System and method for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems with dynamic controls and dynamic incentives
Abstract
Systems and methods for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems in the presence of dynamic control or dynamic incentives. A method for modeling a cyclical demand system comprises obtaining historical data on one or more demand measurements over a plurality of demand cycles, obtaining historical data on incentive signals over the plurality of demand cycles, constructing a model using the obtained historical data on the one or more demand measurements and the incentive signals, wherein constructing the model comprises specifying a state-space model, specifying variance parameters in the model, and estimating unknown variance parameters.
- Inventors:
- Issue Date:
- Research Org.:
- International Business Machines Corp., Armonk, NY (United States)
- Sponsoring Org.:
- USDOE
- OSTI Identifier:
- 1650798
- Patent Number(s):
- 10628838
- Application Number:
- 13/869,628
- Assignee:
- International Business Machines Corporation (Armonk, NY)
- Patent Classifications (CPCs):
-
G - PHYSICS G06 - COMPUTING G06Q - DATA PROCESSING SYSTEMS OR METHODS, SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL, SUPERVISORY OR FORECASTING PURPOSES
- DOE Contract Number:
- OE0000190
- Resource Type:
- Patent
- Resource Relation:
- Patent File Date: 04/24/2013
- Country of Publication:
- United States
- Language:
- English
- Subject:
- 24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION
Citation Formats
Ghosh, Soumyadip, Hosking, Jonathan R. M., Natarajan, Ramesh, Subramanian, Shivaram, and Zhang, Xiaoxuan. System and method for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems with dynamic controls and dynamic incentives. United States: N. p., 2020.
Web.
Ghosh, Soumyadip, Hosking, Jonathan R. M., Natarajan, Ramesh, Subramanian, Shivaram, & Zhang, Xiaoxuan. System and method for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems with dynamic controls and dynamic incentives. United States.
Ghosh, Soumyadip, Hosking, Jonathan R. M., Natarajan, Ramesh, Subramanian, Shivaram, and Zhang, Xiaoxuan. Tue .
"System and method for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems with dynamic controls and dynamic incentives". United States. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/1650798.
@article{osti_1650798,
title = {System and method for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems with dynamic controls and dynamic incentives},
author = {Ghosh, Soumyadip and Hosking, Jonathan R. M. and Natarajan, Ramesh and Subramanian, Shivaram and Zhang, Xiaoxuan},
abstractNote = {Systems and methods for modeling and forecasting cyclical demand systems in the presence of dynamic control or dynamic incentives. A method for modeling a cyclical demand system comprises obtaining historical data on one or more demand measurements over a plurality of demand cycles, obtaining historical data on incentive signals over the plurality of demand cycles, constructing a model using the obtained historical data on the one or more demand measurements and the incentive signals, wherein constructing the model comprises specifying a state-space model, specifying variance parameters in the model, and estimating unknown variance parameters.},
doi = {},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {2020},
month = {4}
}
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