- #126

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But our selection depends on what value we choose for ##D## (see post #124) and if we chose ##D## to be large enough then it would also include the cases where the ball didn't hit the post.You are selecting from distributions over sets that include only shots that hit the posts.

Isn't setting the same constant value of ##D## for the probability calculation of both posts a like to like comparison?If you select a more inclusive outline that encompasses the entirety of both post outlines then you can find a distribution over a set of shots that intersect withthat outline. That distribution can be identical for both posts. Then you can do an apples to apples comparison of which of those shots go in and which do not.