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Analysis and modelling of the fuels european market; Analyse et modelisation des prix des produits petroliers combustibles en europe

Abstract

The research focus on the European fuel market prices referring to the Rotterdam and Genoa spot markets as well the German, Italian and French domestic markets. The thesis try to explain the impact of the London IPE future market on spot prices too. The mainstream research has demonstrated that co-integration seems to be the best theoretical approach to investigate the long run equilibrium relations. A particular attention will be devoted to the structural change in the econometric modelling on these equilibriums. A deep analysis of the main European petroleum products markets permit a better model specification concerning each of these markets. Further, we will test if any evidence of relations between spot and domestic prices could be confirmed. Finally, alternative scenarios will be depicted to forecast prices in the petroleum products markets. The objective is to observe the model reaction to changes crude oil prices. (author)
Authors:
Publication Date:
Apr 01, 1999
Product Type:
Thesis/Dissertation
Report Number:
IFP-45622
Reference Number:
EDB-00:113353
Resource Relation:
Other Information: TH: These Sciences economiques; 140 refs; PBD: Apr 1999
Subject:
02 PETROLEUM; COMPETITION; COMPUTERIZED SIMULATION; ECONOMETRICS; ECONOMIC ANALYSIS; FORECASTING; MONOPOLIES; PETROLEUM INDUSTRY; PETROLEUM PRODUCTS; PRICES; SPOT MARKET; STATISTICAL MODELS; TRADE
OSTI ID:
20072690
Research Organizations:
Institut Francais du Petrole (IFP), 92 - Rueil-Malmaison (France); Universite de Bourgogne, 21 - Dijon (France). GeoSol, C.S.T.; Ecole Nationale Superieure du Petrole et des Moteurs (ENSPM), 92 - Rueil-Malmaison (France)
Country of Origin:
France
Language:
French
Other Identifying Numbers:
TRN: FR0004033032955
Availability:
Available from INIS in electronic form
Submitting Site:
FRN
Size:
276 pages
Announcement Date:
Dec 19, 2000

Citation Formats

Simon, V. Analysis and modelling of the fuels european market; Analyse et modelisation des prix des produits petroliers combustibles en europe. France: N. p., 1999. Web.
Simon, V. Analysis and modelling of the fuels european market; Analyse et modelisation des prix des produits petroliers combustibles en europe. France.
Simon, V. 1999. "Analysis and modelling of the fuels european market; Analyse et modelisation des prix des produits petroliers combustibles en europe." France.
@misc{etde_20072690,
title = {Analysis and modelling of the fuels european market; Analyse et modelisation des prix des produits petroliers combustibles en europe}
author = {Simon, V}
abstractNote = {The research focus on the European fuel market prices referring to the Rotterdam and Genoa spot markets as well the German, Italian and French domestic markets. The thesis try to explain the impact of the London IPE future market on spot prices too. The mainstream research has demonstrated that co-integration seems to be the best theoretical approach to investigate the long run equilibrium relations. A particular attention will be devoted to the structural change in the econometric modelling on these equilibriums. A deep analysis of the main European petroleum products markets permit a better model specification concerning each of these markets. Further, we will test if any evidence of relations between spot and domestic prices could be confirmed. Finally, alternative scenarios will be depicted to forecast prices in the petroleum products markets. The objective is to observe the model reaction to changes crude oil prices. (author)}
place = {France}
year = {1999}
month = {Apr}
}