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Title: Calibrating Bayesian Network Representations of Social-Behavioral Models

Journal Article · · Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 6007/2010:338-345

While human behavior has long been studied, recent and ongoing advances in computational modeling present opportunities for recasting research outcomes in human behavior. In this paper we describe how Bayesian networks can represent outcomes of human behavior research. We demonstrate a Bayesian network that represents political radicalization research – and show a corresponding visual representation of aspects of this research outcome. Since Bayesian networks can be quantitatively compared with external observations, the representation can also be used for empirical assessments of the research which the network summarizes. For a political radicalization model based on published research, we show this empirical comparison with data taken from the Minorities at Risk Organizational Behaviors database.

Research Organization:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Organization:
USDOE
DOE Contract Number:
AC05-76RL01830
OSTI ID:
986257
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-70268; TRN: US201017%%35
Journal Information:
Lecture Notes in Computer Science, 6007/2010:338-345, Vol. 6007
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English