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Bayesian reasoning in high-energy physics. Principles and applications

Abstract

Bayesian statistics is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief in the occurrence of an event. The choice of name is due to the key role played by Bayes' theorem, as a logical tool to update probability in the light of new pieces of information. This approach is very close to the intuitive reasoning of experienced physicists, and it allows all kinds of uncertainties to be handled in a consistent way. Many cases of evaluation of measurement uncertainty are considered in detail in this report, including uncertainty arising from systematic errors, upper/lower limits and unfolding. Approximate methods, very useful in routine applications, are provided and several standard methods are recovered for cases in which the (often hidden) assumptions on which they are based hold. (orig.)
Authors:
D'Agostini, G [1] 
  1. Rome Univ. (Italy). Dipt. di Fisica
Publication Date:
Jul 19, 1999
Product Type:
Technical Report
Report Number:
CERN-99-03
Reference Number:
EDB-00:099968
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: 19 Jul 1999
Subject:
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS//MATHEMATICS, COMPUTING, AND INFORMATION SCIENCE; COUNTING TECHNIQUES; ERRORS; PARTICLE INTERACTIONS; PROBABILITY; STATISTICS
OSTI ID:
20004578
Research Organizations:
European Organization for Nuclear Research, Geneva (Switzerland)
Country of Origin:
CERN
Language:
English
Other Identifying Numbers:
Other: ISBN 92-9083-145-6; ISSN 0007-8328; TRN: XC99FC521052988
Availability:
Available from INIS in electronic form
Submitting Site:
INIS
Size:
183 pages
Announcement Date:
Dec 04, 2000

Citation Formats

D'Agostini, G. Bayesian reasoning in high-energy physics. Principles and applications. CERN: N. p., 1999. Web.
D'Agostini, G. Bayesian reasoning in high-energy physics. Principles and applications. CERN.
D'Agostini, G. 1999. "Bayesian reasoning in high-energy physics. Principles and applications." CERN.
@misc{etde_20004578,
title = {Bayesian reasoning in high-energy physics. Principles and applications}
author = {D'Agostini, G}
abstractNote = {Bayesian statistics is based on the intuitive idea that probability quantifies the degree of belief in the occurrence of an event. The choice of name is due to the key role played by Bayes' theorem, as a logical tool to update probability in the light of new pieces of information. This approach is very close to the intuitive reasoning of experienced physicists, and it allows all kinds of uncertainties to be handled in a consistent way. Many cases of evaluation of measurement uncertainty are considered in detail in this report, including uncertainty arising from systematic errors, upper/lower limits and unfolding. Approximate methods, very useful in routine applications, are provided and several standard methods are recovered for cases in which the (often hidden) assumptions on which they are based hold. (orig.)}
place = {CERN}
year = {1999}
month = {Jul}
}