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Title: Modeling the long-term evolution of space debris

A space object modeling system that models the evolution of space debris is provided. The modeling system simulates interaction of space objects at simulation times throughout a simulation period. The modeling system includes a propagator that calculates the position of each object at each simulation time based on orbital parameters. The modeling system also includes a collision detector that, for each pair of objects at each simulation time, performs a collision analysis. When the distance between objects satisfies a conjunction criterion, the modeling system calculates a local minimum distance between the pair of objects based on a curve fitting to identify a time of closest approach at the simulation times and calculating the position of the objects at the identified time. When the local minimum distance satisfies a collision criterion, the modeling system models the debris created by the collision of the pair of objects.
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Issue Date:
OSTI Identifier:
Lawrence Livermore National Security, LLC LLNL
Patent Number(s):
Application Number:
Contract Number:
Resource Relation:
Patent File Date: 2013 May 02
Research Org:
Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States)
Sponsoring Org:
Country of Publication:
United States

Other works cited in this record:

Physics simulation apparatus and method
patent, May 2013

System and method for distributed simulation in which different simulation servers simulate different regions of a simulation space
patent, December 2013

Collision frequency of artificial satellites: The creation of a debris belt
journal, January 1978
  • Kessler, Donald J.; Cour-Palais, Burton G.
  • Journal of Geophysical Research, Vol. 83, Issue A6, p. 2637-2646
  • DOI: 10.1029/JA083iA06p02637

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