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Title: Detection of greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change. Progress report, July 1, 1994--July 31, 1995

Abstract

The objective of this research is to assembly and analyze instrumental climate data and to develop and apply climate models as a basis for detecting greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change, and validation of General Circulation Models. In addition to changes due to variations in anthropogenic forcing, including greenhouse gas and aerosol concentration changes, the global climate system exhibits a high degree of internally-generated and externally-forced natural variability. To detect the anthropogenic effect, its signal must be isolated from the ``noise`` of this natural climatic variability. A high quality, spatially extensive data base is required to define the noise and its spatial characteristics. To facilitate this, available land and marine data bases will be updated and expanded. The data will be analyzed to determine the potential effects on climate of greenhouse gas and aerosol concentration changes and other factors. Analyses will be guided by a variety of models, from simple energy balance climate models to coupled atmosphere ocean General Circulation Models. These analyses are oriented towards obtaining early evidence of anthropogenic climatic change that would lead either to confirmation, rejection or modification of model projections, and towards the statistical validation of General Circulation Model control runs and perturbation experiments.

Authors:
;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
East Anglia Univ., Norwich (United Kingdom). Climatic Research Unit
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE, Washington, DC (United States)
OSTI Identifier:
90175
Report Number(s):
DOE/ER/60397-7
ON: DE95015922; TRN: AHC29522%%12
DOE Contract Number:  
FG02-86ER60397
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Resource Relation:
Other Information: PBD: 21 Jul 1995
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES; GREENHOUSE EFFECT; FORECASTING; GREENHOUSE GASES; ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS; PROGRESS REPORT; AIR POLLUTION; DATA ANALYSIS; EXPERIMENTAL DATA; ECOLOGICAL CONCENTRATION

Citation Formats

Jones, P.D., and Wigley, T.M.L.. Detection of greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change. Progress report, July 1, 1994--July 31, 1995. United States: N. p., 1995. Web. doi:10.2172/90175.
Jones, P.D., & Wigley, T.M.L.. Detection of greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change. Progress report, July 1, 1994--July 31, 1995. United States. doi:10.2172/90175.
Jones, P.D., and Wigley, T.M.L.. Fri . "Detection of greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change. Progress report, July 1, 1994--July 31, 1995". United States. doi:10.2172/90175. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/90175.
@article{osti_90175,
title = {Detection of greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change. Progress report, July 1, 1994--July 31, 1995},
author = {Jones, P.D. and Wigley, T.M.L.},
abstractNote = {The objective of this research is to assembly and analyze instrumental climate data and to develop and apply climate models as a basis for detecting greenhouse-gas-induced climatic change, and validation of General Circulation Models. In addition to changes due to variations in anthropogenic forcing, including greenhouse gas and aerosol concentration changes, the global climate system exhibits a high degree of internally-generated and externally-forced natural variability. To detect the anthropogenic effect, its signal must be isolated from the ``noise`` of this natural climatic variability. A high quality, spatially extensive data base is required to define the noise and its spatial characteristics. To facilitate this, available land and marine data bases will be updated and expanded. The data will be analyzed to determine the potential effects on climate of greenhouse gas and aerosol concentration changes and other factors. Analyses will be guided by a variety of models, from simple energy balance climate models to coupled atmosphere ocean General Circulation Models. These analyses are oriented towards obtaining early evidence of anthropogenic climatic change that would lead either to confirmation, rejection or modification of model projections, and towards the statistical validation of General Circulation Model control runs and perturbation experiments.},
doi = {10.2172/90175},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Fri Jul 21 00:00:00 EDT 1995},
month = {Fri Jul 21 00:00:00 EDT 1995}
}

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