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Title: Experience Scaling Up Manufacturing of Emerging Photovoltaic Technologies

Abstract

This report examines two important generic photovoltaic technologies at particularly revealing stages of development, i.e., the stages between R&D and stable commercial production and profitable sales. Based on two historical cases, it attempts to shed light on the difference between: (1) costs and schedules validated by actual manufacturing and market experience, and (2) estimated costs and schedules that rely on technology forecasts and engineering estimates. The amorphous Silicon case also identifies some of the costs that are incurred in meeting specific market requirements, while the Cadmium Telluride case identifies many of the operational challenges involved in transferring R&D results to production. The transition between R&D and commercial success takes a great deal of time and money for emerging energy conversion technologies in general. The experience reported here can be instructive to those managing comparable efforts, and to their investors. It can also be instructive to R&D managers responsible for positioning such new technologies for commercial success.

Authors:
;
Publication Date:
Research Org.:
National Renewable Energy Lab. (NREL), Golden, CO (United States)
Sponsoring Org.:
USDOE
OSTI Identifier:
899800
Report Number(s):
NREL/SR-640-39165
KLCX-4-44450-03; AEK-6-66261-01; TRN: US200709%%199
DOE Contract Number:
AC36-99-GO10337
Resource Type:
Technical Report
Resource Relation:
Related Information: Work performed by En-Strat Associates, Darnestown, Maryland, and DES Associates, Warrington, Pennsylvania
Country of Publication:
United States
Language:
English
Subject:
14 SOLAR ENERGY; 32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATION; CADMIUM TELLURIDES; ENERGY CONVERSION; MANUFACTURING; MARKET; POSITIONING; PRODUCTION; SALES; SCHEDULES; SILICON; SOLAR TECHNOLOGY; PHOTOVOLTAICS; CADMIUM TELLURIDE; TANDEM AMORPHOUS SILICON; THIN-FILM TECHNOLOGY; BP SOLAR; LARGE-SCALE MANUFACTURING; APOLLO TECHNOLOGY; Energy Analysis

Citation Formats

Braun, G. W., and Skinner, D. E. Experience Scaling Up Manufacturing of Emerging Photovoltaic Technologies. United States: N. p., 2007. Web. doi:10.2172/899800.
Braun, G. W., & Skinner, D. E. Experience Scaling Up Manufacturing of Emerging Photovoltaic Technologies. United States. doi:10.2172/899800.
Braun, G. W., and Skinner, D. E. Mon . "Experience Scaling Up Manufacturing of Emerging Photovoltaic Technologies". United States. doi:10.2172/899800. https://www.osti.gov/servlets/purl/899800.
@article{osti_899800,
title = {Experience Scaling Up Manufacturing of Emerging Photovoltaic Technologies},
author = {Braun, G. W. and Skinner, D. E.},
abstractNote = {This report examines two important generic photovoltaic technologies at particularly revealing stages of development, i.e., the stages between R&D and stable commercial production and profitable sales. Based on two historical cases, it attempts to shed light on the difference between: (1) costs and schedules validated by actual manufacturing and market experience, and (2) estimated costs and schedules that rely on technology forecasts and engineering estimates. The amorphous Silicon case also identifies some of the costs that are incurred in meeting specific market requirements, while the Cadmium Telluride case identifies many of the operational challenges involved in transferring R&D results to production. The transition between R&D and commercial success takes a great deal of time and money for emerging energy conversion technologies in general. The experience reported here can be instructive to those managing comparable efforts, and to their investors. It can also be instructive to R&D managers responsible for positioning such new technologies for commercial success.},
doi = {10.2172/899800},
journal = {},
number = ,
volume = ,
place = {United States},
year = {Mon Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 2007},
month = {Mon Jan 01 00:00:00 EST 2007}
}

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