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Title: Problems in Achieving a Quantitative Approach to Technologic Proliferation Resistance

Abstract

In spite of setbacks, substantial success has been achieved by the various nonproliferation efforts over the past 50 years. Because the pace of technology evolution remains high and the cost of entry to nuclear weapons technology is decreasing, improved approaches are critical if similar success is to be achieved over the next 20 years. Recent analyses have been published that provide a semi-quantitative assessment of proliferation risk, which can serve as the foundation for a meaningful quantitative approach to assessing proliferation risk. These methods represent an important step, but represent only one step in the work that must be achieved in the next few years. This paper presents perspectives on evaluating the merits of institutional arrangements and the role of design versus institutional features in proliferation prevention. It concludes by proposing methodology and quantitative approaches to be considered for evaluating proliferation-resistant measures in innovative reactor and fuel cycle technologies.

Authors:
; ;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
Pacific Northwest National Lab. (PNNL), Richland, WA (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
917980
Report Number(s):
PNNL-SA-56924
TRN: US200817%%1060
DOE Contract Number:  
AC05-76RL01830
Resource Type:
Conference
Resource Relation:
Conference: International Topical Workshop on Proliferation-Resistance in Innovative Reactors and Fuel Cycles, Como, Italy, 2-6 July 2001 , 235-248
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS; 45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEFENSE; DESIGN; FUEL CYCLE; NUCLEAR WEAPONS; PROLIFERATION; REACTORS; Nonproliferation; Reactor technology

Citation Formats

Wiborg, James C, Omberg, Ronald P, and Zentner, Michael D. Problems in Achieving a Quantitative Approach to Technologic Proliferation Resistance. United States: N. p., 2001. Web.
Wiborg, James C, Omberg, Ronald P, & Zentner, Michael D. Problems in Achieving a Quantitative Approach to Technologic Proliferation Resistance. United States.
Wiborg, James C, Omberg, Ronald P, and Zentner, Michael D. Fri . "Problems in Achieving a Quantitative Approach to Technologic Proliferation Resistance". United States. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/917980.
@article{osti_917980,
title = {Problems in Achieving a Quantitative Approach to Technologic Proliferation Resistance},
author = {Wiborg, James C and Omberg, Ronald P and Zentner, Michael D},
abstractNote = {In spite of setbacks, substantial success has been achieved by the various nonproliferation efforts over the past 50 years. Because the pace of technology evolution remains high and the cost of entry to nuclear weapons technology is decreasing, improved approaches are critical if similar success is to be achieved over the next 20 years. Recent analyses have been published that provide a semi-quantitative assessment of proliferation risk, which can serve as the foundation for a meaningful quantitative approach to assessing proliferation risk. These methods represent an important step, but represent only one step in the work that must be achieved in the next few years. This paper presents perspectives on evaluating the merits of institutional arrangements and the role of design versus institutional features in proliferation prevention. It concludes by proposing methodology and quantitative approaches to be considered for evaluating proliferation-resistant measures in innovative reactor and fuel cycle technologies.},
doi = {},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {2001},
month = {7}
}

Conference:
Other availability
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