY; DELPHI METHOD; ENERGY POLICY; SOCIO-ECONOMIC FACTORS; TECHNOLOGY IMPACTS; JAPAN; TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT; ENERGY SOURCE DEVELOPMENT; ASIA; FORECASTING; GOVERNMENT POLICIES; INSTITUTIONAL FACTORS; 290200* - Energy Planning & Policy- Economics & Sociology; 530100 - Environmental-Social Aspects of Energy Technologies- Social & Economic Studies- (-1989); 290500 - Energy Planning & Policy- Research, Development, Demonstration, & Commercialization
OSTI ID:
5070076
Research Organizations:
Inst. for Future Technology, Tokyo, Japan
Country of Origin:
Japan
Language:
Japanese
Other Identifying Numbers:
Journal ID: CODEN: ENEFE
Submitting Site:
NEDO
Size:
Pages: 78-81
Announcement Date:

Journal Article:

Citation Formats

Hashiguchi, Isao, and Kondo, Satoru. Prediction of energy-related technology for next 30 years. Japan: N. p., 1987. Web.
Hashiguchi, Isao, & Kondo, Satoru. Prediction of energy-related technology for next 30 years. Japan.
Hashiguchi, Isao, and Kondo, Satoru. 1987. "Prediction of energy-related technology for next 30 years." Japan.
@misc{etde_5070076,
title = {Prediction of energy-related technology for next 30 years}
author = {Hashiguchi, Isao, and Kondo, Satoru}
abstractNote = {The report outlines major results of a survey concerning technologies expected to emerge during the next 30 years that was carried out by the Japan's Science and Technology Agency using the DELPHI method. The survey covered 51 technical issues in energy-related areas including fossil energy, nucler energy, natural energy, biomass and energy utilization techniques, and process-related areas including exploration, collection/extraction, transportation/storage, power generation, resources conversion and substitution. For each technical issue, investigation is made on its importance, time of realization, restrictions, procedure and responsible organization for promoting research and development, and government policy. Results show that the importance of nuclear energy will continue to increase and that diversification of energy sources, such as shift to coal, will also become more important. It is indicated that technological breakthroughs, such as the development of new superconducting materials, will accelerate the development of other techniques in related areas and simultaneously increase the importance of such techniques. The survey provides valuable basic data serving for predicting future social changes that may be caused by technical innovation or a shift in view on technology in the economic areas or in the society. (2 figs, 1 tab)}
journal = {Ener. Foramus; (Japan)}
volume = {33:396}
journal type = {AC}
place = {Japan}
year = {1987}
month = {Dec}
}