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Modeling of the climate system and of its response to a greenhouse effect increase; Modelisation du systeme climatique et de sa reponse a une augmentation de l'effet de serre

Abstract

The anthropic disturbance of the Earth's greenhouse effect is already visible and will enhance in the coming years or decades. In front of the rapidity and importance of the global warming effect, the socio-economical management of this change will rise problems and must be studied by the scientific community. At the modeling level, finding a direct strategy for the validation of climate models is not easy: many uncertainties exist because energy transformations take place at a low level and several processes take place at the same time. The variability observed at the seasonal, inter-annual or paleo- scales allows to validate the models at the process level but not the evolution of the whole system. The management of these uncertainties is an integral part of the global warming problem. Thus, several scenarios can be proposed and their risk of occurrence must be estimated. This paper presents first the greenhouse effect, the climatic changes during geologic times, the anthropic disturbance of the greenhouse effect, the modeling of climate and the forecasting of its evolution. (J.S.)
Authors:
Li, L [1] 
  1. Universite Pierre et Marie Curie, CNRS, Lab. de Meteorologie Dynamique, 75 - Paris (France)
Publication Date:
Jul 01, 2005
Product Type:
Miscellaneous
Report Number:
INIS-FR-4186
Resource Relation:
Other Information: 4 refs
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; AIR-BIOSPHERE INTERACTIONS; ALBEDO; AMBIENT TEMPERATURE; CARBON DIOXIDE; CLIMATE MODELS; FORECASTING; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; HUMAN FACTORS; PALEOCLIMATOLOGY; RISK ASSESSMENT; SEASONAL VARIATIONS
OSTI ID:
20735009
Research Organizations:
Societe Francaise de Physique, 75 - Paris (France)
Country of Origin:
France
Language:
French
Other Identifying Numbers:
TRN: FR0600632045430
Availability:
Available from INIS in electronic form
Submitting Site:
FRN
Size:
9 pages
Announcement Date:
Jun 09, 2006

Citation Formats

Li, L. Modeling of the climate system and of its response to a greenhouse effect increase; Modelisation du systeme climatique et de sa reponse a une augmentation de l'effet de serre. France: N. p., 2005. Web.
Li, L. Modeling of the climate system and of its response to a greenhouse effect increase; Modelisation du systeme climatique et de sa reponse a une augmentation de l'effet de serre. France.
Li, L. 2005. "Modeling of the climate system and of its response to a greenhouse effect increase; Modelisation du systeme climatique et de sa reponse a une augmentation de l'effet de serre." France.
@misc{etde_20735009,
title = {Modeling of the climate system and of its response to a greenhouse effect increase; Modelisation du systeme climatique et de sa reponse a une augmentation de l'effet de serre}
author = {Li, L}
abstractNote = {The anthropic disturbance of the Earth's greenhouse effect is already visible and will enhance in the coming years or decades. In front of the rapidity and importance of the global warming effect, the socio-economical management of this change will rise problems and must be studied by the scientific community. At the modeling level, finding a direct strategy for the validation of climate models is not easy: many uncertainties exist because energy transformations take place at a low level and several processes take place at the same time. The variability observed at the seasonal, inter-annual or paleo- scales allows to validate the models at the process level but not the evolution of the whole system. The management of these uncertainties is an integral part of the global warming problem. Thus, several scenarios can be proposed and their risk of occurrence must be estimated. This paper presents first the greenhouse effect, the climatic changes during geologic times, the anthropic disturbance of the greenhouse effect, the modeling of climate and the forecasting of its evolution. (J.S.)}
place = {France}
year = {2005}
month = {Jul}
}