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Future changes of the atmospheric composition and the impact of climate change

Abstract

The development of the future atmospheric chemical composition, with respect of NO{sub y} and O{sub 3} is investigated by means of the off-line coupled dynamic-chemical general circulation model ECHAM3/CHEM. Two time slice experiments have been performed for the years 1992 and 2015, which include changes in sea surface temperatures, greenhouse gas concentrations, emissions of CFCs, NO{sub x} and other species, i.e., the 2015 simulation accounts for changes in chemically relevant emissions and for a climate change and its impact on air chemistry. The 2015 simulation clearly shows a global increase in ozone except for large areas of the lower stratosphere, where no significant changes or even decreases in the ozone concentration are found. For a better understanding of the importance of (A) emissions like NO{sub x} and CFCs, (B) future changes of air temperature and water vapour concentration, and (C) other dynamic parameters, like precipitation and changes in the circulation, i.e. wind speed, diabatic circulation, stratosphere-troposphere-exchange, the simulation of the future atmosphere has been performed stepwise. This method requires a climate-chemistry model without interactive coupling of chemical species. Model results show that the direct effect of emissions (A) plays a major role for the composition of the future atmosphere, but  More>>
Authors:
Grewe, V; Dameris, M; Hein, R; Sausen, R; [1]  Steil, B [2] 
  1. DLR Deutsches Zentrum fuer Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V., Wessling (Germany). Inst. fuer Physik der Atmosphaere
  2. Max-Planck-Institut fuer Chemie (Otto-Hahn-Institut), Mainz (Germany). Abt. Chemie der Atmosphaere
Publication Date:
May 01, 1999
Product Type:
Technical Report
Report Number:
ETDE-DE-790
Reference Number:
SCA: 540120; PA: DE-99:0G9143; EDB-99:085876; SN: 99002125696
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: May 1999
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; CLIMATIC CHANGE; GENERAL CIRCULATION MODELS; NITROGEN OXIDES; WATER VAPOR; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; GREENHOUSE GASES; OZONE; STRATOSPHERE; TROPOSPHERE; 540120; CHEMICALS MONITORING AND TRANSPORT
OSTI ID:
10154584
Research Organizations:
DLR Deutsches Zentrum fuer Luft- und Raumfahrt e.V., Wessling (Germany). Inst. fuer Physik der Atmosphaere
Country of Origin:
Germany
Language:
English
Other Identifying Numbers:
Journal ID: ISSN 0943-4771; Other: ON: DE99761352; TRN: DE99G9143
Availability:
OSTI; NTIS (US Sales Only)
Submitting Site:
DE
Size:
26 p.
Announcement Date:
Sep 29, 1999

Citation Formats

Grewe, V, Dameris, M, Hein, R, Sausen, R, and Steil, B. Future changes of the atmospheric composition and the impact of climate change. Germany: N. p., 1999. Web.
Grewe, V, Dameris, M, Hein, R, Sausen, R, & Steil, B. Future changes of the atmospheric composition and the impact of climate change. Germany.
Grewe, V, Dameris, M, Hein, R, Sausen, R, and Steil, B. 1999. "Future changes of the atmospheric composition and the impact of climate change." Germany.
@misc{etde_10154584,
title = {Future changes of the atmospheric composition and the impact of climate change}
author = {Grewe, V, Dameris, M, Hein, R, Sausen, R, and Steil, B}
abstractNote = {The development of the future atmospheric chemical composition, with respect of NO{sub y} and O{sub 3} is investigated by means of the off-line coupled dynamic-chemical general circulation model ECHAM3/CHEM. Two time slice experiments have been performed for the years 1992 and 2015, which include changes in sea surface temperatures, greenhouse gas concentrations, emissions of CFCs, NO{sub x} and other species, i.e., the 2015 simulation accounts for changes in chemically relevant emissions and for a climate change and its impact on air chemistry. The 2015 simulation clearly shows a global increase in ozone except for large areas of the lower stratosphere, where no significant changes or even decreases in the ozone concentration are found. For a better understanding of the importance of (A) emissions like NO{sub x} and CFCs, (B) future changes of air temperature and water vapour concentration, and (C) other dynamic parameters, like precipitation and changes in the circulation, i.e. wind speed, diabatic circulation, stratosphere-troposphere-exchange, the simulation of the future atmosphere has been performed stepwise. This method requires a climate-chemistry model without interactive coupling of chemical species. Model results show that the direct effect of emissions (A) plays a major role for the composition of the future atmosphere, but they also clearly show that climate change has a significant impact and strongly reduces the NO{sub y} and ozone concentration in the lower stratosphere. (orig.)}
place = {Germany}
year = {1999}
month = {May}
}