DOE Patents title logo U.S. Department of Energy
Office of Scientific and Technical Information

Title: Image-based solar estimates

Abstract

An example device is configured to determine, based on a sky image of a portion of sky over a power distribution network and using a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based image regression model, an estimated global horizontal irradiance (GHI) value and manage or control the power distribution network using the estimated GHI value. The device may also be configured to determine, based on GHI values and aggregate load values for at least a portion of the power distribution network, using a Bayesian Structural Time Series model, an estimated photovoltaic power output value for the at least a portion of the power distribution network. The device may manage or control the power distribution network using the estimated photovoltaic power output value.

Inventors:
; ; ; ; ;
Issue Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
2221929
Patent Number(s):
11693378
Application Number:
16/806,797
Assignee:
Alliance for Sustainable Energy, LLC (Golden, CO)
DOE Contract Number:  
AC36-08GO28308
Resource Type:
Patent
Resource Relation:
Patent File Date: 03/02/2020
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English

Citation Formats

Bernstein, Andrey, Jiang, Huaiguang, Kroposki, Benjamin, Xie, Yu, Yang, Rui, and Zhang, Yingchen. Image-based solar estimates. United States: N. p., 2023. Web.
Bernstein, Andrey, Jiang, Huaiguang, Kroposki, Benjamin, Xie, Yu, Yang, Rui, & Zhang, Yingchen. Image-based solar estimates. United States.
Bernstein, Andrey, Jiang, Huaiguang, Kroposki, Benjamin, Xie, Yu, Yang, Rui, and Zhang, Yingchen. Tue . "Image-based solar estimates". United States. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/2221929.
@article{osti_2221929,
title = {Image-based solar estimates},
author = {Bernstein, Andrey and Jiang, Huaiguang and Kroposki, Benjamin and Xie, Yu and Yang, Rui and Zhang, Yingchen},
abstractNote = {An example device is configured to determine, based on a sky image of a portion of sky over a power distribution network and using a convolutional neural network (CNN)-based image regression model, an estimated global horizontal irradiance (GHI) value and manage or control the power distribution network using the estimated GHI value. The device may also be configured to determine, based on GHI values and aggregate load values for at least a portion of the power distribution network, using a Bayesian Structural Time Series model, an estimated photovoltaic power output value for the at least a portion of the power distribution network. The device may manage or control the power distribution network using the estimated photovoltaic power output value.},
doi = {},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {2023},
month = {7}
}

Works referenced in this record:

Solar Energy Forecasting
patent-application, February 2017


Solar Irradiance Forecasting Using Deep Neural Networks
journal, January 2017


Intra-hour forecasting with a total sky imager at the UC San Diego solar energy testbed
journal, November 2011