Abstract
Expert judgment (EJ) techniques and protocols have been used in different areas for more than half a century. the Nuclear Energy Division of the Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique (CEA), via the Risk Control Domain of the Nuclear Development and Innovation Division and the Innovative Systems Studies Service, and the Institute for Energy of JRC (Petten), via the Nuclear Safety Unit, organized a 'workshop on the use of expert judgment in decision making'. The objectives of this workshop were to create an exchange forum about this topic and to gather a first state of the art, in order to identify the needs for R and D. This workshop brought together approximately 55 participants, from different industry sectors (energy, both nuclear and non-nuclear, food and communication among others) and from universities, research organizations and technical support organizations. The workshop was divided in one opening session, four thematic sessions plus a round table and a final general discussion session. The first session was dedicated to the elicitation of expertise and the combination of opinions given by different experts. The papers in this session had more theoretical contents than most of the papers in other session. The second session was dedicated to expert knowledge
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The use of expert judgement in decision making.
France: N. p.,
2005.
Web.
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The use of expert judgement in decision making.
France.
None.
2005.
"The use of expert judgement in decision making."
France.
@misc{etde_20975270,
title = {The use of expert judgement in decision making}
author = {None}
abstractNote = {Expert judgment (EJ) techniques and protocols have been used in different areas for more than half a century. the Nuclear Energy Division of the Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique (CEA), via the Risk Control Domain of the Nuclear Development and Innovation Division and the Innovative Systems Studies Service, and the Institute for Energy of JRC (Petten), via the Nuclear Safety Unit, organized a 'workshop on the use of expert judgment in decision making'. The objectives of this workshop were to create an exchange forum about this topic and to gather a first state of the art, in order to identify the needs for R and D. This workshop brought together approximately 55 participants, from different industry sectors (energy, both nuclear and non-nuclear, food and communication among others) and from universities, research organizations and technical support organizations. The workshop was divided in one opening session, four thematic sessions plus a round table and a final general discussion session. The first session was dedicated to the elicitation of expertise and the combination of opinions given by different experts. The papers in this session had more theoretical contents than most of the papers in other session. The second session was dedicated to expert knowledge management. It consisted of four papers, two of them in the area of the food industry, one of them in the area of e-business and the last one in the area of human reliability assessment (HRA) and its impact on Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) calculations. The third session was dedicated to industrial applications and consisted of four papers, all of them in the area of energy production. The last session was about the use of EJ in risk analysis and decision making processes. Four papers were included in this session, EJ has been applied for a very long time in very different fields, which has brought as a consequence a broad diversity of methodologies The workshop did also show the variety of techniques to elicit expert knowledge (use or not of training, individuals versus groups, different kinds of aggregation as linear pools, log linear pools, Bayesian methods, different kind of group opinion, etc.). Analysts and attendants in general considered traceability as a main issue. Any EJ methodology should consider this as a main point to have. Several papers focused on EJ applied within the Bayesian paradigm, which shows the strength of this approach and its acceptance not only in academic and research environments but also in the industrial field. Since some time ago several alternatives to the purely Bayesian approach have appeared, not only in scientific literature, but also in some not very large scope industrial activities. Evidence theory and fuzzy set theory are getting more strength over the last years as alternatives to dealing with different types of uncertainty and some efforts have been done to put EJ in those frameworks to deal with uncertainty. These proceedings gather the transparencies and articles of this workshop.}
place = {France}
year = {2005}
month = {Jul}
}
title = {The use of expert judgement in decision making}
author = {None}
abstractNote = {Expert judgment (EJ) techniques and protocols have been used in different areas for more than half a century. the Nuclear Energy Division of the Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique (CEA), via the Risk Control Domain of the Nuclear Development and Innovation Division and the Innovative Systems Studies Service, and the Institute for Energy of JRC (Petten), via the Nuclear Safety Unit, organized a 'workshop on the use of expert judgment in decision making'. The objectives of this workshop were to create an exchange forum about this topic and to gather a first state of the art, in order to identify the needs for R and D. This workshop brought together approximately 55 participants, from different industry sectors (energy, both nuclear and non-nuclear, food and communication among others) and from universities, research organizations and technical support organizations. The workshop was divided in one opening session, four thematic sessions plus a round table and a final general discussion session. The first session was dedicated to the elicitation of expertise and the combination of opinions given by different experts. The papers in this session had more theoretical contents than most of the papers in other session. The second session was dedicated to expert knowledge management. It consisted of four papers, two of them in the area of the food industry, one of them in the area of e-business and the last one in the area of human reliability assessment (HRA) and its impact on Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) calculations. The third session was dedicated to industrial applications and consisted of four papers, all of them in the area of energy production. The last session was about the use of EJ in risk analysis and decision making processes. Four papers were included in this session, EJ has been applied for a very long time in very different fields, which has brought as a consequence a broad diversity of methodologies The workshop did also show the variety of techniques to elicit expert knowledge (use or not of training, individuals versus groups, different kinds of aggregation as linear pools, log linear pools, Bayesian methods, different kind of group opinion, etc.). Analysts and attendants in general considered traceability as a main issue. Any EJ methodology should consider this as a main point to have. Several papers focused on EJ applied within the Bayesian paradigm, which shows the strength of this approach and its acceptance not only in academic and research environments but also in the industrial field. Since some time ago several alternatives to the purely Bayesian approach have appeared, not only in scientific literature, but also in some not very large scope industrial activities. Evidence theory and fuzzy set theory are getting more strength over the last years as alternatives to dealing with different types of uncertainty and some efforts have been done to put EJ in those frameworks to deal with uncertainty. These proceedings gather the transparencies and articles of this workshop.}
place = {France}
year = {2005}
month = {Jul}
}