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Effects of climate change on the production and consumption of electricity in Finland

Abstract

In the next few decades, the probable strengthening of the greenhouse effect may bring about considerable changes in energy production and consumption, which depend on climate. It is presumed that some of the changes will occur even if the rise in greenhouse gas concentration will be reduced. Because the investments in energy production have a long-term influence, decision-makers should have an idea about the impact of the strengthening of the greenhouse effect on energy production and consumption in Finland. According to the results of this study, the effects of climate change on the total consumption and production of electricity will be limited. The structure of both electricity consumption and production will remain rather similar, the most important changes applying to hydro power. The consumption of heating electricity will decrease substantially. Because the non- climate-dependent sectors of electricity consumption (process industry and services) account for more than a half of the total consumption, the effect on the total consumption is, however, rather small. The total annual hydropower production in Finland was estimated to be 2 % more both in the year 2025 and 2100 than at present. The annual mean discharges do not change very much compared to the present. The  More>>
Authors:
Forsius, J; Kuivalainen, P; Maekinen, P [1] 
  1. Imatran Voima Oy, Helsinki (Finland). Environmental Protection Div.
Publication Date:
Dec 31, 1996
Product Type:
Technical Report
Report Number:
SA-PUB-4/96
Reference Number:
SCA: 296000; 290300; PA: FI-97:003130; EDB-97:026302; SN: 97001727889
Resource Relation:
Other Information: DN: SILMU Research Programme; PBD: 1996; Related Information: Is Part Of The Finnish research programme on climate change. Final report; Roos, J. [ed.]; PB: 507 p.
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING AND POLICY; ELECTRIC POWER; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; ECONOMIC IMPACT; POWER GENERATION; FORECASTING; POWER DEMAND; FINLAND; ENERGY CONSUMPTION; COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION
OSTI ID:
428507
Research Organizations:
Academy of Finland, Helsinki (Finland)
Country of Origin:
Finland
Language:
English
Other Identifying Numbers:
Other: ON: DE97724949; ISBN 951-37-1961-8; TRN: FI9703130
Availability:
OSTI as DE97724949
Submitting Site:
FI
Size:
pp. 484-491
Announcement Date:
Feb 20, 1997

Citation Formats

Forsius, J, Kuivalainen, P, and Maekinen, P. Effects of climate change on the production and consumption of electricity in Finland. Finland: N. p., 1996. Web.
Forsius, J, Kuivalainen, P, & Maekinen, P. Effects of climate change on the production and consumption of electricity in Finland. Finland.
Forsius, J, Kuivalainen, P, and Maekinen, P. 1996. "Effects of climate change on the production and consumption of electricity in Finland." Finland.
@misc{etde_428507,
title = {Effects of climate change on the production and consumption of electricity in Finland}
author = {Forsius, J, Kuivalainen, P, and Maekinen, P}
abstractNote = {In the next few decades, the probable strengthening of the greenhouse effect may bring about considerable changes in energy production and consumption, which depend on climate. It is presumed that some of the changes will occur even if the rise in greenhouse gas concentration will be reduced. Because the investments in energy production have a long-term influence, decision-makers should have an idea about the impact of the strengthening of the greenhouse effect on energy production and consumption in Finland. According to the results of this study, the effects of climate change on the total consumption and production of electricity will be limited. The structure of both electricity consumption and production will remain rather similar, the most important changes applying to hydro power. The consumption of heating electricity will decrease substantially. Because the non- climate-dependent sectors of electricity consumption (process industry and services) account for more than a half of the total consumption, the effect on the total consumption is, however, rather small. The total annual hydropower production in Finland was estimated to be 2 % more both in the year 2025 and 2100 than at present. The annual mean discharges do not change very much compared to the present. The greatest difference in comparison with the present is the noticeable smoothing of the annual discharge variation. Particularly in Northern Finland the smoothing is considerable in average circumstances. In the scenario for the year 2100, in particular, the spring flood peak is, on average, significantly reduced, the flood peak takes place earlier and the average winter discharges increase}
place = {Finland}
year = {1996}
month = {Dec}
}