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The global energy scene in 2050

Abstract

Scenario-based studies of global energy and climate change mitigation, and a study specific to India, show that introducing large volumes of renewable energy will require additional efforts beyond what is assumed in the studies about climate change stabilisation that are reviewed in this chapter. According to these studies, the extent to which fossil fuels are replaced by renewables depends on a number of critical but also rather uncertain assumptions, including the discovery of new oil and gas resources in the latter part of the century; the costs and reliability of CCS, and its suitability for bioenergy as well as fossil fuel power plants; and the potential and costs of new commercial bioenergy sources. Furthermore, the penetration of renewable energy will also depend on a set of broader policy priorities relating to the local environment, employment, innovation spillovers and business development. The increasing interest in green energy as part of national political agendas relating to the 'green economy' is a factor which may rapidly change the assumptions underlying the models. Countries like the USA, China and South Korea, for instance, are all aggressively promoting investments in renewable energy and energy efficiency. This political market stimulus is a factor which many of  More>>
Authors:
Halsnaes, K; [1]  Christensen, John M; [2]  Shukla, P R [3] 
  1. Risoe DTU, Roskilde (Denmark)
  2. UNEP Risoe Centre, Risoe DTU, Roskilde (Denmark)
  3. Indian Institute of Management (India)
Publication Date:
Nov 15, 2010
Product Type:
Technical Report
Report Number:
RISO-R-1729(EN)
Resource Relation:
Other Information: Risoe energy report 9. Non-fossil energy technologies in 2050 and beyond| Larsen, Hans; Soenderberg Petersen, L. (eds.)| 96 p.; 118 refs., 44 figs., 10 tabs.
Subject:
29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY AND ECONOMY; REVIEWS; GLOBAL ASPECTS; ENERGY SUPPLIES; RENEWABLE ENERGY SOURCES; FORECASTING; FUEL CONSUMPTION; FOSSIL FUELS; FUEL SUBSTITUTION
OSTI ID:
1001406
Research Organizations:
Technical Univ. of Denmark, Risoe National Lab. for Sustainable Energy, Roskilde (Denmark)
Country of Origin:
Denmark
Language:
English
Other Identifying Numbers:
Other: Rel-TRN: DK1102002; ISBN 978-87-550-3812-7; ISBN 978-87-550-3813-4 (internet); TRN: DK1101006
Availability:
Available as part of the following larger document: www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1001405-iiyhK2/; Also available at http://www.risoe.dtu.dk/rispubl/reports/ris-r-1729.pdf
Submitting Site:
DK
Size:
9-13 pages
Announcement Date:
Jan 20, 2011

Citation Formats

Halsnaes, K, Christensen, John M, and Shukla, P R. The global energy scene in 2050. Denmark: N. p., 2010. Web.
Halsnaes, K, Christensen, John M, & Shukla, P R. The global energy scene in 2050. Denmark.
Halsnaes, K, Christensen, John M, and Shukla, P R. 2010. "The global energy scene in 2050." Denmark.
@misc{etde_1001406,
title = {The global energy scene in 2050}
author = {Halsnaes, K, Christensen, John M, and Shukla, P R}
abstractNote = {Scenario-based studies of global energy and climate change mitigation, and a study specific to India, show that introducing large volumes of renewable energy will require additional efforts beyond what is assumed in the studies about climate change stabilisation that are reviewed in this chapter. According to these studies, the extent to which fossil fuels are replaced by renewables depends on a number of critical but also rather uncertain assumptions, including the discovery of new oil and gas resources in the latter part of the century; the costs and reliability of CCS, and its suitability for bioenergy as well as fossil fuel power plants; and the potential and costs of new commercial bioenergy sources. Furthermore, the penetration of renewable energy will also depend on a set of broader policy priorities relating to the local environment, employment, innovation spillovers and business development. The increasing interest in green energy as part of national political agendas relating to the 'green economy' is a factor which may rapidly change the assumptions underlying the models. Countries like the USA, China and South Korea, for instance, are all aggressively promoting investments in renewable energy and energy efficiency. This political market stimulus is a factor which many of the global models have not yet captured. (Author)}
place = {Denmark}
year = {2010}
month = {Nov}
}