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Title: Simulation of a Simple Domestic Safeguards System

Abstract

A domestic safeguards system was modeled and experiments were run to determine factors of significance in deterring an insider. A flowchart was developed for diversion of material from an operating material processing line by the insider in a simplified system. Factors included in the experimental design for testing the model include insider risk acceptance, real-time material control system effectiveness, and real-time material accounting system effectiveness. Physical protection system performance is based on random normal distribution and was not a parameter in this experimental design. Past simulation efforts focused on the individual elements of physical protection or material control and accountability but have not integrated them into a single simulation. A Box-Behnken design was used. Results from 13 simulation runs, which had 50 replications each, were used to estimate main effects, as well as interactions and their relationships to diversion. In the experimental design used, material control, material accounting, and the interaction between the two were determined to be statistically significant factors affecting material diversion. Risk taken by the insider was not a significant factor.

Authors:
 [1]
  1. ORNL
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Oak Ridge National Lab. (ORNL), Oak Ridge, TN (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA)
OSTI Identifier:
932073
DOE Contract Number:
DE-AC05-00OR22725
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: 48th Annual INMM Meeting, Tucson, AZ, USA, 20070708, 20070712
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL PROTECTION; CONTROL SYSTEMS; DESIGN; DISTRIBUTION; DOMESTIC SAFEGUARDS; PERFORMANCE; PHYSICAL PROTECTION; PROCESSING; SIMULATION; TESTING

Citation Formats

Coates, Cameron W. Simulation of a Simple Domestic Safeguards System. United States: N. p., 2007. Web.
Coates, Cameron W. Simulation of a Simple Domestic Safeguards System. United States.
Coates, Cameron W. Mon . "Simulation of a Simple Domestic Safeguards System". United States. doi:.
@article{osti_932073,
title = {Simulation of a Simple Domestic Safeguards System},
author = {Coates, Cameron W},
abstractNote = {A domestic safeguards system was modeled and experiments were run to determine factors of significance in deterring an insider. A flowchart was developed for diversion of material from an operating material processing line by the insider in a simplified system. Factors included in the experimental design for testing the model include insider risk acceptance, real-time material control system effectiveness, and real-time material accounting system effectiveness. Physical protection system performance is based on random normal distribution and was not a parameter in this experimental design. Past simulation efforts focused on the individual elements of physical protection or material control and accountability but have not integrated them into a single simulation. A Box-Behnken design was used. Results from 13 simulation runs, which had 50 replications each, were used to estimate main effects, as well as interactions and their relationships to diversion. In the experimental design used, material control, material accounting, and the interaction between the two were determined to be statistically significant factors affecting material diversion. Risk taken by the insider was not a significant factor.},
doi = {},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 2007},
month = {Mon Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 2007}
}

Conference:
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